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Academic Plovdiv vs Beroe Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 23 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 79-77
24-19 14-17 20-17 21-24
Position#5
Record6-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game82.0
Academic Plovdiv 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Beroe
Bulgaria
Position#6
Record5-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game89.0
BulgariaNBLRound 11· Sila Sport Complex
Other2024-25
Meetings · Academic Plovdiv v Beroe
19 Oct 2025
ACAD67
BERO86
23 Dec 2024
ACAD79
BERO77
23 Apr 2024
ACAD125
BERO92
17 Jan 2024
ACAD86
BERO80
21 Dec 2022
ACAD92
BERO72
20 Oct 2021
ACAD74
BERO68
18 Oct 2021
ACAD84
BERO78
28 Jan 2021
ACAD89
BERO88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Academic Plovdiv winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Beroe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Academic PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Beroe
#12
W
125-92
125
92
+33
136avg 80
H23/04
NBL
Levski
#8
W
84-83
84
83
+1
80avg 80
H07/10
NBL
Beroe
#6
L
73-85
73
85
-12
72avg 80
A14/10
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
67-64
67
64
+3
64avg 80
H18/10
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
83-104
83
104
-21
79avg 80
A27/10
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
91-77
91
77
+14
89avg 80
H11/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
56-87
56
87
-31
44avg 80
A16/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
W
82-80
82
80
+2
76avg 80
H01/12
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
107-83
107
83
+24
105avg 80
H08/12
NBL
Levski
#8
W
90-75
90
75
+15
91avg 80
A16/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-21
34-27
29-23
23-21
22-24
26-20
23-19
13-20
15-30
20-17
18-12
20-26
18-23
16-5
20-17
13-19
20-23
22-31
27-25
14-25
18-24
29-15
25-20
19-18
15-22
17-24
18-16
6-25
22-21
16-20
19-25
25-14
30-17
33-25
28-19
16-22
22-20
23-23
16-13
29-19
168.8Avg total
85.8Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.482.0163.4-0.667%
Season at home (5)86.277.4163.6+8.8100%
Season away (4)75.587.8163.2-12.225%
Last 10 (10)85.883.0168.8+2.870%
Last 5 (5)85.280.4165.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.486.3160.7-11.929%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.182.4163.5-1.347%
vs Weaker (7)99.683.9183.4+15.7100%
This opponent (Beroe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
92-125
92
125
-33
72avg 70
A23/04
NBL
Balkan
#2
W
92-91
92
91
+1
83avg 70
A06/10
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
85-73
85
73
+12
71avg 70
H14/10
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
93-91
93
91
+2
86avg 70
A20/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
66-111
66
111
-45
48avg 70
H26/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
W
88-83
88
83
+5
78avg 70
A02/11
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
73-89
73
89
-16
60avg 70
A08/11
NBL
Levski
#8
W
66-58
66
58
+8
59avg 70
A16/11
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
76-95
76
95
-19
66avg 70
H09/12
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
106-110 OT
106
110
-4
101avg 70
H15/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-39
27-34
23-29
21-23
25-16
20-27
20-33
27-15
30-15
17-20
12-18
26-20
25-30
17-27
24-20
27-14
14-33
20-18
12-39
20-21
27-29
18-15
22-15
21-24
29-22
18-24
15-24
11-19
16-14
12-10
19-18
19-16
17-29
26-25
12-23
21-18
30-23
31-25
20-18
15-30
176.3Avg total
83.7Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.889.0171.8-6.256%
Season at home (4)83.297.2180.5-14.025%
Season away (5)82.482.4164.8+0.080%
Last 10 (10)83.792.6176.3-8.950%
Last 5 (5)81.887.0168.8-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)80.899.0179.8-18.223%
vs Similar ◀ (1)85.073.0158.0+12.0100%
vs Weaker (3)77.379.3156.7-2.067%
This opponent (Academic Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
Academic PlovdivBeroe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Academic PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beroe
#12
W
73-48
73
48
+25
H23/04
NBL
Levski
#8
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H07/10
NBL
Beroe
#6
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A14/10
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H18/10
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A27/10
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H11/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A16/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H01/12
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H08/12
NBL
Levski
#8
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A16/12
NBL
88.9Avg total
45.7Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.942.486.2+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.939.987.7+8.086%-
