Nevezis vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Oct 2016

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 68-81

10-27 17-17 18-9 23-28

Position#9

Record4-4

FormWLWLL

Points / game83.0

Allowed / game82.9

Nevezis

Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆

Position#1

Record7-1

FormWWWLL

Points / game83.6

Allowed / game68.8

LKL

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nevezis

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lietkabelis

81-85

-4

A25/09

LKL

Skycop

80-68

+12

H28/09

LKL

Neptunas

94-90 OT

H01/10

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

82-85

-3

H04/10

LKL

Juventus

88-74

+14

H08/10

LKL

Parnu

#15

77-62

+15

A11/10

Baltic League

Rapla

77-91

-14

A12/10

Baltic League

Pieno Zvaigzdes

77-73

H16/10

LKL

Siauliai

#10

92-99

-7

A23/10

LKL

Barons Kvartals

84-95

-11

H26/10

Baltic League

24-27

22-28

12-17

23-13

22-14

19-15

21-12

18-27

16-22

27-26

23-17

15-16

18-17

17-24

24-23

23-21

23-18

20-15

21-19

24-22

15-19

22-13

19-13

21-17

18-26

18-28

22-17

19-20

15-25

9-11

22-20

31-17

18-30

26-24

27-26

21-19

10-20

22-33

21-18

31-24

165.4Avg total

83.2Scored

82.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	83.0	82.9	165.9	+0.1	50%
Season at home (5)	84.2	78.0	162.2	+6.2	80%
Season away (3)	81.0	91.0	172.0	-10.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	82.2	165.4	+1.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	84.0	165.4	-2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	77.0	84.3	161.3	-7.3	26%
vs Similar (3)	73.0	80.0	153.0	-7.0	0%
vs Weaker (4)	82.0	82.0	164.0	+0.0	50%

This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Zalgiris Kaunas Lithuania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siauliai

#10

98-45

+53

A28/09

LKL

Skycop

79-66

+13

H02/10

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

86-82

A05/10

LKL

Rytas

74-66

A08/10

LKL

Panathinaikos

76-84

-8

A14/10

Euroleague

Alytaus Dzukija

79-64

+15

H17/10

LKL

Baskonia

78-73

H21/10

Euroleague

Neptunas

77-67

+10

H23/10

LKL

Fenerbahce

68-82

-14

A26/10

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#14

74-87

-13

H28/10

Euroleague

26-15

27-11

25-4

20-15

19-14

19-19

26-14

15-19

27-29

22-16

15-19

22-18

15-19

19-19

22-8

18-20

15-20

15-17

22-14

24-33

17-15

23-12

21-14

18-23

20-23

14-17

27-21

17-12

20-14

21-12

17-22

19-19

24-28

13-16

19-19

12-19

16-21

16-22

25-21

17-23

150.5Avg total

78.9Scored

71.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	83.6	68.8	152.4	+14.9	88%
Season at home (4)	81.2	66.8	148.0	+14.5	100%
Season away (4)	86.0	70.8	156.8	+15.2	75%
Last 10 (10)	78.9	71.6	150.5	+7.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	75.2	74.6	149.8	+0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	63.5	74.0	137.5	-10.5	0%
vs Similar (2)	77.0	78.5	155.5	-1.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	84.2	71.7	155.9	+12.5	85%

This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NevezisZalgiris Kaunas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	21.4	39.4	-3.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	20.4	38.5	-2.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	22.6	40.4	-4.7	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	21.8	39.7	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	24.0	39.2	-8.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	18.6	21.8	40.4	-3.2	30%	-
vs Similar (3)	13.0	16.3	29.3	-3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.2	22.8	41.0	-4.5	25%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.4	39.5	+0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	20.9	18.9	39.8	+2.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.5	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.8	39.7	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.5	21.5	39.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.3	19.0	39.4	+1.3	42%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.3	40.3	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	20.6	40.1	-1.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	22.0	40.5	-3.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.7	41.9	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.8	41.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.8	30%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.0	23.0	43.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.0	20.5	42.5	+1.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	17.2	38.2	+3.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	22.2	15.6	37.8	+6.6	84%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.0	19.9	38.9	-0.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	16.1	35.0	+2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	15.8	33.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.5	14.0	29.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	14.5	17.0	31.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.0	17.5	39.4	+4.5	73%	-

NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lietkabelis

46-55

-9

A25/09

LKL

Skycop

41-29

+12

H28/09

LKL

Neptunas

43-48

-5

H01/10

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

35-41

-6

H04/10

LKL

Juventus

43-33

+10

H08/10

LKL

Parnu

#15

37-32

A11/10

Baltic League

Rapla

36-54

-18

A12/10

Baltic League

Pieno Zvaigzdes

24-36

-12

H16/10

LKL

Siauliai

#10

44-54

-10

A23/10

LKL

Barons Kvartals

32-53

-21

H26/10

Baltic League

81.6Avg total

38.1Scored

43.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	42.7	79.7	-5.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.6	41.0	78.6	-3.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.4	44.6	80.9	-8.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	43.5	81.6	-5.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	45.8	80.4	-11.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	37.0	43.0	80.0	-6.0	26%	-
vs Similar (3)	33.0	39.3	72.3	-6.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.2	43.2	83.5	-3.0	50%	-

