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Leiden vs Donar Groningen Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 85-77
25-18 18-23 23-17 19-19
Position#5
Record6-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game68.1
Leiden 🏆
vs
Position#13
Record4-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game67.1
EuropeBNXT League· Vijf Meihal (Leiden)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Leiden v Donar Groningen
31 Oct 2026
LEI83
DGR96
08 Nov 2025
LEI101
DGR72
20 Apr 2025
LEI79
DGR81
19 Nov 2023
LEI85
DGR77
29 May 2023
LEI82
DGR81
25 May 2023
LEI55
DGR64
21 May 2023
LEI91
DGR94
22 Jan 2023
LEI76
DGR63
17 Nov 2022
LEI84
DGR68
11 Jun 2022
LEI71
DGR70
22 Jan 2022
LEI69
DGR71
20 Mar 2021
LEI96
DGR91
16 Jan 2021
LEI98
DGR67
01 Feb 2020
LEI81
DGR73
23 Nov 2019
LEI72
DGR80
14 May 2019
LEI63
DGR93
09 May 2019
LEI76
DGR77
09 Apr 2019
LEI82
DGR85
16 Mar 2019
LEI78
DGR79
03 Jan 2019
LEI83
DGR77
29 May 2018
LEI66
DGR73
24 May 2018
LEI71
DGR78
10 Mar 2018
LEI61
DGR85
07 Oct 2017
LEI75
DGR63
02 Mar 2017
LEI57
DGR74
10 Dec 2016
LEI67
DGR68
10 May 2016
LEI73
DGR43
05 May 2016
LEI76
DGR93
30 Apr 2016
LEI72
DGR69
14 Apr 2016
LEI69
DGR67
09 Jan 2016
LEI74
DGR80
12 May 2015
LEI85
DGR56
07 May 2015
LEI69
DGR79
02 May 2015
LEI86
DGR80
28 Feb 2015
LEI76
DGR72
20 Dec 2014
LEI72
DGR81
08 May 2014
LEI66
DGR72
03 May 2014
LEI62
DGR59
25 Jan 2014
LEI63
DGR78
05 Oct 2013
LEI69
DGR63
07 May 2013
LEI68
DGR64
01 May 2013
LEI75
DGR52
20 Feb 2013
LEI66
DGR68
01 Dec 2012
LEI70
DGR48
14 Mar 2012
LEI55
DGR58
19 Nov 2011
LEI70
DGR58
29 May 2011
LEI96
DGR95
22 May 2011
LEI75
DGR64
19 May 2011
LEI68
DGR63
14 May 2011
LEI107
DGR89
10 Feb 2011
LEI69
DGR79
30 Oct 2010
LEI62
DGR80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donar Groningen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#2
L
54-78
54
78
-24
42avg 70
A07/10
BNXT League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
77-69
77
69
+8
78avg 70
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Feyenoord
#18
W
80-73
80
73
+7
72avg 70
A22/10
BNXT League
Trepca
#25
W
84-54
84
54
+30
87avg 70
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zwolle
#12
W
74-65
74
65
+9
74avg 70
H28/10
BNXT League
Galil Elyon
#50
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BAL Weert
#15
W
88-71
88
71
+17
82avg 70
A04/11
BNXT League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
46-74
46
74
-28
27avg 70
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
LWD Basket
#17
W
72-67
72
67
+5
69avg 70
H11/11
BNXT League
Trepca
#25
W
80-76
80
76
+4
78avg 70
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
4-25
17-18
16-21
17-14
25-21
16-10
16-23
20-15
20-15
22-11
18-21
20-26
18-13
15-14
23-15
28-12
17-21
18-19
19-13
20-12
–
–
–
–
20-16
21-23
29-15
18-17
6-24
14-13
15-15
11-22
19-21
23-14
13-16
17-16
23-22
18-15
17-18
22-21
130.2Avg total
67.5Scored
62.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.468.1149.6+13.386%
Season at home (3)82.763.3146.0+19.3100%
Season away (4)80.571.8152.2+8.875%
Last 10 (10)67.562.7130.2+4.880%
Last 5 (5)61.257.6118.8+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.073.7132.7-14.733%
vs Similar ◀ (11)73.671.7145.4+1.955%
vs Weaker (14)84.970.3155.2+14.6100%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#2
W
74-63
74
63
+11
65avg 64
H23/09
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
70-73
70
73
-3
62avg 64
A28/09
BNXT League
Sabah Baku
#28
L
72-75
72
75
-3
70avg 64
H02/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rapid Bucuresti
#9
L
65-69
65
69
-4
54avg 64
A03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rabotnicki
#47
W
65-62
65
62
+3
60avg 64
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zwolle
#12
L
53-75
53
75
-22
43avg 64
H10/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
82-51
82
51
+31
80avg 64
A15/10
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
82-54
82
54
+28
84avg 64
H21/10
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#15
L
70-73
70
73
-3
63avg 64
H28/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
80avg 64
A04/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
20-23
14-17
13-9
13-21
22-20
22-11
13-21
23-18
14-22
20-19
15-16
18-15
8-20
17-15
22-19
17-18
15-7
12-10
21-27
13-27
15-23
15-13
10-12
18-15
27-6
16-21
21-9
20-19
29-17
18-4
15-14
20-19
22-16
14-20
14-18
16-12
22-27
19-17
13-14
139.2Avg total
71.6Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.467.1140.6+6.357%
Season at home (4)69.866.2136.0+3.550%
Season away (3)78.368.3146.7+10.067%
Last 10 (10)71.667.6139.2+4.050%
Last 5 (5)74.066.8140.8+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.268.0134.2-1.850%
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.771.8142.5-1.146%
vs Weaker (13)74.665.8140.5+8.869%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
LeidenDonar Groningen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#2
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A07/10
BNXT League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Feyenoord
#18
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A22/10
BNXT League
Trepca
#25
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zwolle
