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Zadar vs Dubrovnik Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-70
18-16 26-12 26-20 18-22
Position#1
Record25-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game71.8
Zadar 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#8
Record12-15
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game77.7
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 28· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Other2023-24
Meetings · Zadar v Dubrovnik
22 Jan 2027
ZAD v DUBR
upcoming
22 May 2026
ZAD83
DUBR57
10 Apr 2026
ZAD100
DUBR70
23 Nov 2025
ZAD83
DUBR64
09 May 2025
ZAD91
DUBR61
04 Nov 2024
ZAD90
DUBR79
02 Apr 2024
ZAD88
DUBR70
29 Nov 2023
ZAD84
DUBR56
19 Nov 2023
ZAD98
DUBR59
02 Dec 2011
ZAD101
DUBR64
06 May 2009
ZAD128
DUBR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dubrovnik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#9
W
87-71
87
71
+16
93avg 80
A03/03
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
W
74-59
74
59
+15
69avg 80
H07/03
ABA League
Skrljevo
#12
W
87-73
87
73
+14
79avg 80
A09/03
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
92-69
92
69
+23
94avg 80
H13/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
88-65
88
65
+23
82avg 80
H16/03
ABA League
Alkar
#11
W
73-65
73
65
+8
76avg 80
A17/03
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
81-89
81
89
-8
70avg 80
A22/03
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 80
H24/03
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#11
L
72-75
72
75
-3
62avg 80
H28/03
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
83-65
83
65
+18
84avg 80
A30/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
26-15
25-14
19-23
17-10
16-13
14-16
27-20
18-15
20-21
26-19
23-18
17-17
24-12
30-15
21-25
23-13
24-18
25-17
16-17
17-16
22-20
15-19
19-10
22-25
21-17
17-27
21-20
24-24
27-25
14-13
23-12
21-25
19-9
15-22
17-19
19-14
18-13
23-16
23-22
153.0Avg total
82.5Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)88.171.8159.9+16.393%
Season at home (13)91.572.1163.6+19.592%
Season away (14)84.971.5156.4+13.493%
Last 10 (10)82.570.5153.0+12.080%
Last 5 (5)79.473.6153.0+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.076.0141.0-11.033%
vs Similar (5)79.067.2146.2+11.8100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)83.571.5155.0+11.982%
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubrovnikCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrovnik
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#9
W
78-72
78
72
+6
65avg 66
H28/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
55-83
55
83
-28
41avg 66
A31/01
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
64-83
64
83
-19
46avg 66
H04/02
Premijer liga
Alkar
#11
L
57-58
57
58
-1
52avg 66
A10/02
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
W
101-87
101
87
+14
96avg 66
H03/03
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
93-72
93
72
+21
94avg 66
H09/03
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
L
70-87
70
87
-17
61avg 66
A13/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
66-55
66
55
+11
61avg 66
H17/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
61-71
61
71
-10
49avg 66
A24/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
65-80
65
80
-15
54avg 66
H29/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-21
12-13
23-20
33-18
13-19
8-23
11-24
23-17
13-16
8-21
20-25
23-21
15-18
13-13
20-10
9-17
26-29
27-19
25-17
23-22
34-16
25-17
18-15
16-24
28-25
22-17
8-29
12-16
17-12
19-13
13-16
17-14
8-21
18-15
22-23
13-12
23-20
17-21
17-26
8-13
145.8Avg total
71.0Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.077.7153.8-1.744%
Season at home (14)78.876.5155.3+2.357%
Season away (13)73.179.1152.2-6.031%
Last 10 (10)71.074.8145.8-3.840%
Last 5 (5)71.073.0144.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)68.482.0150.4-13.67%
vs Similar (8)75.872.4148.1+3.475%
vs Weaker (7)95.173.3168.4+21.9100%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
ZadarDubrovnik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#9
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A03/03
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H07/03
ABA League
Skrljevo
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A09/03
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H13/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H16/03
ABA League
Alkar
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A17/03
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A22/03
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H24/03
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#11
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H28/03
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A30/03
Premijer liga
75.3Avg total
