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Zadar vs Dubrava Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 May 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-61
20-6 20-21 21-19 17-15
Position#1
Record31-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game71.2
Zadar 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#9
Record14-19
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game83.1
CroatiaPremijer ligaPremijer liga - Quarter-finals· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Other2023-24
Meetings · Zadar v Dubrava
05 Feb 2027
ZAD v DUBR
upcoming
27 Oct 2025
ZAD105
DUBR74
14 Oct 2024
ZAD101
DUBR72
02 May 2024
ZAD78
DUBR61
13 Mar 2024
ZAD92
DUBR69
30 Nov 2023
ZAD83
DUBR58
12 Apr 2023
ZAD99
DUBR67
30 Oct 2022
ZAD92
DUBR71
09 Oct 2021
ZAD68
DUBR53
29 Jan 2021
ZAD93
DUBR84
21 Oct 2019
ZAD121
DUBR82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dubrava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
83-65
83
65
+18
84avg 80
A30/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
88-70
88
70
+18
89avg 80
H02/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
W
96-81
96
81
+15
96avg 80
A05/04
Premijer liga
Partizan
#3
L
74-113
74
113
-39
67avg 80
A08/04
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
88-68
88
68
+20
88avg 80
H11/04
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#2
L
69-100
69
100
-31
51avg 80
A13/04
ABA League
Cibona
#3
W
92-70
92
70
+22
93avg 80
A15/04
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
63avg 80
H19/04
ABA League
Split
#2
W
93-74
93
74
+19
92avg 80
H22/04
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
92-50
92
50
+42
90avg 80
H27/04
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
18-13
23-16
23-22
18-16
26-12
26-20
18-22
28-21
26-29
20-13
22-18
11-20
30-35
18-24
15-34
26-12
28-16
17-23
17-17
24-23
12-19
15-34
18-24
21-8
16-22
35-15
20-25
15-16
18-23
14-13
26-28
15-20
16-23
31-18
31-13
24-17
19-10
22-9
27-14
161.9Avg total
84.8Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)88.771.2159.9+17.594%
Season at home (17)91.270.5161.8+20.794%
Season away (16)86.072.0158.0+14.094%
Last 10 (10)84.877.1161.9+7.770%
Last 5 (5)83.874.8158.6+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.596.5164.0-29.00%
vs Similar (4)79.065.8144.8+13.2100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)84.970.9155.8+14.086%
This opponent (Dubrava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubravaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrava
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
69-92
69
92
-23
56avg 74
A13/03
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
W
112-111
112
111
+1
110avg 74
H18/03
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
99-82
99
82
+17
99avg 74
A23/03
Premijer liga
Alkar
#11
W
89-81
89
81
+8
95avg 74
A30/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
80-56
80
56
+24
81avg 74
H03/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
68-62
68
62
+6
62avg 74
A06/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
64-60
64
60
+4
60avg 74
H12/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
L
99-104 OT
99
104
-5
89avg 74
A17/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
90-76
90
76
+14
87avg 74
H22/04
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
94-79
94
79
+15
93avg 74
A25/04
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
12-24
15-30
25-21
22-29
34-30
20-25
36-27
23-19
29-22
16-21
31-20
26-16
27-23
17-23
19-19
27-17
17-11
16-18
20-10
17-21
13-12
26-14
12-15
13-15
7-8
18-22
26-15
17-22
30-20
14-18
26-27
18-15
21-16
27-21
24-24
20-23
29-26
27-5
18-25
166.7Avg total
86.4Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)80.383.1163.4-2.842%
Season at home (16)80.581.8162.3-1.350%
Season away (17)80.184.3164.4-4.235%
Last 10 (10)86.480.3166.7+6.180%
Last 5 (5)83.076.2159.2+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.887.2163.9-10.415%
vs Similar (10)74.170.3144.4+3.860%
vs Weaker (6)89.281.7170.8+7.583%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +3.4+3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +3.4+3.4
ZadarDubrava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A30/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H02/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A05/04
Premijer liga
Partizan
#3
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A08/04
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H11/04
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A13/04
ABA League
Cibona
#3
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A15/04
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H19/04
ABA League
Split
#2
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H22/04
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H27/04
Premijer liga
77.9Avg total
41.0Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.236.276.4+4.173%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.934.175.9+7.880%-
