PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alkar vs Dubrava Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 81-89
16-26 23-27 23-17 19-19
Position#11
Record8-18
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Dubrava 🏆
Croatia
Position#9
Record8-18
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game85.5
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 27· GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico
Other2023-24
Meetings · Alkar v Dubrava
20 Nov 2026
ALKA v DUBR
upcoming
27 Sep 2025
ALKA82
DUBR74
19 Apr 2025
ALKA85
DUBR71
04 Jan 2025
ALKA81
DUBR71
30 Mar 2024
ALKA81
DUBR89
09 Dec 2023
ALKA74
DUBR73
15 Jan 2023
ALKA76
DUBR84
30 Apr 2022
ALKA72
DUBR79
24 Oct 2021
ALKA68
DUBR78
20 Mar 2021
ALKA92
DUBR66
19 Sep 2020
ALKA94
DUBR89
09 Nov 2019
ALKA93
DUBR76
05 Feb 2011
ALKA87
DUBR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dubrava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
L
80-95
80
95
-15
74avg 70
H20/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
86-91
86
91
-5
87avg 70
H31/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
81-95
81
95
-14
72avg 70
A04/02
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
58-57
58
57
+1
52avg 70
H10/02
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
94-52
94
52
+42
98avg 70
A18/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
L
68-74
68
74
-6
59avg 70
A02/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
73-62
73
62
+11
78avg 70
H09/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
68-89
68
89
-21
64avg 70
A13/03
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
65-73
65
73
-8
59avg 70
H17/03
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
W
99-71
99
71
+28
94avg 70
A23/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
21-18
23-29
20-27
15-21
26-20
19-26
26-24
13-25
31-27
21-21
16-22
18-15
13-13
10-20
17-9
19-16
24-9
20-17
31-10
28-22
16-10
8-20
16-22
20-11
20-23
13-8
20-20
13-19
26-23
15-23
14-24
16-17
20-22
19-15
10-19
24-22
29-16
28-18
18-15
153.1Avg total
77.2Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.781.3157.0-5.531%
Season at home (13)73.078.9151.9-5.938%
Season away (13)78.583.6162.1-5.223%
Last 10 (10)77.275.9153.1+1.340%
Last 5 (5)74.673.8148.4+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)70.183.9154.0-13.77%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.479.9163.3+3.667%
vs Weaker (5)90.880.0170.8+10.860%
This opponent (Dubrava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubravaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrava
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
L
89-100
89
100
-11
79avg 72
H31/01
Premijer liga
Osijek
#8
W
87-70
87
70
+17
92avg 72
H13/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#2
L
67-80
67
80
-13
67avg 72
H16/02
Croatian Cup
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
64-83
64
83
-19
53avg 72
A20/02
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
53-71
53
71
-18
45avg 72
A27/02
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
71-87
71
87
-16
54avg 72
H03/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
68-93
68
93
-25
32avg 72
H10/03
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
69-92
69
92
-23
56avg 72
A13/03
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
W
112-111
112
111
+1
110avg 72
H18/03
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
99-82
99
82
+17
99avg 72
A23/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
25-26
14-26
31-20
20-14
22-22
24-11
21-23
14-22
20-21
15-20
18-17
18-20
25-17
3-21
18-25
11-21
16-20
15-14
11-16
19-17
15-26
14-25
23-19
14-21
15-21
16-26
23-25
17-17
12-24
15-30
25-21
22-29
34-30
20-25
36-27
23-19
29-22
16-21
31-20
164.8Avg total
77.9Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.485.5165.0-6.131%
Season at home (13)81.185.9167.0-4.838%
Season away (13)77.885.2162.9-7.423%
Last 10 (10)77.986.9164.8-9.030%
Last 5 (5)83.893.0176.8-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)71.688.8160.5-17.20%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.279.0157.2-0.838%
vs Weaker (8)92.285.0177.2+7.275%
This opponent (Alkar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -6.7-6.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.4+2.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -6.7-6.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.4+2.4
AlkarDubrava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H20/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H31/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A04/02
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H10/02
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A18/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A02/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H09/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A13/03
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H17/03
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A23/03
Premijer liga
