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Aabyhoj W vs BMS Herlev W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-59
12-12 21-16 18-15 19-16
Position#2
Record9-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game66.1
Allowed / game65.5
Aabyhoj W 🏆
Denmark
vs
BMS Herlev W
Denmark
Position#3
Record9-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game66.6
Allowed / game69.1
DenmarkDameligaen WKvindebasketligaen Women - Semi-finals· Aaby Hallen
Women2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Aabyhoj W v BMS Herlev W
21 Feb 2026
AABY70
BMS 52
22 Mar 2025
AABY68
BMS 53
01 Mar 2025
AABY57
BMS 47
15 Feb 2025
AABY84
BMS 53
30 Nov 2024
AABY75
BMS 49
10 Apr 2024
AABY70
BMS 59
17 Feb 2024
AABY68
BMS 78
13 Jan 2024
AABY65
BMS 56
28 Oct 2023
AABY54
BMS 51
11 Dec 2022
AABY80
BMS 77
25 Sep 2022
AABY49
BMS 57
28 Jan 2022
AABY60
BMS 69
02 Oct 2021
AABY75
BMS 67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aabyhoj W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BMS Herlev W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aabyhoj WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
BMS Herlev W
#2
W
65-56
65
56
+9
no box
H13/01
Denmark Cup Women
Falcon W
#1
L
72-79
72
79
-7
no box
A14/01
Denmark Cup Women
Sisu W
#5
W
76-68
76
68
+8
70avg 53
A20/01
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
L
72-84
72
84
-12
47avg 53
H03/02
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#3
L
68-78
68
78
-10
56avg 53
H17/02
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#3
W
69-60
69
60
+9
50avg 53
A02/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
59-53
59
53
+6
51avg 53
H09/03
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
55-62
55
62
-7
46avg 53
A16/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
L
60-66
60
66
-6
49avg 53
H23/03
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#3
W
61-56
61
56
+5
54avg 53
A07/04
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
18-12
8-13
18-14
19-17
17-27
21-13
15-22
20-25
20-13
15-20
21-10
10-10
19-22
19-21
24-31
15-16
19-14
15-24
19-24
20-12
11-11
17-19
21-18
19-16
20-16
16-14
4-7
17-24
10-4
14-16
14-18
18-15
11-19
16-11
15-21
10-15
19-15
20-16
12-10
131.9Avg total
65.7Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)66.165.5131.5+0.653%
Season at home (8)66.169.9136.0-3.838%
Season away (9)66.061.6127.6+4.467%
Last 10 (10)65.766.2131.9-0.550%
Last 5 (5)60.859.4120.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)64.571.4135.8-6.936%
vs Similar ◀ (10)66.463.6130.0+2.860%
vs Weaker (7)66.960.0126.9+6.986%
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS Herlev WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sisu W
#5
W
69-58
69
58
+11
65avg 59
H09/01
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#3
L
56-65
56
65
-9
no box
A13/01
Denmark Cup Women
Amager W
#4
W
64-51
64
51
+13
no box
A14/01
Denmark Cup Women
Falcon W
#1
L
73-76
73
76
-3
63avg 59
A04/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
78-68
78
68
+10
77avg 59
A17/02
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
77-73 OT
77
73
+4
no box
H24/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
60-69
60
69
-9
46avg 59
H02/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
65-64
65
64
+1
no box
A15/03
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
W
68-57
68
57
+11
65avg 59
H23/03
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
56-61
56
61
-5
58avg 59
H07/04
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-11
14-14
9-16
20-17
17-21
12-18
13-8
14-18
12-17
19-10
15-12
18-12
17-16
26-21
21-12
9-27
16-15
14-19
24-15
24-19
16-19
24-14
16-18
13-18
12-20
11-11
19-17
18-21
–
–
–
–
12-18
14-8
24-16
18-15
15-10
15-19
16-20
10-12
130.8Avg total
66.6Scored
64.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)66.669.1135.7-2.553%
Season at home (9)63.866.3130.1-2.656%
Season away (8)69.872.2142.0-2.550%
Last 10 (10)66.664.2130.8+2.460%
Last 5 (5)65.264.8130.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.779.2146.8-11.533%
vs Similar ◀ (12)68.668.6137.2+0.050%
vs Weaker (10)67.661.4129.0+6.270%
This opponent (Aabyhoj W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
Aabyhoj WBMS Herlev W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Aabyhoj WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BMS Herlev W
#2
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H13/01
Denmark Cup Women
Falcon W
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/01
Denmark Cup Women
Sisu W
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A20/01
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H03/02
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#3
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H17/02
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#3
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A02/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H09/03
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A16/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H23/03
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#3
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A07/04
Dameligaen W
65.3Avg total
