Zadar vs Hermes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Nov 2019

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 114-69

32-14 26-15 26-21 30-19

Position#1

Record6-1

FormWWWWW

Points / game98.1

Allowed / game78.9

Zadar 🏆

Hermes

Position#12

Record1-6

FormLLWLL

Points / game69.9

Allowed / game83.7

Premijer ligaRound 8

Other2019-20

Meetings · Zadar v Hermes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Hermes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zadar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cedevita

85-83

H11/05

Premijer liga

Cedevita

84-78

A15/05

Premijer liga

Cedevita

71-72

-1

H18/05

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

#10

104-74

104

+30

H29/09

Premijer liga

Cibona

71-90

-19

A09/10

Premijer liga

Osijek

114-72

114

+42

H11/10

Premijer liga

Dubrava

#11

121-82

121

+39

H21/10

Premijer liga

Split

80-67

+13

A27/10

Premijer liga

Alkar

116-93

116

+23

H31/10

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenka

81-74

A11/11

Premijer liga

25-19

24-16

24-21

12-27

24-18

20-24

18-17

22-19

20-13

17-17

18-23

16-19

31-17

29-22

19-17

25-18

26-26

18-21

17-29

10-14

28-16

26-23

28-14

32-19

24-27

39-19

28-19

30-17

20-18

18-21

14-17

28-11

28-21

23-20

29-27

36-25

21-24

22-14

26-21

12-15

171.2Avg total

92.7Scored

78.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	98.1	78.9	177.0	+19.3	86%
Season at home (4)	113.8	80.2	194.0	+33.5	100%
Season away (3)	77.3	77.0	154.3	+0.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	92.7	78.5	171.2	+14.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	102.4	77.6	180.0	+24.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	74.8	82.3	157.2	-7.5	33%
vs Similar (9)	78.8	84.0	162.8	-5.2	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	92.7	75.0	167.7	+17.7	87%

This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Hermes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Osijek

97-103

103

-6

H20/04

Premijer liga

Dubrava

#13

85-82

H25/04

Premijer liga

Dubrava

#13

83-72

+11

A28/04

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenka

62-75

-13

A28/09

Premijer liga

Osijek

71-72

-1

A05/10

Premijer liga

Sonik Puntamika

77-88

-11

H12/10

Premijer liga

Gorica

66-85

-19

A19/10

Premijer liga

Zabok

80-78

H26/10

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

#10

63-77

-14

A03/11

Premijer liga

Cibona

70-111

111

-41

H05/11

Premijer liga

27-28

26-22

24-19

20-34

29-14

26-19

16-24

14-25

21-20

17-17

22-18

23-17

16-20

14-11

17-22

15-22

19-12

12-19

18-18

22-23

22-22

22-23

18-20

15-23

20-20

15-21

19-25

12-19

15-24

20-19

21-20

24-15

16-33

20-14

13-14

14-16

17-20

13-32

19-38

21-21

159.7Avg total

75.4Scored

84.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	69.9	83.7	153.6	-13.9	14%
Season at home (3)	75.7	92.3	168.0	-16.7	33%
Season away (4)	65.5	77.2	142.8	-11.8	0%
Last 10 (10)	75.4	84.3	159.7	-8.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	71.2	87.8	159.0	-16.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	81.1	93.1	174.2	-12.0	27%
vs Similar (4)	85.5	84.0	169.5	+1.5	50%
vs Weaker (3)	90.3	86.7	177.0	+3.7	67%

