Tobol Kostanay vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Jan 2022

Tip-off: 13:30

Final 50-105

13-34 10-14 9-25 18-32

Position#4

Record3-10

FormLLLLL

Points / game69.2

Allowed / game92.5

Tobol Kostanay

Astana 🏆

Position#1

Record13-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game93.9

Allowed / game55.5

National League

Other2021-22

Meetings · Tobol Kostanay v Astana

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Astana winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKostanay

Date

Competition

Astana

54-94

-40

no box

H23/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

81-80

no box

A07/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

75-80

-5

no box

A08/11

National League

Atyrau

84-90

-6

no box

A11/11

National League

Atyrau

79-94

-15

no box

A12/11

National League

Astana

48-107

107

-59

no box

A12/12

National League

Astana

49-112

112

-63

no box

A13/12

National League

Atyrau

73-88

-15

no box

H18/12

National League

Atyrau

77-91

-14

no box

H19/12

National League

Astana

60-102

102

-42

no box

H19/01

National League

10-24

15-17

12-25

17-28

19-23

24-16

23-24

15-17

14-15

17-18

23-23

21-24

19-19

25-22

19-25

21-24

17-29

20-24

27-28

15-13

10-30

9-28

13-21

16-28

16-22

7-38

21-32

5-20

24-27

17-13

13-24

19-24

13-25

20-22

25-23

19-21

21-31

16-29

15-22

8-20

161.8Avg total

68.0Scored

93.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	69.2	92.5	161.6	-23.3	23%
Season at home (7)	69.0	91.3	160.3	-22.3	29%
Season away (6)	69.3	93.8	163.2	-24.5	17%
Last 10 (10)	68.0	93.8	161.8	-25.8	10%
Last 5 (5)	61.4	100.0	161.4	-38.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	66.8	88.7	155.5	-21.9	17%
vs Similar (2)	78.0	80.0	158.0	-2.0	50%
vs Weaker (10)	85.2	73.4	158.6	+11.8	80%

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Astana

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAstana

Date

Competition

BC Kalev/Cramo

67-85

-18

58avg 70

A05/12

VTB United League

Enisey

80-87 OT

-7

no box

H10/12

VTB United League

Tobol Kostanay

107-48

107

+59

no box

H12/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

112-49

112

+63

no box

H13/12

National League

Parma Perm

101-108 OT

101

108

-7

no box

A19/12

VTB United League

Aktobe

98-59

+39

no box

H23/12

National League

Aktobe

104-58

104

+46

no box

H24/12

National League

Aktobe

77-61

+16

no box

A26/12

National League

Aktobe

79-54

+25

no box

A27/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

102-60

102

+42

no box

A19/01

National League

18-14

14-21

19-26

16-24

28-18

7-16

21-12

14-24

30-10

28-9

21-13

28-16

22-16

38-7

32-21

20-5

24-24

14-17

20-19

18-16

29-16

24-22

25-13

20-8

30-14

22-18

23-10

29-16

24-11

15-15

20-20

18-15

24-13

18-20

14-6

23-15

31-21

29-16

22-15

20-8

159.6Avg total

92.7Scored

66.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	93.9	55.5	149.4	+38.5	100%
Season at home (4)	105.2	53.5	158.8	+51.8	100%
Season away (9)	88.9	56.3	145.2	+32.6	100%
Last 10 (10)	92.7	66.9	159.6	+25.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	92.0	58.4	150.4	+33.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	78.6	83.1	161.7	-4.6	22%
vs Similar (2)	79.0	89.5	168.5	-10.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	92.7	58.5	151.2	+34.3	100%

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Tobol KostanayAstana

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.7	22.9	42.5	-3.2	24%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	22.8	43.3	-2.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	23.0	41.5	-4.5	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	24.5	40.8	-8.2	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	27.0	43.8	-10.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.8	25.3	43.1	-7.5	6%	-
vs Similar (2)	16.5	19.0	35.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.5	19.5	43.0	+4.0	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.8	17.1	41.9	+7.7	80%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	25.2	18.5	43.7	+6.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	24.5	16.0	40.5	+8.5	88%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.0	15.7	41.7	+10.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.6	15.0	42.6	+12.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.4	19.0	41.4	+3.4	67%	-
vs Similar (2)	22.0	21.5	43.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	26.2	15.7	41.9	+10.5	89%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.3	20.8	40.1	-1.6	41%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	20.1	39.6	-0.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.9	21.8	40.7	-2.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	22.7	39.7	-5.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	26.0	39.8	-12.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.7	22.6	40.3	-4.9	29%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.5	17.0	37.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.7	18.6	40.3	+3.1	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	17.6	38.4	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.3	17.6	39.9	+4.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	16.1	37.0	+4.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.2	39.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	15.7	20.9	36.6	-5.2	22%	-
vs Similar (2)	18.5	24.5	43.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	23.4	15.4	38.8	+8.1	79%	-

Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Astana

25-41

-16

H23/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

43-39

A07/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

31-33

-2

A08/11

National League

Atyrau

44-41

A11/11

National League

Atyrau

37-53

-16

A12/11

National League

Astana

19-58

-39

A12/12

National League

Astana

23-60

-37

A13/12

National League

Atyrau

41-40

H18/12

National League

Atyrau

33-47

-14

H19/12

National League

Astana

37-60

-23

H19/01

National League

80.5Avg total

33.3Scored

47.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.9	43.7	82.6	-4.8	48%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.1	42.8	82.9	-2.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.5	44.8	82.2	-7.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.3	47.2	80.5	-13.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.6	53.0	83.6	-22.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	35.5	47.9	83.4	-12.4	35%	-
vs Similar (2)	37.0	36.0	73.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	45.2	38.1	83.3	+7.1	70%	-

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BC Kalev/Cramo

32-35

-3

A05/12

VTB United League

Enisey

35-34

H10/12

VTB United League

Tobol Kostanay

58-19

+39

H12/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

60-23

+37

H13/12

National League

Parma Perm

38-41

-3

A19/12

VTB United League

Aktobe

53-38

+15

H23/12

National League

Aktobe

52-32

+20

H24/12

National League

Aktobe

39-26

+13

A26/12

National League

Aktobe

42-33

A27/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

60-37

+23

A19/01

National League

78.7Avg total

46.9Scored

31.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.6	34.7	80.3	+10.8	77%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	47.5	36.2	83.6	+11.3	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	44.1	33.6	77.8	+10.5	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.9	31.8	78.7	+15.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.2	33.2	82.4	+16.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	38.1	39.9	78.0	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	40.5	46.0	86.5	-5.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	49.6	31.1	80.7	+18.5	100%	-

