Bilbao vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2014

Tip-off: 11:15

Final 80-83

26-25 21-23 15-14 18-21

Position#13

Record6-7

FormWWWLW

Points / game77.2

Allowed / game75.8

Bilbao

Valencia 🏆

Position#2

Record11-2

FormWWLWW

Points / game87.6

Allowed / game73.9

ACBRound 14

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Bilbao v Valencia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Valencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bilbao

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

#14

91-93 OT

-2

H27/11

Eurocup

Baloncesto Valladolid

#18

81-57

+24

A30/11

ACB

Spirou Charleroi

#49

73-79

-6

A03/12

Eurocup

Estudiantes

#14

72-55

+17

H07/12

ACB

Chalon/Saone

#36

79-81

-2

A10/12

Eurocup

Real Betis

75-72

A14/12

ACB

Oldenburg

#26

90-84

H18/12

Eurocup

Baskonia

96-92 OT

H22/12

ACB

Murcia

#16

77-78

-1

A27/12

ACB

Manresa

#17

88-66

+22

A29/12

ACB

18-14

20-23

22-23

20-20

16-11

23-11

22-20

20-15

16-20

20-19

23-26

14-14

17-12

19-16

16-14

20-13

17-24

21-17

20-23

21-20

14-18

23-15

17-19

21-21

25-20

11-20

33-23

24-18

21-20

15-13

20-29

23-22

15-17

28-19

11-20

27-20

19-18

26-13

16-15

157.9Avg total

82.2Scored

75.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	77.2	75.8	153.1	+1.4	46%
Season at home (6)	77.5	77.2	154.7	+0.3	50%
Season away (7)	77.0	74.7	151.7	+2.3	43%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	75.7	157.9	+6.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	78.4	163.6	+6.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	72.2	81.2	153.5	-9.0	25%
vs Similar (13)	80.3	80.2	160.5	+0.1	46%
vs Weaker (8)	84.2	73.2	157.5	+11.0	62%

This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ulm

#11

84-92

-8

A26/11

Eurocup

Gran Canaria

74-70

H01/12

ACB

Petrol Olimpija

#23

91-93

-2

H04/12

Eurocup

Baskonia

79-78

A08/12

ACB

Varese

#50

94-62

+32

A11/12

Eurocup

Murcia

#16

88-86

H14/12

ACB

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#39

97-70

+27

H17/12

Eurocup

Real Madrid

75-82

-7

H22/12

ACB

Estudiantes

#14

96-84

+12

H27/12

ACB

Real Betis

95-77

+18

A29/12

ACB

26-23

15-21

23-27

20-21

17-13

12-23

19-13

26-21

25-23

19-21

22-26

25-23

21-16

17-24

21-24

20-14

16-17

23-10

26-22

29-13

20-20

33-15

14-22

21-29

31-10

20-19

24-19

22-22

23-14

22-17

18-24

12-27

28-24

25-19

21-18

22-23

28-17

18-25

22-21

27-14

166.7Avg total

87.3Scored

79.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	87.6	73.9	161.5	+13.7	85%
Season at home (7)	89.1	73.3	162.4	+15.9	86%
Season away (6)	85.8	74.7	160.5	+11.2	83%
Last 10 (10)	87.3	79.4	166.7	+7.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	90.2	79.8	170.0	+10.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	83.5	79.3	162.8	+4.2	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	88.2	72.4	160.7	+15.8	79%

This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BilbaoValencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.1	39.8	-0.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.4	18.1	37.5	+1.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.1	21.6	41.6	-1.5	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	20.2	43.4	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.4	20.2	37.6	-2.9	12%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.1	38%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	17.3	39.0	+4.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	16.5	39.6	+6.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	18.3	38.4	+1.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	17.7	41.2	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	17.0	43.0	+9.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	19.3	17.7	37.0	+1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	22.3	17.2	39.5	+5.0	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.1	38.3	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.7	19.9	38.6	-1.2	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.9	37.6	+1.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.0	17.9	36.9	+1.1	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.1	20.1	39.2	-1.0	46%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.6	17.8	38.4	+2.9	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	17.1	38.5	+4.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	16.6	38.5	+5.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	17.6	38.6	+3.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.0	42.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	22.8	16.0	38.8	+6.8	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.1	17.4	38.5	+3.7	62%	-

BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

#14

38-37

H27/11

Eurocup

Baloncesto Valladolid

#18

39-22

+17

A30/11

ACB

Spirou Charleroi

#49

36-39

-3

A03/12

Eurocup

Estudiantes

#14

36-28

H07/12

ACB

Chalon/Saone

#36

38-41

-3

A10/12

Eurocup

Real Betis

35-38

-3

A14/12

ACB

Oldenburg

#26

46-41

H18/12

Eurocup

Baskonia

45-38

H22/12

ACB

Murcia

#16

38-39

-1

A27/12

ACB

Manresa

#17

46-38

A29/12

ACB

75.8Avg total

39.7Scored

36.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	39.2	78.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.2	36.2	75.5	+3.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.8	41.5	80.2	-2.7	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	36.1	75.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	38.8	80.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	36.4	38.1	74.5	-1.8	38%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.7	39.5	79.2	+0.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (8)	40.9	38.1	79.0	+2.8	62%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ulm