This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siauliai

#10

53-26

+27

A28/09

LKL

Skycop

38-33

H02/10

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

49-45

A05/10

LKL

Rytas

34-38

-4

A08/10

LKL

Panathinaikos

30-37

-7

A14/10

Euroleague

Alytaus Dzukija

40-27

+13

H17/10

LKL

Baskonia

34-40

-6

H21/10

Euroleague

Neptunas

41-26

+15

H23/10

LKL

Fenerbahce

37-44

-7

A26/10

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#14

32-43

-11

H28/10

Euroleague

74.7Avg total

38.8Scored

35.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	36.6	77.8	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	43.2	34.5	77.7	+8.6	74%	-
Last 30 away (11)	37.7	40.2	77.9	-2.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	35.9	74.7	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	36.0	72.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	35.5	36.0	71.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	32.0	38.5	70.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	42.3	36.5	78.8	+5.8	65%	-

This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	18.2	37.1	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	18.2	39.4	+3.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.8	41.0	+3.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	19.3	19.8	39.0	-0.5	43%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.7	20.0	39.7	-0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.2	18.2	38.5	+2.0	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	17.3	38.4	+3.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	21.1	18.7	39.7	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 away (11)	21.1	15.0	36.1	+6.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	15.6	37.5	+6.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	20.0	36.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	24.5	17.5	42.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.2	17.1	38.3	+4.0	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.5	40.6	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	21.1	41.4	-0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	19.9	39.7	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	19.6	42.2	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	19.4	44.0	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	19.8	20.5	40.3	-0.7	52%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.3	20.7	41.0	-0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.5	20.5	42.0	+1.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.4	38.5	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	20.2	19.5	39.7	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.9	16.5	36.5	+3.4	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.1	38.3	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	19.2	35.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	11.5	18.0	29.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.5	22.5	43.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.7	18.1	38.8	+2.6	54%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	40.1	79.7	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.2	39.3	78.6	-0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.9	41.1	80.9	-1.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	37.8	81.6	+6.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	38.2	85.0	+8.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	39.1	40.3	79.4	-1.2	35%	-
vs Similar (3)	40.0	40.7	80.7	-0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.8	38.8	80.5	+3.0	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	35.7	76.9	+5.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	41.3	38.2	79.4	+3.1	63%	-
Last 30 away (11)	41.0	31.5	72.5	+9.5	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	35.7	75.8	+4.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	38.6	77.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	28.0	38.0	66.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	45.0	40.0	85.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	41.9	35.2	77.1	+6.7	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 73.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.8 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.1 points a game

50%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	20.0	50.6%	55.4%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	7.2	27.4%	35.5%	21.8
🏀 Free throws	14.5	11.2	77.6%	73.8%	11.2

They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.5	18.5	55.2%	55.4%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	8.0	35.6%	35.5%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	24.5	19.5	79.6%	73.8%	19.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.5	18.5	55.2%	55.4%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	8.0	35.6%	35.5%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	24.5	19.5	79.6%	73.8%	19.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Nevezis wins

Zalgiris Kaunas wins

Date	Game	Score
13/04/16	Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis	95-73
25/01/16	Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas	54-98
30/11/15	Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis	82-88
08/11/15	Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas	67-90
21/04/15	Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis	92-53
30/03/15	Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas	74-112
13/10/14	Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis	79-52
24/09/14	Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas	59-93
09/03/14	Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis	95-56
12/01/14	Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas	65-84

Nevezislast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/10/16	H	Barons Kvartals	84-95
23/10/16	A	Siauliai	92-99
16/10/16	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	77-73
12/10/16	A	Rapla	77-91
11/10/16	A	Parnu	77-62
08/10/16	H	Juventus	88-74
04/10/16	H	Alytaus Dzukija	82-85
01/10/16	H	Neptunas	94-90 OT
28/09/16	H	Skycop	80-68
25/09/16	A	Lietkabelis	81-85

Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/10/16	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	74-87
26/10/16	A	Fenerbahce	68-82
23/10/16	H	Neptunas	77-67
21/10/16	H	Baskonia	78-73
17/10/16	H	Alytaus Dzukija	79-64
14/10/16	A	Panathinaikos	76-84
08/10/16	A	Rytas	74-66
05/10/16	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	86-82
02/10/16	H	Skycop	79-66
28/09/16	A	Siauliai	98-45

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis

LKL 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	50%
Home	WWLWW	80%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	5	3
Win %	50%	80%	0%
Points / game	83.0	84.2	81.0
Allowed / game	82.9	78.0	91.0
Point differential	+0.1	+6.2	-10.0
Avg total	165.9	162.2	172.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	40%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	67% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	12%	20%	0%

Zalgiris Kaunas

LKL 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	88%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	LWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	88%	100%	75%
Points / game	83.6	81.2	86.0
Allowed / game	68.8	66.8	70.8
Point differential	+14.9	+14.5	+15.2
Avg total	152.4	148.0	156.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	62%	100%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	8	7	1	88%	83.6	68.8	+14.9
2	Lietkabelis	9	7	2	78%	85.3	76.8	+8.6
3	Rytas	8	6	2	75%	78.5	71.4	+7.1
4	Pieno Zvaigzdes	8	4	4	50%	76.2	74.9	+1.4
5	Nevezis	8	4	4	50%	83.0	82.9	+0.1
6	Skycop	9	4	5	44%	78.0	75.6	+2.4
7	Neptunas	8	3	5	38%	76.5	73.4	+3.1
8	Alytaus Dzukija	8	3	5	38%	69.5	80.5	-11.0
9	Juventus	9	3	6	33%	79.2	83.0	-3.8
10	Siauliai	9	1	8	11%	69.7	90.8	-21.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Nevezis	10	17	18	23	68
Zalgiris Kaunas	27	17	9	28	81

← all games of the day

Nevezis vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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