33.3Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)32.631.664.2+1.048%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.733.567.3+0.247%-
Last 30 away (14)31.429.560.9+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)33.332.065.3+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)31.029.460.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.535.867.4-4.318%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)32.427.559.9+4.960%-
vs Weaker (7)33.931.665.4+2.371%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS Herlev WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu W
#5
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H09/01
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#3
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A13/01
Denmark Cup Women
Amager W
#4
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A14/01
Denmark Cup Women
Falcon W
#1
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A04/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A17/02
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H24/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H02/03
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H23/03
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H07/04
Dameligaen W
63.7Avg total
32.4Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)34.434.368.7+0.048%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.631.565.1+2.157%-
Last 30 away (13)35.237.472.5-2.238%-
Last 10 (9)32.431.263.7+1.256%-
Last 5 (5)29.830.660.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.040.575.5-5.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.333.966.2-1.650%-
vs Weaker (8)34.029.563.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Aabyhoj W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aabyhoj Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aabyhoj W: 62.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.4 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.716.9
35.4%
39.8%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.64.5
24.2%
27.2%13.5
🏀 Free throws20.714.8
71.5%
68.3%14.8
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BMS Herlev Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev W: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.4 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.719.0
44.5%
39.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.85.9
29.8%
27.2%17.7
🏀 Free throws19.314.3
74.1%
68.3%14.3
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aabyhoj W
WLLWWLLWLW
BMS Herlev W
LWWLWWLWLW
#2
League position
#3
-2.0
Net rating
+4.2
84.3
Offensive rating
93.9
86.4
Defensive rating
89.8
35.7%
Effective FG%
44.6%
39.4%
Opp. effective FG%
40.8%
19.1%
Turnover %
23.3%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
24.2%
3-point %
29.8%
67.3%
Assist %
68.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence84.3 · 93.9Defence86.4 · 89.8Shooting35.7% · 44.6%3-point %24.2% · 29.8%Ball care19.1% · 23.3%Off. rebounds34.5% · 34.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Aabyhoj W   ■ BMS Herlev W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Aabyhoj W wins
5
BMS Herlev W wins
DateGameScore
07/04/24BMS Herlev W v Aabyhoj W56-61
02/03/24BMS Herlev W v Aabyhoj W60-69
17/02/24Aabyhoj W v BMS Herlev W68-78
13/01/24Aabyhoj W v BMS Herlev W65-56
09/12/23BMS Herlev W v Aabyhoj W71-66
28/10/23Aabyhoj W v BMS Herlev W54-51
18/02/23BMS Herlev W v Aabyhoj W63-53
11/12/22Aabyhoj W v BMS Herlev W80-77 OT
05/11/22BMS Herlev W v Aabyhoj W72-71
25/09/22Aabyhoj W v BMS Herlev W49-57
Aabyhoj Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24ABMS Herlev W61-56
23/03/24HAmager W60-66
16/03/24AFalcon W55-62
09/03/24HSisu W59-53
02/03/24ABMS Herlev W69-60
17/02/24HBMS Herlev W68-78
03/02/24HAmager W72-84
20/01/24ASisu W76-68
14/01/24AFalcon W72-79
13/01/24HBMS Herlev W65-56
BMS Herlev Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24HAabyhoj W56-61
23/03/24HFalcon W68-57
15/03/24ASisu W65-64
02/03/24HAabyhoj W60-69
24/02/24HAmager W77-73 OT
17/02/24AAabyhoj W78-68
04/02/24AFalcon W73-76
14/01/24AAmager W64-51
13/01/24AAabyhoj W56-65
09/01/24HSisu W69-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aabyhoj W
Dameligaen W 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW53%
HomeLLLWL38%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%38%67%
Points / game66.166.166.0
Allowed / game65.569.961.6
Point differential+0.6-3.8+4.4
Avg total131.5136.0127.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%12%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BMS Herlev W
Dameligaen W 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL53%
HomeWWLWL56%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %53%56%50%
Points / game66.663.869.8
Allowed / game69.166.372.2
Point differential-2.5-2.6-2.5
Avg total135.7130.1142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Falcon W1715288%76.462.6+13.8
2 Aabyhoj W179853%66.165.5+0.6
3 BMS Herlev W179853%66.669.1-2.5
4 Amager W178947%66.969.9-3.1
5 Sisu W161156%59.668.9-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aabyhoj W1221181970
BMS Herlev W1216151659
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