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BMS Herlev W vs Aabyhoj W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 56-61
15-10 15-19 16-20 10-12
Position#3
Record9-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game69.6
BMS Herlev W
Denmark
vs
Aabyhoj W 🏆
Denmark
Position#2
Record8-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game66.4
Allowed / game66.1
DenmarkDameligaen WKvindebasketligaen Women - Semi-finals· Rosenlund Ny Hal
Women2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · BMS Herlev W v Aabyhoj W
29 Nov 2025
BMS 72
AABY65
12 Oct 2025
BMS 55
AABY65
26 Mar 2025
BMS 37
AABY78
19 Oct 2024
BMS 51
AABY84
12 Oct 2024
BMS 46
AABY82
07 Apr 2024
BMS 56
AABY61
02 Mar 2024
BMS 60
AABY69
09 Dec 2023
BMS 71
AABY66
18 Feb 2023
BMS 63
AABY53
05 Nov 2022
BMS 72
AABY71
26 Feb 2022
BMS 69
AABY60
20 Nov 2021
BMS 118
AABY73
26 Jan 2021
BMS 85
AABY80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BMS Herlev W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aabyhoj W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BMS Herlev WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Amager W
#4
W
102-95
102
95
+7
95avg 60
A16/12
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
69-58
69
58
+11
65avg 60
H09/01
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#3
L
56-65
56
65
-9
no box
A13/01
Denmark Cup Women
Amager W
#4
W
64-51
64
51
+13
no box
A14/01
Denmark Cup Women
Falcon W
#1
L
73-76
73
76
-3
63avg 60
A04/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
78-68
78
68
+10
77avg 60
A17/02
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
77-73 OT
77
73
+4
no box
H24/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
60-69
60
69
-9
46avg 60
H02/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
65-64
65
64
+1
no box
A15/03
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
W
68-57
68
57
+11
65avg 60
H23/03
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
20-17
33-17
23-39
26-11
14-14
9-16
20-17
17-21
12-18
13-8
14-18
12-17
19-10
15-12
18-12
17-16
26-21
21-12
9-27
16-15
14-19
24-15
24-19
16-19
24-14
16-18
13-18
12-20
11-11
19-17
18-21
–
–
–
–
12-18
14-8
24-16
18-15
138.8Avg total
71.2Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)67.269.6136.9-2.456%
Season at home (8)64.867.0131.8-2.262%
Season away (8)69.872.2142.0-2.550%
Last 10 (10)71.267.6138.8+3.670%
Last 5 (5)69.666.2135.8+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.779.2146.8-11.533%
vs Similar ◀ (11)69.769.3139.0+0.555%
vs Weaker (11)68.563.1131.5+5.464%
This opponent (Aabyhoj W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aabyhoj WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Falcon W
#1
L
70-76
70
76
-6
32avg 53
H07/01
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#2
W
65-56
65
56
+9
no box
H13/01
Denmark Cup Women
Falcon W
#1
L
72-79
72
79
-7
no box
A14/01
Denmark Cup Women
Sisu W
#5
W
76-68
76
68
+8
70avg 53
A20/01
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
L
72-84
72
84
-12
47avg 53
H03/02
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#3
L
68-78
68
78
-10
56avg 53
H17/02
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#3
W
69-60
69
60
+9
50avg 53
A02/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
59-53
59
53
+6
51avg 53
H09/03
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
55-62
55
62
-7
46avg 53
A16/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
L
60-66
60
66
-6
49avg 53
H23/03
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
14-24
17-22
21-15
21-17
18-12
8-13
18-14
19-17
17-27
21-13
15-22
20-25
20-13
15-20
21-10
10-10
19-22
19-21
24-31
15-16
19-14
15-24
19-24
20-12
11-11
17-19
21-18
19-16
20-16
16-14
4-7
17-24
10-4
14-16
14-18
18-15
11-19
16-11
15-21
134.8Avg total
66.6Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)66.466.1132.4+0.350%
Season at home (8)66.169.9136.0-3.838%
Season away (8)66.662.2128.9+4.462%
Last 10 (10)66.668.2134.8-1.640%
Last 5 (5)62.263.8126.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)63.071.4134.4-8.433%
vs Similar ◀ (9)67.064.4131.4+2.656%
vs Weaker (7)66.960.0126.9+6.986%
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
BMS Herlev WAabyhoj W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BMS Herlev WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager W
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A16/12
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H09/01
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#3
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A13/01
Denmark Cup Women
Amager W
#4
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A14/01
Denmark Cup Women
Falcon W
#1
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A04/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A17/02
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H24/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H02/03
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H23/03
Dameligaen W
66.6Avg total
34.2Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)34.834.769.5+0.148%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.931.765.6+2.254%-
