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Zadar vs Cedevita Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 88-65
23-13 24-18 25-17 16-17
Position#6
Record13-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game75.7
Zadar 🏆
vs
Cedevita Olimpija
Position#5
Record14-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game83.8
EuropeABA LeagueRound 23· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Domestic2023
Meetings · Zadar v Cedevita Olimpija
23 Jan 2026
ZAD101
COL112
09 Nov 2024
ZAD81
COL73
16 Mar 2024
ZAD88
COL65
12 Mar 2023
ZAD81
COL59
19 Mar 2022
ZAD77
COL92
10 Jan 2021
ZAD78
COL80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
54-93
54
93
-39
44avg 80
A11/02
ABA League
Split
#5
W
80-73
80
73
+7
78avg 80
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
83-72
83
72
+11
84avg 80
A16/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#2
W
80-68
80
68
+12
79avg 80
A17/02
Croatian Cup
Skrljevo
#12
W
103-84
103
84
+19
105avg 80
H27/02
Premijer liga
Split
#8
W
77-61
77
61
+16
75avg 80
H01/03
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
87-71
87
71
+16
93avg 80
A03/03
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
W
74-59
74
59
+15
69avg 80
H07/03
ABA League
Skrljevo
#12
W
87-73
87
73
+14
79avg 80
A09/03
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
92-69
92
69
+23
94avg 80
H13/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-31
10-22
18-20
14-20
16-20
30-18
16-20
18-15
22-25
13-20
23-9
25-18
13-12
25-15
23-27
19-14
29-29
20-12
25-23
29-20
25-19
19-12
19-9
14-21
17-19
26-15
25-14
19-23
17-10
16-13
14-16
27-20
18-15
20-21
26-19
23-18
17-17
24-12
30-15
21-25
154.0Avg total
81.7Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.975.7154.6+3.159%
Season at home (11)77.466.7144.1+10.673%
Season away (11)80.484.7165.1-4.445%
Last 10 (10)81.772.3154.0+9.490%
Last 5 (5)83.466.6150.0+16.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.076.0141.0-11.033%
vs Similar ◀ (5)77.268.8146.0+8.4100%
vs Weaker (22)84.471.5155.9+13.082%
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpija
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#9
L
78-82
78
82
-4
67avg 79
A27/01
ABA League
London Lions
#5
L
85-92
85
92
-7
77avg 79
H31/01
Eurocup
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
74-65
74
65
+9
72avg 79
A03/02
ABA League
Paris
#1
L
66-119
66
119
-53
52avg 79
A07/02
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#11
W
82-74
82
74
+8
77avg 79
H10/02
ABA League
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
93-80
93
80
+13
90avg 79
H12/02
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#16
W
95-81
95
81
+14
100avg 79
A15/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#9
W
87-86
87
86
+1
77avg 79
A16/02
Slovenian Cup
Partizan
#3
L
102-110
102
110
-8
98avg 79
A03/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
72-80
72
80
-8
57avg 79
H09/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
21-18
14-21
18-21
20-13
13-22
29-28
23-29
21-16
18-16
13-16
22-17
16-32
20-32
13-25
17-30
21-15
21-20
16-20
24-19
30-21
14-23
31-22
18-14
21-17
30-23
17-19
27-22
22-28
23-23
25-16
17-19
24-42
33-28
20-17
25-23
14-18
23-23
17-15
18-24
170.3Avg total
83.4Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)85.983.8169.7+2.164%
Season at home (12)89.881.7171.5+8.283%
Season away (10)81.286.3167.5-5.140%
Last 10 (10)83.486.9170.3-3.550%
Last 5 (5)89.887.4177.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)86.294.9181.1-8.621%
vs Similar ◀ (4)81.587.2168.8-5.80%
vs Weaker (12)92.477.7170.1+14.892%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
ZadarCedevita Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
22-53
22
53
-31
A11/02
ABA League
Split
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A16/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#2
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A17/02
Croatian Cup
Skrljevo
#12
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H27/02
Premijer liga
Split
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H01/03
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A03/03
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H07/03
ABA League
Skrljevo
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A09/03
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H13/03
Premijer liga
74.6Avg total
38.9Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.035.975.9+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.233.574.8+7.875%-
Last 30 away (14)38.638.677.2-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)38.935.774.6+3.280%-
Last 5 (5)39.830.670.4+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.340.774.0-7.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)37.229.066.2+8.2100%-
vs Weaker (22)41.536.878.4+4.759%-
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A27/01
ABA League
