Zagreb vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Apr 2016

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 91-71

24-23 23-20 18-8 26-20

Position#2

Record19-4

FormWLWLW

Points / game85.0

Allowed / game75.1

Zagreb 🏆

Gorica

Position#12

Record11-12

FormWWWLL

Points / game80.5

Allowed / game80.1

Premijer ligaRound 4

Other2015-16

Meetings · Zagreb v Gorica

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zagreb winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gorica winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zagreb

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kvarner

101-88

101

+13

H23/02

Alpe Adria Cup

GKK Sibenik

#13

89-82

A27/02

Premijer liga

Helios Domzale

65-84

-19

A01/03

Alpe Adria Cup

BC Prievidza

94-73

+21

A02/03

Alpe Adria Cup

Kastela

#14

104-78

104

+26

H06/03

Premijer liga

Split

89-67

+22

H19/03

Premijer liga

Gorica

#12

75-82

-7

A23/03

Premijer liga

Split

75-72

H02/04

Premijer liga

Cedevita

79-116

116

-37

A05/04

Premijer liga

Kvarner

83-79 OT

H10/04

Premijer liga

29-21

18-27

28-22

26-18

28-20

22-19

21-21

18-22

23-21

20-16

9-24

13-23

24-13

25-22

23-18

22-20

33-19

15-16

31-25

25-18

27-14

20-19

21-18

21-16

17-31

21-17

18-14

19-20

22-19

27-13

15-22

11-18

25-27

30-27

12-30

12-32

24-13

11-11

17-26

18-20

167.5Avg total

85.4Scored

82.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	85.0	75.1	160.0	+9.9	83%
Season at home (12)	87.7	73.8	161.5	+13.8	92%
Season away (11)	82.0	76.5	158.5	+5.5	73%
Last 10 (10)	85.4	82.1	167.5	+3.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	83.2	163.4	-3.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	78.8	87.0	165.8	-8.2	50%
vs Similar (2)	71.0	72.0	143.0	-1.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	87.0	74.3	161.3	+12.7	82%

This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gorica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jolly Sibenik

70-78

-8

A30/01

Premijer liga

Kastela

#14

98-66

+32

H06/02

Premijer liga

Zabok

66-76

-10

A13/02

Premijer liga

Osijek

#11

67-59

A05/03

Premijer liga

Split

78-80

-2

H12/03

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

67-64

A19/03

Premijer liga

Zagreb

82-75

H23/03

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

#13

99-91

H02/04

Premijer liga

Split

56-75

-19

A05/04

Premijer liga

Cedevita

91-96 OT

-5

H10/04

Premijer liga

16-20

14-25

21-11

19-22

23-17

21-19

29-17

25-13

16-20

15-20

16-11

19-25

14-16

13-13

24-15

16-15

16-20

23-15

18-26

21-19

20-16

18-13

15-19

14-16

31-17

17-21

14-18

20-19

19-17

25-28

19-25

36-21

16-20

13-22

12-24

15-9

19-17

20-23

18-21

25-21

153.4Avg total

77.4Scored

76.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	80.5	80.1	160.6	+0.4	48%
Season at home (12)	88.3	83.4	171.8	+4.9	67%
Season away (11)	71.9	76.5	148.4	-4.5	27%
Last 10 (10)	77.4	76.0	153.4	+1.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	80.2	159.2	-1.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	76.0	81.4	157.4	-5.4	43%
vs Similar (18)	79.8	82.3	162.1	-2.6	50%
vs Weaker (5)	92.2	80.8	173.0	+11.4	60%

This opponent (Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ZagrebGorica

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	17.9	40.8	+5.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.3	16.4	40.7	+7.9	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.2	19.8	45.0	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.8	43.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.0	16.5	35.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	24.0	17.6	41.6	+6.3	73%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.5	20.5	41.0	-0.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	21.2	42.7	+0.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.4	38.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	20.3	20.0	40.3	+0.3	57%	-
vs Similar (17)	20.1	21.5	41.5	-1.4	41%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.2	18.0	40.2	+4.2	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.5	39.0	-0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	18.9	37.8	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	20.2	40.5	+0.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.7	39.6	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	17.4	39.2	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.2	23.0	43.2	-2.8	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.6	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.6	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	21.1	41.8	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.5	20.5	38.0	-3.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	19.9	37.8	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.4	40.0	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	16.0	20.1	36.1	-4.1	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.2	20.9	40.2	-1.7	29%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.4	21.2	44.6	+2.2	80%	-

ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kvarner

47-48

-1

H23/02

Alpe Adria Cup

GKK Sibenik

#13

50-39

+11

A27/02

Premijer liga

Helios Domzale

43-37

A01/03

Alpe Adria Cup

BC Prievidza

49-35

+14

A02/03

Alpe Adria Cup

Kastela

#14

48-35

+13

H06/03

Premijer liga

Split

47-33

+14

H19/03

Premijer liga

Gorica

#12

38-48

-10

A23/03

Premijer liga

Split

49-32

+17

H02/04

Premijer liga

Cedevita

55-54

A05/04

Premijer liga

Kvarner

35-24

+11

H10/04

Premijer liga

84.6Avg total

46.1Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	37.4	79.9	+5.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.1	35.3	78.4	+7.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.6	39.9	81.5	+1.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.1	38.5	84.6	+7.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	38.2	83.0	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	40.7	42.3	83.0	-1.7	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	39.5	36.0	75.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	43.2	36.2	79.4	+7.0	68%	-

