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Zielona Gora vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 31 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 91-83
26-18 22-20 23-23 20-22
Position#11
Record1-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game88.8
Zielona Gora 🏆
Russia
vs
Astana
Russia
Position#12
Record2-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game81.1
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Zielona Gora v Astana
31 Jan 2022
ZGO91
AST83
14 Dec 2020
ZGO110
AST86
22 Dec 2019
ZGO78
AST81
29 Oct 2018
ZGO82
AST91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zielona Gora winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zielona GoraRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGora
Date
Competition
Saratov
#6
L
74-81
74
81
-7
no box
A11/12
VTB United League
Bydgoszcz
#8
L
88-106
88
106
-18
no box
A16/12
Energa Basket Liga
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
59-93
59
93
-34
50avg 73
H20/12
VTB United League
Legia
#6
W
100-66
100
66
+34
no box
H22/12
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#5
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
no box
A27/12
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
79-83
79
83
-4
no box
H02/01
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#10
W
87-71
87
71
+16
no box
H12/01
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#11
W
85-70
85
70
+15
no box
H20/01
Energa Basket Liga
Unics Kazan
#3
L
80-85
80
85
-5
82avg 73
H23/01
VTB United League
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
A28/01
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
14-8
17-22
18-32
28-27
20-23
25-29
15-27
19-23
13-32
15-20
12-18
21-14
22-26
27-9
30-17
24-33
20-18
26-14
11-16
17-21
26-23
16-23
20-16
16-24
31-23
19-14
21-10
17-14
21-19
20-13
27-24
22-15
29-21
16-25
13-24
18-16
14-20
20-24
26-23
164.1Avg total
81.8Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.688.8164.5-13.29%
Season at home (5)80.487.0167.4-6.620%
Season away (6)71.790.3162.0-18.70%
Last 10 (10)81.882.3164.1-0.540%
Last 5 (5)81.878.4160.2+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.092.1166.1-18.10%
vs Similar ◀ (6)83.389.5172.8-6.217%
vs Weaker (15)90.678.9169.5+11.773%
This opponent (Astana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstana
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
112-49
112
49
+63
no box
H13/12
National League
Parma Perm
#5
L
101-108 OT
101
108
-7
no box
A19/12
VTB United League
Aktobe
#3
W
98-59
98
59
+39
no box
H23/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
104-58
104
58
+46
no box
H24/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
77-61
77
61
+16
no box
A26/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
79-54
79
54
+25
no box
A27/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
102-60
102
60
+42
no box
A19/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
105-50
105
50
+55
no box
A20/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
88-57
88
57
+31
no box
H26/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
98-80
98
80
+18
no box
H27/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
38-7
32-21
20-5
24-24
14-17
20-19
18-16
29-16
24-22
25-13
20-8
30-14
22-18
23-10
29-16
24-11
15-15
20-20
18-15
24-13
18-20
14-6
23-15
31-21
29-16
22-15
20-8
34-13
14-10
25-9
32-18
30-11
15-18
17-13
26-15
27-21
28-21
21-17
22-21
160.0Avg total
96.4Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.681.1159.8-2.525%
Season at home (2)82.078.5160.5+3.550%
Season away (6)77.582.0159.5-4.517%
Last 10 (10)96.463.6160.0+32.890%
Last 5 (5)94.460.2154.6+34.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.982.7160.6-4.914%
vs Similar ◀ (1)84.070.0154.0+14.0100%
vs Weaker (22)93.359.0152.3+34.3100%
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +11.5+11.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +7.6+7.6Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +9.1+9.1
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +11.5+11.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +7.6+7.6Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +9.1+9.1
Zielona GoraAstana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zielona GoraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saratov
#6
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A11/12
VTB United League
Bydgoszcz
#8
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A16/12
Energa Basket Liga
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
32-55
32
55
-23
H20/12
VTB United League
Legia
#6
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H22/12
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A27/12
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H02/01
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#10
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H12/01
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#11
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H20/01
Energa Basket Liga
Unics Kazan
#3