This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ZadarHermes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.8	41.1	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.7	19.4	42.1	+3.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	20.4	40.1	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	19.9	44.6	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	21.2	45.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.0	22.8	43.8	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.1	20.6	39.7	-1.4	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	22.7	18.2	40.9	+4.5	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.1	23.2	44.3	-2.1	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	23.6	46.0	-1.3	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	22.8	42.7	-2.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.3	41.5	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	23.8	41.8	-5.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	20.0	23.5	43.5	-3.6	36%	-
vs Similar (4)	23.8	20.8	44.5	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	26.0	24.0	50.0	+2.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.5	42.8	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.4	21.2	45.6	+3.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	21.8	39.6	-3.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	19.7	43.3	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	19.4	45.0	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.3	22.7	40.0	-5.3	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.0	21.3	41.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	23.7	21.1	44.8	+2.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	23.0	43.0	-3.0	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	24.2	46.6	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	21.8	39.5	-4.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.7	38.2	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.8	39.8	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	19.5	24.0	43.5	-4.4	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.0	18.2	40.2	+3.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.7	22.0	42.7	-1.3	33%	-

ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cedevita

49-35

+14

H11/05

Premijer liga

Cedevita

44-42

A15/05

Premijer liga

Cedevita

37-30

H18/05

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

#10

60-39

+21

H29/09

Premijer liga

Cibona

44-47

-3

A09/10

Premijer liga

Osijek

54-39

+15

H11/10

Premijer liga

Dubrava

#11

63-46

+17

H21/10

Premijer liga

Split

38-39

-1

A27/10

Premijer liga

Alkar

51-41

+10

H31/10

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenka

43-38

A11/11

Premijer liga

87.9Avg total

48.3Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	41.3	83.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	47.1	40.6	87.6	+6.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.6	42.1	79.7	-4.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.3	39.6	87.9	+8.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.8	40.6	90.4	+9.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.3	45.5	83.8	-7.2	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.1	41.9	81.0	-2.8	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	46.5	39.3	85.7	+7.2	67%	-

This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Osijek

53-50

H20/04

Premijer liga

Dubrava

#13

55-33

+22

H25/04

Premijer liga

Dubrava

#13

38-37

A28/04

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenka

30-31

-1

A28/09

Premijer liga

Osijek

31-31

A05/10

Premijer liga

Sonik Puntamika

44-45

-1

H12/10

Premijer liga

Gorica

35-41

-6

A19/10

Premijer liga

Zabok

35-43

-8

H26/10

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

#10

36-47

-11

A03/11

Premijer liga

Cibona

30-52

-22

H05/11

Premijer liga

79.7Avg total

38.7Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.1	46.2	87.3	-5.1	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.8	47.9	92.6	-3.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	44.6	82.3	-6.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	41.0	79.7	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	45.6	81.6	-9.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	39.5	47.5	87.0	-8.0	14%	-
vs Similar (4)	45.8	39.0	84.8	+6.8	100%	-
vs Weaker (3)	46.7	46.0	92.7	+0.7	67%	-

This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	19.9	41.6	+1.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+0.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.5	42.6	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	19.6	44.6	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.5	22.2	42.7	-1.7	67%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.3	18.7	38.0	+0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.5	18.6	40.1	+2.9	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.2	22.5	42.7	-2.3	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	22.4	43.9	-0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	22.6	41.5	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.8	40.5	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	23.4	41.4	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	20.0	23.3	43.2	-3.3	36%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.5	21.2	41.8	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.3	18.7	40.0	+2.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	18.1	39.6	+3.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	18.4	40.5	+3.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	17.7	38.5	+3.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	18.4	40.7	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.6	17.4	45.0	+10.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.0	14.7	30.7	+1.3	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.8	22.0	41.8	-2.2	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	24.7	17.1	41.8	+7.5	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.3	22.1	43.3	-0.8	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	22.5	43.7	-1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	21.5	39.5	-3.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	18.8	36.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	21.5	21.8	43.3	-0.3	45%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.2	23.8	43.0	-4.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	22.0	44.3	+0.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	37.4	79.6	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.7	38.4	82.1	+5.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.4	36.4	76.7	+4.0	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.4	38.9	83.3	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.6	37.0	89.6	+15.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.5	36.8	73.3	-0.3	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.1	40.7	79.8	-1.6	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	46.2	35.7	81.9	+10.5	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.4	44.6	86.0	-3.1	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.9	44.0	86.9	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.1	45.1	85.2	-5.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	43.3	80.0	-6.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	42.2	77.4	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	41.5	45.0	86.5	-3.6	36%	-
vs Similar (4)	39.8	45.0	84.8	-5.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.7	40.7	84.3	+3.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 78.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀23%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 23% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	18.5	48.3%	53.3%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.7	7.7	33.9%	34.1%	23.1
🏀 Free throws	22.8	17.9	78.5%	74.0%	17.9

