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Zwolle vs Donar Groningen Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 14 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 13:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record3-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#9
Record3-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game88.2
EuropeBNXT League· Landstede Sportcentrum
Other2026-27
Meetings · Zwolle v Donar Groningen
14 Mar 2027
ZWO v DGR
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
ZWO67
DGR78
22 Dec 2024
ZWO65
DGR83
28 Jan 2024
ZWO72
DGR59
17 Dec 2023
ZWO72
DGR62
16 Oct 2022
ZWO63
DGR68
16 Jan 2022
ZWO73
DGR85
31 Oct 2021
ZWO63
DGR75
05 Apr 2021
ZWO72
DGR91
18 Oct 2020
ZWO v DGR
upcoming
12 Jan 2020
ZWO69
DGR98
13 Oct 2019
ZWO77
DGR70
26 May 2019
ZWO v DGR
upcoming
21 May 2019
ZWO v DGR
upcoming
06 Apr 2019
ZWO101
DGR96
21 Oct 2018
ZWO88
DGR81
15 Feb 2018
ZWO55
DGR86
21 Jan 2018
ZWO60
DGR75
21 May 2017
ZWO48
DGR76
16 May 2017
ZWO51
DGR96
21 Jan 2017
ZWO61
DGR68
06 Nov 2016
ZWO76
DGR74
26 May 2016
ZWO69
DGR86
22 May 2016
ZWO74
DGR68
17 May 2016
ZWO70
DGR85
24 Mar 2016
ZWO69
DGR67
06 Dec 2015
ZWO82
DGR77
22 Mar 2015
ZWO81
DGR83
30 Nov 2014
ZWO73
DGR84
09 Apr 2014
ZWO55
DGR72
05 Jan 2014
ZWO72
DGR66
01 Apr 2013
ZWO66
DGR74
13 Jan 2013
ZWO89
DGR86
24 Apr 2012
ZWO63
DGR78
11 Jan 2012
ZWO68
DGR77
09 Nov 2011
ZWO64
DGR74
06 Apr 2011
ZWO87
DGR100
11 Dec 2010
ZWO60
DGR80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zwolle win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Donar Groningen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZwolleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
78-77
78
77
+1
73avg 72
H03/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
61-69
61
69
-8
53avg 72
A06/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
70-83
70
83
-13
63avg 72
H09/05
BNXT League
Bakken Bears
#27
L
78-89
78
89
-11
70avg 72
A16/09
Champions League
Den Bosch
#7
W
70-59
70
59
+11
69avg 72
H04/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
70-98
70
98
-28
no box
A10/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
74-57
74
57
+17
72avg 72
A17/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#2
L
65-89
65
89
-24
50avg 72
H25/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#15
W
73-71
73
71
+2
no box
H01/11
BNXT League
CB Liege
#14
L
84-88
84
88
-4
no box
A06/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
14-13
22-17
21-24
17-20
16-15
10-10
18-24
16-24
15-18
25-25
14-16
33-22
12-21
16-22
17-24
16-11
15-23
16-15
23-10
25-14
13-26
17-31
15-27
24-15
15-15
17-15
18-12
23-19
16-20
14-28
12-22
12-22
18-17
18-26
25-6
18-25
21-23
25-18
20-22
150.3Avg total
72.3Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)72.777.0149.7-4.350%
Season at home (3)69.373.0142.3-3.767%
Season away (3)76.081.0157.0-5.033%
Last 10 (10)72.378.0150.3-5.740%
Last 5 (5)73.280.6153.8-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)76.790.4167.1-13.723%
vs Similar ◀ (8)72.169.4141.5+2.862%
vs Weaker (8)87.276.6163.9+10.675%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Limburg
#5
L
71-82
71
82
-11
66avg 76
H09/05
BNXT League
Anwil Wloclawek
#7
L
81-97
81
97
-16
69avg 76
A24/09
ENBL
Tal Tech
#10
L
70-83
70
83
-13
54avg 76
A30/09
ENBL
Kortrijk
#15
W
85-76
85
76
+9
80avg 76
A02/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#8
W
81-78
81
78
+3
70avg 76
H06/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#4
L
63-90
63
90
-27
42avg 76
H14/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
90-114
90
114
-24
72avg 76
A25/10
BNXT League
Voluntari
#5
W
90-71
90
71
+19
87avg 76
H27/10
ENBL
Leiden
#11
W
96-83
96
83
+13
94avg 76
A31/10
BNXT League
Alkar
#13
W
92-80
92
80
+12
no box
A03/11
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
27-18
12-22
17-18
23-27
15-19
25-26
18-25
19-20
21-20
14-23
16-20
29-17
25-14
13-23
18-22
11-13
29-17
22-23
19-25
19-27
11-28
13-20
20-15
24-31
29-28
12-30
25-25
23-22
20-13
24-18
23-18
24-17
19-22
25-26
28-18
22-25
28-15
25-24
17-16
167.3Avg total
81.9Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.088.2171.2-5.260%
Season at home (2)72.084.0156.0-12.050%
Season away (3)90.391.0181.3-0.767%
Last 10 (10)81.985.4167.3-3.550%
Last 5 (5)86.287.6173.8-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.893.5170.3-16.618%
vs Similar ◀ (14)85.279.9165.1+5.464%
vs Weaker (5)90.882.4173.2+8.480%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
ZwolleDonar Groningen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H03/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A06/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H09/05
BNXT League
Bakken Bears
#27
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A16/09
Champions League
Den Bosch
#7
