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Aarhus vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2013
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-84 (OT)
15-19 18-13 13-22 19-11 11-19
Position#9
Record7-20
FormLWLLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Aalborg 🏆
Denmark
Position#10
Record2-25
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game90.2
DenmarkBasketligaenBasketligaen - Final
Other2012-13
Meetings · Aarhus v Aalborg
14 Mar 2013
AARH78
AALB61
06 Mar 2013
AARH76
AALB84
22 Sep 2012
AARH97
AALB90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aarhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aalborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AarhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#1
L
61-83
61
83
-22
A09/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A16/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
76-91
76
91
-15
H19/01
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
L
78-81 OT
78
81
-3
H26/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A31/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
A06/02
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A13/02
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H16/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
87-98
87
98
-11
A23/02
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H28/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
16-22
16-18
11-21
18-19
14-15
16-16
17-24
13-23
25-19
16-30
22-19
19-17
16-15
21-18
16-22
24-24
22-22
21-26
14-17
21-24
19-21
13-13
14-28
17-20
21-26
19-15
24-16
15-17
20-29
26-17
20-23
26-28
27-22
15-23
19-25
18-17
22-11
13-21
25-26
159.5Avg total
75.5Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)72.782.9155.6-10.126%
Season at home (13)75.581.9157.4-6.538%
Season away (14)70.283.7153.9-13.514%
Last 10 (10)75.584.0159.5-8.520%
Last 5 (5)78.884.4163.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)69.784.4154.1-14.616%
vs Similar (6)77.282.8160.0-5.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)77.377.0154.3+0.367%
This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AalborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#5
L
78-99
78
99
-21
A23/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A27/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H30/01
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
L
73-112
73
112
-39
A02/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
73-88
73
88
-15
H07/02
Basketligaen
Aarhus
#9
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H13/02
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
85-92
85
92
-7
H16/02
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H20/02
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A23/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
88-104
88
104
-16
A28/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
26-14
13-31
22-27
16-22
23-14
18-16
16-22
13-23
24-25
15-15
19-19
17-25
15-35
21-24
20-28
22-31
18-24
14-15
19-18
20-17
26-21
15-19
16-24
18-22
23-17
22-32
22-21
23-25
13-23
29-23
19-12
15-21
13-10
17-17
13-22
15-25
30-28
20-33
23-18
164.5Avg total
76.0Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.490.2165.6-14.87%
Season at home (13)75.285.0160.2-9.815%
Season away (14)75.695.1170.7-19.40%
Last 10 (10)76.088.5164.5-12.510%
Last 5 (5)78.486.0164.4-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)75.090.3165.3-15.27%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aarhus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -2.2-2.2
AarhusAalborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A09/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A16/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H19/01
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H26/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A31/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A06/02
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A13/02
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H16/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A23/02
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H28/02
Basketligaen
80.4Avg total
39.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)36.540.977.4-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.239.675.8-3.531%-
Last 30 away (14)36.842.178.9-5.429%-
Last 10 (10)39.141.380.4-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.084.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.142.879.9-5.722%-
vs Similar (6)34.537.572.0-3.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)36.736.773.3+0.067%-
This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A23/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A27/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H30/01
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
L
32-60
32
60
-28
A02/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H07/02
Basketligaen
Aarhus
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H13/02
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H16/02
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H20/02
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A23/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A28/02
Basketligaen
83.6Avg total
38.7Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.145.482.5-8.317%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.844.179.9-8.314%-
Last 30 away (15)38.346.684.9-8.320%-
Last 10 (10)38.744.983.6-6.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.881.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)37.145.482.5-8.317%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aarhus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Aarhus wins
1
Aalborg wins
DateGameScore
13/02/13Aalborg v Aarhus77-81
08/11/12Aalborg v Aarhus64-54
22/09/12Aarhus v Aalborg97-90 OT
Aarhuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/13HTeam FOG Naestved78-75
23/02/13ARanders87-98
16/02/13HHorsholm81-86
13/02/13AAalborg81-77
06/02/13ASvendborg67-86
31/01/13ASisu81-89
26/01/13HHorsholm78-81 OT
19/01/13HHorsens76-91
16/01/13ABakken Bears65-74
09/01/13ASvendborg61-83
Aalborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/13ABakken Bears88-104
23/02/13ATeam FOG Naestved58-70
20/02/13HHorsholm84-83
16/02/13HSisu85-92
13/02/13HAarhus77-81
07/02/13HVaerlose73-88
02/02/13AHorsholm73-112
30/01/13HSvendborg71-82
27/01/13AHorsens73-74
23/01/13ARanders78-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aarhus
Basketligaen 2012-13
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW26%
HomeLLLLW38%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %26%38%14%
Points / game72.775.570.2
Allowed / game82.981.983.7
Point differential-10.1-6.5-13.5
Avg total155.6157.4153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)40% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %15%23%7%
Aalborg
Basketligaen 2012-13
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL7%
HomeLLLLW15%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %7%15%0%
Points / game75.475.275.6
Allowed / game90.285.095.1
Point differential-14.8-9.8-19.4
Avg total165.6160.2170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%8%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg2722581%89.480.7+8.7
2 Bakken Bears2721678%90.076.4+13.6
3 Horsens2719870%85.480.3+5.1
4 Sisu27171063%80.477.6+2.8
5 Team FOG Naestved27131448%78.476.4+2.0
6 Randers27131448%90.388.6+1.6
7 Horsholm27111641%80.183.7-3.6
8 Vaerlose27101737%78.684.0-5.4
9 Aarhus2772026%72.782.9-10.1
10 Aalborg272257%75.490.2-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Aarhus151813191176
Aalborg191322111984
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