Zlatorog Lasko vs Rogaska Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 60-69

28-23 9-20 10-12 13-14

Position#6

Record3-2

FormWLWLW

Points / game72.6

Allowed / game77.0

Zlatorog Lasko

74%

26%

■ ZLA 74%■ ROGA 26%

Pythia win probability

Projected 84-77

Projected total 161.3

Rogaska 🏆

Position#7

Record1-4

FormLLLWL

Points / game65.4

Allowed / game85.6

Liga Nova KBMRound 6· Dvorana Tri lilije

Other2026-27

Meetings · Zlatorog Lasko v Rogaska

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Zlatorog Lasko host Rogaska in the Liga Nova KBM. Pythia makes Zlatorog Lasko the favourite at 74% and projects 84-77, about 161 points in all (over 155.25: 63%). On the market's main spread (Zlatorog Lasko -3) Pythia gives Zlatorog Lasko 67% to cover. Overtime chance: 4%. Zlatorog Lasko are 3-2 this season (72.6 scored, 77.0 allowed a game), form WLWLW; Rogaska are 1-4 this season (65.4 scored, 85.6 allowed a game), form LLLWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zlatorog Lasko winLost

74.0%fair 1.35

Best odds1.60

Implied58.7%

Edge+15.3pp

Rogaska winWon

26.0%fair 3.85

Best odds2.38

Implied41.3%

Edge-15.3pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zlatorog Lasko Slovenia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormLasko

Date

Competition

Polzela

67-87

-20

62avg 69

A25/04

Liga Nova KBM

KK Triglav Kranj

73-74

-1

69avg 69

H30/04

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

80-76

64avg 69

H04/05

Liga Nova KBM

Cedevita Olimpija

76-89

-13

69avg 69

H09/05

Liga Nova KBM

Cedevita Olimpija

74-106

106

-32

67avg 69

A17/05

Liga Nova KBM

KK Triglav Kranj

72-69

62avg 69

H26/09

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

61-77

-16

47avg 69

A29/09

Liga Nova KBM

Tajfun Sentjur

#10

86-73

+13

74avg 69

H11/10

Liga Nova KBM

Perspektiva Ilirija

69-93

-24

57avg 69

H14/10

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

75-73

61avg 69

A24/10

Liga Nova KBM

15-20

20-28

22-19

10-20

14-17

12-23

29-16

18-18

15-24

29-23

14-12

22-17

20-22

16-23

19-26

21-18

24-31

19-24

11-22

20-29

18-17

27-17

10-18

17-17

14-15

16-16

17-23

14-23

13-13

26-14

21-22

26-24

14-20

12-30

17-22

26-21

26-25

13-17

22-7

14-24

155.0Avg total

73.3Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	72.6	77.0	149.6	-4.4	60%
Season at home (3)	75.7	78.3	154.0	-2.7	67%
Season away (2)	68.0	75.0	143.0	-7.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	73.3	81.7	155.0	-8.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	72.6	77.0	149.6	-4.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	75.7	91.9	167.6	-16.2	17%
vs Similar (6)	82.8	81.2	164.0	+1.7	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	81.3	83.3	164.7	-2.0	50%

