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Zlatibor vs Podgorica Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 93-100
21-25 24-22 18-33 30-20
Position#3
Record10-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game81.4
Zlatibor
vs
Podgorica 🏆
Position#5
Record9-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game78.6
EuropeABA League 2ABA League 2 - Quarter-finals· Cajetina Sports Hall
Other2023
Meetings · Zlatibor v Podgorica
20 Mar 2025
ZLA90
PODG82
16 Apr 2024
ZLA93
PODG100
31 Jan 2024
ZLA90
PODG68
20 Oct 2022
ZLA91
PODG72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zlatibor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Podgorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZlatiborLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZlatibor
Date
Competition
Sloga
#12
W
86-59
86
59
+27
83avg 82
H15/03
First League
Sencur
#12
W
87-75
87
75
+12
93avg 82
H20/03
ABA League 2
MZT Skopje
#6
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
no box
A22/03
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
75-83
75
83
-8
75avg 82
H24/03
ABA League 2
Tamis
#14
W
88-78
88
78
+10
88avg 82
A27/03
First League
OKK Novi Pazar
#15
W
80-72
80
72
+8
71avg 82
H29/03
First League
Joker
#7
W
85-77 OT
85
77
+8
80avg 82
A02/04
First League
Sloboda
#5
W
95-89 OT
95
89
+6
90avg 82
H05/04
First League
Podgorica
#5
L
89-113
89
113
-24
78avg 82
A09/04
ABA League 2
Radnicki
#8
L
55-72
55
72
-17
52avg 82
A12/04
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
18-13
25-14
15-14
18-22
28-18
14-16
27-19
18-20
14-22
21-18
19-12
20-16
20-26
17-22
18-19
24-16
20-24
26-19
18-19
21-17
20-15
24-19
15-21
26-21
21-22
16-18
11-13
22-15
16-18
30-28
13-20
26-33
15-30
27-26
21-24
22-16
12-20
12-19
9-17
163.3Avg total
83.0Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)88.681.4170.0+7.371%
Season at home (6)86.374.3160.7+12.083%
Season away (8)90.486.6177.0+3.862%
Last 10 (10)83.080.3163.3+2.770%
Last 5 (5)80.884.6165.4-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.580.5153.0-8.00%
vs Similar (9)87.686.3173.9+1.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.679.5165.1+6.284%
This opponent (Podgorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodgoricaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodgorica
Date
Competition
Sutjeska
#1
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
A14/03
Prva A Liga
Cedevita Junior
#13
W
85-79
85
79
+6
86avg 72
A19/03
ABA League 2
Pelister
#11
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 72
H21/03
ABA League 2
Helios Domzale
#9
L
75-76
75
76
-1
70avg 72
A23/03
ABA League 2
Tivat
#5
W
81-69
81
69
+12
no box
H27/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#12
W
100-52
100
52
+48
no box
A30/03
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#9
W
77-60
77
60
+17
no box
H02/04
Prva A Liga
Decic
#11
W
99-94
99
94
+5
no box
A05/04
Prva A Liga
Zlatibor
#3
W
113-89
113
89
+24
105avg 72
H09/04
ABA League 2
Milenijum
#10
W
87-66
87
66
+21
no box
H12/04
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
25-17
16-32
19-14
21-26
22-17
20-16
22-20
19-21
17-20
22-25
28-15
22-21
23-19
18-19
12-17
26-12
17-16
20-21
18-20
31-13
22-15
28-9
19-15
24-22
14-7
17-16
22-15
30-25
25-25
22-23
22-21
33-26
30-15
26-27
24-21
23-12
21-17
20-17
23-20
163.8Avg total
88.5Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.478.6159.9+2.864%
Season at home (8)87.480.9168.2+6.575%
Season away (6)73.375.5148.8-2.250%
Last 10 (10)88.575.3163.8+13.280%
Last 5 (5)95.272.2167.4+23.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)83.286.0169.2-2.850%
vs Similar (3)75.777.0152.7-1.333%
vs Weaker (22)88.773.3162.0+15.482%
This opponent (Zlatibor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +3.1+3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +3.1+3.1
ZlatiborPodgorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZlatiborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sloga
#12
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H15/03
First League
Sencur
#12
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H20/03
ABA League 2
MZT Skopje
#6
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A22/03
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H24/03
ABA League 2
Tamis
#14
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A27/03
First League
OKK Novi Pazar
#15
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H29/03
First League
Joker
#7
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A02/04
First League
Sloboda
#5
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H05/04
First League
Podgorica
#5
L
41-63
41
63
-22
A09/04
ABA League 2
Radnicki
#8
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A12/04
First League
81.1Avg total
40.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.741.285.0+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.540.285.7+5.373%-
Last 30 away (15)41.942.384.2-0.360%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.281.1+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.481.6-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.544.579.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (9)42.741.183.8+1.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.240.986.2+4.379%-