77.8Avg total
40.8Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.881.8-1.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.437.975.4-0.536%-
Last 30 away (16)42.245.287.5-3.031%-
Last 10 (10)40.837.077.8+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.079.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.642.780.3-5.120%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.941.183.0+0.856%-
vs Weaker (5)43.439.683.0+3.840%-
This opponent (Dubrava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubravaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H31/01
Premijer liga
Osijek
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H13/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H16/02
Croatian Cup
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A20/02
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A27/02
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H03/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H10/03
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A13/03
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H18/03
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A23/03
Premijer liga
82.7Avg total
39.0Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.180.5-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.841.781.5-1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)38.940.479.3-1.436%-
Last 10 (10)39.043.782.7-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.045.285.2-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.345.680.9-10.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.835.074.8+4.875%-
vs Weaker (8)45.141.987.0+3.262%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.9
52.9%
53.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.6
32.1%
34.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.011.6
64.4%
73.4%11.6
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubravatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrava: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.6
54.3%
53.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.4
34.6%
34.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws16.010.8
67.5%
73.4%10.8
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alkar
WLLWLWWLLL
Dubrava
WWLLLLLLWL
#11
League position
#9
+1.3
Net rating
-10.0
100.2
Offensive rating
101.1
98.9
Defensive rating
111.1
51.1%
Effective FG%
53.2%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
19.1%
Turnover %
20.5%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.1%
3-point %
34.6%
72.6%
Assist %
64.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 101.1Defence98.9 · 111.1Shooting51.1% · 53.2%3-point %32.1% · 34.6%Ball care19.1% · 20.5%Off. rebounds26.3% · 22.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Alkar   ■ Dubrava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Alkar wins
3
Dubrava wins
DateGameScore
09/12/23Alkar v Dubrava74-73 OT
30/09/23Dubrava v Alkar91-100
15/01/23Alkar v Dubrava76-84
23/10/22Dubrava v Alkar72-90
30/04/22Alkar v Dubrava72-79
03/04/22Dubrava v Alkar64-88
21/01/22Dubrava v Alkar69-76
24/10/21Alkar v Dubrava68-78
20/03/21Alkar v Dubrava92-66
13/12/20Dubrava v Alkar83-98
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24ASkrljevo99-71
17/03/24HZadar65-73
13/03/24ASplit68-89
09/03/24HCibona73-62
02/03/24ADinamo Zagreb68-74
18/02/24ABosco94-52
10/02/24HDubrovnik58-57
04/02/24ACedevita Junior81-95
31/01/24HSplit86-91
20/01/24HZabok80-95
Dubravalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24ABosco99-82
18/03/24HSkrljevo112-111
13/03/24AZadar69-92
10/03/24HSplit68-93
03/03/24HZadar71-87
27/02/24ACibona53-71
20/02/24AGKK Sibenka64-83
16/02/24HCibona67-80
13/02/24HOsijek87-70
31/01/24HDinamo Zagreb89-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW31%
HomeLLWWL38%
AwayLWLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %31%38%23%
Points / game75.773.078.5
Allowed / game81.378.983.6
Point differential-5.5-5.9-5.2
Avg total157.0151.9162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%8%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %8%15%0%
Dubrava
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW31%
HomeLLLLW38%
AwayLLLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %31%38%23%
Points / game79.481.177.8
Allowed / game85.585.985.2
Point differential-6.1-4.8-7.4
Avg total165.0167.0162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%23%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar2624292%88.372.0+16.2
2 Split2724389%86.871.5+15.3
3 Cibona2620677%79.673.3+6.3
4 Cedevita Junior2718967%86.780.1+6.6
5 Dinamo Zagreb27161159%84.276.8+7.4
6 Zabok27131448%82.883.8-1.0
7 Dubrovnik27121544%76.077.7-1.7
8 GKK Sibenka25101540%79.681.4-1.8
9 Alkar2681831%75.781.3-5.5
10 Dubrava2681831%79.485.5-6.1
11 Skrljevo2752219%83.093.7-10.7
12 Bosco271264%71.896.5-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alkar1623231981
Dubrava2627171989
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.