This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Rogaska

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormRogaska

Date

Competition

Terme Olimia Podčetrtek

#11

106-73

106

+33

105avg 71

H13/04

Liga Nova KBM

KK Triglav Kranj

96-94 OT

97avg 71

H18/04

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

75-92

-17

70avg 71

A21/04

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

97-79

+18

100avg 71

H30/04

Liga Nova KBM

Zlatorog Lasko

76-80

-4

75avg 71

A04/05

Liga Nova KBM

Sencur

75-92

-17

63avg 71

H26/09

Liga Nova KBM

Polzela

49-87

-38

32avg 71

A03/10

Liga Nova KBM

Gorica

67-80

-13

59avg 71

H10/10

Liga Nova KBM

KK Triglav Kranj

74-72

64avg 71

A16/10

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

62-97

-35

46avg 71

H20/10

Liga Nova KBM

17-24

31-17

27-17

31-15

24-20

20-21

22-22

16-19

12-15

19-29

21-27

23-21

27-19

21-26

27-20

22-14

24-15

23-29

12-14

17-22

20-27

29-26

24-21

2-18

13-25

4-23

19-22

13-17

21-25

21-6

11-20

14-29

19-13

22-21

17-18

16-20

14-27

24-16

16-26

8-28

162.3Avg total

77.7Scored

84.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	65.4	85.6	151.0	-20.2	20%
Season at home (3)	68.0	89.7	157.7	-21.7	0%
Season away (2)	61.5	79.5	141.0	-18.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	77.7	84.6	162.3	-6.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	65.4	85.6	151.0	-20.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	72.0	86.5	158.5	-14.5	18%
vs Similar (6)	87.0	88.3	175.3	-1.3	50%
vs Weaker (7)	91.0	80.9	171.9	+10.1	71%

This opponent (Zlatorog Lasko) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 150Actual: Under 150

Over 150

75.5%

Under 150

24.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 155.25 · main lineActual: Under 155.25

Over 155.25

63.2%

@ 1.80+12.9pp

Under 155.25

36.8%

@ 1.82-12.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.80

Under

1xBet

1.82

Over/Under 160Actual: Under 160

Over 160

52.5%

Under 160

47.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Zlatorog Lasko total 75.5Actual: Zlatorog Lasko under 75.5

Over 75.5

80.7%

@ 1.50+19.2pp

Under 75.5

19.3%

@ 2.35-19.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.50

1xBet

1.41

Under

Betano

2.35

1xBet

2.30

Zlatorog Lasko total 79.5 · main lineActual: Zlatorog Lasko under 79.5

Over 79.5

68.2%

@ 1.98+20.1pp

Under 79.5

31.8%

@ 1.83-20.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.98

Marathon Be

1.91

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.77

Under

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.74

Betano

1.72

1xBet

1.67

Zlatorog Lasko total 83.5Actual: Zlatorog Lasko under 83.5

Over 83.5

53.1%

@ 2.62+17.8pp

Under 83.5

46.9%

@ 1.42-17.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.62

1xBet

2.48

Under

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.36

Rogaska total 71.5Actual: Rogaska under 71.5

Over 71.5

70.0%

@ 1.40+4.3pp

Under 71.5

30.0%

@ 2.72-4.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.40

Bet365

1.40

1xBet

1.34

Under

Bet365

2.72

Betano

2.65

1xBet

2.56

Rogaska total 75.5 · main lineActual: Rogaska under 75.5

Over 75.5

55.2%

@ 1.83+3.7pp

Under 75.5

44.8%

@ 1.90-3.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.78

Marathon Be

1.77

1xBet

1.65

Under

Betano

1.90

Marathon Be

1.87

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.80

Rogaska total 79.5Actual: Rogaska under 79.5

Over 79.5

39.9%

@ 2.50+2.4pp

Under 79.5

60.1%

@ 1.50-2.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.50

Betano

2.45

1xBet

2.24

Under

Bet365

1.50

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.43

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Zlatorog Lasko -6Actual: Rogaska +6

ZLA -6

55.4%

@ 2.25+11.2pp

ROGA +6

44.6%

@ 1.63-11.2pp

Best 5 market prices

ZLA

Bet365

2.25

Pinnacle

2.06

ROGA

Pinnacle

1.63

Bet365

1.60

Marathon Be

1.52

Spread Zlatorog Lasko -3 · main lineActual: Rogaska +3

ZLA -3

66.6%

@ 1.85+16.2pp

ROGA +3

33.4%

@ 1.88-16.2pp

Best 5 market prices

ZLA

Pinnacle

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.83

SBO

1.81

ROGA

Pinnacle

1.88

Bet365

1.86

SBO

1.85

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.83

Spread Zlatorog Lasko 0Actual: Rogaska 0

ZLA 0

74.0%

ROGA 0

26.0%

Best 5 market prices

ZLA

No market prices yet.

