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BMS Herlev W vs Aabyhoj W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 71-66
17-8 12-20 19-17 23-21
Position#3
Record2-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game59.0
Allowed / game69.7
BMS Herlev W 🏆
Denmark
vs
Aabyhoj W
Denmark
Position#2
Record5-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game66.7
Allowed / game62.7
DenmarkDameligaen W· Rosenlund Ny Hal (Copenhagen)
Women2023-24
Meetings · BMS Herlev W v Aabyhoj W
29 Nov 2025
BMS 72
AABY65
12 Oct 2025
BMS 55
AABY65
26 Mar 2025
BMS 37
AABY78
19 Oct 2024
BMS 51
AABY84
12 Oct 2024
BMS 46
AABY82
07 Apr 2024
BMS 56
AABY61
02 Mar 2024
BMS 60
AABY69
09 Dec 2023
BMS 71
AABY66
18 Feb 2023
BMS 63
AABY53
05 Nov 2022
BMS 72
AABY71
26 Feb 2022
BMS 69
AABY60
20 Nov 2021
BMS 118
AABY73
26 Jan 2021
BMS 85
AABY80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BMS Herlev W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aabyhoj W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BMS Herlev WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Hobas W
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
no box
A12/03
Denmark Cup Women
Amager W
#4
L
60-92
60
92
-32
no box
A14/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
L
54-58
54
58
-4
42avg 50
H30/09
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
59-98
59
98
-39
43avg 50
A08/10
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
64-49
64
49
+15
63avg 50
H14/10
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
55-106
55
106
-51
45avg 50
H22/10
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
51-54
51
54
-3
41avg 50
A28/10
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
60-50
60
50
+10
50avg 50
A04/11
Dameligaen W
Hobas W
#6
W
88-73
88
73
+15
no box
A19/11
Denmark Cup Women
Amager W
#4
L
70-73
70
73
-3
62avg 50
A25/11
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
15-22
16-29
8-24
21-17
21-8
8-21
13-15
12-14
15-26
14-23
12-24
18-25
16-12
21-13
12-13
15-11
13-29
21-28
14-24
7-25
11-10
11-15
11-7
18-22
14-6
19-12
13-13
14-19
30-18
28-23
17-21
13-11
14-14
16-27
15-16
25-16
137.0Avg total
63.5Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)59.069.7128.7-10.729%
Season at home (3)57.771.0128.7-13.333%
Season away (4)60.068.8128.8-8.825%
Last 10 (10)63.573.5137.0-10.030%
Last 5 (5)64.871.2136.0-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)66.680.8147.3-14.222%
vs Similar ◀ (7)67.967.7135.6+0.143%
vs Weaker (11)68.363.8132.1+4.564%
This opponent (Aabyhoj W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aabyhoj WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Amager W
#4
W
64-62
64
62
+2
no box
H25/02
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
73-65
73
65
+8
no box
H04/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
52-43
52
43
+9
44avg 57
A24/09
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
64-86
64
86
-22
45avg 57
H30/09
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
78-63
78
63
+15
69avg 57
A07/10
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
71-51
71
51
+20
69avg 57
A21/10
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#3
W
54-51
54
51
+3
36avg 57
H28/10
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
66-80
66
80
-14
53avg 57
A04/11
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
H18/11
Denmark Cup Women
Sisu W
#5
W
82-65
82
65
+17
84avg 57
H02/12
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
18-12
17-17
15-15
11-18
20-18
26-15
16-14
15-11
11-7
9-10
17-15
22-28
19-17
13-17
10-24
24-13
20-14
10-23
24-13
21-10
15-9
20-15
15-17
10-11
15-11
7-11
22-18
11-19
18-16
15-18
22-27
16-11
21-15
10-14
29-27
19-16
25-19
22-12
16-18
131.3Avg total
68.0Scored
63.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)66.762.7129.4+4.071%
Season at home (3)66.767.3134.0-0.767%
Season away (4)66.859.2126.0+7.575%
Last 10 (10)68.063.3131.3+4.780%
Last 5 (5)69.862.8132.6+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)60.072.6132.6-12.621%
vs Similar ◀ (3)67.755.0122.7+12.7100%
vs Weaker (6)64.357.5121.8+6.883%
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
BMS Herlev WAabyhoj W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BMS Herlev WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager W
#4
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A14/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H30/09
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A08/10
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H14/10
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
34-57
34
57
-23
H22/10
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
22-25
22
25
-3
A28/10
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
33-18
33
18
+15
A04/11
Dameligaen W
Hobas W
#6
W
58-41
58
41
+17
A19/11
Denmark Cup Women
Amager W
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A25/11
Dameligaen W
71.0Avg total
33.7Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)35.135.170.1+0.039%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.535.270.8+0.242%-