London Lions
#5
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H31/01
Eurocup
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A03/02
ABA League
Paris
#1
L
36-64
36
64
-28
A07/02
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#11
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H10/02
ABA League
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H12/02
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#16
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A15/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#9
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A16/02
Slovenian Cup
Partizan
#3
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A03/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H09/03
ABA League
88.2Avg total
43.0Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.044.689.6+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.742.085.7+1.743%-
Last 30 away (16)46.146.993.0-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)43.045.288.2-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)46.849.296.0-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)44.549.794.2-5.214%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)40.540.080.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (12)47.140.287.2+6.975%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.319.3
59.8%
54.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.6
34.2%
34.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws16.813.2
78.6%
73.8%13.2
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevita Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita Olimpija: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.1
51.8%
54.3%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.7
35.9%
34.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.512.8
73.1%
73.8%12.8
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WWWWWWWWWL
Cedevita Olimpija
LLWWWWLWLL
#6
League position
#5
+12.1
Net rating
-5.4
115.6
Offensive rating
110.6
103.6
Defensive rating
116.0
55.8%
Effective FG%
52.7%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
15.1%
Turnover %
16.2%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.2%
3-point %
35.9%
70.6%
Assist %
59.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 110.6Defence103.6 · 116.0Shooting55.8% · 52.7%3-point %34.2% · 35.9%Ball care15.1% · 16.2%Off. rebounds31.4% · 31.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Zadar   ■ Cedevita Olimpija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Zadar wins
4
Cedevita Olimpija wins
DateGameScore
03/12/23Cedevita Olimpija v Zadar73-79
12/03/23Zadar v Cedevita Olimpija81-59
26/11/22Cedevita Olimpija v Zadar97-79
19/03/22Zadar v Cedevita Olimpija77-92
05/12/21Cedevita Olimpija v Zadar73-74
20/03/21Cedevita Olimpija v Zadar77-56
10/01/21Zadar v Cedevita Olimpija78-80
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/24HDubrava92-69
09/03/24ASkrljevo87-73
07/03/24HIgokea74-59
03/03/24ADubrava87-71
01/03/24HSplit77-61
27/02/24HSkrljevo103-84
17/02/24ACibona80-68
16/02/24ACedevita Junior83-72
14/02/24HSplit80-73
11/02/24ACrvena zvezda54-93
Cedevita Olimpijalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HBuducnost72-80
03/03/24APartizan102-110
16/02/24AKK Krka Novo mesto87-86
15/02/24AHelios Domzale95-81
12/02/24HKK Triglav Kranj93-80
10/02/24HFMP Beograd82-74
07/02/24AParis66-119
03/02/24ABorac Mozzart74-65
31/01/24HLondon Lions85-92
27/01/24AStudentski Centar78-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
ABA League 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW59%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWWLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%73%45%
Points / game78.977.480.4
Allowed / game75.766.784.7
Point differential+3.1+10.6-4.4
Avg total154.6144.1165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%55%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %5%0%9%
Cedevita Olimpija
ABA League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL64%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %64%83%40%
Points / game85.989.881.2
Allowed / game83.881.786.3
Point differential+2.1+8.2-5.1
Avg total169.7171.5167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2219386%89.071.8+17.2
2 Buducnost2217577%84.375.9+8.4
3 Partizan2216673%93.176.1+17.0
4 Cedevita Olimpija2214864%85.983.8+2.1
5 Zadar2213959%78.975.7+3.1
6 Mega Basket22121055%85.782.8+2.9
7 Studentski Centar22111150%86.085.5+0.5
8 Igokea23111248%78.081.3-3.3
9 Split22101245%76.379.5-3.1
10 Cibona2281436%79.584.4-4.9
11 Borac Mozzart2281436%78.083.5-5.5
12 FMP Beograd2271532%77.584.8-7.3
13 Mornar Bar2351822%76.589.3-12.8
14 KK Krka Novo mesto2241818%73.987.5-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar2324251688
Cedevita Olimpija1318171765
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