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Petrol Olimpija vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 90-85
21-27 18-14 17-19 34-25
Position#7
Record9-12
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Position#6
Record10-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game85.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 22
Domestic2017
Meetings · Petrol Olimpija v Zadar
14 Oct 2018
POL91
ZAD81
11 Mar 2018
POL90
ZAD85
11 Dec 2016
POL78
ZAD76
23 Jan 2016
POL84
ZAD76
01 Feb 2015
POL82
ZAD60
22 Dec 2013
POL90
ZAD66
13 Jan 2013
POL88
ZAD81
08 Jan 2011
POL78
ZAD53
23 Dec 2009
POL84
ZAD77
14 Mar 2009
POL73
ZAD67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrol Olimpija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#11
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H30/01
Champions League
Tajfun Sentjur
#13
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A01/02
Liga Nova KBM
MZT Skopje
#12
W
96-55
96
55
+41
A03/02
ABA League
HydroTruck Radom
#45
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A06/02
Champions League
Rogaska
#6
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A08/02
Liga Nova KBM
Partizan
#5
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
H10/02
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#5
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H12/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Primorska
#7
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A16/02
Slovenian Cup
FMP Beograd
#8
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A03/03
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H07/03
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
18-13
18-24
17-23
13-22
24-22
12-18
17-20
18-15
19-24
28-5
31-11
13-15
18-19
18-15
9-26
11-26
10-15
26-22
24-12
18-23
18-14
16-25
25-15
21-19
22-15
21-25
18-9
13-21
18-20
21-16
18-17
26-18
19-19
23-25
18-19
27-12
17-15
18-18
24-23
152.0Avg total
77.5Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.581.3159.8-2.943%
Season at home (10)77.978.6156.5-0.750%
Season away (11)79.083.8162.8-4.836%
Last 10 (10)77.574.5152.0+3.050%
Last 5 (5)82.675.6158.2+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.578.2151.7-4.636%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.682.1158.7-5.622%
vs Weaker (10)79.872.9152.7+6.960%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#10
L
92-94
92
94
-2
A29/01
ABA League
Zagreb
#12
W
120-70
120
70
+50
A31/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#11
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H05/02
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H08/02
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
67-97
67
97
-30
A12/02
ABA League
Sonik Puntamika
#6
W
104-61
104
61
+43
H15/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#5
L
61-73
61
73
-12
H16/02
Croatian Cup
Skrljevo
#6
W
99-82
99
82
+17
A03/03
Premijer liga
Mega Bemax
#9
W
95-91
95
91
+4
H05/03
ABA League
Jazine
#11
W
116-94
116
94
+22
H09/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
21-29
26-19
21-28
28-24
31-14
31-12
30-20
28-19
19-16
19-15
13-23
23-20
17-19
22-14
21-28
19-22
17-25
14-28
17-22
32-16
25-12
29-19
18-14
16-18
14-22
13-16
18-17
24-20
26-17
32-17
17-28
19-21
31-22
19-30
26-18
30-20
28-27
32-19
26-28
173.2Avg total
91.6Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.985.5169.3-1.648%
Season at home (11)85.983.6169.5+2.364%
Season away (10)81.687.5169.1-5.930%
Last 10 (10)91.681.6173.2+10.070%
Last 5 (5)95.080.2175.2+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.589.0169.5-8.525%
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.983.8169.6+2.162%
vs Weaker (18)91.172.1163.2+18.994%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
Petrol OlimpijaZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#11
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H30/01
Champions League
Tajfun Sentjur
#13
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A01/02
Liga Nova KBM
MZT Skopje
#12
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A03/02
ABA League
HydroTruck Radom
#45
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A06/02
Champions League
Rogaska
#6
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A08/02
Liga Nova KBM
Partizan
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H10/02
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H12/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Primorska
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A16/02
Slovenian Cup
FMP Beograd
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A03/03
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H07/03
Liga Nova KBM
72.8Avg total