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H23/01
VTB United League
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A28/01
Energa Basket Liga
83.6Avg total
41.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.343.186.4+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.444.289.6+1.250%-
Last 30 away (18)41.942.484.3-0.444%-
Last 10 (10)41.741.983.6-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.281.4+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.946.885.7-7.922%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)44.744.889.5-0.233%-
vs Weaker (15)45.540.285.7+5.367%-
This opponent (Astana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
60-23
60
23
+37
H13/12
National League
Parma Perm
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A19/12
VTB United League
Aktobe
#3
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H23/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H24/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A26/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A27/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
60-37
60
37
+23
A19/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A20/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H26/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H27/01
National League
81.6Avg total
49.2Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.733.380.0+13.483%-
Last 30 at home (12)50.333.784.0+16.7100%-
Last 30 away (18)44.333.177.4+11.372%-
Last 10 (10)49.232.481.6+16.890%-
Last 5 (5)50.032.882.8+17.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.339.978.1-1.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)43.035.078.0+8.0100%-
vs Weaker (22)49.631.180.7+18.5100%-
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zielona Goratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zielona Gora: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.419.4
49.2%
52.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.3
33.6%
35.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.714.6
78.1%
77.1%14.6
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.3
56.1%
52.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.5
32.6%
35.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws12.89.4
73.4%
77.1%9.4
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zielona Gora
LLWWLWWLLL
Astana
WWWWWWWWLW
#11
League position
#12
-15.3
Net rating
-9.2
102.1
Offensive rating
100.8
117.4
Defensive rating
110.1
49.7%
Effective FG%
53.0%
58.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
19.8%
Turnover %
20.4%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.21
33.6%
3-point %
32.6%
62.5%
Assist %
61.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 100.8Defence117.4 · 110.1Shooting49.7% · 53.0%3-point %33.6% · 32.6%Ball care19.8% · 20.4%Off. rebounds28.4% · 24.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Zielona Gora   ■ Astana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Zielona Gora wins
6
Astana wins
DateGameScore
16/10/21Astana v Zielona Gora84-70
22/04/21Astana v Zielona Gora88-82
14/12/20Zielona Gora v Astana110-86
26/01/20Astana v Zielona Gora92-80
22/12/19Zielona Gora v Astana78-81
12/02/19Astana v Zielona Gora84-70
29/10/18Zielona Gora v Astana82-91
Zielona Goralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/22ADabrowa Gornicza78-83
23/01/22HUnics Kazan80-85
20/01/22HLublin85-70
12/01/22HSzczecin87-71
02/01/22HAnwil Wloclawek79-83
27/12/21ASlask Wroclaw88-85 OT
22/12/21HLegia100-66
20/12/21HCSKA Moscow59-93
16/12/21ABydgoszcz88-106
11/12/21ASaratov74-81
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/22HAtyrau98-80
26/01/22HAtyrau88-57
20/01/22ATobol Kostanay105-50
19/01/22ATobol Kostanay102-60
27/12/21AAktobe79-54
26/12/21AAktobe77-61
24/12/21HAktobe104-58
23/12/21HAktobe98-59
19/12/21AParma Perm101-108 OT
13/12/21HTobol Kostanay112-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zielona Gora
VTB United League 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %9%20%0%
Points / game75.680.471.7
Allowed / game88.887.090.3
Point differential-13.2-6.6-18.7
Avg total164.5167.4162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Astana
VTB United League 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %25%50%17%
Points / game78.682.077.5
Allowed / game81.178.582.0
Point differential-2.5+3.5-4.5
Avg total159.8160.5159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %25%50%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan1210283%81.272.8+8.3
2 CSKA Moscow129375%86.167.2+18.8
3 Zenit Petersburg129375%84.873.5+11.2
4 Saratov118373%86.987.3-0.4
5 Parma Perm106460%78.075.3+2.7
6 Lokomotiv Kuban106460%91.491.4+0.0
7 Nizhny Novgorod115645%78.881.9-3.1
8 Enisey114736%79.884.5-4.6
9 BC Kalev/Cramo113827%71.280.1-8.9
10 Astana82625%78.681.1-2.5
11 Minsk91811%73.188.2-15.1
12 Zielona Gora111109%75.688.8-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zielona Gora2622232091
Astana1820232283
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