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Zielona Gora vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Jan 2014
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 82-77
20-18 20-24 24-14 18-21
Position#54
Record0-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#9
Record8-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game71.5
EuropeEurocupRound 4
European cup2013
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zielona Gora winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zielona GoraLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polpharma Starogard
#10
W
91-55
91
55
+36
H16/12
Energa Basket Liga
Olympiacos
#5
L
80-91
80
91
-11
H19/12
Euroleague
Turow Zgorzelec
#1
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A22/12
Energa Basket Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#12
W
99-72
99
72
+27
H29/12
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#3
W
85-66
85
66
+19
A05/01
Energa Basket Liga
Unics Kazan
#2
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H08/01
Eurocup
Czarni Slupsk
#9
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H12/01
Energa Basket Liga
Oostende
#6
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A15/01
Eurocup
Valencia
#9
L
53-90
53
90
-37
A21/01
Eurocup
Rosa Radom
#8
W
91-89
91
89
+2
H25/01
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
28-9
18-16
33-9
18-22
16-21
28-29
18-19
16-31
14-19
20-23
23-23
26-14
20-20
31-18
22-20
19-14
19-17
19-12
28-23
23-23
19-17
12-22
18-15
15-28
17-10
17-22
32-13
19-23
17-21
9-17
29-15
13-21
11-22
16-21
13-26
28-15
10-15
33-20
20-39
158.4Avg total
79.9Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)66.381.0147.3-14.70%
Season at home (1)72.077.0149.0-5.00%
Season away (2)63.583.0146.5-19.50%
Last 10 (10)79.978.5158.4+1.450%
Last 5 (5)74.281.0155.2-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)70.980.0150.9-9.121%
vs Similar (3)82.783.3166.0-0.767%
vs Weaker (12)86.171.3157.4+14.892%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H22/12
ACB
Estudiantes
#14
W
96-84
96
84
+12
H27/12
ACB
Real Betis
#7
W
95-77
95
77
+18
A29/12
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A05/01
ACB
Oostende
#6
W
101-74
101
74
+27
H08/01
Eurocup
Tenerife
#11
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H11/01
ACB
Unics Kazan
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A15/01
Eurocup
Manresa
#17
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A19/01
ACB
Zielona Gora
#54
W
90-53
90
53
+37
H21/01
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#9
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H25/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
22-17
18-24
12-27
28-24
25-19
21-18
22-23
28-17
18-25
22-21
27-14
25-26
23-21
14-15
21-18
26-19
28-20
23-22
24-13
21-11
30-18
25-17
16-21
18-17
15-18
22-21
20-26
25-15
12-16
17-19
22-14
21-13
22-11
21-16
26-13
16-22
14-16
22-20
33-11
160.0Avg total
86.8Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.871.5159.3+16.262%
Season at home (7)94.768.6163.3+26.186%
Season away (6)79.775.0154.7+4.733%
Last 10 (10)86.873.2160.0+13.680%
Last 5 (5)83.667.0150.6+16.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)74.877.8152.5-3.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)89.171.5160.7+17.685%
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +4.3+4.3
Zielona GoraValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zielona GoraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polpharma Starogard
#10
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H16/12
Energa Basket Liga
Olympiacos
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H19/12
Euroleague
Turow Zgorzelec
#1
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A22/12
Energa Basket Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#12
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H29/12
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#3
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A05/01
Energa Basket Liga
Unics Kazan
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H08/01
Eurocup
Czarni Slupsk
#9
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H12/01
Energa Basket Liga
Oostende
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A15/01
Eurocup
Valencia
#9
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A21/01
Eurocup
Rosa Radom
#8
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H25/01
Energa Basket Liga
74.3Avg total
36.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.338.176.4+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.837.678.5+3.265%-
Last 30 away (13)35.038.773.7-3.738%-
