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BMS Herlev W vs Falcon W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 68-57
12-18 14-8 24-16 18-15
Position#3
Record8-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game70.5
BMS Herlev W 🏆
Denmark
vs
Falcon W
Denmark
Position#1
Record14-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game62.1
DenmarkDameligaen W· Rosenlund Ny Hal (Copenhagen)
Women2023-24
Meetings · BMS Herlev W v Falcon W
11 Apr 2026
BMS 82
FALC67
25 Oct 2025
BMS 62
FALC77
21 Dec 2024
BMS 67
FALC91
21 Sep 2024
BMS 81
FALC86
23 Mar 2024
BMS 68
FALC57
22 Oct 2023
BMS 55
FALC106
04 Mar 2023
BMS 89
FALC68
03 Dec 2022
BMS 57
FALC64
02 Apr 2022
BMS 78
FALC92
06 Mar 2022
BMS 54
FALC90
09 Feb 2022
BMS 74
FALC72
19 Jan 2022
BMS 55
FALC80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BMS Herlev W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Falcon W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BMS Herlev WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
71-66
71
66
+5
76avg 59
H09/12
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
102-95
102
95
+7
95avg 59
A16/12
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
69-58
69
58
+11
65avg 59
H09/01
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#3
L
56-65
56
65
-9
no box
A13/01
Denmark Cup Women
Amager W
#4
W
64-51
64
51
+13
no box
A14/01
Denmark Cup Women
Falcon W
#1
L
73-76
73
76
-3
63avg 59
A04/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
78-68
78
68
+10
77avg 59
A17/02
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
77-73 OT
77
73
+4
no box
H24/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
60-69
60
69
-9
46avg 59
H02/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
65-64
65
64
+1
no box
A15/03
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-8
12-20
19-17
23-21
26-22
20-17
33-17
23-39
26-11
14-14
9-16
20-17
17-21
12-18
13-8
14-18
12-17
19-10
15-12
18-12
17-16
26-21
21-12
9-27
16-15
14-19
24-15
24-19
16-19
24-14
16-18
13-18
12-20
11-11
19-17
18-21
–
–
–
–
140.0Avg total
71.5Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)67.270.5137.7-3.353%
Season at home (7)64.368.4132.7-4.157%
Season away (8)69.872.2142.0-2.550%
Last 10 (10)71.568.5140.0+3.070%
Last 5 (5)70.670.0140.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)67.683.6151.2-16.020%
vs Similar (11)69.769.3139.0+0.555%
vs Weaker (11)68.563.1131.5+5.464%
This opponent (Falcon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Falcon WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Amager W
#4
W
71-68
71
68
+3
57avg 72
A02/12
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
86-66
86
66
+20
79avg 72
A15/12
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
76-70
76
70
+6
33avg 72
A07/01
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
78-61
78
61
+17
no box
A13/01
Denmark Cup Women
Aabyhoj W
#3
W
79-72
79
72
+7
no box
H14/01
Denmark Cup Women
Amager W
#4
L
62-69
62
69
-7
no box
H20/01
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#3
W
76-73
76
73
+3
75avg 72
H04/02
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
80-60
80
60
+20
71avg 72
H25/02
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
71-50
71
50
+21
62avg 72
A09/03
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
62-55
62
55
+7
56avg 72
H16/03
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
15-15
14-15
16-16
20-19
19-15
27-20
20-12
15-18
24-14
22-17
15-21
16-21
27-8
16-16
19-16
17-19
27-17
13-21
22-15
16-24
9-9
11-18
26-18
16-17
21-26
12-21
27-9
22-25
26-13
10-8
22-14
17-13
31-13
11-17
12-7
24-17
4-10
16-14
18-14
138.5Avg total
74.1Scored
64.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.362.1140.5+16.293%
Season at home (8)75.161.8136.9+13.488%
Season away (7)82.062.6144.6+19.4100%
Last 10 (10)74.164.4138.5+9.790%
Last 5 (5)70.261.4131.6+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)76.062.3138.3+13.686%
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +5.5+5.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +5.5+5.5
BMS Herlev WFalcon W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BMS Herlev WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H09/12
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A16/12
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H09/01
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#3
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A13/01
Denmark Cup Women
Amager W
#4
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A14/01
Denmark Cup Women
Falcon W
#1
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A04/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A17/02
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H24/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H02/03
Dameligaen W
67.1Avg total
34.6Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)35.734.770.4+0.952%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.632.266.8+2.458%-
Last 30 away (15)36.536.873.3-0.347%-
Last 10 (9)34.632.667.1+2.067%-
Last 5 (5)33.432.465.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.843.480.2-6.640%-
vs Similar (11)32.534.466.9-1.845%-
vs Weaker (9)34.930.665.4+4.356%-
This opponent (Falcon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Falcon WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager W
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A02/12
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A15/12
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A07/01
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A13/01
Denmark Cup Women
Aabyhoj W
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/01
Denmark Cup Women
Amager W
#4
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H20/01
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#3
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H04/02
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H25/02
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A09/03
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H16/03
Dameligaen W
72.7Avg total
39.2Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.931.170.1+7.886%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.530.468.9+8.187%-
Last 30 away (14)39.431.971.4+7.586%-
Last 10 (10)39.233.572.7+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)37.233.470.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)38.931.170.1+7.886%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BMS Herlev Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev W: 68.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.4 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.117.9
43.6%
39.8%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.05.8
29.0%
27.2%17.4
🏀 Free throws19.914.9
74.9%
68.3%14.9
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Falcon Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Falcon W: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.4 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.820.3
46.3%
39.8%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.2
30.9%
27.2%24.6
🏀 Free throws14.08.7
62.1%
68.3%8.7
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BMS Herlev W
WLWWLWLWWW
Falcon W
WWWWLWWWWW
#3
League position
#1
-4.3
Net rating
+20.7
91.4
Offensive rating
98.2
95.7
Defensive rating
77.5
43.5%
Effective FG%
46.4%
43.3%
Opp. effective FG%
39.2%
23.8%
Turnover %
20.0%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
38.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.20
29.0%
3-point %
30.9%
63.7%
Assist %
68.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence91.4 · 98.2Defence95.7 · 77.5Shooting43.5% · 46.4%3-point %29.0% · 30.9%Ball care23.8% · 20.0%Off. rebounds32.8% · 38.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ BMS Herlev W   ■ Falcon W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
BMS Herlev W wins
7
Falcon W wins
DateGameScore
04/02/24Falcon W v BMS Herlev W76-73
22/10/23BMS Herlev W v Falcon W55-106
08/10/23Falcon W v BMS Herlev W98-59
04/03/23BMS Herlev W v Falcon W89-68
26/01/23Falcon W v BMS Herlev W70-62
22/01/23Falcon W v BMS Herlev W62-70
03/12/22BMS Herlev W v Falcon W57-64
28/10/22Falcon W v BMS Herlev W72-77
02/04/22BMS Herlev W v Falcon W78-92
29/03/22Falcon W v BMS Herlev W70-57
BMS Herlev Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/24ASisu W65-64
02/03/24HAabyhoj W60-69
24/02/24HAmager W77-73 OT
17/02/24AAabyhoj W78-68
04/02/24AFalcon W73-76
14/01/24AAmager W64-51
13/01/24AAabyhoj W56-65
09/01/24HSisu W69-58
16/12/23AAmager W102-95
09/12/23HAabyhoj W71-66
Falcon Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24HAabyhoj W62-55
09/03/24AAmager W71-50
25/02/24HSisu W80-60
04/02/24HBMS Herlev W76-73
20/01/24HAmager W62-69
14/01/24HAabyhoj W79-72
13/01/24AAmager W78-61
07/01/24AAabyhoj W76-70
15/12/23ASisu W86-66
02/12/23AAmager W71-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BMS Herlev W
Dameligaen W 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW53%
HomeLWWWL57%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %53%57%50%
Points / game67.264.369.8
Allowed / game70.568.472.2
Point differential-3.3-4.1-2.5
Avg total137.7132.7142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Falcon W
Dameligaen W 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW93%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %93%88%100%
Points / game78.375.182.0
Allowed / game62.161.862.6
Point differential+16.2+13.4+19.4
Avg total140.5136.9144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%62%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Falcon W1514193%78.362.1+16.2
2 Aabyhoj W158753%66.866.1+0.7
3 BMS Herlev W158753%67.270.5-3.3
4 Amager W157847%67.170.8-3.7
5 Sisu W161156%59.668.9-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BMS Herlev W1214241868
Falcon W188161557
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