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Zadar vs Dubai Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 31 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record3-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game75.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game80.7
EuropeABA LeagueRound 18· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Domestic2026
Meetings · Zadar v Dubai
31 Jan 2027
ZAD v DUB
upcoming
06 Dec 2024
ZAD63
DUB71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Dubai win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
87-56
87
56
+31
84avg 79
A12/10
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#15
L
63-78
63
78
-15
47avg 79
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
W
84-73
84
73
+11
87avg 79
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
87-61
87
61
+26
77avg 79
H23/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#18
W
95-70
95
70
+25
84avg 79
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#10
W
105-71
105
71
+34
108avg 79
A30/10
Premijer liga
Dubai
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
no box
A02/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
51-67
51
67
-16
no box
A05/11
ABA League
Kvarner
#5
W
109-80
109
80
+29
no box
H09/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
H14/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-10
21-12
21-18
18-16
21-22
13-18
14-21
15-17
16-24
18-19
23-14
27-16
26-17
21-15
19-17
21-12
26-16
14-19
27-12
28-23
14-16
30-15
29-18
32-22
21-16
17-19
20-23
17-31
13-12
16-17
9-14
13-24
28-19
29-23
26-22
26-16
27-23
26-10
11-16
17-25
155.6Avg total
83.7Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.175.9151.0-0.743%
Season at home (3)85.069.7154.7+15.3100%
Season away (4)67.880.5148.2-12.80%
Last 10 (10)83.771.9155.6+11.870%
Last 5 (5)84.276.2160.4+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)78.081.5159.5-3.550%
vs Similar (5)67.274.8142.0-7.620%
vs Weaker (23)87.170.4157.5+16.778%
This opponent (Dubai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubaiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubai
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#20
W
108-90
108
90
+18
113avg 87
H19/10
ABA League
Bayern
#18
W
107-91
107
91
+16
105avg 87
A22/10
Euroleague
KK Bosna
#6
W
93-83
93
83
+10
74avg 87
A24/10
ABA League
Paris
#14
L
93-99
93
99
-6
85avg 87
H27/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
97-83
97
83
+14
96avg 87
H30/10
Euroleague
Zadar
#13
W
89-75
89
75
+14
no box
H02/11
ABA League
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
93-75
93
75
+18
no box
A06/11
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#16
W
98-87
98
87
+11
no box
A09/11
ABA League
Olympiacos
#2
L
72-101
72
101
-29
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
93-75
93
75
+18
no box
H15/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-25
29-23
19-32
25-10
29-14
34-22
19-31
25-24
22-13
23-26
24-18
24-26
25-23
22-31
25-19
21-26
19-22
26-18
29-20
23-23
16-21
19-17
23-20
31-17
21-17
27-17
28-19
17-22
26-16
27-17
28-28
17-26
18-25
25-32
13-31
16-13
31-13
22-22
21-22
19-18
180.2Avg total
94.3Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.080.7174.7+13.3100%
Season at home (3)96.780.0176.7+16.7100%
Season away (4)92.081.2173.2+10.8100%
Last 10 (10)94.385.9180.2+8.480%
Last 5 (5)89.082.6171.6+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.385.0154.3-15.733%
vs Similar (9)85.986.6172.4-0.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)95.681.4176.9+14.294%
This opponent (Zadar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
ZadarDubai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
48-22
48
22
+26
A12/10
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#15
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H23/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#18
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#10
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A30/10
Premijer liga
Dubai
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A02/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A05/11
ABA League
Kvarner
#5
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H09/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H14/11
ABA League
76.6Avg total
42.4Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.435.676.9+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.734.278.9+10.593%-
Last 30 away (16)38.436.875.2+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)42.434.276.6+8.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.234.078.2+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)45.534.079.5+11.5100%-
