Zadar vs Hermes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 May 2021

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 108-87

31-17 26-25 27-20 24-25

Position#1

Record28-4

FormWWWLW

Points / game85.4

Allowed / game69.6

Zadar 🏆

Hermes

Position#12

Record3-29

FormLLLLL

Points / game77.3

Allowed / game97.4

Premijer ligaRound 33

Other2020-21

Meetings · Zadar v Hermes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Hermes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zadar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormZadar

Date

Competition

Skrljevo

109-71

109

+38

no box

H31/03

Premijer liga

Borac Mozzart

#13

65-61

62avg 63

A03/04

ABA League

Sonik Puntamika

80-68

+12

no box

A06/04

Premijer liga

Gorica

73-64

no box

H08/04

Premijer liga

Cibona

75-77

-2

no box

A10/04

ABA League

Cibona

97-92

90avg 63

H14/04

ABA League

GKK Sibenka

98-83

+15

no box

H22/04

Premijer liga

Split

78-58

+20

no box

H25/04

Premijer liga

Crvena zvezda

70-90

-20

58avg 63

H26/04

ABA League

Cibona

80-78

no box

A28/04

Premijer liga

27-12

28-14

26-22

28-23

19-16

14-13

19-13

13-19

28-18

18-19

21-15

13-16

20-12

17-19

21-17

15-16

23-17

13-16

29-20

10-24

24-21

33-20

13-21

27-30

21-21

28-26

22-15

27-21

22-19

13-8

26-15

17-16

18-36

17-18

16-14

19-22

19-28

19-18

17-13

25-19

156.7Avg total

82.5Scored

74.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	85.4	69.6	154.9	+15.8	88%
Season at home (16)	88.4	67.5	155.9	+20.9	94%
Season away (16)	82.4	71.6	154.0	+10.8	81%
Last 10 (10)	82.5	74.2	156.7	+8.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	80.2	164.8	+4.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	72.1	85.0	157.1	-12.9	25%
vs Similar (9)	78.2	75.3	153.6	+2.9	78%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	82.8	66.5	149.3	+16.4	85%

This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Hermes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormHermes

Date

Competition

Skrljevo

57-83

-26

no box

A06/03

Premijer liga

Dubrava

#11

74-89

-15

no box

H14/03

Premijer liga

Sonik Puntamika

74-98

-24

no box

A20/03

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

73-93

-20

no box

H24/03

Premijer liga

Gorica

65-97

-32

no box

A29/03

Premijer liga

Osijek

94-101

101

-7

no box

H30/03

Premijer liga

Cibona

76-111

111

-35

no box

A05/04

Premijer liga

Split

88-121

121

-33

no box

A08/04

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenka

96-103

103

-7

no box

H11/04

Premijer liga

Zabok

88-103

103

-15

no box

H25/04

Premijer liga

16-19

15-20

18-16

8-28

12-16

23-21

18-20

21-32

12-28

19-27

29-20

14-23

11-25

18-29

18-25

26-14

16-27

15-17

17-28

17-25

18-25

26-14

24-24

26-38

21-33

11-32

23-20

21-26

21-29

27-22

17-34

23-36

22-26

23-18

30-28

21-31

24-25

20-18

16-32

28-28

178.4Avg total

78.5Scored

99.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	77.3	97.4	174.8	-20.1	9%
Season at home (15)	82.0	96.1	178.1	-14.1	13%
Season away (17)	73.2	98.6	171.8	-25.4	6%
Last 10 (10)	78.5	99.9	178.4	-21.4	0%
Last 5 (5)	88.4	107.8	196.2	-19.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	77.7	98.0	175.6	-20.3	11%
vs Similar (1)	89.0	116.0	205.0	-27.0	0%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ZadarHermes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.6	18.5	39.1	+2.1	66%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	18.9	39.2	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	18.1	39.0	+2.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.0	42.1	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	25.0	45.8	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.8	21.9	38.6	-5.1	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.1	17.3	38.4	+3.8	89%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.8	17.1	39.9	+5.8	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	23.8	43.1	-4.5	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	22.4	41.8	-2.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	25.1	44.3	-5.9	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	25.3	42.6	-8.0	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	27.6	48.8	-6.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	19.1	23.7	42.8	-4.6	21%	-
vs Similar (1)	20.0	30.0	50.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.9	18.3	37.3	+0.6	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	18.2	37.6	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	17.1	37.1	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.0	40.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.0	18.8	35.8	-1.8	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.1	17.3	36.4	+1.8	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	23.3	42.0	-4.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	22.4	41.6	-3.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	24.2	42.4	-6.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.8	41.5	-2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	18.1	23.5	41.6	-5.4	32%	-
vs Similar (1)	26.0	23.0	49.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Skrljevo

55-26

+29

H31/03

Premijer liga

Borac Mozzart

#13

33-29

A03/04

ABA League

Sonik Puntamika

46-37

A06/04

Premijer liga

Gorica

37-31

H08/04

Premijer liga

Cibona

36-33

A10/04

ABA League

Cibona

57-41

+16

H14/04

ABA League

GKK Sibenka

49-47

H22/04

Premijer liga

Split

35-27

H25/04

Premijer liga

Crvena zvezda

35-54

-19

H26/04

ABA League

Cibona

38-46

-8

A28/04

Premijer liga

79.2Avg total

42.1Scored

37.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.6	36.8	76.4	+2.7	72%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.6	37.1	76.8	+2.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	36.5	76.0	+2.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	37.1	79.2	+5.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	43.0	85.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	33.8	40.6	74.4	-6.9	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.2	34.7	74.9	+5.6	89%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	42.9	35.9	78.8	+7.0	83%	-

This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Skrljevo

31-39

-8

A06/03

Premijer liga

Dubrava

#11

35-37

-2

H14/03

Premijer liga

Sonik Puntamika

31-55

-24

A20/03

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

29-54

-25

H24/03

Premijer liga

Gorica

31-44

-13

A29/03

Premijer liga

Osijek

44-39

H30/03

Premijer liga

Cibona

32-65

-33

A05/04

Premijer liga

Split

48-51

-3

A08/04

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenka

45-44

H11/04

Premijer liga

Zabok

44-43

H25/04

Premijer liga

84.1Avg total

37.0Scored

47.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	47.2	85.1	-9.2	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	44.7	83.4	-6.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	49.3	86.7	-11.9	6%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	47.1	84.1	-10.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	48.4	91.0	-5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	37.2	47.2	84.4	-10.0	18%	-
vs Similar (1)	46.0	53.0	99.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.4	17.6	38.0	+2.8	76%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	17.2	37.6	+3.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	17.9	38.4	+2.5	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	16.5	37.5	+4.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	15.6	34.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.9	19.2	36.1	-2.4	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.7	17.0	36.7	+2.7	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	23.3	16.9	40.2	+6.4	92%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	24.2	43.8	-4.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	24.6	44.5	-4.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	23.8	43.2	-4.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	24.7	45.7	-3.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	27.6	49.6	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	19.0	24.1	43.1	-5.1	32%	-
vs Similar (1)	24.0	31.0	55.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.2	21.8	42.0	-1.6	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	22.7	43.6	-1.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.6	44.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.9	23.8	43.6	-3.9	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.3	23.7	42.0	-5.3	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	21.8	19.2	41.0	+2.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	25.7	46.4	-4.9	17%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	25.1	47.4	-2.9	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	26.1	45.6	-6.6	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	28.1	48.6	-7.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	31.8	55.6	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	20.4	25.8	46.2	-5.4	14%	-
vs Similar (1)	19.0	32.0	51.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.6	39.4	80.0	+1.2	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.2	39.9	81.1	+1.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.1	38.9	79.0	+1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	37.1	77.5	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	37.2	79.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.8	43.0	79.8	-6.2	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	38.0	40.7	78.7	-2.7	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	45.2	36.1	81.2	+9.1	92%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	49.8	90.3	-9.4	13%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.1	49.7	91.9	-7.6	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.9	49.9	88.9	-11.0	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	52.8	94.3	-11.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	59.4	105.2	-13.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	39.4	49.9	89.3	-10.4	11%	-
vs Similar (1)	43.0	63.0	106.0	-20.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 69.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	18.6	49.7%	53.6%	37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	16.8	6.0	35.7%	34.2%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	20.4	14.1	69.1%	74.0%	14.1