They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	20.3	55.2%	53.3%	40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.1	9.0	34.5%	34.1%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	22.7	16.4	72.2%	74.0%	16.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.6	21.9	53.9%	53.3%	43.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.5	7.8	33.1%	34.1%	23.3
🏀 Free throws	20.3	15.9	78.6%	74.0%	15.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.1	20.3	53.4%	53.3%	40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.1	9.2	35.4%	34.1%	27.7
🏀 Free throws	23.9	17.3	72.4%	74.0%	17.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Zadar wins

Hermes wins

Date	Game	Score
29/03/19	Zadar v Hermes	118-83
23/11/18	Hermes v Zadar	95-79
05/04/18	Zadar v Hermes	83-74
10/12/17	Hermes v Zadar	63-87
04/03/17	Hermes v Zadar	73-96
10/11/16	Zadar v Hermes	92-76

Zadarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/19	A	GKK Sibenka	81-74
31/10/19	H	Alkar	116-93
27/10/19	A	Split	80-67
21/10/19	H	Dubrava	121-82
11/10/19	H	Osijek	114-72
09/10/19	A	Cibona	71-90
29/09/19	H	Skrljevo	104-74
18/05/19	H	Cedevita	71-72
15/05/19	A	Cedevita	84-78
11/05/19	H	Cedevita	85-83

Hermeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/11/19	H	Cibona	70-111
03/11/19	A	Skrljevo	63-77
26/10/19	H	Zabok	80-78
19/10/19	A	Gorica	66-85
12/10/19	H	Sonik Puntamika	77-88
05/10/19	A	Osijek	71-72
28/09/19	A	GKK Sibenka	62-75
28/04/19	A	Dubrava	83-72
25/04/19	H	Dubrava	85-82
20/04/19	H	Osijek	97-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar

Premijer liga 2019-20

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	86%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	LWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	86%	100%	67%
Points / game	98.1	113.8	77.3
Allowed / game	78.9	80.2	77.0
Point differential	+19.3	+33.5	+0.3
Avg total	177.0	194.0	154.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	71%	100%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Hermes

Premijer liga 2019-20

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	14%
Home	LWL	33%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	14%	33%	0%
Points / game	69.9	75.7	65.5
Allowed / game	83.7	92.3	77.2
Point differential	-13.9	-16.7	-11.8
Avg total	153.6	168.0	142.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Cibona	8	8	0	100%	102.8	74.8	+28.0
2	Zadar	7	6	1	86%	98.1	78.9	+19.3
3	Gorica	7	6	1	86%	82.9	70.6	+12.3
4	Split	7	4	3	57%	80.1	78.7	+1.4
5	GKK Sibenka	7	4	3	57%	75.0	76.9	-1.9
6	Alkar	7	3	4	43%	84.7	90.0	-5.3
7	Osijek	7	3	4	43%	86.7	94.9	-8.1
8	Sonik Puntamika	8	3	5	38%	77.8	84.5	-6.8
9	Zabok	7	2	5	29%	80.3	82.3	-2.0
10	Skrljevo	7	2	5	29%	75.1	82.6	-7.4
11	Hermes	7	1	6	14%	69.9	83.7	-13.9
12	Dubrava	7	1	6	14%	80.6	99.3	-18.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Zadar	32	26	26	30	114
Hermes	14	15	21	19	69

← all games of the day

Zadar vs Hermes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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