PythiaBasketballBETA
FIBA Europe CupRound 7· Baku Sports Palace
Absheron Lions host BC Prievidza in the FIBA Europe Cup on 18 November 2026, with the model favouring the visiting side; it projects a 64% chance of a Prievidza win against a 36% chance for the Lions, a 93-88 scoreline and a total of 180.9 points, with a 4% probability of overtime. The Lions have struggled this season, recording 1-5 across six games, averaging 83.7 points and conceding 95.3, while their two home outings yielded a 1-1 record, 88.5 points per game and 95.5 allowed. Their last five games included one win and four losses, with a recent 94-86 home victory over Denizli Basket but two away defeats to Geneva Lions and Benfica. Prievidza, meanwhile, sits 4-4 in eight matches, scoring 90.1 and allowing 83.2, and has a 1-3 road record in four away contests, posting 87.8 points and 90.2 allowed. Their recent five games show three wins and two losses, highlighted by a 86-73 home win over Denizli Basket, a 77-54 away win over Inter Basket, and a narrow 96-97 loss to Geneva Lions. In their only prior meeting, Prievidza defeated the Lions 108-84 on 13 October 2026, a result that echoes the model's expectation of a Prievidza advantage.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 83.7 | 95.3 | 179.0 | -11.7 | 17% |
| Season at home (2) | 88.5 | 95.5 | 184.0 | -7.0 | 50% |
| Season away (4) | 81.2 | 95.2 | 176.5 | -14.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.4 | 93.2 | 179.6 | -6.8 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.8 | 93.4 | 177.2 | -9.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (6) | 83.7 | 95.3 | 179.0 | -11.7 | 17% |
| vs Similar (4) | 88.8 | 96.8 | 185.5 | -8.0 | 25% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 83.8 | 78.5 | 162.2 | +5.2 | 50% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 90.1 | 83.2 | 173.4 | +6.9 | 50% |
| Season at home (4) | 92.5 | 76.2 | 168.8 | +16.2 | 75% |
| Season away (4) | 87.8 | 90.2 | 178.0 | -2.5 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 91.2 | 82.0 | 173.2 | +9.2 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.6 | 79.0 | 166.6 | +8.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 77.2 | 91.4 | 168.6 | -14.2 | 0% |
| vs Similar (3) | 83.0 | 92.0 | 175.0 | -9.0 | 0% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (22) | 92.3 | 76.0 | 168.4 | +16.3 | 82% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (15) | 41.5 | 44.4 | 85.9 | -2.9 | 33% | - |
| Last 30 at home (6) | 43.2 | 44.7 | 87.8 | -1.5 | 33% | - |
| Last 30 away (9) | 40.4 | 44.2 | 84.7 | -3.8 | 33% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.3 | 45.0 | 85.3 | -4.7 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.2 | 44.0 | 80.2 | -7.8 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (6) | 36.2 | 44.8 | 81.0 | -8.7 | 17% | - |
| vs Similar (4) | 44.5 | 47.2 | 91.8 | -2.8 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker (4) | 45.0 | 39.8 | 84.8 | +5.2 | 50% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 45.3 | 40.4 | 85.6 | +4.9 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 46.1 | 35.8 | 81.9 | +10.3 | 67% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 44.5 | 44.9 | 89.4 | -0.5 | 47% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 46.7 | 40.3 | 87.0 | +6.4 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 47.0 | 40.0 | 87.0 | +7.0 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 35.2 | 46.2 | 81.4 | -11.0 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (3) | 43.7 | 43.0 | 86.7 | +0.7 | 33% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (22) | 47.8 | 38.7 | 86.5 | +9.1 | 73% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 45.7 | 25.0 | 53.4% | 50.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.1 | 8.0 | 32.5% | 24.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.7 | 14.7 | 72.8% | 14.7 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.8 | 21.3 | 53.4% | 42.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.0 | 11.4 | 32.5% | 34.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 23.5 | 17.5 | 72.8% | 17.5 |
Absheron Lions
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13/10/26 | BC Prievidza v Absheron Lions | 108-84 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | Geneva Lions | 77-85 |
| 04/11/26 | A | Benfica | 76-97 |
| 28/10/26 | H | Denizli Basket | 94-86 OT |
| 21/10/26 | A | Bakken Bears | 88-91 OT |
| 13/10/26 | A | BC Prievidza | 84-108 |
| 07/10/26 | H | Geneva Lions | 83-105 |
| 14/09/26 | A | VEF Riga | 88-105 |
| 19/11/25 | A | Neftchi IK | 95-86 |
| 12/11/25 | A | Trefl Sopot | 78-98 |
| 05/11/25 | A | BC Kalev/Cramo | 101-71 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | Levice | 78-81 |
| 11/11/26 | H | Denizli Basket | 86-73 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Inter Basket | 77-54 |
| 04/11/26 | A | Geneva Lions | 96-97 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Spisski Rytieri | 101-90 |
| 27/10/26 | H | Bakken Bears | 78-83 |
| 24/10/26 | A | MBK Handlova | 83-81 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Benfica | 83-98 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Nitra Blue Wings | 122-79 |
| 13/10/26 | H | Absheron Lions | 108-84 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLL | 17% |
| Home | LW | 50% |
| Away | LLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| Win % | 17% | 50% | 0% |
| Points / game | 83.7 | 88.5 | 81.2 |