Last 30 away (16)40.444.684.9-4.212%-
Last 10 (10)45.743.288.9+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)45.042.287.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.744.682.3-6.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.940.983.7+2.040%-
vs Weaker (7)53.943.197.0+10.7100%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
48-73
48
73
-25
A23/04
NBL
Balkan
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A06/10
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H14/10
NBL
Shumen
#9
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A20/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H26/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A02/11
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A08/11
NBL
Levski
#8
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A16/11
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H09/12
NBL
Balkan
#2
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H15/12
NBL
91.5Avg total
44.0Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.148.689.7-7.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.049.193.1-5.140%-
Last 30 away (15)38.148.286.3-10.127%-
Last 10 (10)44.047.591.5-3.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.843.288.0+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)41.149.991.0-8.827%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)47.035.082.0+12.0100%-
vs Weaker (3)39.042.381.3-3.367%-
This opponent (Academic Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Academic Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academic Plovdiv: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.322.3
58.2%
53.9%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.9
36.0%
32.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.213.7
67.8%
71.3%13.7
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.020.6
49.0%
53.9%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.1
34.2%
32.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws24.617.0
69.1%
71.3%17.0
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Academic Plovdiv
WWWLWLWLWW
Beroe
LLWLWLWWWL
#5
League position
#6
+3.9
Net rating
-11.7
111.5
Offensive rating
103.5
107.5
Defensive rating
115.1
56.6%
Effective FG%
49.8%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
19.1%
Turnover %
19.4%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.0%
3-point %
34.2%
71.5%
Assist %
51.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 103.5Defence107.5 · 115.1Shooting56.6% · 49.8%3-point %36.0% · 34.2%Ball care19.1% · 19.4%Off. rebounds31.8% · 30.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Academic Plovdiv   ■ Beroe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Academic Plovdiv wins
6
Beroe wins
DateGameScore
14/10/24Beroe v Academic Plovdiv85-73
23/04/24Academic Plovdiv v Beroe125-92
30/03/24Beroe v Academic Plovdiv83-113
17/01/24Academic Plovdiv v Beroe86-80
12/11/23Beroe v Academic Plovdiv87-86
05/03/23Beroe v Academic Plovdiv90-84
21/12/22Academic Plovdiv v Beroe92-72
10/10/22Beroe v Academic Plovdiv94-86
14/03/22Beroe v Academic Plovdiv95-87
13/01/22Beroe v Academic Plovdiv98-91
Academic Plovdivlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/24ALevski90-75
08/12/24HMinyor107-83
01/12/24HSpartak Pleven82-80
16/11/24ARilski Sportist56-87
11/11/24HShumen91-77
27/10/24ABalkan83-104
18/10/24HCherno More67-64
14/10/24ABeroe73-85
07/10/24HLevski84-83
23/04/24HBeroe125-92
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24HBalkan106-110 OT
09/12/24HCherno More76-95
16/11/24ALevski66-58
08/11/24AMinyor73-89
02/11/24ASpartak Pleven88-83
26/10/24HRilski Sportist66-111
20/10/24AShumen93-91
14/10/24HAcademic Plovdiv85-73
06/10/24ABalkan92-91
23/04/24AAcademic Plovdiv92-125

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Academic Plovdiv
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%100%25%
Points / game81.486.275.5
Allowed / game82.077.487.8
Point differential-0.6+8.8-12.2
Avg total163.4163.6163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Beroe
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL56%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%25%80%
Points / game82.883.282.4
Allowed / game89.097.282.4
Point differential-6.2-14.0+0.0
Avg total171.8180.5164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %11%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rilski Sportist109190%90.170.4+19.7
2 Balkan108280%87.780.2+7.5
3 Academic Plovdiv96367%81.482.0-0.6
4 Spartak Pleven95456%86.985.9+1.0
5 Beroe95456%82.889.0-6.2
6 Minyor105550%83.184.6-1.5
7 Cherno More93633%80.481.1-0.7
8 Levski101910%74.684.1-9.5
9 Shumen101910%80.290.6-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Academic Plovdiv2414202179
Beroe1917172477
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