Last 10 (10)36.038.374.3-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)34.439.073.4-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.140.475.5-5.229%-
vs Similar (3)36.040.776.7-4.733%-
vs Weaker (12)42.535.377.8+7.283%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H22/12
ACB
Estudiantes
#14
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H27/12
ACB
Real Betis
#7
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A29/12
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A05/01
ACB
Oostende
#6
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H08/01
Eurocup
Tenerife
#11
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H11/01
ACB
Unics Kazan
#2
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A15/01
Eurocup
Manresa
#17
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A19/01
ACB
Zielona Gora
#54
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H21/01
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#9
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H25/01
ACB
79.9Avg total
44.0Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.534.578.0+9.073%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.433.178.5+12.281%-
Last 30 away (14)41.336.177.4+5.264%-
Last 10 (10)44.035.979.9+8.180%-
Last 5 (5)38.831.470.2+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)42.234.076.2+8.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.734.678.2+9.173%-
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Zielona Gora wins
1
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
21/01/14Valencia v Zielona Gora90-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/14HRosa Radom91-89
21/01/14AValencia53-90
15/01/14AOostende74-76
12/01/14HCzarni Slupsk81-73
08/01/14HUnics Kazan72-77
05/01/14ATrefl Sopot85-66
29/12/13HKotwica Kolobrzeg99-72
22/12/13ATurow Zgorzelec73-96
19/12/13HOlympiacos80-91
16/12/13HPolpharma Starogard91-55
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/14HJoventut Badalona85-69
21/01/14HZielona Gora90-53
19/01/14AManresa76-64
15/01/14AUnics Kazan75-82
11/01/14HTenerife92-67
08/01/14HOostende101-74
05/01/14ABilbao83-80
29/12/13AReal Betis95-77
27/12/13HEstudiantes96-84
22/12/13HReal Madrid75-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zielona Gora
Eurocup 2013
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game66.372.063.5
Allowed / game81.077.083.0
Point differential-14.7-5.0-19.5
Avg total147.3149.0146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Eurocup 2013
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%86%33%
Points / game87.894.779.7
Allowed / game71.568.675.0
Point differential+16.2+26.1+4.7
Avg total159.3163.3154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%86%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan1413193%81.465.2+16.2
2 Khimki M.1413193%87.473.8+13.6
3 Alba Berlin1311285%76.468.1+8.3
4 Nizhny Novgorod1411379%79.971.4+8.5
5 Besiktas1310377%73.971.0+2.9
6 Crvena zvezda43175%85.575.8+9.8
7 Nanterre43175%84.881.5+3.2
8 Ulm1410471%79.576.6+2.9
9 Oostende1410471%75.676.5-0.9
10 Cantu139469%84.476.5+7.8
11 Bamberg32167%79.073.3+5.7
12 Sassari149564%86.881.9+4.9
13 Hapoel M. Jerusalem149564%79.977.6+2.4
14 Valencia138562%87.871.5+16.2
15 Khimik138562%77.573.8+3.8
16 Ankara Kolejliler138562%77.577.9-0.5
17 Maccabi Haifa138562%73.774.8-1.2
18 Petrol Olimpija148657%73.972.6+1.3
19 Cedevita137654%78.875.5+3.2
20 Tecnyconta Zaragoza147750%78.772.2+6.5
21 Banvit147750%80.174.6+5.5
22 Bilbao147750%84.380.6+3.7
23 Gravelines-Dunkerque147750%75.972.9+3.0
24 Nymburk147750%79.177.4+1.7
25 Budivelnyk42250%88.287.2+1.0
26 Le Mans105550%71.971.8+0.1
27 Oldenburg105550%78.979.7-0.8
28 Bisons Loimaa105550%75.076.9-1.9
29 Bonn105550%78.580.5-2.0
30 PAOK105550%69.775.2-5.5
31 Rytas42250%83.088.8-5.8
32 VEF Riga105550%72.178.2-6.1
33 Radnicki146843%81.181.7-0.6
34 Panionios146843%73.978.5-4.6
35 Neptunas104640%81.480.7+0.7
36 Chalon/Saone104640%77.978.6-0.7
37 Academic104640%72.875.6-2.8
38 Levallois104640%68.773.3-4.6
39 Lyon-Villeurbanne104640%70.679.4-8.8
40 Karsiyaka135838%77.281.3-4.2
41 Virtus Roma103730%76.177.7-1.6
42 Spartak St. Petersburg103730%73.376.1-2.8
43 Buducnost103730%77.280.2-3.0
44 CSU Ploiesti103730%79.484.2-4.8
45 Igokea103730%75.680.8-5.2
46 BC Kalev/Cramo103730%67.376.4-9.1
47 Spirou Charleroi103730%70.680.6-10.0
48 Strasbourg41325%76.079.5-3.5
49 Varese102820%73.081.1-8.1
50 Alba Fehervar102820%72.080.7-8.7
51 Artland102820%72.182.0-9.9
52 Belfius Mons102820%62.080.7-18.7
53 Cibona101910%77.082.7-5.7
54 MZT Skopje101910%68.482.0-13.6
55 Siena3030%70.079.7-9.7
56 Zielona Gora3030%66.381.0-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zielona Gora2020241882
Valencia1824142177
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