| Allowed / game | 95.3 | 95.5 | 95.2 |
| Point differential | -11.7 | -7.0 | -14.0 |
| Avg total | 179.0 | 184.0 | 176.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 33% | 50% | 25% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLW | 50% |
| Home | WWLW | 75% |
| Away | WLLL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 50% | 75% | 25% |
| Points / game | 90.1 | 92.5 | 87.8 |
| Allowed / game | 83.2 | 76.2 | 90.2 |
| Point differential | +6.9 | +16.2 | -2.5 |
| Avg total | 173.4 | 168.8 | 178.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 75% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Trier | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 100.0 | 69.7 | +30.3 |
| 2 | Esenler Erokspor | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 96.3 | 71.0 | +25.3 |
| 3 |  Basquet Girona | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 91.3 | 75.0 | +16.3 |
| 4 |  Nancy | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 87.2 | 72.5 | +14.7 |
| 5 | Korfez Basket | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 87.3 | 73.7 | +13.7 |
| 6 |  Benfica | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 94.3 | 83.8 | +10.5 |
| 7 |  Mykonos | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 84.0 | 76.3 | +7.7 |
| 8 |  Dziki Warszawa | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 87.5 | 80.3 | +7.2 |
| 9 |  Chalon/Saone | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 84.8 | 72.7 | +12.2 |
| 10 |  Kolossos Rhodes | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 81.8 | 70.2 | +11.7 |
| 11 |  Iraklis | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 87.2 | 76.0 | +11.2 |
| 12 |  VEF Riga | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 95.0 | 84.7 | +10.3 |
| 13 |  Wurzburg | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 84.5 | 75.5 | +9.0 |
| 14 |  Promitheas | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 90.0 | 81.8 | +8.2 |
| 15 |  CSM Oradea | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 86.3 | 80.3 | +6.0 |
| 16 |  Szczecin | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 86.8 | 81.7 | +5.2 |
| 17 |  Geneva Lions | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 88.2 | 84.0 | +4.2 |
| 18 |  Keravnos | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 80.8 | 76.7 | +4.2 |
| 19 |  Zielona Gora | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 84.5 | 83.2 | +1.3 |
| 20 |  Split | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 81.5 | 80.3 | +1.2 |
| 21 |  Oostende | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 78.3 | 77.8 | +0.5 |
| 22 |  Bakken Bears | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 82.0 | 83.3 | -1.3 |
| 23 | BC Prievidza | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 90.1 | 83.2 | +6.9 |
| 24 |  Lok. Plovdiv | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 83.3 | 83.5 | -0.2 |
| 25 |  AEK Larnaca | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 79.5 | 80.0 | -0.5 |
| 26 |  Valmiera Glass Via | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 81.0 | 83.3 | -2.3 |
| 27 |  BC Kalev/Cramo | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 80.0 | 83.7 | -3.7 |
| 28 |  Sporting CP | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 76.7 | 80.3 | -3.7 |
| 29 |  Trepca | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 77.5 | 81.2 | -3.7 |
| 30 |  Dinamo Bucharest | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 87.8 | 81.6 | +6.1 |
| 31 | Denizli Basket | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 81.5 | 83.5 | -2.0 |
| 32 |  Vienna Basket | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 80.5 | 85.2 | -4.7 |
| 33 |  Levice | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 72.7 | 78.2 | -5.5 |
| 34 |  SCM Craiova | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 88.0 | 96.3 | -8.3 |
| 35 | Nitra Blue Wings | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 78.8 | 88.2 | -9.3 |
| 36 |  Szolnoki Olaj | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 77.5 | 88.3 | -10.8 |
| 37 |  Tartu Ulikool | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 88.0 | 99.7 | -11.7 |
| 38 |  Neftchi IK | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 75.6 | 82.6 | -7.0 |
| 39 |  Parnu | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 71.4 | 79.0 | -7.6 |
| 40 |  Bashkimi | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 73.6 | 83.2 | -9.6 |
| 41 |  Rilski Sportist | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 75.8 | 88.8 | -13.0 |
| 42 |  Manchester Basketball | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 75.8 | 90.0 | -14.2 |
| 43 | Gence | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 71.2 | 88.2 | -17.0 |
| 44 |  Opava | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 83.2 | 86.8 | -3.7 |
| 45 | Absheron Lions | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 83.7 | 95.3 | -11.7 |
| 46 |  Fribourg Olympic | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 73.0 | 87.3 | -14.3 |
| 47 |  MZT Skopje | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 72.0 | 87.2 | -15.2 |
| 48 |  Samobor | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 74.0 | 100.5 | -26.5 |
| 49 |  Peja | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 70.5 | 100.5 | -30.0 |
| 50 |  Batumi | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 66.8 | 99.2 | -32.3 |
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