36.1Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.438.976.4-1.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.534.972.4+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)37.442.579.9-5.119%-
Last 10 (10)36.136.772.8-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.835.275.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.338.275.5-0.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.939.876.7-2.933%-
vs Weaker (10)38.139.077.1-0.940%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#10
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A29/01
ABA League
Zagreb
#12
W
59-38
59
38
+21
A31/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#11
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H05/02
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H08/02
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A12/02
ABA League
Sonik Puntamika
#6
W
57-28
57
28
+29
H15/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#5
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H16/02
Croatian Cup
Skrljevo
#6
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A03/03
Premijer liga
Mega Bemax
#9
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H05/03
ABA League
Jazine
#11
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H09/03
Premijer liga
87.3Avg total
47.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.738.282.9+6.577%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.237.983.1+7.382%-
Last 30 away (13)44.038.682.6+5.469%-
Last 10 (10)47.240.187.3+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)49.039.088.0+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.039.280.2+1.875%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.840.984.6+2.962%-
vs Weaker (18)45.936.882.7+9.183%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.8
50.1%
52.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.5
38.1%
34.8%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.712.9
72.9%
74.4%12.9
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.1
52.2%
52.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.3
35.5%
34.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.915.3
76.9%
74.4%15.3
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Petrol Olimpija
WWLWWLLWLL
Zadar
WWWLWLWWWL
#7
League position
#6
-5.6
Net rating
+2.9
102.1
Offensive rating
110.7
107.7
Defensive rating
107.8
52.8%
Effective FG%
52.6%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
18.6%
Turnover %
14.2%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.1%
3-point %
35.5%
66.7%
Assist %
59.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 110.7Defence107.7 · 107.8Shooting52.8% · 52.6%3-point %38.1% · 35.5%Ball care18.6% · 14.2%Off. rebounds23.3% · 28.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Petrol Olimpija   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Petrol Olimpija wins
4
Zadar wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/18HPerspektiva Ilirija86-68
03/03/18AFMP Beograd86-81
16/02/18AKK Primorska70-74
12/02/18HHelios Domzale82-68
10/02/18HPartizan89-87 OT
08/02/18ARogaska71-75
06/02/18AHydroTruck Radom58-75
03/02/18AMZT Skopje96-55
01/02/18ATajfun Sentjur66-82
30/01/18HAEK Athens71-80
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/18HJazine116-94
05/03/18HMega Bemax95-91
03/03/18ASkrljevo99-82
16/02/18HCibona61-73
15/02/18HSonik Puntamika104-61
12/02/18ACrvena zvezda67-97
08/02/18HZabok83-81
05/02/18HCibona79-73
31/01/18AZagreb120-70
29/01/18AIgokea92-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW43%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLLLWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%50%36%
Points / game78.577.979.0
Allowed / game81.378.683.8
Point differential-2.9-0.7-4.8
Avg total159.8156.5162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Zadar
ABA League 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW48%
HomeWWLWW64%
AwayWLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%64%30%
Points / game83.985.981.6
Allowed / game85.583.687.5
Point differential-1.6+2.3-5.9
Avg total169.3169.5169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (1)50% (6)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2118386%88.076.7+11.3
2 Cedevita2217577%81.774.8+7.0
3 Buducnost2116576%84.676.0+8.5
4 Mornar Bar2214864%83.081.4+1.6
5 Partizan22111150%88.086.0+2.0
6 Zadar21101148%83.985.5-1.6
7 FMP Beograd2191243%80.679.8+0.8
8 Petrol Olimpija2191243%78.581.3-2.9
9 Mega Bemax2281436%84.084.5-0.4
10 Cibona2171433%80.284.9-4.7
11 Igokea2271532%81.085.3-4.3
12 MZT Skopje2231914%75.492.2-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Petrol Olimpija2118173490
Zadar2714192585
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