ROGA

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Zlatorog LaskoRogaska

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	19.9	22.7	42.6	-2.8	23%	70%
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	22.1	40.9	-3.2	21%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	23.2	44.1	-2.4	25%	69%
Last 10 (10)	17.3	20.4	37.7	-3.1	20%	40%
Last 5 (5)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.9	23.2	42.1	-4.3	11%	67%
vs Similar (6)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	50%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	21.8	23.2	45.0	-1.3	33%	83%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	17.2	22.6	39.8	-5.4	17%	67%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	23.1	42.3	-3.9	20%	80%
Last 30 away (15)	15.2	22.0	37.2	-6.8	13%	53%
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.0	40.1	-1.9	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	17.4	23.4	40.8	-6.0	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	14.9	22.6	37.5	-7.6	6%	47%
vs Similar (6)	18.7	22.3	41.0	-3.7	33%	83%
vs Weaker (7)	21.4	22.7	44.1	-1.3	29%	100%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	20.8	22.4	43.2	-1.6	33%	77%
Last 30 at home (14)	23.2	20.5	43.7	+2.7	64%	86%
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	24.0	42.7	-5.3	6%	69%
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.5	40.5	-2.5	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.8	37.6	+0.0	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	20.4	23.6	44.0	-3.1	28%	83%
vs Similar (6)	22.8	21.3	44.2	+1.5	50%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	19.8	19.8	39.7	+0.0	33%	67%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	21.3	22.0	43.3	-0.7	37%	73%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	19.8	42.3	+2.7	53%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	24.2	44.3	-4.1	20%	80%
Last 10 (10)	21.4	21.4	42.8	+0.0	50%	80%
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.4	22.3	42.6	-1.9	35%	71%
vs Similar (6)	20.5	21.8	42.3	-1.3	17%	83%
vs Weaker (7)	24.4	21.4	45.9	+3.0	57%	71%

Zlatorog LaskoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Polzela

35-48

-13

A25/04

Liga Nova KBM

KK Triglav Kranj

26-40

-14

H30/04

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

44-47

-3

H04/05

Liga Nova KBM

Cedevita Olimpija

36-45

-9

H09/05

Liga Nova KBM

Cedevita Olimpija

43-55

-12

A17/05

Liga Nova KBM

KK Triglav Kranj

45-34

+11

H26/09

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

30-31

-1

A29/09

Liga Nova KBM

Tajfun Sentjur

#10

39-27

+12

H11/10

Liga Nova KBM

Perspektiva Ilirija

26-50

-24

H14/10

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

39-42

-3

A24/10

Liga Nova KBM

78.2Avg total

36.3Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 76.5
Last 30 (30)	40.7	45.1	85.8	-4.4	30%	77%
Last 30 at home (14)	42.1	42.6	84.6	-0.5	50%	79%
Last 30 away (16)	39.5	47.2	86.8	-7.8	12%	75%
Last 10 (10)	36.3	41.9	78.2	-5.6	20%	60%
Last 5 (5)	35.8	36.8	72.6	-1.0	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	39.3	46.7	86.1	-7.4	22%	78%
vs Similar (6)	43.8	42.2	86.0	+1.7	50%	83%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	41.7	43.0	84.7	-1.3	33%	67%

This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Terme Olimia Podčetrtek

#11

48-41

H13/04

Liga Nova KBM

KK Triglav Kranj

44-41

H18/04

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

31-44

-13

A21/04

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

48-45

H30/04

Liga Nova KBM

Zlatorog Lasko

47-44

A04/05

Liga Nova KBM

Sencur

49-53

-4

H26/09

Liga Nova KBM

Polzela

17-48

-31

A03/10

Liga Nova KBM

Gorica

42-31

+11

H10/10

Liga Nova KBM

KK Triglav Kranj

41-34

A16/10

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

38-43

-5

H20/10

Liga Nova KBM

82.9Avg total

40.5Scored

42.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 76.5
Last 30 (30)	38.5	44.6	83.1	-6.0	33%	73%
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	42.9	84.7	-1.2	47%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	46.2	81.5	-10.9	20%	73%
Last 10 (10)	40.5	42.4	82.9	-1.9	60%	60%
Last 5 (5)	37.4	41.8	79.2	-4.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	35.3	44.9	80.2	-9.6	18%	53%
vs Similar (6)	39.2	44.2	83.3	-5.0	33%	100%
vs Weaker (7)	45.9	44.1	90.0	+1.7	71%	100%

