Zadar vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Apr 2018

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 105-56

20-11 28-14 31-18 26-13

Position#2

Record21-1

FormWWWWW

Points / game93.5

Allowed / game75.1

Zadar 🏆

Kastela

Position#13

Record4-18

FormLLLLW

Points / game71.0

Allowed / game86.6

Premijer ligaRound 25

Other2017-18

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kastela winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zadar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cibona

61-73

-12

H16/02

Croatian Cup

Skrljevo

99-82

+17

A03/03

Premijer liga

Mega Bemax

95-91

H05/03

ABA League

Jazine

#11

116-94

116

+22

H09/03

Premijer liga

Petrol Olimpija

85-90

-5

A11/03

ABA League

Split

120-88

120

+32

A18/03

Premijer liga

Cibona

98-80

+18

A29/03

Premijer liga

Hermes

83-74

H05/04

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

92-72

+20

A14/04

Premijer liga

Osijek

95-79

+16

H18/04

Premijer liga

16-18

14-22

13-16

18-17

24-20

26-17

32-17

17-28

19-21

31-22

19-30

26-18

30-20

28-27

32-19

26-28

27-21

14-18

19-17

25-34

30-24

31-20

27-15

32-29

18-21

25-13

34-26

21-20

24-22

19-20

23-22

17-10

20-15

24-17

22-25

26-15

17-15

29-21

27-20

22-23

176.7Avg total

94.4Scored

82.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	93.5	75.1	168.6	+18.5	95%
Season at home (11)	91.9	77.5	169.5	+14.4	100%
Season away (11)	95.2	72.6	167.8	+22.5	91%
Last 10 (10)	94.4	82.3	176.7	+12.1	80%
Last 5 (5)	97.6	78.6	176.2	+19.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	82.0	89.3	171.3	-7.3	33%
vs Similar (8)	87.4	86.1	173.5	+1.2	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	94.9	73.3	168.3	+21.6	95%

This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kastela

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alkar

#10

73-64

H27/01

Premijer liga

Cibona

49-109

109

-60

A25/02

Premijer liga

Cedevita

56-89

-33

H28/02

Premijer liga

Zagreb

#12

91-64

+27

H10/03

Premijer liga

Hermes

83-73

+10

A17/03

Premijer liga

Zabok

63-82

-19

H24/03

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

57-74

-17

A31/03

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

73-81

-8

H07/04

Premijer liga

Osijek

67-87

-20

A14/04

Premijer liga

Jazine

#11

99-71

+28

H18/04

Premijer liga

23-10

16-20

16-28

18-6

8-26

14-17

14-34

13-32

10-16

15-11

16-29

15-33

29-15

23-14

21-16

18-19

18-21

25-16

23-17

17-19

19-20

13-22

16-24

15-16

17-23

13-18

15-14

12-19

10-19

29-22

17-25

17-15

14-25

16-16

22-28

15-18

23-10

19-20

26-22

31-19

150.5Avg total

71.1Scored

79.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	71.0	86.6	157.7	-15.6	18%
Season at home (11)	73.6	80.7	154.4	-7.1	27%
Season away (11)	68.5	92.5	161.0	-24.1	9%
Last 10 (10)	71.1	79.4	150.5	-8.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	71.8	79.0	150.8	-7.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	70.7	86.7	157.4	-16.0	17%
vs Similar (4)	86.5	81.8	168.2	+4.8	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ZadarKastela

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	19.6	42.3	+3.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.7	19.2	41.9	+3.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.8	20.0	42.8	+2.8	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	19.7	42.2	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	19.3	38.0	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.2	21.0	43.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	23.6	19.1	42.6	+4.5	84%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	21.6	38.6	-4.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	18.5	37.6	+0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	14.7	25.1	39.8	-10.4	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	18.5	35.6	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	19.4	36.0	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	16.2	21.8	38.0	-5.6	21%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	18.2	40.9	+4.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	18.3	40.7	+4.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.1	18.1	41.1	+5.0	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	19.7	43.8	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	18.2	43.8	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	67%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	23.7	17.2	40.8	+6.5	79%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.2	39.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	20.4	39.7	-1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	19.9	39.2	-0.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	17.6	35.9	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.6	37.6	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	42%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cibona

30-40

-10

H16/02

Croatian Cup

Skrljevo

50-37

+13

A03/03

Premijer liga

Mega Bemax

50-43

H05/03

ABA League

Jazine

#11

58-47

+11

H09/03

Premijer liga

Petrol Olimpija

41-39

A11/03

ABA League

Split

61-44

+17

A18/03

Premijer liga

Cibona

43-34

A29/03

Premijer liga

Hermes

43-42

H05/04

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

44-32

+12

A14/04

Premijer liga

Osijek

46-36

+10

H18/04

Premijer liga

86.0Avg total

46.6Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.4	37.8	83.2	+7.6	83%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.1	37.6	82.6	+7.5	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.9	38.1	83.9	+7.8	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.6	39.4	86.0	+7.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	37.6	85.0	+9.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.7	38.3	78.0	+1.3	67%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.2	41.4	84.6	+1.9	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	47.3	36.2	83.5	+11.1	95%	-

