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Zadar vs MZT Skopje Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 83-89
18-30 18-27 25-22 22-10
Position#11
Record7-15
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Position#5
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeABA LeagueABA League - Final
Domestic2018
Meetings · Zadar v MZT Skopje
16 Dec 2022
ZAD98
MSK79
17 Apr 2019
ZAD83
MSK89
29 Dec 2017
ZAD105
MSK80
16 Oct 2016
ZAD71
MSK65
12 Feb 2016
ZAD84
MSK72
27 Dec 2014
ZAD74
MSK69
16 Nov 2013
ZAD72
MSK70
24 Nov 2012
ZAD68
MSK76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
MZT Skopje winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#1
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H28/02
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A04/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
69-87
69
87
-18
H09/03
ABA League
Osijek
#5
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A10/03
Premijer liga
Split
#4
W
91-88
91
88
+3
H15/03
Premijer liga
Igokea
#9
L
82-100
82
100
-18
A17/03
ABA League
Alkar
#11
W
103-62
103
62
+41
A23/03
Premijer liga
Hermes
#10
W
118-83
118
83
+35
H29/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita
#3
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A04/04
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#8
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H13/04
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
17-28
27-17
13-15
27-23
18-22
16-15
8-15
15-19
16-18
17-35
21-15
23-23
11-22
20-28
15-15
23-21
21-21
20-18
27-28
14-26
25-35
23-18
20-21
22-8
27-15
18-18
36-21
33-20
35-27
24-17
26-19
19-23
13-16
17-11
28-23
22-14
28-22
21-18
15-21
165.0Avg total
84.3Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.086.4168.3-4.432%
Season at home (11)81.486.6168.0-5.327%
Season away (11)82.586.1168.6-3.536%
Last 10 (10)84.380.7165.0+3.660%
Last 5 (5)93.278.6171.8+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)74.386.3160.6-12.014%
vs Similar (11)85.082.8167.8+2.273%
vs Weaker (12)89.473.7163.1+15.875%
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MZT SkopjeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kumanovo
#7
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A22/03
Superleague
Spars Sarajevo
#2
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H24/03
ABA League 2
Pelister
#8
W
118-71
118
71
+47
A27/03
Superleague
Feni Industries
#5
W
103-95 OT
103
95
+8
A29/03
Superleague
KK Primorska
#1
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A01/04
ABA League 2
KK Primorska
#1
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A02/04
ABA League 2
KK Primorska
#1
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H04/04
ABA League 2
Kozuv
#6
W
88-76
88
76
+12
A07/04
Superleague
Kozuv
#7
W
89-62
89
62
+27
H12/04
Macedonian Cup
Rabotnicki
#1
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
A13/04
Macedonian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
28-19
7-24
20-11
20-16
21-21
19-15
24-18
33-15
32-20
31-23
22-13
16-25
17-18
21-14
21-18
19-28
19-25
16-23
17-17
20-25
13-18
14-25
25-27
21-19
13-20
9-17
18-10
21-21
21-16
31-15
15-24
24-10
16-15
28-17
21-20
12-22
21-18
18-20
21-12
164.4Avg total
85.1Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.179.3164.4+5.860%
Last 5 (5)79.878.4158.2+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.283.0153.2-12.80%
vs Similar (9)80.377.8158.1+2.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)91.476.1167.4+15.388%
This opponent (Zadar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +3.4+3.4
ZadarMZT Skopje
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H28/02
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A04/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H09/03
ABA League
Osijek
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A10/03
Premijer liga
Split
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H15/03
Premijer liga
Igokea
#9
L
39-61
39
61
-22
A17/03
ABA League
Alkar
#11
W
49-23
49
23
+26
A23/03
Premijer liga
Hermes
#10
W
68-47
68
47
+21
H29/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita
#3
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/04
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#8
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H13/04
Premijer liga
85.0Avg total
43.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.042.283.2-1.241%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.241.283.4+1.059%-
Last 30 away (12)39.443.783.1-4.217%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.985.0+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)47.641.288.8+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)38.144.382.4-6.10%-
vs Similar (11)40.643.884.5-3.245%-
vs Weaker (11)43.339.382.5+4.064%-
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MZT SkopjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kumanovo
#7
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A22/03
Superleague
Spars Sarajevo
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H24/03
ABA League 2
Pelister
#8
W
65-35
65
35
+30
A27/03
Superleague
Feni Industries
#5
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A29/03
Superleague
KK Primorska
#1
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A01/04
ABA League 2
KK Primorska
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A02/04
ABA League 2
KK Primorska
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H04/04
ABA League 2
Kozuv
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A07/04
Superleague
Kozuv
#7
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H12/04
Macedonian Cup
Rabotnicki
#1
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A13/04
Macedonian Cup
79.7Avg total
40.8Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.138.580.6+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.637.279.8+5.569%-
Last 30 away (17)41.839.581.2+2.359%-
Last 10 (10)40.838.979.7+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)36.436.873.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.243.276.5-10.00%-
vs Similar (9)38.739.378.0-0.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.437.684.1+8.875%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.4
49.7%
51.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.9
33.9%
33.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.417.0
75.9%
72.5%17.0
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
MZT Skopjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MZT Skopje: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.616.4
46.1%
51.6%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.27.1
33.5%
33.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws18.914.9
78.8%
72.5%14.9
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WWWWLWLLLW
MZT Skopje
LWWLLLWWWW
#11
League position
#5
-5.4
Net rating
-30.9
102.4
Offensive rating
95.3
107.8
Defensive rating
126.3
50.2%
Effective FG%
47.6%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
59.3%
18.0%
Turnover %
19.9%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.9%
3-point %
33.5%
62.6%
Assist %
63.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 95.3Defence107.8 · 126.3Shooting50.2% · 47.6%3-point %33.9% · 33.5%Ball care18.0% · 19.9%Off. rebounds27.0% · 25.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Zadar   ■ MZT Skopje
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Zadar wins
3
MZT Skopje wins
DateGameScore
29/12/17Zadar v MZT Skopje105-80
09/10/17MZT Skopje v Zadar80-85
13/01/17MZT Skopje v Zadar92-65
16/10/16Zadar v MZT Skopje71-65
12/02/16Zadar v MZT Skopje84-72
23/11/15MZT Skopje v Zadar60-72
27/12/14Zadar v MZT Skopje74-69
07/10/14MZT Skopje v Zadar72-58
22/02/14MZT Skopje v Zadar78-69
16/11/13Zadar v MZT Skopje72-70
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/19HSkrljevo86-75
04/04/19ACedevita77-73
29/03/19HHermes118-83
23/03/19AAlkar103-62
17/03/19AIgokea82-100
15/03/19HSplit91-88
10/03/19AOsijek69-88
09/03/19HCrvena zvezda69-87
04/03/19ABuducnost69-75
28/02/19HCibona79-76
MZT Skopjelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/19ARabotnicki89-93 OT
12/04/19HKozuv89-62
07/04/19AKozuv88-76
04/04/19HKK Primorska61-66
02/04/19AKK Primorska72-95
01/04/19AKK Primorska71-93
29/03/19AFeni Industries103-95 OT
27/03/19APelister118-71
24/03/19HSpars Sarajevo84-70
22/03/19AKumanovo76-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
ABA League 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL32%
HomeWLLWL27%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%27%36%
Points / game82.081.482.5
Allowed / game86.486.686.1
Point differential-4.4-5.3-3.5
Avg total168.3168.0168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%9%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %9%18%0%
MZT Skopje
ABA League 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2725293%86.370.1+16.2
2 Cedevita2517868%86.480.7+5.7
3 Buducnost2718967%80.476.6+3.8
4 Partizan25151060%80.576.8+3.7
5 FMP Beograd22101245%78.981.2-2.3
6 Mega Bemax22101245%81.985.5-3.5
7 Cibona2291341%79.382.3-3.0
8 Igokea2281436%81.785.0-3.2
9 Mornar Bar2281436%80.986.7-5.8
10 Zadar2271532%82.086.4-4.4
11 KK Krka Novo mesto2271532%72.180.7-8.6
12 Petrol Olimpija2261627%76.681.0-4.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar1818252283
MZT Skopje3027221089
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