This opponent (Zlatorog Lasko) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Rogaska win

ZLA win

no forecast

@ 1.68

ROGA win

no forecast

@ 2.20

1st half Spread Zlatorog Lasko -1.5 · main lineActual: Rogaska +1.5

ZLA -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

ROGA +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.86

1st half Over/Under 76.5 · main lineActual: Over 76.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 2.05

Zlatorog Lasko 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: Zlatorog Lasko under 39.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.87

Under

no forecast

@ 1.87

Rogaska 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: Rogaska over 37.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 2.00

1st half: ZLA + total 76.5

ZLA & over

no forecast

@ 3.20

ZLA & under

no forecast

@ 3.40

1st half: Draw + total 76.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 26.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: ROGA + total 76.5

ROGA & over

no forecast

@ 4.10

ROGA & under

no forecast

@ 4.50

1st half Over/Under 77.75Actual: Over 77.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.78

1st half Spread Zlatorog Lasko -2.5Actual: Rogaska +2.5

ZLA -2.5

no forecast

@ 2.05

ROGA +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Spread Zlatorog Lasko -0.5Actual: Rogaska +0.5

ZLA -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.62

ROGA +0.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half Over/Under 74.5Actual: Over 74.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.57

Under

no forecast

@ 2.25

1st half Over/Under 79.5Actual: Over 79.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.12

Under

no forecast

@ 1.67

1st half Spread Zlatorog Lasko -3.5Actual: Rogaska +3.5

ZLA -3.5

no forecast

@ 2.22

ROGA +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.64

1st half Spread Zlatorog Lasko +0.5Actual: Rogaska -0.5

ZLA +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.58

ROGA -0.5

no forecast

@ 2.22

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Rogaska (regulation)

ZLA

no forecast

@ 1.75

Draw

no forecast

@ 16.50

ROGA

no forecast

@ 2.22

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.25
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.8	39.9	-1.7	40%	63%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	36%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	21.1	39.3	-2.8	44%	56%
Last 10 (10)	18.2	18.7	36.9	-0.5	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.4	35.8	-1.0	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.2	22.6	40.8	-4.3	28%	72%
vs Similar (6)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	50%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	21.5	17.3	38.8	+4.2	67%	50%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.25
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.1	41.0	+0.8	43%	63%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	53%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	20.7	41.5	+0.1	33%	60%
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.7	40.3	-1.1	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.4	38.8	-4.0	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.4	35%	53%
vs Similar (6)	23.3	24.2	47.5	-0.8	33%	100%
vs Weaker (7)	21.3	16.4	37.7	+4.9	71%	57%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.75
Last 30 (30)	18.5	22.2	40.7	-3.7	27%	67%
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.6	36%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	23.0	40.6	-5.4	19%	62%
Last 10 (10)	18.8	21.1	39.9	-2.3	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.8	41.2	-2.4	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.2	22.6	40.8	-4.4	22%	61%
vs Similar (6)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	50%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	18.2	23.0	41.2	-4.8	17%	83%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.75
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	50%	47%
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	21.3	39.4	-3.1	40%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	18.7	38.9	+1.6	60%	40%
Last 10 (10)	16.2	20.3	36.5	-4.1	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	10.6	22.4	33.0	-11.8	0%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	16.8	21.4	38.2	-4.6	35%	41%
vs Similar (6)	20.5	15.5	36.0	+5.0	67%	17%
vs Weaker (7)	23.9	20.3	44.1	+3.6	71%	86%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 75.5
Last 30 (30)	37.6	43.0	80.5	-5.4	27%	67%
Last 30 at home (14)	39.6	41.7	81.3	-2.1	36%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	35.8	44.1	79.9	-8.2	19%	62%
Last 10 (10)	37.0	39.8	76.8	-2.8	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	36.8	40.2	77.0	-3.4	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	36.4	45.2	81.6	-8.8	17%	72%
vs Similar (6)	39.0	39.0	78.0	+0.0	33%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	39.7	40.3	80.0	-0.7	50%	50%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 75.5
Last 30 (30)	40.1	40.1	80.2	+0.0	43%	70%
Last 30 at home (15)	39.1	40.8	79.9	-1.7	47%	80%
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	39.4	80.5	+1.7	40%	60%
Last 10 (10)	35.8	41.0	76.8	-5.2	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	28.0	43.8	71.8	-15.8	0%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	36.7	41.6	78.4	-4.9	24%	59%
vs Similar (6)	43.8	39.7	83.5	+4.2	67%	100%
vs Weaker (7)	45.1	36.7	81.9	+8.4	71%	71%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

ZLA win + total 155.5

🔒 Pro

ROGA win + total 155.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: ZLA leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: ROGA leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (ZLA:ROGA): ZLA wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Zlatorog Lasko over 77	77.2%	1.62	1xBet 1.62	-	-	-	-	+23.9pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko over 78	74.0%	1.73	Marathon Bet 1.81	1xBet 1.66	-	-	-	+22.8pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko over 78.5	71.6%	1.78	BetVictor 1.88	Betano 1.82	Marathon Bet 1.78	1xBet 1.66	-	+20.9pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko over 79	70.6%	1.78	Marathon Bet 1.85	1xBet 1.71	-	-	-	+20.8pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko over 77.5	74.9%	1.63	Betano 1.70	1xBet 1.56	-	-	-	+20.1pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko over 76.5	77.9%	1.54	Betano 1.60	Bet365 1.54	1xBet 1.48	-	-	+19.3pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko over 75.5	80.7%	1.46	Betano 1.50	1xBet 1.41	-	-	-	+19.2pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko over 74.5	83.3%	1.38	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.35	-	-	+18.1pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko over 73.5	85.6%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+17.1pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko +1	75.6%	1.52	Pinnacle 1.56	Marathon Bet 1.49	-	-	-	+16.4pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko over 72.5	87.7%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+16.3pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko (regulation)	71.5%	1.62	Betano 1.65	1xBet 1.61	Marathon Bet 1.61	-	-	+16.2pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko -1	73.3%	1.60	Pinnacle 1.62	Marathon Bet 1.59	Bet365 1.58	-	-	+16.2pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko -2	70.4%	1.70	Bet365 1.71	Pinnacle 1.71	Marathon Bet 1.69	-	-	+16.0pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko -1.5	71.6%	1.65	Betano 1.67	Bet365 1.66	Pinnacle 1.66	Marathon Bet 1.64	1xBet 1.62	+15.6pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko +4.5	83.7%	1.34	Betano 1.34	-	-	-	-	+15.3pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko win	74.0%	1.57	Betano 1.60	BetVictor 1.60	1xBet 1.59	Pinnacle 1.59	Betfair 1.57	+15.3pp	Lost
Over 151.5	72.0%	1.59	Betano 1.62	Marathon Bet 1.60	1xBet 1.60	Bet365 1.55	-	+15.3pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko +5.5	85.8%	1.30	Betano 1.30	-	-	-	-	+15.0pp	Lost
Over 149.5	75.9%	1.50	Betano 1.50	-	-	-	-	+14.7pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko +2.5	79.2%	1.39	Betano 1.45	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	+14.3pp	Lost
Over 148.5	77.8%	1.44	Betano 1.44	-	-	-	-	+14.2pp	Lost
Over 147.5	79.6%	1.40	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	-	+14.0pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko +3.5	81.4%	1.33	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+13.5pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko over 70.5	91.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+13.5pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko over 69.5	92.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+13.2pp	Lost
Over 150.5	74.0%	1.53	Betano 1.55	Marathon Bet 1.54	Bet365 1.50	-	-	+13.1pp	Lost
Over 152	71.3%	1.60	Marathon Bet 1.62	Bet365 1.58	-	-	-	+12.9pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko +1.5	76.1%	1.46	Betano 1.52	Bet365 1.47	1xBet 1.40	-	-	+12.8pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko over 68.5	94.0%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+11.7pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko +6.5	87.7%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+11.5pp	Lost
Over 145.5	82.9%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+10.6pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko over 66.5	95.9%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko over 67.5	95.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+9.5pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko +11.5	94.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
Over 140.5	89.6%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko over 64.5	97.4%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko over 65.5	96.7%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko over 63.5	97.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko +16.5	97.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko over 62.5	98.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko over 60.5	99.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko over 61.5	98.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko over 59.5	99.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Over 135.5	94.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko +21.5	98.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Over 130.5	97.0%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Lost
Rogaska over 58.5	96.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko over 58.5	99.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Rogaska over 57.5	97.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Rogaska over 60.5	94.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Rogaska over 56.5	97.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Rogaska over 65.5	86.8%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Rogaska over 59.5	95.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Rogaska over 66.5	84.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Rogaska over 62.5	92.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Rogaska over 64.5	88.8%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Rogaska over 61.5	93.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Rogaska over 69.5	76.5%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Lost
Rogaska over 70.5	73.3%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Lost
Rogaska over 55.5	98.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Rogaska over 63.5	90.6%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Rogaska over 67.5	82.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.7%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	-
Rogaska +28.5	96.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Rogaska under 96.5	96.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Rogaska under 95.5	95.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Rogaska under 97.5	97.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Rogaska under 93.5	94.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Rogaska under 91.5	91.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Rogaska +23.5	91.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko under 100.5	94.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Rogaska under 89.5	88.4%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko under 99.5	93.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Rogaska under 85.5	79.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Rogaska under 86.5	82.1%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Rogaska under 87.5	84.4%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko under 98.5	92.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Rogaska under 83.5	73.8%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	-0.7pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko under 96.5	88.7%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	-1.5pp	Won
Rogaska +18.5	83.8%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-1.7pp	Won
Under 180.5	87.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-2.0pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko under 94.5	84.5%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-3.8pp	Won
Rogaska +13.5	71.1%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-5.1pp	Won
Under 175.5	80.8%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-5.9pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko under 92.5	79.3%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-6.8pp	Won
Under 170.5	71.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-8.8pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko under 90.5	73.2%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	-9.1pp	Won
Over 151	73.4%	1.56	Marathon Bet 1.56	-	-	-	-	-	Lost