This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alkar

#10

39-30

H27/01

Premijer liga

Cibona

22-43

-21

A25/02

Premijer liga

Cedevita

25-27

-2

H28/02

Premijer liga

Zagreb

#12

52-29

+23

H10/03

Premijer liga

Hermes

43-37

A17/03

Premijer liga

Zabok

32-42

-10

H24/03

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

30-41

-11

A31/03

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

39-41

-2

H07/04

Premijer liga

Osijek

30-41

-11

A14/04

Premijer liga

Jazine

#11

42-30

+12

H18/04

Premijer liga

71.5Avg total

35.4Scored

36.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	41.7	78.1	-5.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.3	38.9	77.2	-0.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.1	44.9	79.0	-10.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	36.1	71.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	39.0	73.6	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	35.2	41.6	76.9	-6.4	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	40.2	42.2	82.5	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	19.9	43.0	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	19.5	41.8	+2.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.1	20.4	44.5	+3.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.8	20.7	45.5	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	21.6	48.2	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	27.7	46.3	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.6	22.8	44.4	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	24.4	17.5	41.9	+6.9	84%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	22.8	41.1	-4.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	22.2	41.1	-3.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	23.4	41.2	-5.5	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	23.7	42.3	-5.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.6	41.8	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	17.7	23.0	40.7	-5.2	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.8	20.5	43.2	+2.2	75%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.1	42.7	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	19.7	40.7	+1.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.5	20.6	45.1	+3.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	22.2	45.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.4	43.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	18.3	37.3	+0.7	67%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.5	22.0	44.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	23.3	19.6	42.8	+3.7	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.8	39.2	-2.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	19.1	39.2	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.4	22.8	39.1	-6.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	19.6	36.7	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.4	35.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	17.5	21.4	38.9	-3.9	38%	-
vs Similar (4)	23.5	19.0	42.5	+4.5	75%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.7	40.0	85.8	+5.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.2	39.2	82.4	+4.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	48.6	41.0	89.6	+7.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.8	42.9	90.7	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.2	41.0	91.2	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.7	46.0	83.7	-8.3	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	44.1	44.8	88.9	-0.6	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	47.7	37.1	84.8	+10.6	84%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	43.6	80.3	-6.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.9	41.3	80.2	-2.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.2	46.1	80.4	-11.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	43.3	79.0	-7.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	40.0	77.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	35.2	44.3	79.5	-9.1	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	46.2	39.5	85.8	+6.8	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 84.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.3	21.5	52.1%	53.3%	43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	8.7	34.9%	34.1%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	19.9	14.9	74.9%	74.0%	14.9

They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.2	21.6	51.2%	53.3%	43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.5	8.1	34.5%	34.1%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	24.2	17.2	71.1%	74.0%	17.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.5	20.9	50.4%	53.3%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.9	7.9	33.2%	34.1%	23.8
🏀 Free throws	20.8	15.2	73.2%	74.0%	15.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	20.2	51.9%	53.3%	40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	9.1	36.8%	34.1%	27.2
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.2%	74.0%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Zadar wins

Kastela wins

Date	Game	Score
12/01/18	Kastela v Zadar	47-97
08/01/14	Kastela v Zadar	56-93

Zadarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/04/18	H	Osijek	95-79
14/04/18	A	GKK Sibenik	92-72
05/04/18	H	Hermes	83-74
29/03/18	A	Cibona	98-80
18/03/18	A	Split	120-88
11/03/18	A	Petrol Olimpija	85-90
09/03/18	H	Jazine	116-94
05/03/18	H	Mega Bemax	95-91
03/03/18	A	Skrljevo	99-82
16/02/18	H	Cibona	61-73

Kastelalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/04/18	H	Jazine	99-71
14/04/18	A	Osijek	67-87
07/04/18	H	Skrljevo	73-81
31/03/18	A	GKK Sibenik	57-74
24/03/18	H	Zabok	63-82
17/03/18	A	Hermes	83-73
10/03/18	H	Zagreb	91-64
28/02/18	H	Cedevita	56-89
25/02/18	A	Cibona	49-109
27/01/18	H	Alkar	73-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar

Premijer liga 2017-18

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	95%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	91%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	95%	100%	91%
Points / game	93.5	91.9	95.2
Allowed / game	75.1	77.5	72.6
Point differential	+18.5	+14.4	+22.5
Avg total	168.6	169.5	167.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	77%	64%	91%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Kastela

Premijer liga 2017-18

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	18%
Home	LWLLW	27%
Away	LLWLL	9%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	18%	27%	9%
Points / game	71.0	73.6	68.5
Allowed / game	86.6	80.7	92.5
Point differential	-15.6	-7.1	-24.1
Avg total	157.7	154.4	161.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	18%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Cedevita	22	21	1	95%	91.1	67.1	+24.0
2	Zadar	22	21	1	95%	93.5	75.1	+18.5
3	Cibona	22	16	6	73%	90.0	76.3	+13.6
4	GKK Sibenik	22	15	7	68%	78.4	73.6	+4.8
5	Split	22	14	8	64%	86.5	80.3	+6.2
6	Skrljevo	23	13	10	57%	84.2	82.6	+1.7
7	Zabok	22	11	11	50%	78.7	77.2	+1.5
8	Osijek	23	8	15	35%	75.7	80.4	-4.7
9	Alkar	23	7	16	30%	71.8	82.2	-10.4
10	Hermes	22	6	16	27%	73.3	83.0	-9.6
11	Jazine	23	5	18	22%	75.6	88.5	-13.0
12	Kastela	22	4	18	18%	71.0	86.6	-15.6
13	Zagreb	22	4	18	18%	81.0	96.8	-15.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Zadar	20	28	31	26	105
Kastela	11	14	18	13	56

← all games of the day

Zadar vs Kastela Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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