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H04/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A17/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H25/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#15
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H01/11
BNXT League
CB Liege
#14
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A06/11
BNXT League
74.6Avg total
36.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.579.7-1.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.841.780.5-2.927%-
Last 30 away (15)39.739.379.0+0.533%-
Last 10 (10)36.038.674.6-2.620%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.276.2-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.443.584.8-2.123%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.135.868.9-2.625%-
vs Weaker (8)41.240.081.2+1.238%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limburg
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H09/05
BNXT League
Anwil Wloclawek
#7
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A24/09
ENBL
Tal Tech
#10
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A30/09
ENBL
Kortrijk
#15
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A02/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#8
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H06/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#4
L
30-55
30
55
-25
H14/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A25/10
BNXT League
Voluntari
#5
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H27/10
ENBL
Leiden
#11
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A31/10
BNXT League
Alkar
#13
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A03/11
ENBL
85.0Avg total
43.3Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.083.9+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.438.380.7+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)43.443.787.1-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)43.341.785.0+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.845.689.4-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.246.987.1-6.718%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.936.579.4+6.471%-
vs Weaker (5)49.040.889.8+8.280%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.9
51.4%
53.3%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.6
34.3%
32.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws16.911.9
70.4%
71.3%11.9
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.9
53.7%
53.3%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.6
35.5%
32.2%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.712.1
64.7%
71.3%12.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zwolle
LWLWLWLLLW
Donar Groningen
WWWLLWWLLL
#10
League position
#9
-0.6
Net rating
-1.6
88.7
Offensive rating
94.9
89.3
Defensive rating
96.5
51.4%
Effective FG%
53.5%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
17.6%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.3%
3-point %
35.5%
60.8%
Assist %
55.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence88.7 · 94.9Defence89.3 · 96.5Shooting51.4% · 53.5%3-point %34.3% · 35.5%Ball care17.6% · 14.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Zwolle   ■ Donar Groningen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Zwolle wins
6
Donar Groningen wins
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26ACB Liege84-88
01/11/26HKortrijk73-71
25/10/26HBrussels Basketball65-89
17/10/26ABelfius Mons74-57
10/10/26AOostende70-98
04/10/26HDen Bosch70-59
16/09/26ABakken Bears78-89
09/05/26HKortrijk70-83
06/05/26ALeuven Bears61-69
03/05/26HSpirou Charleroi78-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26AAlkar92-80
31/10/26ALeiden96-83
27/10/26HVoluntari90-71
25/10/26AOkapi Aalst90-114
14/10/26HSpirou Charleroi63-90
06/10/26HLeuven Bears81-78
02/10/26AKortrijk85-76
30/09/26ATal Tech70-83
24/09/26AAnwil Wloclawek81-97
09/05/26HLimburg71-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zwolle
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game72.769.376.0
Allowed / game77.073.081.0
Point differential-4.3-3.7-5.0
Avg total149.7142.3157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game83.072.090.3
Allowed / game88.284.091.0
Point differential-5.2-12.0-0.7
Avg total171.2156.0181.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants550100%107.082.0+25.0
2 Brussels Basketball54180%81.468.2+13.2
3 Okapi Aalst54180%92.683.4+9.2
4 Spirou Charleroi64267%79.367.0+12.3
5 Limburg53260%91.286.6+4.6
6 Oostende53260%77.073.0+4.0
7 Den Bosch53260%79.880.4-0.6
8 Leuven Bears53260%68.069.0-1.0
9 Donar Groningen53260%83.088.2-5.2
10 Zwolle63350%72.777.0-4.3
11 Leiden52340%75.277.6-2.4
12 Mechelen52340%89.095.2-6.2
13 Rotterdam62433%75.880.2-4.3
14 CB Liege61517%77.591.0-13.5
15 Kortrijk5050%81.086.2-5.2
16 Belfius Mons5050%65.288.8-23.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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