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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Galatasaray Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 87-75
20-20 29-17 20-14 18-24
Position#10
Record1-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#12
Record1-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game95.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 7
European cup2016
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Galatasaray
16 Nov 2016
ZAL87
GAL75
26 Feb 2015
ZAL72
GAL59
27 Mar 2014
ZAL72
GAL84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Galatasaray winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
79-64
79
64
+15
H17/10
LKL
Baskonia
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H21/10
Euroleague
Neptunas
#4
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H23/10
LKL
Fenerbahce
#3
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A26/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
74-87
74
87
-13
H28/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A30/10
LKL
Darussafaka
#9
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H04/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#5
W
90-66
90
66
+24
A06/11
LKL
Barcelona
#11
L
86-92
86
92
-6
A10/11
Euroleague
Skycop
#6
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A13/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
23-12
21-14
18-23
20-23
14-17
27-21
17-12
20-14
21-12
17-22
19-19
24-28
13-16
19-19
12-19
16-21
16-22
25-21
17-23
27-10
17-17
9-18
28-23
25-15
10-11
21-35
24-22
20-17
28-22
20-18
22-9
12-16
23-20
24-29
27-27
14-15
25-14
11-17
13-9
151.3Avg total
77.6Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.083.5160.5-6.517%
Season at home (3)77.381.0158.3-3.733%
Season away (3)76.786.0162.7-9.30%
Last 10 (10)77.673.7151.3+3.960%
Last 5 (5)80.072.8152.8+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.082.0150.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (4)80.083.0163.0-3.025%
vs Weaker (25)83.170.0153.1+13.284%
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalatasarayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#9
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A16/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
83-85
83
85
-2
H21/10
Euroleague
Banvit
#5
L
74-83
74
83
-9
H23/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
92-98
92
98
-6
A26/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#3
L
87-103
87
103
-16
H28/10
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#7
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#2
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A03/11
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#12
W
90-84
90
84
+6
H06/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#4
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H11/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
74-92
74
92
-18
A13/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
22-23
25-21
11-21
30-17
17-30
20-22
16-16
19-13
14-23
19-21
22-26
24-18
23-26
18-25
27-29
19-22
22-26
23-22
23-33
14-19
23-22
21-15
21-16
22-19
25-26
17-21
17-24
18-19
23-21
27-24
22-20
14-20
24-14
25-23
26-30
20-19
19-22
7-21
28-30
170.5Avg total
83.1Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.095.3181.3-9.317%
Season at home (4)85.896.0181.8-10.225%
Season away (2)86.594.0180.5-7.50%
Last 10 (10)83.187.4170.5-4.340%
Last 5 (5)82.685.0167.6-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)83.094.3177.3-11.317%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.879.2161.0+2.550%
vs Weaker (15)81.773.6155.3+8.160%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -3.2-3.2
Zalgiris KaunasGalatasaray
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H17/10
LKL
Baskonia
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H21/10
Euroleague
Neptunas
#4
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H23/10
LKL
Fenerbahce
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A26/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H28/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A30/10
LKL
Darussafaka
#9
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H04/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#5
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A06/11
LKL
Barcelona
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A10/11
Euroleague
Skycop
#6
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A13/11
LKL
72.2Avg total
38.5Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.335.977.2+5.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.434.177.4+9.375%-
Last 30 away (14)39.037.976.9+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)38.533.772.2+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.231.471.6+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.044.081.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)33.534.868.2-1.225%-
vs Weaker (25)42.835.778.5+7.072%-
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalatasarayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A16/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#7
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H21/10
Euroleague
Banvit
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H23/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A26/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H28/10
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A03/11
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H06/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#4
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H11/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A13/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.0Avg total
41.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.080.2+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.038.481.4+4.669%-
Last 30 away (14)39.139.878.9-0.643%-
Last 10 (10)41.641.483.0+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.280.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.845.388.2-2.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.839.980.6+0.950%-
vs Weaker (15)41.236.177.3+5.173%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.3 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.2
50.8%
50.7%40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.3
30.8%
37.3%22.0
🏀 Free throws16.813.7
81.2%
75.6%13.7
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Galatasaraytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galatasaray: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.7 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.8
52.9%
50.7%39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.5
40.1%
37.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.814.2
71.4%
75.6%14.2
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWLWLLWWW
Galatasaray
LWWLWLLLLW
#10
League position
#12
-8.9
Net rating
-11.8
103.8
Offensive rating
111.9
112.6
Defensive rating
123.7
49.1%
Effective FG%
55.9%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
60.3%
19.6%
Turnover %
15.9%
38.1%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.8%
3-point %
40.1%
64.2%
Assist %
62.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 111.9Defence112.6 · 123.7Shooting49.1% · 55.9%3-point %30.8% · 40.1%Ball care19.6% · 15.9%Off. rebounds38.1% · 24.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Galatasaray
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
3
Galatasaray wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/16ASkycop63-55
10/11/16ABarcelona86-92
06/11/16AJuventus90-66
04/11/16HDarussafaka80-83
30/10/16ANevezis81-68
28/10/16HMaccabi Tel Aviv74-87
26/10/16AFenerbahce68-82
23/10/16HNeptunas77-67
21/10/16HBaskonia78-73
17/10/16HAlytaus Dzukija79-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/16AFenerbahce74-92
11/11/16HOlympiacos89-87
06/11/16HTrabzonspor90-84
03/11/16AReal Madrid81-90
31/10/16AGaziantep79-72
28/10/16HFenerbahce87-103
26/10/16AMaccabi Tel Aviv92-98
23/10/16HBanvit74-83
21/10/16HCrvena zvezda83-85
16/10/16ATofas82-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game77.077.376.7
Allowed / game83.581.086.0
Point differential-6.5-3.7-9.3
Avg total160.5158.3162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Galatasaray
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %17%25%0%
Points / game86.085.886.5
Allowed / game95.396.094.0
Point differential-9.3-10.2-7.5
Avg total181.3181.8180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow76186%90.983.4+7.4
2 Darussafaka75271%81.779.3+2.4
3 Real Madrid64267%90.083.3+6.7
4 Panathinaikos64267%80.277.5+2.7
5 Barcelona64267%75.873.5+2.3
6 Baskonia74357%81.678.1+3.4
7 Olimpia Milano74357%92.391.9+0.4
8 Fenerbahce74357%75.378.1-2.9
9 Olympiacos63350%83.881.7+2.2
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv73443%85.084.7+0.3
11 Crvena zvezda73443%70.672.0-1.4
12 Anadolu Efes73443%86.990.6-3.7
13 Bamberg72529%80.981.1-0.3
14 Unics Kazan72529%80.184.1-4.0
15 Zalgiris Kaunas61517%77.083.5-6.5
16 Galatasaray61517%86.095.3-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2029201887
Galatasaray2017142475
← all games of the day
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