41.2Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.435.776.1+4.773%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.133.675.7+8.587%-
Last 30 away (15)38.637.876.4+0.860%-
Last 10 (10)41.234.175.3+7.1100%-
Last 5 (5)42.037.679.6+4.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.340.774.0-7.333%-
vs Similar (5)39.429.068.4+10.4100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)41.536.578.1+5.073%-
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubrovnikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#9
L
22-34
22
34
-12
H28/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A31/01
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
21-37
21
37
-16
H04/02
Premijer liga
Alkar
#11
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A10/02
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H03/03
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
59-33
59
33
+26
H09/03
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A13/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H17/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A24/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H29/03
Premijer liga
72.5Avg total
35.6Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.378.4-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.137.978.9+3.260%-
Last 30 away (15)37.140.777.8-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)35.636.972.5-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.235.477.6+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.242.277.4-7.029%-
vs Similar (8)35.437.973.2-2.538%-
vs Weaker (7)51.934.786.6+17.1100%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.318.3
56.7%
53.6%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.2
33.6%
34.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.514.1
76.2%
73.4%14.1
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubrovniktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrovnik: 70.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.0
52.5%
53.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.88.2
27.5%
34.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws15.010.1
67.3%
73.4%10.1
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WLWLWWWWWW
Dubrovnik
LLWLWWLLLW
#1
League position
#8
+14.4
Net rating
-4.5
109.4
Offensive rating
96.6
95.0
Defensive rating
101.1
53.6%
Effective FG%
47.3%
45.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.7%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.6%
3-point %
27.5%
68.8%
Assist %
65.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 96.6Defence95.0 · 101.1Shooting53.6% · 47.3%3-point %33.6% · 27.5%Ball care16.5% · 17.7%Off. rebounds30.2% · 26.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Zadar   ■ Dubrovnik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Zadar wins
0
Dubrovnik wins
DateGameScore
04/02/24Dubrovnik v Zadar64-83
29/11/23Zadar v Dubrovnik84-56
19/11/23Zadar v Dubrovnik98-59
06/03/12Dubrovnik v Zadar56-103
02/12/11Zadar v Dubrovnik101-64
06/05/09Zadar v Dubrovnik128-74
03/05/09Dubrovnik v Zadar81-101
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24AGKK Sibenka83-65
28/03/24HFMP Beograd72-75
24/03/24HZabok88-74
22/03/24ABorac Mozzart81-89
17/03/24AAlkar73-65
16/03/24HCedevita Olimpija88-65
13/03/24HDubrava92-69
09/03/24ASkrljevo87-73
07/03/24HIgokea74-59
03/03/24ADubrava87-71
Dubrovniklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/24HSplit65-80
24/03/24ACibona61-71
17/03/24HCedevita Junior66-55
13/03/24ADinamo Zagreb70-87
09/03/24HBosco93-72
03/03/24HSkrljevo101-87
10/02/24AAlkar57-58
04/02/24HZadar64-83
31/01/24ACibona55-83
28/01/24HDubrava78-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWWW93%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %93%92%93%
Points / game88.191.584.9
Allowed / game71.872.171.5
Point differential+16.3+19.5+13.4
Avg total159.9163.6156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%77%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dubrovnik
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL44%
HomeLWWWL57%
AwayLLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %44%57%31%
Points / game76.078.873.1
Allowed / game77.776.579.1
Point differential-1.7+2.3-6.0
Avg total153.8155.3152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%36%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar2725293%88.171.8+16.3
2 Split2724389%86.871.5+15.3
3 Cibona2721678%79.873.6+6.2
4 Cedevita Junior28181064%86.580.3+6.2
5 Dinamo Zagreb27161159%84.276.8+7.4
6 Zabok27131448%82.883.8-1.0
7 Dubrovnik27121544%76.077.7-1.7
8 GKK Sibenka26101638%79.181.5-2.4
9 Dubrava2791833%79.885.4-5.6
10 Alkar2781930%75.981.6-5.6
11 Skrljevo2752219%83.093.7-10.7
12 Bosco271264%71.896.5-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar1826261888
Dubrovnik1612202270
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