Astana vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 13 Dec 2021

Tip-off: 13:30

Final 112-49

22-16 38-7 32-21 20-5

Position#1

Record7-0

FormLLLLW

Points / game92.7

Allowed / game54.3

Astana 🏆

Tobol Kostanay

Position#4

Record3-6

FormWLLLL

Points / game71.1

Allowed / game89.9

National League

Other2021-22

Meetings · Astana v Tobol Kostanay

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astana winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tobol Kostanay winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Astana

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAstana

Date

Competition

Zielona Gora

#11

84-70

+14

82avg 70

H16/10

VTB United League

Tobol Kostanay

100-50

100

+50

no box

A22/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

94-54

+40

no box

A23/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

97-59

+38

no box

A31/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

94-54

+40

no box

A01/11

National League

Saratov

82-83

-1

no box

A07/11

VTB United League

Unics Kazan

59-71

-12

50avg 70

A14/11

VTB United League

BC Kalev/Cramo

67-85

-18

58avg 70

A05/12

VTB United League

Enisey

80-87 OT

-7

no box

H10/12

VTB United League

Tobol Kostanay

107-48

107

+59

no box

H12/12

National League

27-18

16-17

26-13

15-22

26-13

23-16

26-8

25-13

24-10

17-15

25-12

28-17

40-20

20-18

13-15

24-6

23-13

36-8

17-19

18-14

31-20

20-27

10-20

21-16

15-26

16-10

12-15

16-20

18-14

14-21

19-26

16-24

28-18

7-16

21-12

14-24

30-10

28-9

21-13

28-16

152.5Avg total

86.4Scored

66.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	92.7	54.3	147.0	+38.4	100%
Season at home (1)	107.0	48.0	155.0	+59.0	100%
Season away (6)	90.3	55.3	145.7	+35.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	86.4	66.1	152.5	+20.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	74.8	153.8	+4.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	77.0	83.1	160.1	-6.1	18%
vs Similar (3)	79.3	85.7	165.0	-6.3	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	86.6	56.4	143.0	+30.1	94%

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKostanay

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau

81-74

no box

A16/05

National League

Aktobe

77-74

no box

H10/10

National League

Aktobe

92-90

no box

H11/10

National League

Astana

50-100

100

-50

no box

H22/10

National League

Astana

54-94

-40

no box

H23/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

81-80

no box

A07/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

75-80

-5

no box

A08/11

National League

Atyrau

84-90

-6

no box

A11/11

National League

Atyrau

79-94

-15

no box

A12/11

National League

Astana

48-107

107

-59

no box

A12/12

National League

20-20

23-23

18-14

20-17

16-20

22-17

22-18

17-19

23-18

22-25

23-28

24-19

13-26

16-23

8-26

13-25

10-24

15-17

12-25

17-28

19-23

24-16

23-24

15-17

14-15

17-18

23-23

21-24

19-19

25-22

19-25

21-24

17-29

20-24

27-28

15-13

10-30

9-28

13-21

16-28

160.4Avg total

72.1Scored

88.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	71.1	89.9	161.0	-18.8	33%
Season at home (4)	68.2	89.5	157.8	-21.2	50%
Season away (5)	73.4	90.2	163.6	-16.8	20%
Last 10 (10)	72.1	88.3	160.4	-16.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	90.2	163.6	-16.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	69.9	85.3	155.2	-15.4	25%
vs Similar (2)	78.0	80.0	158.0	-2.0	50%
vs Weaker (12)	86.0	75.2	161.2	+10.8	83%

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AstanaTobol Kostanay

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	24.7	17.8	42.4	+6.9	76%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	25.7	18.9	44.6	+6.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.9	16.8	40.7	+7.1	81%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.2	16.2	42.4	+10.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	17.6	42.0	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	22.6	19.1	41.7	+3.5	73%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.7	22.3	45.0	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	26.6	15.9	42.5	+10.7	87%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.6	22.1	42.7	-1.4	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	21.7	43.1	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	22.5	42.2	-2.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	22.4	38.5	-6.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	23.2	39.0	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.6	24.6	43.2	-6.0	13%	-
vs Similar (2)	16.5	19.0	35.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (12)	23.8	19.4	43.2	+4.4	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.3	18.5	38.9	+1.8	59%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.3	18.2	39.5	+3.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	18.8	38.3	+0.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	15.7	35.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	16.6	33.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.6	22.5	39.1	-5.8	27%	-
vs Similar (3)	18.7	21.7	40.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	23.4	15.0	38.4	+8.4	87%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.9	19.9	39.8	-0.1	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	19.7	39.4	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	20.1	40.2	-0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.3	40.6	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.6	40.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.4	21.4	39.8	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.5	17.0	37.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.6	18.6	40.2	+3.0	58%	-

AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zielona Gora

#11

43-35

H16/10

VTB United League

Tobol Kostanay

49-29

+20

A22/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

41-25

+16

A23/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

60-38

+22

A31/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

59-21

+38

A01/11

National League

Saratov

51-47

A07/11

VTB United League

Unics Kazan

31-36

-5

A14/11

VTB United League

BC Kalev/Cramo

32-35

-3

A05/12

VTB United League

Enisey

35-34

H10/12

VTB United League

Tobol Kostanay

58-19

+39

H12/12

National League

77.8Avg total

45.9Scored

31.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	45.0	36.3	81.3	+8.8	76%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	47.0	37.2	84.2	+9.8	85%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.4	35.6	79.0	+7.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.9	31.9	77.8	+14.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	34.2	75.6	+7.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	39.3	41.5	80.8	-2.3	45%	-
vs Similar (3)	41.3	44.0	85.3	-2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	50.0	30.9	80.9	+19.1	100%	-