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Zlatorog Laskotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zlatorog Lasko: 73.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game

52%

29%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	19.2	54.2%	53.4%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.1	7.7	33.3%	30.3%	23.1
🏀 Free throws	17.0	11.6	68.2%	70.0%	11.6

They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 78.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game

52%

29%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.7	19.9	52.8%	53.4%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	7.8	30.1%	30.3%	23.4
🏀 Free throws	22.2	15.0	67.6%	70.0%	15.0

They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.8	22.7	58.5%	53.4%	45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.8	6.9	29.0%	30.3%	20.7
🏀 Free throws	22.1	15.6	70.6%	70.0%	15.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	22.7	56.0%	53.4%	45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	8.9	33.2%	30.3%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	18.2	12.1	66.5%	70.0%	12.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	19.6	51.4%	53.4%	39.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.3	8.6	33.9%	30.3%	25.7
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.3	71.7%	70.0%	15.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.2	20.8	53.1%	53.4%	41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	7.5	30.3%	30.3%	22.4
🏀 Free throws	21.7	14.9	68.6%	70.0%	14.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.4	23.3	59.1%	53.4%	46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.5	7.7	32.8%	30.3%	23.1
🏀 Free throws	25.0	17.7	70.8%	70.0%	17.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	20.0	53.9%	53.4%	40.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	9.8	35.0%	30.3%	29.3
🏀 Free throws	21.2	15.0	70.8%	70.0%	15.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Zlatorog Lasko