They take 54.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.3	17.6	52.9%	53.6%	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	10.7	39.2%	34.2%	32.1
🏀 Free throws	15.4	12.1	78.6%	74.0%	12.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	18.3	50.8%	53.6%	36.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.5	6.6	33.8%	34.2%	19.8
🏀 Free throws	22.6	16.4	72.7%	74.0%	16.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.1	17.6	51.5%	53.6%	35.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	10.2	38.1%	34.2%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	18.2	13.6	74.7%	74.0%	13.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Zadar wins

Hermes wins

Date	Game	Score
25/01/21	Hermes v Zadar	84-101
30/10/20	Zadar v Hermes	94-73
09/02/20	Hermes v Zadar	88-106
15/11/19	Zadar v Hermes	114-69
29/03/19	Zadar v Hermes	118-83
23/11/18	Hermes v Zadar	95-79
05/04/18	Zadar v Hermes	83-74
10/12/17	Hermes v Zadar	63-87
04/03/17	Hermes v Zadar	73-96
10/11/16	Zadar v Hermes	92-76

Zadarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/04/21	A	Cibona	80-78
26/04/21	H	Crvena zvezda	70-90
25/04/21	H	Split	78-58
22/04/21	H	GKK Sibenka	98-83
14/04/21	H	Cibona	97-92
10/04/21	A	Cibona	75-77
08/04/21	H	Gorica	73-64
06/04/21	A	Sonik Puntamika	80-68
03/04/21	A	Borac Mozzart	65-61
31/03/21	H	Skrljevo	109-71

Hermeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/04/21	H	Zabok	88-103
11/04/21	H	GKK Sibenka	96-103
08/04/21	A	Split	88-121
05/04/21	A	Cibona	76-111
30/03/21	H	Osijek	94-101
29/03/21	A	Gorica	65-97
24/03/21	H	Alkar	73-93
20/03/21	A	Sonik Puntamika	74-98
14/03/21	H	Dubrava	74-89
06/03/21	A	Skrljevo	57-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar

Premijer liga 2020-21

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	88%
Home	WWWWW	94%
Away	WWWWW	81%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	88%	94%	81%
Points / game	85.4	88.4	82.4
Allowed / game	69.6	67.5	71.6
Point differential	+15.8	+20.9	+10.8
Avg total	154.9	155.9	154.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	66%	69%	62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	67% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Hermes

Premijer liga 2020-21

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	9%
Home	LLLLL	13%
Away	LLLLL	6%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	15	17
Win %	9%	13%	6%
Points / game	77.3	82.0	73.2
Allowed / game	97.4	96.1	98.6
Point differential	-20.1	-14.1	-25.4
Avg total	174.8	178.1	171.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	3%	0%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zadar	32	28	4	88%	85.4	69.6	+15.8
2	Cibona	33	26	7	79%	90.2	73.5	+16.7
3	Split	32	25	7	78%	89.4	77.9	+11.5
4	Gorica	31	23	8	74%	88.5	75.9	+12.6
5	Skrljevo	33	18	15	55%	80.4	82.2	-1.8
6	Sonik Puntamika	32	17	15	53%	79.2	83.6	-4.4
7	Zabok	33	15	18	45%	77.6	80.7	-3.1
8	GKK Sibenka	32	13	19	41%	84.2	89.0	-4.8
9	Osijek	33	10	23	30%	82.1	87.8	-5.8
10	Alkar	32	9	23	28%	78.8	84.5	-5.7
11	Dubrava	33	7	26	21%	80.5	91.0	-10.5
12	Hermes	32	3	29	9%	77.3	97.4	-20.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Zadar	31	26	27	24	108
Hermes	17	25	20	25	87

← all games of the day

Zadar vs Hermes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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