vs Similar (5)32.036.468.4-4.420%-
vs Weaker (23)43.035.578.6+7.578%-
This opponent (Dubai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#20
W
64-48
64
48
+16
H19/10
ABA League
Bayern
#18
W
63-36
63
36
+27
A22/10
Euroleague
KK Bosna
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A24/10
ABA League
Paris
#14
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H27/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H30/10
Euroleague
Zadar
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H02/11
ABA League
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A06/11
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#16
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A09/11
ABA League
Olympiacos
#2
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A12/11
Euroleague
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H15/11
ABA League
91.0Avg total
49.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.041.288.2+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.141.389.4+6.767%-
Last 30 away (15)45.941.086.9+4.967%-
Last 10 (10)49.641.491.0+8.270%-
Last 5 (5)46.439.485.8+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.346.083.3-8.70%-
vs Similar (9)44.343.387.7+1.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)49.939.389.2+10.783%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.4
58.5%
57.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.5
34.7%
33.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.912.5
74.0%
73.2%12.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubai: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.424.9
60.1%
57.4%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.7
37.8%
33.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.915.5
74.2%
73.2%15.5
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WWLLWWWWLW
Dubai
WLWWWWLWWW
#13
League position
#1
+21.3
Net rating
+9.9
102.8
Offensive rating
110.0
81.5
Defensive rating
100.2
55.5%
Effective FG%
58.9%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
13.7%
Turnover %
11.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.7%
3-point %
37.8%
60.2%
Assist %
59.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 110.0Defence81.5 · 100.2Shooting55.5% · 58.9%3-point %34.7% · 37.8%Ball care13.7% · 11.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Zadar   ■ Dubai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Zadar wins
3
Dubai wins
DateGameScore
02/11/26Dubai v Zadar89-75
06/04/25Dubai v Zadar92-68
06/12/24Zadar v Dubai63-71
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPartizan81-74
09/11/26HKvarner109-80
05/11/26ASpartak Subotica51-67
02/11/26ADubai75-89
30/10/26ADubrovnik105-71
25/10/26HPerspektiva Ilirija95-70
23/10/26HDinamo Zagreb87-61
18/10/26ASplit84-73
16/10/26AVienna Basket63-78
12/10/26ACedevita Junior87-56
Dubailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HSpartak Subotica93-75
12/11/26AOlympiacos72-101
09/11/26AMega Basket98-87
06/11/26AVirtus Bologna93-75
02/11/26HZadar89-75
30/10/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv97-83
27/10/26HParis93-99
24/10/26AKK Bosna93-83
22/10/26ABayern107-91
19/10/26HStudentski Centar108-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
ABA League 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%100%0%
Points / game75.185.067.8
Allowed / game75.969.780.5
Point differential-0.7+15.3-12.8
Avg total151.0154.7148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dubai
ABA League 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.096.792.0
Allowed / game80.780.081.2
Point differential+13.3+16.7+10.8
Avg total174.7176.7173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%100%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubai770100%94.080.7+13.3
2 Partizan76186%88.077.0+11.0
3 Crvena zvezda65183%93.283.5+9.7
4 Buducnost75271%89.481.9+7.6
5 Cedevita Olimpija64267%85.580.0+5.5
6 KK Bosna64267%90.587.3+3.2
7 Siroki Brijeg74357%85.985.0+0.9
8 Spartak Subotica74357%83.082.3+0.7
9 Slovan Bratislava63350%82.284.5-2.3
10 Borac Mozzart63350%84.790.2-5.5
11 Igokea73443%85.985.6+0.3
12 Cluj-Napoca73443%85.786.3-0.6
13 Zadar73443%75.175.9-0.7
14 Cibona73443%86.088.1-2.1
15 Vienna Basket62433%80.583.2-2.7
16 Mega Basket62433%82.392.7-10.3
17 FMP Beograd72529%79.983.1-3.3
18 Perspektiva Ilirija72529%75.379.6-4.3
19 KK Krka Novo mesto71614%74.083.6-9.6
20 Studentski Centar6060%81.093.8-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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