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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 77-67
20-14 21-12 17-22 19-19
Position#1
Record6-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game69.0
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas
Lithuania
Position#4
Record3-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game72.9
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas
25 Apr 2027
ZAL v NEP
upcoming
15 Nov 2026
ZAL v NEP
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
ZAL119
NEP81
08 Feb 2026
ZAL87
NEP76
04 Jan 2026
ZAL112
NEP77
24 May 2025
ZAL88
NEP75
07 May 2025
ZAL84
NEP49
15 Dec 2024
ZAL91
NEP75
27 Nov 2023
ZAL76
NEP88
08 Jan 2023
ZAL77
NEP46
11 May 2022
ZAL89
NEP60
07 May 2022
ZAL87
NEP71
02 May 2022
ZAL92
NEP88
10 Oct 2021
ZAL98
NEP79
28 Feb 2021
ZAL85
NEP72
13 Feb 2021
ZAL84
NEP72
22 Nov 2020
ZAL81
NEP59
01 Dec 2019
ZAL100
NEP82
09 May 2019
ZAL90
NEP80
14 Oct 2018
ZAL60
NEP75
10 Apr 2018
ZAL94
NEP47
05 Nov 2017
ZAL88
NEP62
19 May 2017
ZAL83
NEP60
13 May 2017
ZAL83
NEP54
05 Mar 2017
ZAL69
NEP78
23 Oct 2016
ZAL77
NEP67
06 Jun 2016
ZAL97
NEP70
31 May 2016
ZAL78
NEP54
25 May 2016
ZAL83
NEP72
31 Jan 2016
ZAL89
NEP57
11 Oct 2015
ZAL81
NEP71
01 Mar 2015
ZAL86
NEP90
02 Nov 2014
ZAL86
NEP48
06 Jun 2014
ZAL90
NEP70
31 May 2014
ZAL88
NEP72
26 May 2014
ZAL92
NEP83
07 Apr 2014
ZAL79
NEP88
23 Apr 2013
ZAL99
NEP83
20 Jan 2013
ZAL111
NEP87
26 Feb 2012
ZAL85
NEP84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
W
97-70
97
70
+27
no box
H06/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
86-90
86
90
-4
no box
A22/09
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
90-70
90
70
+20
no box
H24/09
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
98-45
98
45
+53
no box
A28/09
LKL
Skycop
#6
W
79-66
79
66
+13
no box
H02/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
A05/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
74-66
74
66
+8
no box
A08/10
LKL
Panathinaikos
#5
L
76-84
76
84
-8
102avg 105
A14/10
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
79-64
79
64
+15
no box
H17/10
LKL
Baskonia
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
109avg 105
H21/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
29-14
20-25
23-14
17-22
22-30
29-17
18-21
21-29
24-11
16-21
29-9
26-15
27-11
25-4
20-15
19-14
19-19
26-14
15-19
27-29
22-16
15-19
22-18
15-19
19-19
22-8
18-20
15-20
15-17
22-14
24-33
17-15
23-12
21-14
18-23
20-23
14-17
27-21
17-12
155.3Avg total
84.3Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.669.0153.6+15.686%
Season at home (3)82.766.7149.3+16.0100%
Season away (4)86.070.8156.8+15.275%
Last 10 (10)84.371.0155.3+13.380%
Last 5 (5)78.673.8152.4+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.080.7152.7-8.70%
vs Similar (2)77.078.5155.5-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)84.771.2155.9+13.588%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
50-74
50
74
-24
no box
H03/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-97
70
97
-27
no box
A06/06
LKL
Skycop
#6
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
no box
H21/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
L
55-61
55
61
-6
no box
H28/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
no box
A01/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
74-93
74
93
-19
no box
A05/10
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
80-56
80
56
+24
no box
A09/10
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
95-67
95
67
+28
no box
H12/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
75-60
75
60
+15
no box
H16/10
LKL
Usak Sportif
#33
W
67-65
67
65
+2
no box
A19/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
25-11
10-26
4-19
17-25
14-29
25-20
14-23
14-23
21-13
21-12
10-18
12-18
8-10
12-10
23-23
22-16
26-27
17-23
16-15
14-18
22-25
16-32
22-18
19-17
20-14
23-10
18-15
27-18
28-20
24-14
16-15
20-13
18-12
13-20
24-15
23-15
21-16
9-19
14-15
147.8Avg total
73.2Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.972.9150.7+5.043%
Season at home (4)75.266.8142.0+8.550%
Season away (3)81.381.0162.3+0.333%
Last 10 (10)73.274.6147.8-1.440%
Last 5 (5)78.268.2146.4+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)70.275.8146.1-5.633%
vs Similar (9)79.481.6161.0-2.144%
vs Weaker (9)82.772.6155.2+10.167%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +6.6+6.6Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +6.6+6.6Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
Zalgiris KaunasNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H06/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A22/09
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H24/09
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
53-26
53
26
+27
A28/09
LKL
Skycop
#6
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H02/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A05/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A08/10
LKL
Panathinaikos
#5
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A14/10
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H17/10
LKL
Baskonia
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H21/10
Euroleague
78.5Avg total
41.6Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.637.078.6+4.763%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.634.678.1+9.078%-
Last 30 away (12)38.840.679.3-1.842%-
Last 10 (10)41.636.978.5+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.474.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.736.776.3+3.0100%-
vs Similar (2)32.038.570.5-6.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)42.636.979.5+5.864%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H03/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A06/06
LKL
Skycop
#6
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
L
20-28
20
28
-8
H28/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A01/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A05/10
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A09/10
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H12/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H16/10
LKL
Usak Sportif
#33
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A19/10
Champions League
74.0Avg total
38.2Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.076.9+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.932.673.5+8.377%-
Last 30 away (17)39.140.479.5-1.335%-
Last 10 (10)38.235.874.0+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.433.676.0+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.137.374.4-0.242%-
vs Similar (9)40.840.180.9+0.744%-
vs Weaker (9)42.833.676.3+9.278%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.020.5
47.7%
55.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.5
27.7%
35.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws19.015.5
81.6%
73.8%15.5
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
2
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
06/06/16Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas97-70
03/06/16Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas50-74
31/05/16Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas78-54
28/05/16Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas76-54
25/05/16Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas83-72
03/04/16Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas70-78
31/01/16Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas89-57
06/12/15Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas73-82
11/10/15Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas81-71
01/03/15Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas86-90
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/16HBaskonia78-73
17/10/16HAlytaus Dzukija79-64
14/10/16APanathinaikos76-84
08/10/16ARytas74-66
05/10/16APieno Zvaigzdes86-82
02/10/16HSkycop79-66
28/09/16ASiauliai98-45
24/09/16HJuventus90-70
22/09/16ALietkabelis86-90
06/06/16HNeptunas97-70
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/16AUsak Sportif67-65
16/10/16HJuventus75-60
12/10/16HSiauliai95-67
09/10/16AAlytaus Dzukija80-56
05/10/16ALietkabelis74-93
01/10/16ANevezis90-94 OT
28/09/16HPieno Zvaigzdes55-61
21/09/16HSkycop76-79 OT
06/06/16AZalgiris Kaunas70-97
03/06/16HZalgiris Kaunas50-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game84.682.786.0
Allowed / game69.066.770.8
Point differential+15.6+16.0+15.2
Avg total153.6149.3156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW43%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game77.975.281.3
Allowed / game72.966.881.0
Point differential+5.0+8.5+0.3
Avg total150.7142.0162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %29%25%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas76186%84.669.0+15.6
2 Rytas86275%78.571.4+7.1
3 Lietkabelis86275%83.478.1+5.2
4 Pieno Zvaigzdes84450%76.274.9+1.4
5 Nevezis84450%83.082.9+0.1
6 Neptunas73443%77.972.9+5.0
7 Skycop83538%76.674.5+2.1
8 Juventus83538%78.682.2-3.6
9 Alytaus Dzukija83538%69.580.5-11.0
10 Siauliai81712%70.189.5-19.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2021171977
Neptunas1412221967
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