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Zadar vs MZT Skopje Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-65
25-23 17-12 12-17 17-13
Position#12
Record1-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game101.0
Zadar 🏆
vs
Position#13
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game88.8
EuropeABA LeagueRound 5
Domestic2016
Meetings · Zadar v MZT Skopje
16 Dec 2022
ZAD98
MSK79
17 Apr 2019
ZAD83
MSK89
29 Dec 2017
ZAD105
MSK80
16 Oct 2016
ZAD71
MSK65
12 Feb 2016
ZAD84
MSK72
27 Dec 2014
ZAD74
MSK69
16 Nov 2013
ZAD72
MSK70
24 Nov 2012
ZAD68
MSK76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
MZT Skopje winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorica
#12
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A14/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
79-104
79
104
-25
A18/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H21/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A25/05
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#9
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H30/09
ABA League
Buducnost
#4
L
89-105
89
105
-16
A02/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
66-103
66
103
-37
H06/10
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
L
62-120
62
120
-58
A08/10
ABA League
Kvarner
#14
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A11/10
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenik
#1
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H14/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
23-23
22-14
21-25
21-30
16-22
20-29
22-23
21-19
21-12
17-14
14-25
15-18
12-25
21-16
23-21
13-21
18-14
26-25
21-16
25-25
21-32
22-25
21-23
23-23
12-26
11-24
20-30
17-30
10-31
18-25
17-34
26-27
14-18
19-11
18-16
19-19
20-12
13-13
28-32
164.6Avg total
76.1Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.8101.0174.8-27.225%
Season at home (2)72.089.5161.5-17.550%
Season away (2)75.5112.5188.0-37.00%
Last 10 (10)76.188.5164.6-12.450%
Last 5 (5)74.895.2170.0-20.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.587.8160.4-15.331%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.375.6157.9+6.867%
vs Weaker (5)86.871.8158.6+15.080%
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MZT SkopjeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feni Industries
#4
W
100-77
100
77
+23
H10/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
L
84-87
84
87
-3
H18/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A21/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H24/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
W
90-88
90
88
+2
A27/05
Superleague
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
69-91
69
91
-22
A30/09
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
62-93
62
93
-31
H04/10
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A06/10
ABA League
Cibona
#7
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
H09/10
ABA League
Lietkabelis
#14
L
89-90
89
90
-1
A12/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-10
25-25
22-23
28-19
23-23
15-18
20-17
26-29
24-17
21-15
14-20
23-23
25-20
23-23
22-19
21-11
22-26
19-16
24-27
25-19
20-27
10-22
16-20
23-22
16-29
9-19
21-22
16-23
18-25
14-13
16-18
13-26
13-17
25-17
18-22
16-16
22-27
13-23
23-24
31-16
165.8Avg total
81.3Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.288.8158.0-19.50%
Season at home (2)73.591.0164.5-17.50%
Season away (2)65.086.5151.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)81.384.5165.8-3.240%
Last 5 (5)73.289.0162.2-15.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.186.6157.7-15.40%
vs Similar ◀ (3)70.376.7147.0-6.333%
vs Weaker (20)84.569.4153.9+15.085%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
ZadarMZT Skopje
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorica
#12
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A14/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A18/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H21/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A25/05
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#9
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H30/09
ABA League
Buducnost
#4
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A02/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H06/10
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
L
27-61
27
61
-34
A08/10
ABA League
Kvarner
#14
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A11/10
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenik
#1
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H14/10
Premijer liga
81.1Avg total
36.7Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.278.5+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.334.574.8+5.862%-
Last 30 away (14)38.144.682.7-6.436%-