This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jolly Sibenik

30-45

-15

A30/01

Premijer liga

Kastela

#14

44-36

H06/02

Premijer liga

Zabok

31-40

-9

A13/02

Premijer liga

Osijek

#11

27-29

-2

A05/03

Premijer liga

Split

39-35

H12/03

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

38-29

A19/03

Premijer liga

Zagreb

48-38

+10

H23/03

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

#13

44-45

-1

H02/04

Premijer liga

Split

29-42

-13

A05/04

Premijer liga

Cedevita

39-40

-1

H10/04

Premijer liga

74.8Avg total

36.9Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.7	41.3	81.0	-1.7	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.2	42.3	84.5	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.9	40.3	77.2	-3.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	37.9	74.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	38.8	78.4	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	36.3	40.1	76.4	-3.9	14%	-
vs Similar (17)	39.3	42.4	81.7	-3.1	41%	-
vs Weaker (5)	45.6	39.2	84.8	+6.4	60%	-

This opponent (Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.2	40.8	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	19.7	42.6	+3.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	18.7	38.7	+1.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	22.0	38.6	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.7	21.8	42.5	-1.2	67%	-
vs Similar (2)	16.0	19.5	35.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.3	18.5	40.8	+3.8	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.7	19.8	39.5	-0.1	48%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	20.6	39.9	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.7	37.3	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	21.4	37.0	-5.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.1	18.0	35.1	-0.9	29%	-
vs Similar (17)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	53%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.2	20.2	42.4	+2.0	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.7	39.6	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	19.6	39.8	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.7	39.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	21.2	37.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.5	22.8	40.3	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	15.5	16.5	32.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.9	19.1	40.0	+1.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+1.0	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	20.8	43.5	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	18.5	37.1	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	17.2	39.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	21.3	21.3	42.6	+0.0	57%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.4	18.5	37.9	+0.8	53%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.4	21.4	45.8	+3.0	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	38.9	80.4	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.1	39.3	82.4	+3.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.6	38.5	78.1	+1.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	42.7	80.7	-4.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	43.2	76.0	-10.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.2	44.7	82.8	-6.5	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	31.5	36.0	67.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	43.2	37.6	80.9	+5.6	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.4	39.5	79.9	+0.9	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.7	39.8	82.5	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	39.1	77.0	-1.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	36.7	76.3	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	38.6	76.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	38.4	39.3	77.7	-0.9	43%	-
vs Similar (17)	39.4	38.9	78.3	+0.4	59%	-
vs Weaker (5)	46.6	41.6	88.2	+5.0	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Zagreb wins

Gorica wins

Date	Game	Score
23/03/16	Gorica v Zagreb	82-75
13/12/15	Zagreb v Gorica	85-73
08/02/15	Zagreb v Gorica	97-85
08/11/14	Gorica v Zagreb	70-78

Zagreblast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/04/16	H	Kvarner	83-79 OT
05/04/16	A	Cedevita	79-116
02/04/16	H	Split	75-72
23/03/16	A	Gorica	75-82
19/03/16	H	Split	89-67
06/03/16	H	Kastela	104-78
02/03/16	A	BC Prievidza	94-73
01/03/16	A	Helios Domzale	65-84
27/02/16	A	GKK Sibenik	89-82
23/02/16	H	Kvarner	101-88

Goricalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/04/16	H	Cedevita	91-96 OT
05/04/16	A	Split	56-75
02/04/16	H	GKK Sibenik	99-91
23/03/16	H	Zagreb	82-75
19/03/16	A	Alkar	67-64
12/03/16	H	Split	78-80
05/03/16	A	Osijek	67-59
13/02/16	A	Zabok	66-76
06/02/16	H	Kastela	98-66
30/01/16	A	Jolly Sibenik	70-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zagreb

Premijer liga 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	83%
Home	WWWWW	92%
Away	WWWLL	73%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	83%	92%	73%
Points / game	85.0	87.7	82.0
Allowed / game	75.1	73.8	76.5
Point differential	+9.9	+13.8	+5.5
Avg total	160.0	161.5	158.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	48%	58%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (5)	100% (3)	100% (2)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Gorica

Premijer liga 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	48%
Home	WLWWL	67%
Away	LLWWL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	48%	67%	27%
Points / game	80.5	88.3	71.9
Allowed / game	80.1	83.4	76.5
Point differential	+0.4	+4.9	-4.5
Avg total	160.6	171.8	148.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	17%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	25% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	9%	17%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Cedevita	3	3	0	100%	106.3	76.7	+29.7
2	Zagreb	23	19	4	83%	85.0	75.1	+9.9
3	Cibona	3	2	1	67%	82.0	71.7	+10.3
4	Split	23	15	8	65%	78.0	74.0	+4.1
5	Kvarner	23	15	8	65%	81.6	79.2	+2.4
6	Gorica	23	11	12	48%	80.5	80.1	+0.4
7	GKK Sibenik	23	11	12	48%	77.3	81.3	-3.9
8	Zabok	21	10	11	48%	70.9	69.5	+1.3
9	Skrljevo	22	10	12	45%	78.3	79.5	-1.2
10	Jolly Sibenik	21	9	12	43%	75.4	76.8	-1.4
11	Osijek	22	9	13	41%	71.1	73.1	-2.0
12	Alkar	21	8	13	38%	71.8	76.1	-4.3
13	Zadar	3	1	2	33%	80.0	77.0	+3.0
14	Kastela	21	3	18	14%	73.5	86.0	-12.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Zagreb	24	23	18	26	91
Gorica	23	20	8	20	71

← all games of the day

Zagreb vs Gorica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature