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Adelaide Lightning W vs Bendigo W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 66-78
18-21 12-16 21-20 15-21
Position#7
Record3-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game85.1
Adelaide Lightning W
Australia
vs
Bendigo W 🏆
Australia
Position#5
Record7-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game72.5
AustraliaNBL W
Women2022-23
Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W
18 Nov 2025
ADEL74
BEND82
27 Dec 2024
ADEL67
BEND95
02 Dec 2023
ADEL65
BEND70
14 Jan 2023
ADEL68
BEND86
28 Dec 2022
ADEL66
BEND78
05 Feb 2022
ADEL62
BEND74
09 Dec 2020
ADEL69
BEND59
15 Dec 2019
ADEL91
BEND75
09 Nov 2019
ADEL105
BEND77
28 Oct 2018
ADEL91
BEND63
29 Dec 2017
ADEL87
BEND74
21 Oct 2017
ADEL79
BEND75
19 Nov 2016
ADEL51
BEND74
29 Nov 2015
ADEL73
BEND89
01 Nov 2015
ADEL76
BEND68
09 Nov 2014
ADEL33
BEND76
22 Nov 2013
ADEL76
BEND84
03 Feb 2013
ADEL86
BEND66
05 Oct 2012
ADEL71
BEND73
20 Jan 2012
ADEL70
BEND54
12 Dec 2010
ADEL69
BEND76
07 Nov 2010
ADEL79
BEND91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bendigo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#1
L
49-61
49
61
-12
H26/03
NBL W
Southside W
#3
L
91-99
91
99
-8
A05/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A11/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A13/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
87-67
87
67
+20
H19/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H30/11
NBL W
Southside W
#3
W
91-72
91
72
+19
H03/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A10/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
64-89
64
89
-25
H18/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
100-106 OT
100
106
-6
A22/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-12
9-17
14-14
10-18
25-25
25-32
20-23
21-19
23-23
14-24
15-17
27-20
27-25
14-20
21-18
19-22
24-15
23-12
14-19
26-21
24-22
10-17
24-14
32-27
17-26
21-14
28-15
25-17
20-23
18-24
19-18
18-19
23-20
17-25
9-28
15-16
33-20
16-21
23-30
19-20
163.4Avg total
80.7Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.285.1169.3-0.933%
Season at home (4)83.077.0160.0+6.075%
Season away (5)85.291.6176.8-6.40%
Last 10 (10)80.782.7163.4-2.030%
Last 5 (5)84.086.2170.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.384.7158.0-11.520%
vs Similar ◀ (5)79.668.6148.2+11.060%
vs Weaker (10)76.069.0145.0+7.070%
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley W
#3
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H28/08
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#2
L
73-89
73
89
-16
H03/09
NBL1 South Women
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
105-85
105
85
+20
A04/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H06/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H12/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A02/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A04/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H10/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H14/12
NBL W
Southside W
#3
L
67-96
67
96
-29
H23/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
22-24
23-10
15-15
20-23
23-18
15-31
15-17
24-18
35-27
26-22
20-18
17-15
26-11
13-19
29-21
15-16
24-11
21-15
17-15
15-16
20-18
15-14
18-18
17-15
16-24
24-9
20-12
23-20
24-18
18-19
19-18
23-23
25-16
15-20
22-16
13-23
21-26
17-32
16-15
154.5Avg total
80.0Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.072.5153.5+8.588%
Season at home (5)79.673.8153.4+5.880%
Season away (3)83.370.3153.7+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.074.5154.5+5.580%
Last 5 (5)76.274.4150.6+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.376.0149.3-2.767%
vs Similar ◀ (3)78.080.7158.7-2.733%
vs Weaker (24)90.671.5162.1+19.2100%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.6+2.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.6+2.6
Adelaide Lightning WBendigo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#1
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H26/03
NBL W
Southside W
#3
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A05/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A11/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A13/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H19/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H30/11
NBL W
Southside W
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H03/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A10/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H18/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A22/12
NBL W
81.6Avg total
39.9Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.837.575.4+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.435.371.7+1.136%-
Last 30 away (16)39.139.578.6-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.781.6-1.820%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.482.2-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.542.479.9-4.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)42.835.278.0+7.680%-
vs Weaker (10)35.831.467.2+4.460%-
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley W
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H28/08
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H03/09
NBL1 South Women
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A04/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H06/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H12/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A02/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A04/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H10/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H14/12
NBL W
Southside W
#3
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H23/12
NBL W
81.1Avg total
42.2Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.137.483.5+8.783%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.736.281.8+9.578%-
Last 30 away (12)46.839.286.1+7.692%-
Last 10 (10)42.238.981.1+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.879.2-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.336.373.7+1.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)42.042.784.7-0.767%-
vs Weaker (24)47.836.984.6+10.988%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Adelaide Lightning W wins
4
Bendigo W wins
DateGameScore
10/12/22Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W84-75
24/02/22Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W77-84
05/02/22Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W62-74
09/12/20Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W69-59
25/11/20Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W83-89
15/12/19Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W91-75
09/11/19Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W105-77
01/11/19Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W67-54
10/01/19Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W81-92 OT
03/11/18Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W70-52
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/22AGeelong United W100-106 OT
18/12/22HGeelong United W64-89
10/12/22ABendigo W75-84
03/12/22HSouthside W91-72
30/11/22HCanberra Capitals W90-80
19/11/22HSydney W87-67
13/11/22AGeelong United W81-85
11/11/22ATownsville W79-84
05/11/22ASouthside W91-99
26/03/22HGeelong United W49-61
Bendigo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/22HSouthside W67-96
14/12/22HSydney W85-75
10/12/22HAdelaide Lightning W84-75
04/12/22ASydney W77-60
02/12/22ATownsville W68-66
12/11/22HSydney W77-57
06/11/22HPerth Lynx W85-66
04/11/22ACanberra Capitals W105-85
03/09/22HRingwood W73-89
28/08/22HWaverley W79-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%75%0%
Points / game84.283.085.2
Allowed / game85.177.091.6
Point differential-0.9+6.0-6.4
Avg total169.3160.0176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Bendigo W
NBL W 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%80%100%
Points / game81.079.683.3
Allowed / game72.573.870.3
Point differential+8.5+5.8+13.0
Avg total153.5153.4153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%60%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong United W98189%87.775.8+11.9
2 Bendigo W87188%81.072.5+8.5
3 Townsville W75271%85.476.3+9.1
4 Southside W107370%81.774.9+6.8
5 Perth Lynx W83538%82.584.4-1.9
6 Adelaide Lightning W93633%84.285.1-0.9
7 Sydney W92722%72.079.2-7.2
8 Canberra Capitals W100100%72.494.3-21.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide Lightning W1812211566
Bendigo W2116202178
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