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Zwolle vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 May 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 58-64
20-15 18-15 15-20 5-14
Position#4
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game69.7
vs
Leiden 🏆
Netherlands
Position#1
Record3-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game64.7
NetherlandsDBLDBL - Semi-finals· Landstede Sportcentrum
Other2023-24
Meetings · Zwolle v Leiden
17 Jan 2027
ZWO v LEI
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
ZWO81
LEI90
15 May 2025
ZWO81
LEI83
02 Feb 2025
ZWO75
LEI78
17 May 2024
ZWO58
LEI64
14 Jan 2024
ZWO71
LEI76
12 Mar 2023
ZWO70
LEI72
30 Oct 2022
ZWO84
LEI83
12 May 2022
ZWO79
LEI89
17 Oct 2021
ZWO68
LEI75
18 May 2021
ZWO90
LEI85
22 Apr 2021
ZWO58
LEI79
03 Dec 2020
ZWO v LEI
upcoming
08 Mar 2020
ZWO92
LEI84
17 Nov 2019
ZWO92
LEI75
22 Sep 2019
ZWO78
LEI68
28 Apr 2019
ZWO70
LEI77
31 Mar 2019
ZWO69
LEI87
06 Jan 2019
ZWO71
LEI81
12 May 2018
ZWO73
LEI78
08 May 2018
ZWO79
LEI81
07 Apr 2018
ZWO82
LEI81
07 Jan 2018
ZWO69
LEI65
11 May 2017
ZWO83
LEI56
06 May 2017
ZWO84
LEI78
30 Apr 2017
ZWO78
LEI64
23 Apr 2017
ZWO82
LEI88
08 Apr 2017
ZWO73
LEI80
08 Jan 2017
ZWO81
LEI74
11 Feb 2016
ZWO74
LEI76
25 Oct 2015
ZWO73
LEI58
04 Apr 2015
ZWO73
LEI82
16 Dec 2014
ZWO79
LEI86
27 Apr 2014
ZWO78
LEI77
09 Mar 2014
ZWO75
LEI78
08 Dec 2013
ZWO72
LEI59
10 Feb 2013
ZWO72
LEI78
25 Nov 2012
ZWO78
LEI89
10 May 2012
ZWO43
LEI62
06 May 2012
ZWO72
LEI76
03 Mar 2012
ZWO64
LEI74
26 Nov 2011
ZWO72
LEI68
19 Mar 2011
ZWO62
LEI76
01 Dec 2010
ZWO61
LEI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zwolle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZwolleNetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
72-78
72
78
-6
62avg 69
H31/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
78-99
78
99
-21
71avg 69
A06/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
63-66
63
66
-3
55avg 69
A14/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
81avg 69
H21/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
59-69
59
69
-10
52avg 69
A26/04
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
86-91 OT
86
91
-5
77avg 69
H01/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
57-91
57
91
-34
50avg 69
A03/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#7
W
90-61
90
61
+29
79avg 69
H08/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#7
W
88-80
88
80
+8
85avg 69
A10/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
L
60-68
60
68
-8
55avg 69
A15/05
DBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-23
22-19
24-19
18-17
21-31
18-24
13-25
26-19
15-14
17-13
15-24
16-15
18-20
20-24
16-19
29-25
14-20
9-25
16-9
20-15
15-27
20-16
24-22
21-15
11-27
15-21
18-21
13-22
26-12
25-21
19-15
20-13
27-22
14-16
25-18
22-24
13-20
17-14
14-22
16-12
152.7Avg total
73.6Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.369.7149.0+9.767%
Season at home (1)90.061.0151.0+29.0100%
Season away (2)74.074.0148.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)73.679.1152.7-5.520%
Last 5 (5)76.278.2154.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)68.576.7145.3-8.227%
vs Similar (12)69.874.2143.9-4.425%
vs Weaker (7)82.971.4154.3+11.486%
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenNetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Liege
#6
W
84-78
84
78
+6
85avg 69
H30/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
63avg 69
A06/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
75-66
75
66
+9
73avg 69
A12/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
52-103
52
103
-51
33avg 69
H20/04
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
65-94
65
94
-29
48avg 69
A26/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
68-86
68
86
-18
59avg 69
H01/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
71-65
71
65
+6
64avg 69
A03/05
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#6
W
91-68
91
68
+23
86avg 69
H08/05
DBL
Feyenoord
#6
W
79-66
79
66
+13
74avg 69
A10/05
DBL
Zwolle
#4
W
68-60
68
60
+8
61avg 69
H15/05
DBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
27-18
13-22
20-20
24-23
24-20
16-27
9-15
20-15
19-15
17-21
19-15
11-20
10-26
18-31
13-26
10-28
17-19
18-30
20-17
17-28
21-20
15-20
15-18
14-26
17-5
17-18
23-16
28-17
23-21
18-14
22-16
20-17
16-19
25-11
18-19
20-13
14-17
22-14
12-16
149.7Avg total
72.6Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.364.7144.0+14.7100%
Season at home (2)79.564.0143.5+15.5100%
Season away (1)79.066.0145.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.677.1149.7-4.560%
Last 5 (5)75.469.0144.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.083.0151.0-15.018%
vs Similar (11)73.069.5142.5+3.573%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)79.470.0149.4+9.475%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
ZwolleLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H31/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A06/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A14/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H21/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A26/04