WLWLWLLWLL

Rogaska

LWLLLLWLWW

League position

-10.2

Net rating

-6.9

86.6

Offensive rating

89.4

96.7

Defensive rating

96.2

52.6%

Effective FG%

49.7%

52.8%

Opp. effective FG%

53.6%

19.4%

Turnover %

16.3%

0.29

Free-throw rate

0.35

33.3%

3-point %

30.1%

50.6%

Assist %

68.6%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Zlatorog Lasko ■ Rogaska

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Zlatorog Lasko wins

Rogaska wins

Date	Game	Score
04/05/26	Zlatorog Lasko v Rogaska	80-76
13/12/25	Rogaska v Zlatorog Lasko	103-81
04/10/25	Zlatorog Lasko v Rogaska	94-86
14/12/24	Zlatorog Lasko v Rogaska	68-75
05/10/24	Rogaska v Zlatorog Lasko	94-66
23/04/23	Rogaska v Zlatorog Lasko	90-84
29/12/22	Zlatorog Lasko v Rogaska	58-70
17/10/22	Rogaska v Zlatorog Lasko	77-60
27/04/22	Zlatorog Lasko v Rogaska	90-96
13/04/22	Rogaska v Zlatorog Lasko	92-76

Zlatorog Laskolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/10/26	A	Helios Domzale	75-73
14/10/26	H	Perspektiva Ilirija	69-93
11/10/26	H	Tajfun Sentjur	86-73
29/09/26	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	61-77
26/09/26	H	KK Triglav Kranj	72-69
17/05/26	A	Cedevita Olimpija	74-106
09/05/26	H	Cedevita Olimpija	76-89
04/05/26	H	Rogaska	80-76
30/04/26	H	KK Triglav Kranj	73-74
25/04/26	A	Polzela	67-87

Rogaskalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/10/26	H	KK Krka Novo mesto	62-97
16/10/26	A	KK Triglav Kranj	74-72
10/10/26	H	Gorica	67-80
03/10/26	A	Polzela	49-87
26/09/26	H	Sencur	75-92
04/05/26	A	Zlatorog Lasko	76-80
30/04/26	H	Helios Domzale	97-79
21/04/26	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	75-92
18/04/26	H	KK Triglav Kranj	96-94 OT
13/04/26	H	Terme Olimia Podčetrtek	106-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zlatorog Lasko

Liga Nova KBM 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	60%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	60%	67%	50%
Points / game	72.6	75.7	68.0
Allowed / game	77.0	78.3	75.0
Point differential	-4.4	-2.7	-7.0
Avg total	149.6	154.0	143.0
Over 155.25	40%	67%	0%
Win by 10+	20%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Rogaska

Liga Nova KBM 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	20%
Home	LLL	0%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	20%	0%	50%
Points / game	65.4	68.0	61.5
Allowed / game	85.6	89.7	79.5
Point differential	-20.2	-21.7	-18.0
Avg total	151.0	157.7	141.0
Over 155.25	40%	67%	0%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	KK Krka Novo mesto	6	6	0	100%	89.0	67.7	+21.3
2	Perspektiva Ilirija	6	5	1	83%	84.5	70.8	+13.7
3	Polzela	6	5	1	83%	83.0	70.0	+13.0
4	Sencur	5	4	1	80%	88.2	79.6	+8.6
5	Zlatorog Lasko	5	3	2	60%	72.6	77.0	-4.4
6	Gorica	6	3	3	50%	73.2	73.8	-0.7
7	KK Triglav Kranj	5	1	4	20%	76.2	78.6	-2.4
8	Rogaska	5	1	4	20%	65.4	85.6	-20.2
9	Helios Domzale	6	0	6	0%	67.0	81.2	-14.2
10	Tajfun Sentjur	6	0	6	0%	67.0	84.8	-17.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Zlatorog Lasko	28	9	10	13	60
Rogaska	23	20	12	14	69

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Zlatorog Lasko vs Rogaska Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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