Zadar vs Hermes Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Apr 2018

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 83-74

24-22 19-20 23-22 17-10

Position#2

Record18-1

FormWWLWW

Points / game94.1

Allowed / game75.1

Zadar 🏆

Hermes

Position#9

Record6-13

FormLLLLW

Points / game73.5

Allowed / game81.8

Premijer ligaRound 22

Other2017-18

Meetings · Zadar v Hermes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Hermes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zadar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zabok

83-81

H08/02

Premijer liga

Crvena zvezda

67-97

-30

A12/02

ABA League

Sonik Puntamika

104-61

104

+43

H15/02

Croatian Cup

Cibona

61-73

-12

H16/02

Croatian Cup

Skrljevo

99-82

+17

A03/03

Premijer liga

Mega Bemax

95-91

H05/03

ABA League

Jazine

#11

116-94

116

+22

H09/03

Premijer liga

Petrol Olimpija

85-90

-5

A11/03

ABA League

Split

120-88

120

+32

A18/03

Premijer liga

Cibona

98-80

+18

A29/03

Premijer liga

23-20

17-19

22-14

21-28

19-22

17-25

14-28

17-22

32-16

25-12

29-19

18-14

16-18

14-22

13-16

18-17

24-20

26-17

32-17

17-28

19-21

31-22

19-30

26-18

30-20

28-27

32-19

26-28

27-21

14-18

19-17

25-34

30-24

31-20

27-15

32-29

18-21

25-13

34-26

21-20

176.5Avg total

92.8Scored

83.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	94.1	75.1	169.2	+19.0	95%
Season at home (9)	92.6	77.8	170.3	+14.8	100%
Season away (10)	95.5	72.7	168.2	+22.8	90%
Last 10 (10)	92.8	83.7	176.5	+9.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	102.8	88.6	191.4	+14.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	80.5	89.0	169.5	-8.5	25%
vs Similar (9)	85.8	84.4	170.2	+1.3	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	94.7	72.6	167.3	+22.1	94%

This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Hermes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Skrljevo

#12

63-78

-15

A07/01

Croatian Cup

Zagreb

#12

95-87

A14/01

Premijer liga

Zabok

65-74

-9

H19/01

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

77-84

-7

H25/01

Premijer liga

Jazine

#11

72-81

-9

A04/02

Premijer liga

Split

85-94

-9

H15/02

Premijer liga

Cibona

83-109

109

-26

H07/03

Premijer liga

Kastela

#13

73-83

-10

H17/03

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

63-93

-30

A24/03

Premijer liga

Osijek

82-76

H30/03

Premijer liga

14-21

14-19

16-21

19-17

23-31

28-9

19-18

25-29

11-18

18-20

18-22

18-14

22-22

19-19

13-25

23-18

16-21

17-13

19-19

20-28

23-20

16-22

22-29

24-23

14-25

24-27

24-20

21-37

21-18

16-25

17-23

19-17

18-20

8-27

19-28

18-18

24-20

15-18

23-19

20-19

161.7Avg total

75.8Scored

85.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	73.5	81.8	155.3	-8.3	32%
Season at home (10)	73.1	83.9	157.0	-10.8	20%
Season away (9)	74.0	79.4	153.4	-5.4	44%
Last 10 (10)	75.8	85.9	161.7	-10.1	20%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	91.0	168.2	-13.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	72.2	88.4	160.6	-16.2	6%
vs Similar (6)	81.5	74.0	155.5	+7.5	83%
vs Weaker (5)	78.8	79.2	158.0	-0.4	60%

This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ZadarHermes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	19.8	42.8	+3.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	19.3	42.1	+3.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.1	20.4	43.5	+2.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	20.3	44.1	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	21.4	46.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.4	21.0	43.4	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.9	19.4	43.3	+4.6	82%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	20.9	38.6	-3.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.1	20.3	37.3	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	21.5	39.8	-3.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	21.6	40.2	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.6	40.6	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	17.1	20.7	37.8	-3.6	28%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.8	19.8	38.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.2	22.6	41.8	-3.4	20%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	18.2	40.7	+4.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	18.5	40.6	+3.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.9	17.9	40.7	+5.0	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	19.5	42.3	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	20.0	45.8	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.0	19.7	40.7	+1.3	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.5	17.0	40.5	+6.5	82%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.5	39.5	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	19.4	38.3	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	19.9	37.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	23.8	39.6	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.7	22.8	41.5	-4.1	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.8	18.2	37.0	+0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.4	15.4	36.8	+6.0	80%	-

ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zabok

40-39

H08/02

Premijer liga

Crvena zvezda

36-47

-11

A12/02

ABA League

Sonik Puntamika

57-28

+29

H15/02

Croatian Cup

Cibona

30-40

-10

H16/02

Croatian Cup

Skrljevo

50-37

+13

A03/03

Premijer liga

Mega Bemax

50-43

H05/03

ABA League

Jazine

#11

58-47

+11

H09/03

Premijer liga

Petrol Olimpija

41-39

A11/03

ABA League

Split

61-44

+17

A18/03

Premijer liga

Cibona

43-34

A29/03

Premijer liga

86.4Avg total

46.6Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.4	38.0	83.4	+7.4	83%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.9	37.8	82.8	+7.1	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.9	38.3	84.2	+7.6	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.6	39.8	86.4	+6.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.6	41.4	92.0	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	41.0	39.2	80.2	+1.8	75%	-
vs Similar (9)	43.4	40.7	84.1	+2.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	47.5	36.4	83.8	+11.1	94%	-