This opponent (Podgorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodgoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutjeska
#1
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A14/03
Prva A Liga
Cedevita Junior
#13
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A19/03
ABA League 2
Pelister
#11
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H21/03
ABA League 2
Helios Domzale
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A23/03
ABA League 2
Tivat
#5
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H27/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#12
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A30/03
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#9
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H02/04
Prva A Liga
Decic
#11
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A05/04
Prva A Liga
Zlatibor
#3
W
63-41
63
41
+22
H09/04
ABA League 2
Milenijum
#10
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H12/04
Prva A Liga
83.7Avg total
46.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.138.482.6+5.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.135.680.8+9.575%-
Last 30 away (14)43.041.684.6+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)46.737.083.7+9.780%-
Last 5 (5)50.635.486.0+15.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)46.845.292.0+1.525%-
vs Similar (3)36.339.075.3-2.733%-
vs Weaker (22)44.537.481.9+7.173%-
This opponent (Zlatibor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zlatibortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zlatibor: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.417.5
63.9%
53.6%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.3
35.0%
31.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.513.1
70.8%
73.7%13.1
They take 54.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Podgoricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podgorica: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.622.1
54.4%
53.6%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.0
31.5%
31.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws20.615.0
72.8%
73.7%15.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zlatibor
LLWWWWLWWW
Podgorica
WWWWWWLWWL
#3
League position
#5
+4.8
Net rating
+2.3
113.6
Offensive rating
107.2
108.8
Defensive rating
104.9
58.2%
Effective FG%
51.9%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
16.7%
Turnover %
15.5%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.0%
3-point %
31.5%
63.1%
Assist %
56.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 107.2Defence108.8 · 104.9Shooting58.2% · 51.9%3-point %35.0% · 31.5%Ball care16.7% · 15.5%Off. rebounds25.2% · 26.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Zlatibor   ■ Podgorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Zlatibor wins
2
Podgorica wins
DateGameScore
09/04/24Podgorica v Zlatibor113-89
31/01/24Zlatibor v Podgorica90-68
12/04/23Podgorica v Zlatibor89-64
20/10/22Zlatibor v Podgorica91-72
10/11/21Podgorica v Zlatibor66-73
Zlatiborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/24ARadnicki55-72
09/04/24APodgorica89-113
05/04/24HSloboda95-89 OT
02/04/24AJoker85-77 OT
29/03/24HOKK Novi Pazar80-72
27/03/24ATamis88-78
24/03/24HVojvodina Novi Sad75-83
22/03/24AMZT Skopje90-85 OT
20/03/24HSencur87-75
15/03/24HSloga86-59
Podgoricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/24HMilenijum87-66
09/04/24HZlatibor113-89
05/04/24ADecic99-94
02/04/24HIbar Rozaje77-60
30/03/24ADanilovgrad100-52
27/03/24HTivat81-69
23/03/24AHelios Domzale75-76
21/03/24HPelister86-81
19/03/24ACedevita Junior85-79
14/03/24ASutjeska82-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zlatibor
ABA League 2 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL71%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %71%83%62%
Points / game88.686.390.4
Allowed / game81.474.386.6
Point differential+7.3+12.0+3.8
Avg total170.0160.7177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Podgorica
ABA League 2 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW64%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %64%75%50%
Points / game81.487.473.3
Allowed / game78.680.975.5
Point differential+2.8+6.5-2.2
Avg total159.9168.2148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Spartak Subotica1412286%85.976.1+9.9
2 Vojvodina Novi Sad1815383%81.973.3+8.6
3 Zlatibor1410471%88.681.4+7.3
4 MZT Skopje149564%83.877.6+6.2
5 Podgorica149564%81.478.6+2.8
6 Siroki Brijeg149564%77.276.1+1.1
7 KK Bosna42250%78.078.5-0.5
8 Borac Banja Luka136746%66.667.2-0.5
9 Helios Domzale146843%71.172.6-1.5
10 Sutjeska146843%77.479.0-1.6
11 Pelister135838%77.280.2-3.0
12 Sencur134931%74.279.6-5.5
13 Cedevita Junior134931%75.881.5-5.7
14 GKK Sibenka1321115%74.683.6-9.0
15 TFT Skopje1321115%70.281.0-10.8
16 Perspektiva Ilirija2020%75.580.0-4.5
17 Spars Ilidza2020%79.095.5-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zlatibor2124183093
Podgorica25223320100
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