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau

43-43

A16/05

National League

Aktobe

38-37

H10/10

National League

Aktobe

45-43

H11/10

National League

Astana

29-49

-20

H22/10

National League

Astana

25-41

-16

H23/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

43-39

A07/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

31-33

-2

A08/11

National League

Atyrau

44-41

A11/11

National League

Atyrau

37-53

-16

A12/11

National League

Astana

19-58

-39

A12/12

National League

79.1Avg total

35.4Scored

43.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.5	42.0	82.5	-1.5	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	41.4	82.5	-0.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.8	42.6	82.4	-2.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	43.7	79.1	-8.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	44.8	79.6	-10.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	37.0	46.0	83.0	-9.0	40%	-
vs Similar (2)	37.0	36.0	73.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	45.4	38.0	83.4	+7.4	75%	-

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.8	16.1	35.9	+3.7	59%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.3	15.7	37.0	+5.6	77%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	16.4	34.9	+2.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	15.3	34.3	+3.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	17.2	33.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.5	19.2	36.6	-1.7	27%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.0	13.7	36.7	+9.3	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.9	14.3	35.1	+6.6	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	20.7	39.7	-1.7	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	20.7	39.4	-1.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	20.7	39.9	-1.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	23.2	42.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	24.2	45.2	-3.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.2	21.8	39.0	-4.6	13%	-
vs Similar (2)	23.0	23.5	46.5	-0.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.5	18.8	39.3	+1.7	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	17.9	37.9	+2.1	66%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.4	19.2	38.5	+0.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.5	16.9	37.4	+3.6	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	17.2	37.7	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.5	45%	-
vs Similar (3)	15.0	28.0	43.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.5	13.7	35.2	+7.7	93%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.8	20.5	39.3	-1.7	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	20.9	40.0	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	20.1	38.6	-1.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	21.4	39.3	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.2	38.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.0	23.2	42.2	-4.2	27%	-
vs Similar (2)	18.0	20.5	38.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.8	17.2	35.9	+1.6	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.8	34.0	73.8	+5.8	59%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.7	34.8	75.5	+5.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.1	33.2	72.3	+5.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	32.5	72.0	+7.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	37.2	72.8	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	36.8	40.0	76.8	-3.2	18%	-
vs Similar (3)	38.0	41.7	79.7	-3.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	42.3	28.0	70.3	+14.3	93%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.8	41.2	79.0	-3.4	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.8	41.6	79.4	-3.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.8	40.8	78.6	-3.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	44.6	81.3	-7.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	45.4	84.0	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	36.2	45.0	81.2	-8.8	27%	-
vs Similar (2)	41.0	44.0	85.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (12)	39.2	36.0	75.2	+3.2	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 75.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀12%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 12% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	20.3	56.1%	50.5%	40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.1	8.5	32.6%	30.4%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	12.8	9.4	73.4%	69.6%	9.4

They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Tobol Kostanaytheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	18.4	51.8%	50.5%	36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.7	10.1	35.2%	30.4%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	20.0	15.3	76.5%	69.6%	15.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	18.6	51.6%	50.5%	37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.3	8.8	34.8%	30.4%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	16.5	12.0	73.1%	69.6%	12.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	20.0	52.3%	50.5%	40.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	9.5	37.3%	30.4%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.9	77.2%	69.6%	15.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Astana wins

Tobol Kostanay wins

Date	Game	Score
12/12/21	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	107-48
23/10/21	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	54-94
22/10/21	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	50-100
07/04/21	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	0-20
06/04/21	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	107-57
18/01/21	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	82-110
17/01/21	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	72-88
18/01/20	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	92-101
17/01/20	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	52-90
10/12/19	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	101-72

Astanalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/12/21	H	Tobol Kostanay	107-48
10/12/21	H	Enisey	80-87 OT
05/12/21	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	67-85
14/11/21	A	Unics Kazan	59-71
07/11/21	A	Saratov	82-83
01/11/21	A	Kaspiy Aktau	94-54
31/10/21	A	Kaspiy Aktau	97-59
23/10/21	A	Tobol Kostanay	94-54
22/10/21	A	Tobol Kostanay	100-50
16/10/21	H	Zielona Gora	84-70

Tobol Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/12/21	A	Astana	48-107
12/11/21	A	Atyrau	79-94
11/11/21	A	Atyrau	84-90
08/11/21	A	Kaspiy Aktau	75-80
07/11/21	A	Kaspiy Aktau	81-80
23/10/21	H	Astana	54-94
22/10/21	H	Astana	50-100
11/10/21	H	Aktobe	92-90
10/10/21	H	Aktobe	77-74
16/05/21	A	Kaspiy Aktau	81-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana

National League 2021-22

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	1	6
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	92.7	107.0	90.3
Allowed / game	54.3	48.0	55.3
Point differential	+38.4	+59.0	+35.0
Avg total	147.0	155.0	145.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Tobol Kostanay

National League 2021-22

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	33%
Home	WWLL	50%
Away	WLLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	33%	50%	20%
Points / game	71.1	68.2	73.4
Allowed / game	89.9	89.5	90.2
Point differential	-18.8	-21.2	-16.8
Avg total	161.0	157.8	163.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	7	7	0	100%	92.7	54.3	+38.4
2	Atyrau	10	7	3	70%	77.0	74.6	+2.4
3	Aktobe	10	4	6	40%	74.9	73.0	+1.9
4	Tobol Kostanay	9	3	6	33%	71.1	89.9	-18.8
5	Kaspiy Aktau	10	2	8	20%	64.7	79.0	-14.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Astana	22	38	32	20	112
Tobol Kostanay	16	7	21	5	49

← all games of the day

Astana vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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