This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Skrljevo

#12

28-40

-12

A07/01

Croatian Cup

Zagreb

#12

51-40

+11

A14/01

Premijer liga

Zabok

29-38

-9

H19/01

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

41-41

H25/01

Premijer liga

Jazine

#11

33-34

-1

A04/02

Premijer liga

Split

39-42

-3

H15/02

Premijer liga

Cibona

38-52

-14

H07/03

Premijer liga

Kastela

#13

37-43

-6

H17/03

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

26-47

-21

A24/03

Premijer liga

Osijek

39-38

H30/03

Premijer liga

77.6Avg total

36.1Scored

41.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	41.4	78.1	-4.6	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.3	41.9	78.1	-5.6	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.2	40.9	78.1	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	41.5	77.6	-5.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	44.4	80.2	-8.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	35.8	43.5	79.3	-7.7	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	37.7	38.0	75.7	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	40.6	38.0	78.6	+2.6	40%	-

This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.7	41.4	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	19.5	39.7	+0.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.3	20.0	43.3	+3.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	20.1	44.2	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	21.4	47.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.2	28.0	44.2	-11.8	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.4	22.3	42.8	-1.9	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.5	16.4	39.9	+7.1	82%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.7	39.1	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	19.3	38.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	22.1	40.1	-4.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	22.4	41.4	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.8	44.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	17.1	22.7	39.7	-5.6	22%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.3	15.5	38.8	+7.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.0	19.6	37.6	-1.6	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.1	42.7	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	19.5	41.1	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.9	20.7	44.6	+3.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	23.8	45.9	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	25.8	51.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	75%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.9	21.4	43.3	+0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.7	19.8	43.5	+3.9	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.6	41.3	-1.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	22.3	42.7	-1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	20.9	39.9	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	22.0	42.7	-1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.8	43.2	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.3	22.2	41.6	-2.9	44%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.5	20.5	41.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.2	21.6	41.8	-1.4	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.3	39.8	84.1	+4.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.8	39.0	80.8	+2.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	47.1	40.7	87.9	+6.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.2	43.9	90.1	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.2	47.2	99.4	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	36.0	46.0	82.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.3	43.8	86.1	-1.4	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	47.2	36.2	83.5	+11.0	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	42.3	80.4	-4.1	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.2	41.6	80.8	-2.4	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	42.9	80.0	-5.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	44.4	84.1	-4.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	46.6	88.0	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	36.4	44.9	81.3	-8.5	6%	-
vs Similar (6)	43.8	36.0	79.8	+7.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	38.2	41.2	79.4	-3.0	20%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 84.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.3	21.5	52.1%	53.3%	43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	8.7	34.9%	34.1%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	19.9	14.9	74.9%	74.0%	14.9

They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.2	21.6	51.2%	53.3%	43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.5	8.1	34.5%	34.1%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	24.2	17.2	71.1%	74.0%	17.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.5	20.9	50.4%	53.3%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.9	7.9	33.2%	34.1%	23.8
🏀 Free throws	20.8	15.2	73.2%	74.0%	15.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	20.2	51.9%	53.3%	40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	9.1	36.8%	34.1%	27.2
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.2%	74.0%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Zadar wins

Hermes wins

Date	Game	Score
10/12/17	Hermes v Zadar	63-87
04/03/17	Hermes v Zadar	73-96
10/11/16	Zadar v Hermes	92-76

Zadarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/03/18	A	Cibona	98-80
18/03/18	A	Split	120-88
11/03/18	A	Petrol Olimpija	85-90
09/03/18	H	Jazine	116-94
05/03/18	H	Mega Bemax	95-91
03/03/18	A	Skrljevo	99-82
16/02/18	H	Cibona	61-73
15/02/18	H	Sonik Puntamika	104-61
12/02/18	A	Crvena zvezda	67-97
08/02/18	H	Zabok	83-81

Hermeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/03/18	H	Osijek	82-76
24/03/18	A	GKK Sibenik	63-93
17/03/18	H	Kastela	73-83
07/03/18	H	Cibona	83-109
15/02/18	H	Split	85-94
04/02/18	A	Jazine	72-81
25/01/18	H	Skrljevo	77-84
19/01/18	H	Zabok	65-74
14/01/18	A	Zagreb	95-87
07/01/18	A	Skrljevo	63-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar

Premijer liga 2017-18

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	95%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	90%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	95%	100%	90%
Points / game	94.1	92.6	95.5
Allowed / game	75.1	77.8	72.7
Point differential	+19.0	+14.8	+22.8
Avg total	169.2	170.3	168.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	79%	67%	90%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Hermes

Premijer liga 2017-18

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	32%
Home	LLLLW	20%
Away	WLWLL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	32%	20%	44%
Points / game	73.5	73.1	74.0
Allowed / game	81.8	83.9	79.4
Point differential	-8.3	-10.8	-5.4
Avg total	155.3	157.0	153.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Cedevita	20	19	1	95%	91.6	67.8	+23.8
2	Zadar	19	18	1	95%	94.1	75.1	+19.0
3	Cibona	19	14	5	74%	90.1	74.8	+15.3
4	GKK Sibenik	19	14	5	74%	79.1	72.6	+6.5
5	Skrljevo	20	12	8	60%	83.4	81.2	+2.1
6	Split	19	11	8	58%	84.8	80.2	+4.6
7	Zabok	20	10	10	50%	78.6	76.6	+2.0
8	Osijek	19	6	13	32%	74.2	81.2	-6.9
9	Hermes	19	6	13	32%	73.5	81.8	-8.3
10	Alkar	19	5	14	26%	69.5	80.4	-10.9
11	Jazine	20	4	16	20%	74.4	87.5	-13.2
12	Zagreb	20	4	16	20%	80.5	96.5	-15.9
13	Kastela	19	3	16	16%	69.7	87.7	-18.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Zadar	24	19	23	17	83
Hermes	22	20	22	10	74

← all games of the day

Zadar vs Hermes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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