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.1	21.4	40.6	-2.3	28%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	21.5	39.9	-3.1	25%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.0	21.4	41.4	-1.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	24.7	43.8	-5.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	24.4	41.8	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.2	23.1	40.4	-5.9	12%	-
vs Similar (2)	23.0	23.5	46.5	-0.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.6	18.2	39.8	+3.4	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	15.8	36.6	+4.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.1	16.0	39.1	+7.1	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.0	15.7	34.7	+3.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	15.5	37.2	+6.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	12.8	33.6	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	25.0	15.0	40.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.6	14.5	36.2	+7.1	74%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.4	20.8	38.2	-3.3	34%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.6	21.0	38.6	-3.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.2	20.5	37.7	-3.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	21.9	37.5	-6.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.4	22.6	36.0	-9.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	16.8	22.9	39.8	-6.1	18%	-
vs Similar (2)	18.0	20.5	38.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.4	17.1	35.5	+1.3	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	15.7	35.8	+4.3	77%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	17.5	37.6	+2.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.0	14.4	34.4	+5.6	88%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	14.7	35.3	+5.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	12.4	34.4	+9.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	56%	-
vs Similar (2)	13.5	28.5	42.0	-15.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.5	12.8	34.3	+8.6	95%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.6	42.2	78.8	-5.6	34%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.1	42.5	78.6	-6.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.2	41.8	79.1	-4.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.7	46.6	81.3	-11.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.8	47.0	77.8	-16.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	34.1	46.1	80.1	-12.0	12%	-
vs Similar (2)	41.0	44.0	85.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (10)	40.0	35.3	75.3	+4.7	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	31.6	72.4	+9.3	73%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.2	33.5	76.7	+9.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.0	30.1	69.1	+8.9	76%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	30.2	72.5	+12.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	25.2	68.0	+17.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	36.6	37.8	74.3	-1.2	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	38.5	43.5	82.0	-5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	43.1	27.4	70.5	+15.7	95%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Tobol Kostanaytheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 75.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀12%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 12% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	20.3	56.1%	50.5%	40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.1	8.5	32.6%	30.4%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	12.8	9.4	73.4%	69.6%	9.4

They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	18.4	51.8%	50.5%	36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.7	10.1	35.2%	30.4%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	20.0	15.3	76.5%	69.6%	15.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	18.6	51.6%	50.5%	37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.3	8.8	34.8%	30.4%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	16.5	12.0	73.1%	69.6%	12.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	20.0	52.3%	50.5%	40.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	9.5	37.3%	30.4%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.9	77.2%	69.6%	15.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tobol Kostanay wins

Astana wins

Date	Game	Score
19/01/22	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	60-102
13/12/21	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	112-49
12/12/21	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	107-48
23/10/21	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	54-94
22/10/21	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	50-100
07/04/21	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	0-20
06/04/21	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	107-57
18/01/21	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	82-110
17/01/21	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	72-88
18/01/20	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	92-101

Tobol Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/01/22	H	Astana	60-102
19/12/21	H	Atyrau	77-91
18/12/21	H	Atyrau	73-88
13/12/21	A	Astana	49-112
12/12/21	A	Astana	48-107
12/11/21	A	Atyrau	79-94
11/11/21	A	Atyrau	84-90
08/11/21	A	Kaspiy Aktau	75-80
07/11/21	A	Kaspiy Aktau	81-80
23/10/21	H	Astana	54-94

Astanalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/01/22	A	Tobol Kostanay	102-60
27/12/21	A	Aktobe	79-54
26/12/21	A	Aktobe	77-61
24/12/21	H	Aktobe	104-58
23/12/21	H	Aktobe	98-59
19/12/21	A	Parma Perm	101-108 OT
13/12/21	H	Tobol Kostanay	112-49
12/12/21	H	Tobol Kostanay	107-48
10/12/21	H	Enisey	80-87 OT
05/12/21	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	67-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay

National League 2021-22

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	23%
Home	LLLLL	29%
Away	LLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	23%	29%	17%
Points / game	69.2	69.0	69.3
Allowed / game	92.5	91.3	93.8
Point differential	-23.3	-22.3	-24.5
Avg total	161.6	160.3	163.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Astana

National League 2021-22

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	4	9
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	93.9	105.2	88.9
Allowed / game	55.5	53.5	56.3
Point differential	+38.5	+51.8	+32.6
Avg total	149.4	158.8	145.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	13	13	0	100%	93.9	55.5	+38.5
2	Atyrau	14	11	3	79%	80.3	72.9	+7.4
3	Aktobe	14	4	10	29%	70.1	77.7	-7.6
4	Tobol Kostanay	13	3	10	23%	69.2	92.5	-23.3
5	Kaspiy Aktau	12	2	10	17%	64.2	80.4	-16.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tobol Kostanay	13	10	9	18	50
Astana	34	14	25	32	105

← all games of the day

Tobol Kostanay vs Astana Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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