Adelaide Lightning W vs Bendigo W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Dec 2020

Tip-off: 09:05

Final 69-59

12-23 21-11 26-13 10-12

Position#6

Record4-6

FormLLLLL

Points / game72.3

Allowed / game83.1

Adelaide Lightning W 🏆

Bendigo W

Position#8

Record0-11

FormLLLLL

Points / game63.2

Allowed / game87.5

NBL W

Women2020-21

Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bendigo W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra Capitals W

85-73 OT

+12

H11/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

74-69

A15/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

51-91

-40

A24/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

89-83

A25/11

NBL W

Sydney W

75-53

+22

H28/11

NBL W

Southside W

79-110

110

-31

H29/11

NBL W

Southside W

72-111

111

-39

A02/12

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

65-85

-20

A04/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

78-80

-2

H06/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

55-76

-21

H08/12

NBL W

14-16

21-18

24-15

11-21

16-20

16-14

19-20

23-15

8-28

20-25

12-14

11-24

23-22

19-21

19-16

28-24

20-12

12-14

21-15

22-12

30-27

17-30

20-32

12-21

22-29

17-31

20-30

13-21

8-25

17-21

13-26

27-13

28-19

13-26

28-22

9-13

14-31

17-13

12-12

12-20

155.4Avg total

72.3Scored

83.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	72.3	83.1	155.4	-10.8	40%
Season at home (5)	74.4	78.4	152.8	-4.0	40%
Season away (5)	70.2	87.8	158.0	-17.6	40%
Last 10 (10)	72.3	83.1	155.4	-10.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	69.8	92.4	162.2	-22.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	66.5	81.0	147.5	-14.5	20%
vs Similar (9)	78.1	78.3	156.4	-0.2	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	81.5	73.2	154.6	+8.3	82%

This opponent (Bendigo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bendigo W

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney W

63-100

100

-37

H14/11

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

56-76

-20

A16/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

65-78

-13

H18/11

NBL W

Townsville W

81-91

-10

A21/11

NBL W

Townsville W

51-99

-48

H24/11

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

83-89

-6

H25/11

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

51-87

-36

H28/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

79-95

-16

A01/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

52-84

-32

H05/12

NBL W

Sydney W

54-62

-8

A06/12

NBL W

25-34

15-17

14-29

9-20

14-20

8-20

25-24

9-12

19-18

17-25

8-24

21-11

26-15

21-25

11-29

23-22

10-30

13-21

17-27

11-21

22-23

21-19

16-19

24-28

12-20

9-22

16-28

14-17

22-16

14-30

19-24

24-25

20-20

3-18

11-24

18-22

14-23

19-8

8-10

13-21

149.6Avg total

63.5Scored

86.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	63.2	87.5	150.7	-24.4	0%
Season at home (7)	60.7	91.3	152.0	-30.6	0%
Season away (4)	67.5	81.0	148.5	-13.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	63.5	86.1	149.6	-22.6	0%
Last 5 (5)	63.8	83.4	147.2	-19.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	69.6	86.8	156.3	-17.2	12%
vs Similar (6)	78.7	81.2	159.8	-2.5	33%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Adelaide Lightning WBendigo W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.2	42.1	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	20.9	43.2	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	21.6	40.8	-2.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	22.9	41.2	-4.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	26.2	46.6	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.4	22.0	38.4	-5.6	30%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.6	23.6	46.1	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	23.5	18.6	42.2	+4.9	73%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	22.9	41.7	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.8	23.2	42.0	-4.5	18%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.8	22.5	41.3	-3.8	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	21.9	40.3	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.4	38.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	18.2	23.1	41.3	-4.9	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.0	22.2	43.2	-1.2	17%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.6	37.7	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	19.4	38.4	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	19.9	36.9	-2.8	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	21.3	38.2	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	24.2	40.4	-8.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.8	21.0	37.8	-4.2	30%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.4	19.3	36.8	-1.9	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.9	18.5	38.5	+1.4	45%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	20.8	38.0	-3.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.4	20.5	37.9	-3.1	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.1	21.1	38.2	-4.0	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.0	20.5	34.5	-6.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.2	19.4	32.6	-6.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	16.5	21.7	38.2	-5.2	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.3	17.2	37.5	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra Capitals W

35-34

H11/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

32-34

-2

A15/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

28-53

-25

A24/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

42-43

-1

A25/11

NBL W

Sydney W

32-26

H28/11

NBL W

Southside W

47-57

-10

H29/11

NBL W

Southside W

39-60

-21

A02/12

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

25-46

-21

A04/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

41-45

-4

H06/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

31-44

-13

H08/12

NBL W

79.4Avg total

35.2Scored

44.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	40.8	79.8	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.4	40.2	81.7	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.2	41.5	77.7	-5.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.2	44.2	79.4	-9.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	50.4	87.0	-13.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	33.2	43.0	76.2	-9.8	30%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.0	42.9	82.9	-2.9	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	43.5	37.2	80.6	+6.3	82%	-

This opponent (Bendigo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bendigo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney W