Last 30 away (16)34.834.969.7-0.238%-
Last 10 (9)33.737.371.0-3.733%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.471.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.040.873.8-7.811%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)34.433.668.0+0.957%-
vs Weaker (10)33.731.264.9+2.540%-
This opponent (Aabyhoj W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aabyhoj WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager W
#4
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H25/02
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H04/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
26-18
26
18
+8
A24/09
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H30/09
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A07/10
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
36-19
36
19
+17
A21/10
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#3
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H28/10
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A04/11
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H18/11
Denmark Cup Women
Sisu W
#5
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H02/12
Dameligaen W
63.8Avg total
34.5Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)31.434.365.8-2.939%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.636.468.0-4.831%-
Last 30 away (12)31.231.662.8-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)34.529.363.8+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)34.227.461.6+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)30.537.768.2-7.221%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)35.022.757.7+12.3100%-
vs Weaker (5)31.630.261.8+1.460%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BMS Herlev Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev W: 58.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.4 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.716.3
41.0%
39.8%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.94.4
22.3%
27.2%13.3
🏀 Free throws16.312.6
77.2%
68.3%12.6
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aabyhoj Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aabyhoj W: 65.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.3 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.4 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.918.1
37.9%
39.8%36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.44.9
26.4%
27.2%14.6
🏀 Free throws20.014.7
73.6%
68.3%14.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BMS Herlev W
LWWLLWLLLL
Aabyhoj W
WWLWWWLWWW
#3
League position
#2
-14.7
Net rating
+3.9
78.0
Offensive rating
84.4
92.7
Defensive rating
80.5
38.5%
Effective FG%
38.4%
42.4%
Opp. effective FG%
38.1%
26.7%
Turnover %
22.1%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
22.3%
3-point %
26.4%
55.9%
Assist %
51.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence78.0 · 84.4Defence92.7 · 80.5Shooting38.5% · 38.4%3-point %22.3% · 26.4%Ball care26.7% · 22.1%Off. rebounds30.9% · 34.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ BMS Herlev W   ■ Aabyhoj W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
BMS Herlev W wins
3
Aabyhoj W wins
DateGameScore
28/10/23Aabyhoj W v BMS Herlev W54-51
18/02/23BMS Herlev W v Aabyhoj W63-53
11/12/22Aabyhoj W v BMS Herlev W80-77 OT
05/11/22BMS Herlev W v Aabyhoj W72-71
25/09/22Aabyhoj W v BMS Herlev W49-57
26/02/22BMS Herlev W v Aabyhoj W69-60
28/01/22Aabyhoj W v BMS Herlev W60-69
20/11/21BMS Herlev W v Aabyhoj W118-73
02/10/21Aabyhoj W v BMS Herlev W75-67
26/01/21BMS Herlev W v Aabyhoj W85-80
BMS Herlev Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23AAmager W70-73
19/11/23AHobas W88-73
04/11/23ASisu W60-50
28/10/23AAabyhoj W51-54
22/10/23HFalcon W55-106
14/10/23HAmager W64-49
08/10/23AFalcon W59-98
30/09/23HSisu W54-58
14/03/23AAmager W60-92
12/03/23AHobas W74-82
Aabyhoj Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23HSisu W82-65
18/11/23HSisu W76-67
04/11/23AFalcon W66-80
28/10/23HBMS Herlev W54-51
21/10/23AAmager W71-51
07/10/23AAmager W78-63
30/09/23HFalcon W64-86
24/09/23ASisu W52-43
04/03/23HSisu W73-65
25/02/23HAmager W64-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BMS Herlev W
Dameligaen W 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL29%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game59.057.760.0
Allowed / game69.771.068.8
Point differential-10.7-13.3-8.8
Avg total128.7128.7128.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aabyhoj W
Dameligaen W 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game66.766.766.8
Allowed / game62.767.359.2
Point differential+4.0-0.7+7.5
Avg total129.4134.0126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Falcon W880100%82.861.1+21.6
2 Aabyhoj W75271%66.762.7+4.0
3 Amager W83538%61.868.2-6.5
4 BMS Herlev W72529%59.069.7-10.7
5 Sisu W81712%56.565.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BMS Herlev W1712192371
Aabyhoj W820172166
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