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Adelaide Lightning W vs Bendigo W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 65-70 (OT)
15-19 8-9 15-22 22-10 5-10
Position#7
Record2-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game67.7
Allowed / game72.7
Adelaide Lightning W
Australia
vs
Bendigo W 🏆
Australia
Position#5
Record1-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game77.8
AustraliaNBL W· Adelaide Arena
Women2023-24
Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W
18 Nov 2025
ADEL74
BEND82
27 Dec 2024
ADEL67
BEND95
02 Dec 2023
ADEL65
BEND70
14 Jan 2023
ADEL68
BEND86
28 Dec 2022
ADEL66
BEND78
05 Feb 2022
ADEL62
BEND74
09 Dec 2020
ADEL69
BEND59
15 Dec 2019
ADEL91
BEND75
09 Nov 2019
ADEL105
BEND77
28 Oct 2018
ADEL91
BEND63
29 Dec 2017
ADEL87
BEND74
21 Oct 2017
ADEL79
BEND75
19 Nov 2016
ADEL51
BEND74
29 Nov 2015
ADEL73
BEND89
01 Nov 2015
ADEL76
BEND68
09 Nov 2014
ADEL33
BEND76
22 Nov 2013
ADEL76
BEND84
03 Feb 2013
ADEL86
BEND66
05 Oct 2012
ADEL71
BEND73
20 Jan 2012
ADEL70
BEND54
12 Dec 2010
ADEL69
BEND76
07 Nov 2010
ADEL79
BEND91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bendigo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
82-108
82
108
-26
no box
H16/02
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
78-72
78
72
+6
no box
A18/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
91-101
91
101
-10
no box
A24/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
93-97
93
97
-4
no box
H02/03
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
60-68
60
68
-8
53avg 58
H01/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
82-79
82
79
+3
71avg 58
A05/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
85-92
85
92
-7
86avg 58
A11/11
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
67-56
67
56
+11
49avg 58
H18/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
51-74
51
74
-23
36avg 58
H23/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
61-67
61
67
-6
52avg 58
A29/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
24-34
24-31
9-25
14-27
27-10
19-12
18-23
23-32
23-26
28-15
17-28
20-25
18-32
27-25
28-15
24-13
11-13
13-25
12-17
31-20
27-23
12-16
12-20
27-17
17-25
28-24
13-26
14-15
25-11
8-9
20-21
14-27
11-11
17-22
9-14
19-15
11-19
21-16
10-17
156.4Avg total
75.0Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)67.772.7140.3-5.033%
Season at home (3)59.366.0125.3-6.733%
Season away (3)76.079.3155.3-3.333%
Last 10 (10)75.081.4156.4-6.430%
Last 5 (5)69.273.6142.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)74.182.0156.1-7.917%
vs Similar (7)78.484.1162.6-5.714%
vs Weaker (5)83.883.0166.8+0.860%
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#19
W
91-75
91
75
+16
no box
H15/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#12
W
98-94
98
94
+4
no box
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
75-64
75
64
+11
no box
H22/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#2
W
97-96
97
96
+1
no box
H05/08
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
83-78
83
78
+5
no box
H12/08
NBL1 South Women
Townsville W
#2
L
80-93
80
93
-13
80avg 68
H04/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
62-68
62
68
-6
51avg 68
H10/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
76-86
76
86
-10
65avg 68
A17/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
74-76
74
76
-2
67avg 68
A19/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
82-66
82
66
+16
78avg 68
H25/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
18-11
26-19
18-28
31-23
18-18
22-25
27-28
16-16
26-14
19-16
14-18
24-24
30-17
14-25
29-30
19-21
21-20
26-21
17-16
22-25
18-21
21-27
19-20
12-12
8-23
23-13
19-20
20-24
22-22
14-21
20-19
30-16
11-11
21-23
12-26
17-18
20-28
28-9
17-11
161.4Avg total
81.8Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.877.8152.6-3.020%
Season at home (3)74.775.7150.3-1.033%
Season away (2)75.081.0156.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)81.879.6161.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)74.877.8152.6-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)74.877.8152.6-3.020%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)88.869.4158.2+19.4100%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: -2.4-2.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: -2.4-2.4
Adelaide Lightning WBendigo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H16/02
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A18/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A24/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H02/03
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H01/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A05/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A11/11
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H18/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H23/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A29/11
NBL W
81.8Avg total
40.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.880.4-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.938.776.6-0.838%-
Last 30 away (14)41.543.184.6-1.636%-
Last 10 (10)40.541.381.8-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.675.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.940.379.2-1.433%-
vs Similar (7)40.742.182.9-1.443%-
vs Weaker (5)40.640.681.2+0.040%-
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#19
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H15/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#12
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H22/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#2
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H05/08
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H12/08
NBL1 South Women
Townsville W
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H04/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
20-35
20
35
-15
H10/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A17/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A19/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H25/11
NBL W
79.3Avg total
41.2Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.436.379.7+7.173%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.836.679.5+6.259%-
Last 30 away (13)44.235.880.0+8.392%-
Last 10 (10)41.238.179.3+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.040.076.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)36.040.076.0-4.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)44.935.680.4+9.384%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaide Lightning Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide Lightning W: 66.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.3 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.018.2
44.3%
47.3%36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.26.5
26.9%
32.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws15.310.8
70.7%
74.3%10.8
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bendigo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bendigo W: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.418.0
45.7%
47.3%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.6
33.3%
32.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.412.2
66.3%
74.3%12.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/5 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide Lightning W
LLWLWLLLWL
Bendigo W
WLLLLWWWWW
#7
League position
#5
-6.3
Net rating
-3.5
84.4
Offensive rating
99.8
90.8
Defensive rating
103.3
42.8%
Effective FG%
47.4%
43.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
23.8%
Turnover %
19.4%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
26.9%
3-point %
33.3%
60.8%
Assist %
63.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence84.4 · 99.8Defence90.8 · 103.3Shooting42.8% · 47.4%3-point %26.9% · 33.3%Ball care23.8% · 19.4%Off. rebounds28.2% · 33.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Adelaide Lightning W   ■ Bendigo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Adelaide Lightning W wins
5
Bendigo W wins
DateGameScore
14/01/23Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W68-86
28/12/22Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W66-78
10/12/22Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W84-75
24/02/22Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W77-84
05/02/22Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W62-74
09/12/20Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W69-59
25/11/20Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W83-89
15/12/19Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W91-75
09/11/19Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W105-77
01/11/19Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W67-54
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/23ATownsville W61-67
23/11/23HTownsville W51-74
18/11/23HSouthside W67-56
11/11/23APerth Lynx W85-92
05/11/23ACanberra Capitals W82-79
01/11/23HGeelong United W60-68
02/03/23HPerth Lynx W93-97
24/02/23ASydney W91-101
18/02/23ACanberra Capitals W78-72
16/02/23HPerth Lynx W82-108
Bendigo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23HSydney W82-66
19/11/23AGeelong United W74-76
17/11/23APerth Lynx W76-86
10/11/23HSydney W62-68
04/11/23HTownsville W80-93
12/08/23HWaverley W83-78
05/08/23HMt. Gambier W97-96
22/07/23HWaverley W75-64
16/07/23AKnox W98-94
15/07/23HBallarat W91-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game67.759.376.0
Allowed / game72.766.079.3
Point differential-5.0-6.7-3.3
Avg total140.3125.3155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bendigo W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game74.874.775.0
Allowed / game77.875.781.0
Point differential-3.0-1.0-6.0
Avg total152.6150.3156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong United W550100%80.673.0+7.6
2 Townsville W65183%80.869.3+11.5
3 Southside W64267%80.075.5+4.5
4 Perth Lynx W53260%86.283.6+2.6
5 Sydney W52340%74.281.0-6.8
6 Adelaide Lightning W62433%67.772.7-5.0
7 Bendigo W51420%74.877.8-3.0
8 Canberra Capitals W6060%76.287.5-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Adelaide Lightning W1581522565
Bendigo W19922101070
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