Last 10 (10)36.744.481.1-7.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.448.686.0-11.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.042.377.3-7.323%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.336.379.7+7.075%-
vs Weaker (5)40.838.078.8+2.860%-
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MZT SkopjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feni Industries
#4
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H10/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H18/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A21/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H24/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A27/05
Superleague
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A30/09
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
25-48
25
48
-23
H04/10
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A06/10
ABA League
Cibona
#7
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H09/10
ABA League
Lietkabelis
#14
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A12/10
Eurocup
79.4Avg total
38.2Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.777.0+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.536.277.7+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)37.339.176.4-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)38.241.279.4-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)32.043.875.8-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.443.374.7-11.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)36.041.377.3-5.367%-
vs Weaker (20)42.635.177.8+7.560%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.021.5
48.9%
51.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.25.5
28.6%
34.3%16.5
🏀 Free throws21.014.5
69.0%
73.3%14.5
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
MZT Skopjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MZT Skopje: 63.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.3 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.015.7
47.5%
51.9%31.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.76.3
25.7%
34.3%19.0
🏀 Free throws19.713.0
66.1%
73.3%13.0
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/3 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WWLLLWLWLW
MZT Skopje
LLLLLWWWLW
#12
League position
#13
-31.9
Net rating
-34.2
90.7
Offensive rating
85.5
122.5
Defensive rating
119.7
47.0%
Effective FG%
43.6%
59.4%
Opp. effective FG%
60.1%
20.9%
Turnover %
20.6%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
28.6%
3-point %
25.7%
66.7%
Assist %
60.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.7 · 85.5Defence122.5 · 119.7Shooting47.0% · 43.6%3-point %28.6% · 25.7%Ball care20.9% · 20.6%Off. rebounds23.5% · 26.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Zadar   ■ MZT Skopje
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Zadar wins
4
MZT Skopje wins
DateGameScore
12/02/16Zadar v MZT Skopje84-72
23/11/15MZT Skopje v Zadar60-72
27/12/14Zadar v MZT Skopje74-69
07/10/14MZT Skopje v Zadar72-58
22/02/14MZT Skopje v Zadar78-69
16/11/13Zadar v MZT Skopje72-70
02/03/13MZT Skopje v Zadar94-69
24/11/12Zadar v MZT Skopje68-76
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/16HGKK Sibenik80-76
11/10/16AKvarner77-72
08/10/16ACedevita62-120
06/10/16HCrvena zvezda66-103
02/10/16ABuducnost89-105
30/09/16HFMP Beograd78-76
25/05/16ACibona71-80
21/05/16HCibona73-70
18/05/16ACibona79-104
14/05/16AGorica86-79
MZT Skopjelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/16ALietkabelis89-90
09/10/16HCibona85-89 OT
06/10/16ACedevita61-82
04/10/16HPartizan62-93
30/09/16ACrvena zvezda69-91
27/05/16AKumanovo90-88
24/05/16HKumanovo91-73
21/05/16AKumanovo82-75
18/05/16HKumanovo84-87
10/05/16HFeni Industries100-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
ABA League 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game73.872.075.5
Allowed / game101.089.5112.5
Point differential-27.2-17.5-37.0
Avg total174.8161.5188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
MZT Skopje
ABA League 2016
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.273.565.0
Allowed / game88.891.086.5
Point differential-19.5-17.5-21.5
Avg total158.0164.5151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda440100%94.568.8+25.8
2 Buducnost550100%90.878.8+12.0
3 Partizan550100%81.672.4+9.2
4 Cibona54180%86.880.2+6.6
5 Cedevita53260%84.274.6+9.6
6 Igokea53260%78.278.2+0.0
7 Mornar Bar52340%76.671.0+5.6
8 FMP Beograd52340%77.277.2+0.0
9 KK Krka Novo mesto31233%68.075.0-7.0
10 Petrol Olimpija41325%80.879.2+1.5
11 Zadar41325%73.8101.0-27.2
12 Mega Bemax51420%81.889.8-8.0
13 Karpos5050%71.686.8-15.2
14 MZT Skopje4040%69.288.8-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar2517121771
MZT Skopje2312171365
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