Last 30 away (14)35.637.573.1-1.943%-
Last 10 (9)34.232.366.6+1.956%-
Last 5 (5)32.432.264.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.040.575.5-5.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)32.534.466.9-1.845%-
vs Weaker (9)34.930.665.4+4.356%-
This opponent (Aabyhoj W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aabyhoj WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Falcon W
#1
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H07/01
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#2
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H13/01
Denmark Cup Women
Falcon W
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/01
Denmark Cup Women
Sisu W
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A20/01
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H03/02
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#3
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H17/02
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#3
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A02/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H09/03
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A16/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H23/03
Dameligaen W
66.5Avg total
33.6Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)32.732.064.6+0.748%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.634.067.6-0.444%-
Last 30 away (13)31.529.561.0+2.154%-
Last 10 (10)33.632.966.5+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)32.029.461.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)31.536.267.8-4.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)32.827.260.0+5.667%-
vs Weaker (7)33.931.665.4+2.371%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BMS Herlev Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev W: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.4 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.319.2
44.3%
39.8%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.85.4
28.7%
27.2%16.2
🏀 Free throws19.914.6
73.4%
68.3%14.6
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aabyhoj Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aabyhoj W: 64.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.4 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.417.6
37.1%
39.8%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.44.8
26.1%
27.2%14.4
🏀 Free throws21.014.8
70.5%
68.3%14.8
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BMS Herlev W
WWLWWLWLWW
Aabyhoj W
LLWWLLWLWL
#3
League position
#2
+3.8
Net rating
+0.3
92.7
Offensive rating
86.7
89.0
Defensive rating
86.4
44.0%
Effective FG%
37.7%
40.0%
Opp. effective FG%
39.6%
23.4%
Turnover %
19.7%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
28.7%
3-point %
26.1%
63.0%
Assist %
64.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.7 · 86.7Defence89.0 · 86.4Shooting44.0% · 37.7%3-point %28.7% · 26.1%Ball care23.4% · 19.7%Off. rebounds33.9% · 35.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ BMS Herlev W   ■ Aabyhoj W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
BMS Herlev W wins
4
Aabyhoj W wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24BMS Herlev W v Aabyhoj W60-69
17/02/24Aabyhoj W v BMS Herlev W68-78
13/01/24Aabyhoj W v BMS Herlev W65-56
09/12/23BMS Herlev W v Aabyhoj W71-66
28/10/23Aabyhoj W v BMS Herlev W54-51
18/02/23BMS Herlev W v Aabyhoj W63-53
11/12/22Aabyhoj W v BMS Herlev W80-77 OT
05/11/22BMS Herlev W v Aabyhoj W72-71
25/09/22Aabyhoj W v BMS Herlev W49-57
26/02/22BMS Herlev W v Aabyhoj W69-60
BMS Herlev Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HFalcon W68-57
15/03/24ASisu W65-64
02/03/24HAabyhoj W60-69
24/02/24HAmager W77-73 OT
17/02/24AAabyhoj W78-68
04/02/24AFalcon W73-76
14/01/24AAmager W64-51
13/01/24AAabyhoj W56-65
09/01/24HSisu W69-58
16/12/23AAmager W102-95
Aabyhoj Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HAmager W60-66
16/03/24AFalcon W55-62
09/03/24HSisu W59-53
02/03/24ABMS Herlev W69-60
17/02/24HBMS Herlev W68-78
03/02/24HAmager W72-84
20/01/24ASisu W76-68
14/01/24AFalcon W72-79
13/01/24HBMS Herlev W65-56
07/01/24HFalcon W70-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BMS Herlev W
Dameligaen W 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW56%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game67.264.869.8
Allowed / game69.667.072.2
Point differential-2.4-2.2-2.5
Avg total136.9131.8142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Aabyhoj W
Dameligaen W 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLLLWL38%
AwayLLWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%38%62%
Points / game66.466.166.6
Allowed / game66.169.962.2
Point differential+0.3-3.8+4.4
Avg total132.4136.0128.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%12%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Falcon W1715288%76.462.6+13.8
2 BMS Herlev W169756%67.269.6-2.4
3 Aabyhoj W168850%66.466.1+0.3
4 Amager W178947%66.969.9-3.1
5 Sisu W161156%59.668.9-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BMS Herlev W1515161056
Aabyhoj W1019201261
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