#11

41-44

-3

A26/11

Eurocup

Gran Canaria

29-36

-7

H01/12

ACB

Petrol Olimpija

#23

44-44

H04/12

Eurocup

Baskonia

38-40

-2

A08/12

ACB

Varese

#50

39-27

+12

A11/12

Eurocup

Murcia

#16

53-35

+18

H14/12

ACB

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#39

51-29

+22

H17/12

Eurocup

Real Madrid

45-31

+14

H22/12

ACB

Estudiantes

#14

53-43

+10

H27/12

ACB

Real Betis

46-42

A29/12

ACB

81.0Avg total

43.9Scored

37.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	34.4	77.6	+8.7	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.0	33.1	78.1	+11.9	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.0	35.9	76.9	+5.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	37.1	81.0	+6.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.6	36.0	85.6	+13.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	42.2	33.7	75.8	+8.5	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	43.4	34.6	78.0	+8.8	71%	-

This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.5	37.7	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.3	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.1	18.0	37.1	+1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.0	38.7	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	16.0	36.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	16.6	19.9	36.5	-3.2	12%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.3	17.2	35.5	+1.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.6	19.0	42.6	+4.6	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.1	39.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	17.0	39.3	+5.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	19.4	38.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.4	18.0	39.4	+3.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.4	39.3	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.4	20.9	41.3	-0.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	19.1	38.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.2	40.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.2	23.2	42.5	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-1.9	23%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.8	16.1	35.9	+3.6	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	20.2	42.4	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	20.9	43.3	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	19.4	41.4	+2.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	20.7	43.1	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	23.0	43.8	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	17.3	21.8	39.2	-4.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	23.5	19.8	43.2	+3.8	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	38.9	77.0	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.8	40.0	79.8	-0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.8	38.0	74.8	-1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	37.1	76.9	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	37.2	77.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	35.9	43.1	79.0	-7.2	12%	-
vs Similar (13)	37.2	37.9	75.1	-0.8	46%	-
vs Weaker (8)	43.4	35.1	78.5	+8.2	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	38.3	81.5	+4.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.8	37.9	82.6	+6.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.4	38.8	80.1	+2.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	42.3	85.7	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	43.8	84.4	-3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	36.3	40.3	76.7	-4.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	44.9	37.8	82.7	+7.1	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bilbao wins

Valencia wins

Date	Game	Score
12/05/13	Bilbao v Valencia	61-72
29/01/13	Valencia v Bilbao	60-61
23/01/13	Bilbao v Valencia	91-76
06/01/13	Valencia v Bilbao	113-111 OT
22/04/12	Valencia v Bilbao	66-63
10/12/11	Bilbao v Valencia	85-74
22/05/11	Bilbao v Valencia	79-75
20/05/11	Valencia v Bilbao	72-79
30/01/11	Valencia v Bilbao	68-54
10/10/10	Bilbao v Valencia	77-70

Bilbaolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/12/13	A	Manresa	88-66
27/12/13	A	Murcia	77-78
22/12/13	H	Baskonia	96-92 OT
18/12/13	H	Oldenburg	90-84
14/12/13	A	Real Betis	75-72
10/12/13	A	Chalon/Saone	79-81
07/12/13	H	Estudiantes	72-55
03/12/13	A	Spirou Charleroi	73-79
30/11/13	A	Baloncesto Valladolid	81-57
27/11/13	H	Sassari	91-93 OT

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/12/13	A	Real Betis	95-77
27/12/13	H	Estudiantes	96-84
22/12/13	H	Real Madrid	75-82
17/12/13	H	Lyon-Villeurbanne	97-70
14/12/13	H	Murcia	88-86
11/12/13	A	Varese	94-62
08/12/13	A	Baskonia	79-78
04/12/13	H	Petrol Olimpija	91-93
01/12/13	H	Gran Canaria	74-70
26/11/13	A	Ulm	84-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao

ACB 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	46%
Home	LWLWW	50%
Away	LWWLW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	46%	50%	43%
Points / game	77.2	77.5	77.0
Allowed / game	75.8	77.2	74.7
Point differential	+1.4	+0.3	+2.3
Avg total	153.1	154.7	151.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	17%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	100% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	8%	17%	0%

Valencia

ACB 2013-14

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	85%
Home	WWWLW	86%
Away	WWWWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	85%	86%	83%
Points / game	87.6	89.1	85.8
Allowed / game	73.9	73.3	74.7
Point differential	+13.7	+15.9	+11.2
Avg total	161.5	162.4	160.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	54%	57%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	14	14	0	100%	87.2	68.6	+18.6
2	Valencia	13	11	2	85%	87.6	73.9	+13.7
3	Gran Canaria	13	9	4	69%	74.2	70.0	+4.2
4	Barcelona	14	9	5	64%	77.4	71.5	+5.9
5	Unicaja	14	9	5	64%	77.1	72.5	+4.6
6	Tenerife	14	9	5	64%	79.0	78.4	+0.6
7	Gipuzkoa	14	8	6	57%	74.1	69.2	+4.9
8	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	14	7	7	50%	74.1	74.4	-0.3
9	Baskonia	14	7	7	50%	81.6	82.6	-1.0
10	Bilbao	13	6	7	46%	77.2	75.8	+1.4
11	Joventut Badalona	13	6	7	46%	77.7	77.3	+0.4
12	Real Betis	14	6	8	43%	71.1	73.8	-2.6
13	Murcia	13	5	8	38%	80.5	83.5	-3.1
14	Fuenlabrada	13	4	9	31%	73.2	79.2	-6.1
15	Obradoiro CAB	14	4	10	29%	74.8	79.4	-4.6
16	Manresa	14	4	10	29%	74.2	84.2	-10.0
17	Estudiantes	14	3	11	21%	74.1	81.0	-6.9
18	Baloncesto Valladolid	14	2	12	14%	67.4	86.4	-19.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bilbao	26	21	15	18	80
Valencia	25	23	14	21	83

← all games of the day

Bilbao vs Valencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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