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H01/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A03/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#7
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H08/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A10/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A15/05
DBL
75.4Avg total
34.5Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.838.072.8-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.237.975.1-0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)32.838.170.9-5.431%-
Last 10 (10)34.540.975.4-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.275.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)33.838.171.9-4.327%-
vs Similar (12)30.937.768.6-6.733%-
vs Weaker (7)43.138.481.6+4.771%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liege
#6
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H30/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A06/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A12/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
21-46
21
46
-25
H20/04
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A26/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H01/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A03/05
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#6
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H08/05
DBL
Feyenoord
#6
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A10/05
DBL
Zwolle
#4
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H15/05
DBL
76.1Avg total
37.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.336.873.1-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.735.270.9+0.462%-
Last 30 away (14)36.938.675.6-1.729%-
Last 10 (10)37.638.576.1-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.036.674.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.542.277.7-6.627%-
vs Similar (11)34.032.566.5+1.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.435.475.8+5.062%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.3
48.6%
53.0%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.8
36.2%
35.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.311.4
65.9%
71.0%11.4
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.0
53.3%
53.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.1
30.3%
35.4%21.3
🏀 Free throws15.111.0
72.8%
71.0%11.0
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zwolle
LWWLLLLLLL
Leiden
WWWWLLLWLW
#4
League position
#1
-8.9
Net rating
-5.3
102.5
Offensive rating
101.7
111.5
Defensive rating
107.0
50.9%
Effective FG%
50.3%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.1%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.2%
3-point %
30.3%
62.5%
Assist %
63.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 101.7Defence111.5 · 107.0Shooting50.9% · 50.3%3-point %36.2% · 30.3%Ball care17.1% · 17.1%Off. rebounds26.5% · 23.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Zwolle   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Zwolle wins
9
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
15/05/24Leiden v Zwolle68-60
14/01/24Zwolle v Leiden71-76
28/10/23Leiden v Zwolle74-65
17/09/23Leiden v Zwolle62-57
12/03/23Zwolle v Leiden70-72
07/01/23Leiden v Zwolle76-65
30/10/22Zwolle v Leiden84-83
14/05/22Leiden v Zwolle71-69
12/05/22Zwolle v Leiden79-89
10/05/22Leiden v Zwolle91-79
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/24ALeiden60-68
10/05/24ALWD Basket88-80
08/05/24HLWD Basket90-61
03/05/24ALimburg57-91
01/05/24HLiege86-91 OT
26/04/24AAntwerp Giants59-69
21/04/24HOostende83-88
14/04/24ASpirou Charleroi63-66
06/04/24AOostende78-99
31/03/24HSpirou Charleroi72-78
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/24HZwolle68-60
10/05/24AFeyenoord79-66
08/05/24HFeyenoord91-68
03/05/24ASpirou Charleroi71-65
01/05/24HOostende68-86
26/04/24ALiege65-94
20/04/24HAntwerp Giants52-103
12/04/24ALimburg75-66
06/04/24AAntwerp Giants73-85
30/03/24HLiege84-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zwolle
DBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game79.390.074.0
Allowed / game69.761.074.0
Point differential+9.7+29.0+0.0
Avg total149.0151.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leiden
DBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game79.379.579.0
Allowed / game64.764.066.0
Point differential+14.7+15.5+13.0
Avg total144.0143.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Den Bosch330100%91.364.0+27.3
2 Leiden330100%79.364.7+14.7
3 Zwolle32167%79.369.7+9.7
4 Donar Groningen42250%79.274.5+4.8
5 BAL Weert31233%69.379.3-10.0
6 Feyenoord2020%67.085.0-18.0
7 LWD Basket2020%70.589.0-18.5
8 QSTA Utd2020%56.592.0-35.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zwolle201815558
Leiden1515201464
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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