Last 30 away (15)38.638.376.9+0.367%-
Last 10 (10)41.036.977.9+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.036.272.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.047.280.2-14.20%-
vs Similar (4)39.528.067.5+11.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)41.735.677.3+6.082%-
This opponent (Dubrava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubravaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A13/03
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H18/03
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A23/03
Premijer liga
Alkar
#11
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A30/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H03/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A06/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
L
20-23
20
23
-3
H12/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A17/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H22/04
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A25/04
Premijer liga
80.5Avg total
41.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.538.577.1+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.138.376.3-0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)39.038.877.8+0.240%-
Last 10 (10)41.938.680.5+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.035.672.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.943.680.5-6.715%-
vs Similar (10)36.731.668.3+5.160%-
vs Weaker (6)44.241.585.7+2.767%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.117.7
53.5%
53.6%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.411.6
36.9%
34.6%34.8
🏀 Free throws19.413.7
70.6%
73.4%13.7
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubravatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrava: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.6
53.6%
53.6%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.5
35.4%
34.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.814.6
73.7%
73.4%14.6
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WWLWLWLWWW
Dubrava
WWLWWWWWWL
#1
League position
#9
+10.0
Net rating
+8.9
111.9
Offensive rating
109.7
101.9
Defensive rating
100.8
54.4%
Effective FG%
53.4%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
15.8%
Turnover %
18.6%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.9%
3-point %
35.4%
72.0%
Assist %
70.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 109.7Defence101.9 · 100.8Shooting54.4% · 53.4%3-point %36.9% · 35.4%Ball care15.8% · 18.6%Off. rebounds28.2% · 31.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Zadar   ■ Dubrava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Zadar wins
0
Dubrava wins
DateGameScore
13/03/24Zadar v Dubrava92-69
03/03/24Dubrava v Zadar71-87
30/11/23Zadar v Dubrava83-58
06/05/23Dubrava v Zadar66-76
12/04/23Zadar v Dubrava99-67
20/01/23Dubrava v Zadar73-85
30/10/22Zadar v Dubrava92-71
17/12/21Dubrava v Zadar70-99
09/10/21Zadar v Dubrava68-53
09/03/21Dubrava v Zadar77-94
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24HBosco92-50
22/04/24HSplit93-74
19/04/24HBuducnost73-80
15/04/24ACibona92-70
13/04/24ABuducnost69-100
11/04/24HCedevita Junior88-68
08/04/24APartizan74-113
05/04/24ADinamo Zagreb96-81
02/04/24HDubrovnik88-70
30/03/24AGKK Sibenka83-65
Dubravalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/24ACibona94-79
22/04/24HCedevita Junior90-76
17/04/24ADinamo Zagreb99-104 OT
12/04/24HDubrovnik64-60
06/04/24AGKK Sibenka68-62
03/04/24HZabok80-56
30/03/24AAlkar89-81
23/03/24ABosco99-82
18/03/24HSkrljevo112-111
13/03/24AZadar69-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWWWW94%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %94%94%94%
Points / game88.791.286.0
Allowed / game71.270.572.0
Point differential+17.5+20.7+14.0
Avg total159.9161.8158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+76%82%69%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dubrava
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW42%
HomeLWWWW50%
AwayWWWLW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %42%50%35%
Points / game80.380.580.1
Allowed / game83.181.884.3
Point differential-2.8-1.3-4.2
Avg total163.4162.3164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%31%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)40% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %9%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar3331294%88.771.2+17.5
2 Split3328585%86.672.7+13.8
3 Cibona34231168%80.376.1+4.2
4 Cedevita Junior33211264%87.080.6+6.4
5 Dinamo Zagreb33201361%85.078.0+7.0
6 Zabok34171750%82.382.4-0.1
7 Dubrovnik33151845%75.376.7-1.4
8 Dubrava33141942%80.383.1-2.8
9 GKK Sibenka33132039%80.382.0-1.7
10 Alkar3392427%77.883.0-5.2
11 Skrljevo3372621%82.392.9-10.6
12 Bosco331323%71.298.3-27.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar2020211778
Dubrava621191561
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