PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Falcon W vs BMS Herlev W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 76-73
16-17 21-26 12-21 27-9
Position#1
Record10-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game63.1
Falcon W 🏆
Denmark
vs
BMS Herlev W
Denmark
Position#3
Record5-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game70.7
DenmarkDameligaen W· Bülowshallen (Frederiksberg)
Women2023-24
Meetings · Falcon W v BMS Herlev W
18 Apr 2026
FALC48
BMS 60
28 Mar 2026
FALC54
BMS 45
15 Feb 2026
FALC49
BMS 47
18 Dec 2025
FALC71
BMS 60
23 Feb 2025
FALC96
BMS 65
26 Oct 2024
FALC58
BMS 48
04 Feb 2024
FALC76
BMS 73
08 Oct 2023
FALC98
BMS 59
26 Jan 2023
FALC70
BMS 62
22 Jan 2023
FALC62
BMS 70
28 Oct 2022
FALC72
BMS 77
29 Mar 2022
FALC70
BMS 57
18 Mar 2022
FALC82
BMS 68
29 Oct 2021
FALC75
BMS 62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Falcon W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BMS Herlev W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Falcon WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sisu W
#5
W
78-65
78
65
+13
73avg 74
A15/10
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#3
W
106-55
106
55
+51
110avg 74
A22/10
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
80-66
80
66
+14
74avg 74
H04/11
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
67-55
67
55
+12
65avg 74
H25/11
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
71-68
71
68
+3
57avg 74
A02/12
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
86-66
86
66
+20
79avg 74
A15/12
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
76-70
76
70
+6
33avg 74
A07/01
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
78-61
78
61
+17
no box
A13/01
Denmark Cup Women
Aabyhoj W
#3
W
79-72
79
72
+7
no box
H14/01
Denmark Cup Women
Amager W
#4
L
62-69
62
69
-7
no box
H20/01
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
15-13
25-22
19-19
29-13
28-21
24-14
25-7
19-11
16-18
18-15
27-22
12-12
19-14
18-12
18-17
26-22
15-15
14-15
16-16
20-19
19-15
27-20
20-12
15-18
24-14
22-17
15-21
16-21
27-8
16-16
19-16
17-19
27-17
13-21
22-15
16-24
9-9
11-18
26-18
143.0Avg total
78.3Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.563.1143.6+17.591%
Season at home (5)76.661.2137.8+15.480%
Season away (6)83.864.7148.5+19.2100%
Last 10 (10)78.364.7143.0+13.690%
Last 5 (5)76.267.6143.8+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)76.362.5138.8+13.886%
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS Herlev WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Falcon W
#1
L
55-106
55
106
-51
45avg 58
H22/10
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
51-54
51
54
-3
41avg 58
A28/10
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
60-50
60
50
+10
50avg 58
A04/11
Dameligaen W
Hobas W
#6
W
88-73
88
73
+15
no box
A19/11
Denmark Cup Women
Amager W
#4
L
70-73
70
73
-3
62avg 58
A25/11
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
71-66
71
66
+5
76avg 58
H09/12
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
102-95
102
95
+7
95avg 58
A16/12
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
69-58
69
58
+11
65avg 58
H09/01
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#3
L
56-65
56
65
-9
no box
A13/01
Denmark Cup Women
Amager W
#4
W
64-51
64
51
+13
no box
A14/01
Denmark Cup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-29
21-28
14-24
7-25
11-10
11-15
11-7
18-22
14-6
19-12
13-13
14-19
30-18
28-23
17-21
13-11
14-14
16-27
15-16
25-16
17-8
12-20
19-17
23-21
26-22
20-17
33-17
23-39
26-11
14-14
9-16
20-17
17-21
12-18
13-8
14-18
12-17
19-10
15-12
18-12
137.7Avg total
68.6Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)65.570.7136.2-5.250%
Season at home (5)62.667.4130.0-4.860%
Season away (5)68.474.0142.4-5.640%
Last 10 (10)68.669.1137.7-0.560%
Last 5 (5)72.467.0139.4+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)66.579.7146.2-13.233%
vs Similar (9)69.469.8139.2-0.344%
vs Weaker (12)68.963.5132.4+5.467%
This opponent (Falcon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -2.5-2.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -2.5-2.5
Falcon WBMS Herlev W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Falcon WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu W
#5
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A15/10
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#3
W
57-34
57
34
+23
A22/10
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H04/11
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H25/11
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A02/12
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A15/12
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A07/01
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A13/01
Denmark Cup Women
Aabyhoj W
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/01
Denmark Cup Women
Amager W
#4
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H20/01
Dameligaen W
70.2Avg total
38.8Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.130.970.0+8.290%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.929.468.3+9.693%-
Last 30 away (15)39.332.371.5+7.087%-
Last 10 (10)38.831.470.2+7.490%-
Last 5 (5)38.032.870.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)39.130.970.0+8.290%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS Herlev WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Falcon W
#1
L
34-57
34
57
-23
H22/10
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
22-25
22
25
-3
A28/10
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
33-18
33
18
+15
A04/11
Dameligaen W
Hobas W
#6
W
58-41
58
41
+17
A19/11
Denmark Cup Women
Amager W
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A25/11
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H09/12
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A16/12
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H09/01
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#3
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A13/01
Denmark Cup Women
Amager W
#4
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A14/01
Denmark Cup Women
69.2Avg total
35.2Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)35.634.169.7+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.432.366.8+2.150%-
Last 30 away (16)36.435.571.9+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)35.234.069.2+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)35.031.666.6+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)33.740.874.5-7.217%-
vs Similar (9)33.833.967.7-0.156%-
vs Weaker (11)34.830.765.5+4.155%-
This opponent (Falcon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Falcon Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Falcon W: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.4 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.822.5
49.1%
39.8%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.3
31.1%
27.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws13.68.7
64.0%
68.3%8.7
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BMS Herlev Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev W: 64.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.4 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.518.1
43.6%
39.8%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.25.0
26.0%
27.2%15.0
🏀 Free throws17.913.7
76.5%
68.3%13.7
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Falcon W
LWWWWWWWWW
BMS Herlev W
WLWWWLWWLL
#1
League position
#3
+26.3
Net rating
-6.9
103.9
Offensive rating
86.5
77.6
Defensive rating
93.4
48.2%
Effective FG%
42.2%
41.9%
Opp. effective FG%
43.0%
19.9%
Turnover %
25.8%
41.8%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.1%
3-point %
26.0%
66.6%
Assist %
62.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 86.5Defence77.6 · 93.4Shooting48.2% · 42.2%3-point %31.1% · 26.0%Ball care19.9% · 25.8%Off. rebounds41.8% · 33.6%Free throws0.19 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Falcon W   ■ BMS Herlev W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Falcon W wins
3
BMS Herlev W wins
DateGameScore
22/10/23BMS Herlev W v Falcon W55-106
08/10/23Falcon W v BMS Herlev W98-59
04/03/23BMS Herlev W v Falcon W89-68
26/01/23Falcon W v BMS Herlev W70-62
22/01/23Falcon W v BMS Herlev W62-70
03/12/22BMS Herlev W v Falcon W57-64
28/10/22Falcon W v BMS Herlev W72-77
02/04/22BMS Herlev W v Falcon W78-92
29/03/22Falcon W v BMS Herlev W70-57
18/03/22Falcon W v BMS Herlev W82-68
Falcon Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HAmager W62-69
14/01/24HAabyhoj W79-72
13/01/24AAmager W78-61
07/01/24AAabyhoj W76-70
15/12/23ASisu W86-66
02/12/23AAmager W71-68
25/11/23HSisu W67-55
04/11/23HAabyhoj W80-66
22/10/23ABMS Herlev W106-55
15/10/23ASisu W78-65
BMS Herlev Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24AAmager W64-51
13/01/24AAabyhoj W56-65
09/01/24HSisu W69-58
16/12/23AAmager W102-95
09/12/23HAabyhoj W71-66
25/11/23AAmager W70-73
19/11/23AHobas W88-73
04/11/23ASisu W60-50
28/10/23AAabyhoj W51-54
22/10/23HFalcon W55-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Falcon W
Dameligaen W 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL91%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %91%80%100%
Points / game80.576.683.8
Allowed / game63.161.264.7
Point differential+17.5+15.4+19.2
Avg total143.6137.8148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%80%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BMS Herlev W
Dameligaen W 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game65.562.668.4
Allowed / game70.767.474.0
Point differential-5.2-4.8-5.6
Avg total136.2130.0142.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Falcon W1110191%80.563.1+17.5
2 Aabyhoj W116555%68.367.1+1.2
3 BMS Herlev W105550%65.570.7-5.2
4 Amager W115645%67.571.1-3.6
5 Sisu W111109%58.568.8-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Falcon W1621122776
BMS Herlev W172621973
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.