40-51

-11

H14/11

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

22-40

-18

A16/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

36-43

-7

H18/11

NBL W

Townsville W

47-40

A21/11

NBL W

Townsville W

23-51

-28

H24/11

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

43-42

H25/11

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

21-42

-21

H28/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

36-46

-10

A01/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

23-38

-15

H05/12

NBL W

Sydney W

33-31

A06/12

NBL W

74.8Avg total

32.4Scored

42.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.0	43.7	79.7	-7.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	36.2	43.8	79.9	-7.6	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.8	43.6	79.5	-7.8	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.4	42.4	74.8	-10.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.2	39.8	71.0	-8.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	34.7	44.8	79.5	-10.1	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	41.3	39.3	80.7	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	18.0	35.7	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	17.6	36.6	+1.5	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.1	18.6	34.6	-2.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	24.4	43.0	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.2	18.9	35.1	-2.7	30%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.9	18.4	37.3	+0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	18.0	16.9	34.9	+1.1	55%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	22.0	39.5	-4.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	16.1	22.6	38.8	-6.5	18%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	21.2	40.5	-2.0	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.5	23.8	38.3	-9.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	21.0	35.0	-7.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	16.5	22.2	38.8	-5.7	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.2	21.2	42.3	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	17.9	35.3	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.9	18.2	35.1	-1.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	17.6	35.4	+0.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	18.4	35.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	17.6	32.2	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	15.6	18.8	34.4	-3.2	30%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.3	16.2	33.6	+1.1	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.9	37.8	-2.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.1	19.1	36.2	-2.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.0	20.9	39.9	-1.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	19.9	36.5	-3.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.6	41.2	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	18.3	19.7	38.0	-1.4	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.2	20.7	36.8	-4.5	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.0	35.9	71.0	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.0	35.8	71.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.9	36.1	70.1	-2.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	38.6	74.2	-3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	42.0	75.2	-8.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	31.8	37.7	69.5	-5.9	40%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.2	34.7	70.9	+1.6	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	37.0	35.4	72.4	+1.6	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.4	41.9	77.3	-6.6	23%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	33.2	41.8	74.9	-8.6	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.2	42.2	80.4	-3.9	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.1	43.7	74.8	-12.6	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	43.6	76.2	-11.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	34.9	42.0	76.8	-7.1	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	37.3	41.8	79.2	-4.5	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide Lightning W wins

Bendigo W wins

Date	Game	Score
25/11/20	Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W	83-89
15/12/19	Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W	91-75
09/11/19	Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W	105-77
01/11/19	Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W	67-54
10/01/19	Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W	81-92 OT
03/11/18	Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W	70-52
28/10/18	Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W	91-63
29/12/17	Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W	87-74
27/10/17	Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W	66-79
21/10/17	Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W	79-75 OT

Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/12/20	H	Geelong United W	55-76
06/12/20	H	Perth Lynx W	78-80
04/12/20	A	Canberra Capitals W	65-85
02/12/20	A	Southside W	72-111
29/11/20	H	Southside W	79-110
28/11/20	H	Sydney W	75-53
25/11/20	A	Bendigo W	89-83
24/11/20	A	Geelong United W	51-91
15/11/20	A	Perth Lynx W	74-69
11/11/20	H	Canberra Capitals W	85-73 OT

Bendigo Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/12/20	A	Sydney W	54-62
05/12/20	H	Geelong United W	52-84
01/12/20	A	Perth Lynx W	79-95
28/11/20	H	Canberra Capitals W	51-87
25/11/20	H	Adelaide Lightning W	83-89
24/11/20	H	Townsville W	51-99
21/11/20	A	Townsville W	81-91
18/11/20	H	Perth Lynx W	65-78
16/11/20	A	Canberra Capitals W	56-76
14/11/20	H	Sydney W	63-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W

NBL W 2020-21

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	40%
Home	WWLLL	40%
Away	WLWLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	40%	40%	40%
Points / game	72.3	74.4	70.2
Allowed / game	83.1	78.4	87.8
Point differential	-10.8	-4.0	-17.6
Avg total	155.4	152.8	158.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	40%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	10%	20%	0%

Bendigo W

NBL W 2020-21

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	0%
Home	LLLLL	0%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	7	4
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	63.2	60.7	67.5
Allowed / game	87.5	91.3	81.0
Point differential	-24.4	-30.6	-13.5
Avg total	150.7	152.0	148.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Southside W	11	9	2	82%	97.6	76.2	+21.5
2	Geelong United W	11	8	3	73%	77.3	66.8	+10.5
3	Canberra Capitals W	11	8	3	73%	76.4	66.9	+9.5
4	Townsville W	11	7	4	64%	80.8	74.5	+6.3
5	Adelaide Lightning W	10	4	6	40%	72.3	83.1	-10.8
6	Sydney W	11	4	7	36%	69.6	74.5	-4.8
7	Perth Lynx W	12	4	8	33%	70.7	78.6	-7.9
8	Bendigo W	11	0	11	0%	63.2	87.5	-24.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide Lightning W	12	21	26	10	69
Bendigo W	23	11	13	12	59

← all games of the day

Adelaide Lightning W vs Bendigo W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature