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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Hapoel Tel-Aviv Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 31 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record7-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#10
Record6-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game87.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 35· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Hapoel Tel-Aviv
31 Mar 2027
ZAL v HTA
upcoming
13 Feb 2026
ZAL93
HTA82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Hapoel Tel-Aviv win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Taurage
#9
W
96-76
96
76
+20
95avg 88
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
105-85
105
85
+20
106avg 88
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
86-63
86
63
+23
93avg 88
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
91-74
91
74
+17
89avg 88
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 88
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
94-89
94
89
+5
no box
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#13
W
83-67
83
67
+16
no box
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
94-85
94
85
+9
no box
A08/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Neptunas
#5
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
H15/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
18-19
30-14
23-20
29-20
21-14
31-25
24-26
24-15
17-11
24-14
21-23
14-22
23-13
28-18
26-21
27-21
17-19
25-17
18-23
25-21
17-28
28-20
24-20
20-17
25-14
17-13
21-23
21-17
27-25
12-20
34-23
18-25
27-16
18-11
23-31
23-29
25-14
21-25
18-14
169.3Avg total
90.9Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.682.4168.0+3.364%
Season at home (4)88.285.8174.0+2.550%
Season away (7)84.180.4164.6+3.771%
Last 10 (10)90.978.4169.3+12.5100%
Last 5 (5)88.881.2170.0+7.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.093.0184.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (4)84.584.2168.8+0.275%
vs Weaker (25)92.677.8170.3+14.892%
This opponent (Hapoel Tel-Aviv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel-AvivLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTel-Aviv
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
W
91-81
91
81
+10
90avg 73
A16/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Ashdod
#7
W
81-67
81
67
+14
55avg 73
H18/10
Super League
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
90-81
90
81
+9
82avg 73
H21/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
60-70
60
70
-10
38avg 73
H25/10
Super League
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
118-88
118
88
+30
118avg 73
H28/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#9
L
83-97
83
97
-14
73avg 73
A30/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#9
W
105-87
105
87
+18
no box
A01/11
Super League
Barcelona
#4
L
90-93
90
93
-3
no box
H05/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Bnei Herzliya
#10
W
78-71
78
71
+7
no box
H14/11
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-25
19-21
20-15
23-20
23-28
23-20
14-7
21-12
23-25
13-23
28-14
26-19
14-16
13-18
20-17
13-19
27-21
36-20
27-18
28-29
22-19
18-26
20-29
23-23
26-22
33-25
24-16
22-24
21-19
25-27
18-27
26-20
21-25
12-16
19-15
21-24
23-18
22-20
16-9
17-24
168.4Avg total
86.9Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)90.487.2177.5+3.255%
Season at home (6)97.388.0185.3+9.367%
Season away (5)82.086.2168.2-4.240%
Last 10 (10)86.981.5168.4+5.460%
Last 5 (5)85.885.6171.4+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)90.290.5180.8-0.250%
vs Similar ◀ (5)83.885.4169.2-1.640%
vs Weaker (17)83.174.0157.1+9.176%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
Zalgiris KaunasHapoel Tel-Aviv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Taurage
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#13
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A08/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/11
Euroleague
Neptunas
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H15/11
LKL
82.6Avg total
44.3Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.938.883.7+6.173%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.538.785.2+7.987%-
Last 30 away (15)43.338.982.3+4.460%-
Last 10 (10)44.338.382.6+6.090%-
Last 5 (5)45.641.286.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.044.088.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)42.244.086.2-1.825%-
vs Weaker (25)45.437.883.2+7.684%-
This opponent (Hapoel Tel-Aviv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel-AvivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A16/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Ashdod
#7
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H18/10
Super League
Virtus Bologna
#16
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H21/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H25/10
Super League
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
63-41
63
41
+22
H28/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A30/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#9
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A01/11
Super League
Barcelona
#4
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H05/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A12/11
Euroleague
Bnei Herzliya
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H14/11
Super League
87.7Avg total
44.3Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)45.442.688.0+2.862%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.643.289.9+3.462%-
Last 30 away (13)43.841.885.6+2.162%-
Last 10 (10)44.343.487.7+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)44.643.488.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)46.944.591.4+2.475%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)43.441.484.8+2.040%-
vs Weaker (16)45.242.087.2+3.262%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.8
56.1%
55.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.910.8
43.4%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
77.1%16.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hapoel Tel-Avivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel Tel-Aviv: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.9
56.3%
55.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.8
40.6%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.214.0
76.9%
77.1%14.0
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWWWW
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
WLLWLWLWWW
#8
League position
#10
+11.2
Net rating
+7.3
106.4
Offensive rating
105.2
95.2
Defensive rating
97.8
59.8%
Effective FG%
58.2%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
16.4%
Turnover %
12.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.28
43.4%
3-point %
40.6%
69.0%
Assist %
51.4%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 105.2Defence95.2 · 97.8Shooting59.8% · 58.2%3-point %43.4% · 40.6%Ball care16.4% · 12.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)100% · 60%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Hapoel Tel-Aviv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Hapoel Tel-Aviv wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HNeptunas87-82
12/11/26AOlimpia Milano86-83
08/11/26AJuventus94-85
06/11/26ABesiktas83-67
02/11/26ARytas94-89
30/10/26HPartizan87-80
28/10/26AVirtus Bologna91-74
25/10/26HJonava86-63
23/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne105-85
18/10/26HTaurage96-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HBnei Herzliya78-71
12/11/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv73-80
05/11/26HBarcelona90-93
01/11/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv105-87
30/10/26ADubai83-97
28/10/26HAnadolu Efes118-88
25/10/26HHapoel Jerusalem60-70
21/10/26HVirtus Bologna90-81
18/10/26HMaccabi Ashdod81-67
16/10/26APanathinaikos91-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %64%50%71%
Points / game85.688.284.1
Allowed / game82.485.880.4
Point differential+3.3+2.5+3.7
Avg total168.0174.0164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL55%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game90.497.382.0
Allowed / game87.288.086.2
Point differential+3.2+9.3-4.2
Avg total177.5185.3168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos118373%86.478.5+7.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Valencia118373%96.488.9+7.5
4 Barcelona118373%89.687.4+2.3
5 Real Madrid117464%98.590.1+8.4
6 Crvena zvezda117464%83.377.7+5.5
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%85.682.4+3.3
9 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Anadolu Efes115645%85.987.5-1.5
13 Besiktas115645%88.490.9-2.5
14 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne114736%88.593.2-4.6
16 Virtus Bologna114736%86.190.7-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
18 Bayern113827%86.895.2-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano111109%81.389.3-8.0
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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