#12
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H28/10
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#15
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A04/11
BNXT League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
20-37
20
37
-17
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
LWD Basket
#17
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H11/11
BNXT League
Trepca
#25
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
70.1Avg total
35.1Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.635.171.7+1.462%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.034.771.7+2.360%-
Last 30 away (14)36.135.671.6+0.564%-
Last 10 (9)35.135.070.1+0.167%-
Last 5 (5)35.837.673.4-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.337.064.3-9.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.136.071.1-0.936%-
vs Weaker (14)40.034.474.4+5.686%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#2
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H23/09
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A28/09
BNXT League
Sabah Baku
#28
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H02/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rapid Bucuresti
#9
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rabotnicki
#47
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zwolle
#12
L
28-50
28
50
-22
H10/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
45-21
45
21
+24
A15/10
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H21/10
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#15
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H28/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A04/11
BNXT League
73.8Avg total
37.9Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.835.071.8+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.534.170.6+2.462%-
Last 30 away (14)37.136.173.1+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)37.935.973.8+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.276.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.033.567.5+0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)34.835.770.5-0.962%-
vs Weaker (13)39.634.874.5+4.854%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.121.3
50.6%
52.2%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.1
32.3%
33.1%21.3
🏀 Free throws15.411.4
74.0%
71.4%11.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.5
50.7%
52.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.6
30.6%
33.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws14.210.2
71.8%
71.4%10.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
WWLWWWWWWL
Donar Groningen
WLWWLWLLLW
#5
League position
#13
+10.2
Net rating
+6.6
103.7
Offensive rating
101.5
93.5
Defensive rating
95.0
49.8%
Effective FG%
49.0%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.3%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.9%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.3%
3-point %
30.6%
69.7%
Assist %
63.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 101.5Defence93.5 · 95.0Shooting49.8% · 49.0%3-point %32.3% · 30.6%Ball care17.1% · 16.9%Off. rebounds28.8% · 28.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Leiden   ■ Donar Groningen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Leiden wins
3
Donar Groningen wins
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23HTrepca80-76
11/11/23HLWD Basket72-67
08/11/23AGravelines-Dunkerque46-74
04/11/23ABAL Weert88-71
01/11/23AGalil Elyon20-0
28/10/23HZwolle74-65
25/10/23ATrepca84-54
22/10/23AFeyenoord80-73
18/10/23HGravelines-Dunkerque77-69
07/10/23ADen Bosch54-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23ALWD Basket83-81 OT
28/10/23HBAL Weert70-73
21/10/23HQSTA Utd82-54
15/10/23ADen Helder82-51
10/10/23HZwolle53-75
05/10/23HRabotnicki65-62
03/10/23ARapid Bucuresti65-69
02/10/23HSabah Baku72-75
28/09/23AFeyenoord70-73
23/09/23HDen Bosch74-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game81.482.780.5
Allowed / game68.163.371.8
Point differential+13.3+19.3+8.8
Avg total149.6146.0152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW57%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game73.469.878.3
Allowed / game67.166.268.3
Point differential+6.3+3.5+10.0
Avg total140.6136.0146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Den Bosch76186%84.769.9+14.9
2 Leiden76186%81.468.1+13.3
3 Limburg97278%77.367.7+9.7
4 Antwerp Giants97278%79.674.2+5.3
5 Oostende97278%76.771.7+5.0
6 Zwolle86275%77.065.0+12.0
7 Donar Groningen74357%73.467.1+6.3
8 BAL Weert74357%73.373.6-0.3
9 Mechelen95456%74.871.4+3.3
10 Circus Brussels95456%79.676.8+2.8
11 Liege95456%74.175.6-1.4
12 Kortrijk95456%79.482.3-2.9
13 Spirou Charleroi84450%73.175.8-2.6
14 Feyenoord84450%74.481.9-7.5
15 Leuven Bears103730%76.277.8-1.6
16 Den Helder82625%67.280.2-13.0
17 Belfius Mons81712%75.583.9-8.4
18 LWD Basket81712%74.683.4-8.8
19 QSTA Utd81712%69.482.0-12.6
20 Okapi Aalst9090%77.687.8-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden2518231985
Donar Groningen1823171977
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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