Adelaide Lightning W vs Bendigo W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Dec 2017

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 87-74

22-20 26-20 15-18 24-16

Position#5

Record10-10

FormLLLWL

Points / game76.6

Allowed / game77.9

Adelaide Lightning W 🏆

Bendigo W

Position#8

Record4-15

FormLLLWL

Points / game69.5

Allowed / game86.0

NBL W

Women2017-18

Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bendigo W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville W

78-101

101

-23

H18/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

70-49

+21

A25/11

NBL W

Sydney W

77-74

A29/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

74-89

-15

H02/12

NBL W

Townsville W

79-64

+15

A07/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

62-64

-2

H09/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

82-99

-17

A15/12

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

87-88

-1

A17/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

67-56

+11

H21/12

NBL W

Sydney W

97-104 OT

104

-7

A23/12

NBL W

17-28

16-25

19-18

26-30

18-15

14-11

21-15

17-8

28-19

11-20

13-16

25-19

23-21

17-25

16-20

18-23

23-21

17-18

23-13

16-12

20-19

11-6

14-20

17-19

22-25

24-17

20-30

16-27

18-28

25-23

30-19

14-18

22-15

17-10

19-23

9-8

21-21

31-21

16-24

23-25

156.1Avg total

77.3Scored

78.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	76.6	77.9	154.5	-1.3	50%
Season at home (9)	77.7	78.4	156.1	-0.8	56%
Season away (11)	75.7	77.5	153.2	-1.7	45%
Last 10 (10)	77.3	78.8	156.1	-1.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	82.2	161.2	-3.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	73.7	80.7	154.4	-7.0	36%
vs Similar (3)	73.3	65.0	138.3	+8.3	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	80.4	78.0	158.4	+2.4	60%

This opponent (Bendigo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bendigo W

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth Lynx W

59-83

-24

H17/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

70-80

-10

A19/11

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

83-80

A25/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

67-75

-8

H02/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

42-86

-44

A07/12

NBL W

Townsville W

62-99

-37

H09/12

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

80-91

-11

H14/12

NBL W

Sydney W

57-90

-33

A16/12

NBL W

Dandenong W

64-47

+17

H21/12

NBL W

Townsville W

62-120

120

-58

A23/12

NBL W

11-22

17-21

16-30

15-10

20-25

21-15

25-21

4-19

21-31

20-16

24-20

18-13

24-22

16-23

17-18

10-12

9-24

12-21

7-19

14-22

7-25

24-19

13-29

18-26

24-30

26-21

20-20

10-20

18-22

21-21

8-19

10-28

24-14

8-19

12-12

20-2

19-34

18-34

14-29

11-23

149.7Avg total

64.6Scored

85.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	69.5	86.0	155.5	-16.5	21%
Season at home (9)	72.2	79.6	151.8	-7.3	33%
Season away (10)	67.0	91.8	158.8	-24.8	10%
Last 10 (10)	64.6	85.1	149.7	-20.5	20%
Last 5 (5)	65.0	89.4	154.4	-24.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	69.1	85.7	154.8	-16.5	19%
vs Similar (2)	70.0	59.5	129.5	+10.5	100%
vs Weaker (7)	72.0	68.7	140.7	+3.3	57%

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Adelaide Lightning WBendigo W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	21.2	41.5	-0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	20.5	40.9	+0.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.6	42.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	18.7	17.0	35.7	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	22.0	20.6	42.6	+1.4	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	21.8	40.1	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	21.7	41.3	-2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.1	21.9	39.1	-4.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	24.9	42.6	-7.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	25.0	43.4	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.3	24.0	42.2	-5.7	29%	-
vs Similar (2)	18.5	15.5	34.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.1	17.3	35.4	+0.9	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	18.2	36.5	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	17.5	35.9	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	18.8	37.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	17.6	35.9	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	15.4	37.0	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	18.5	18.6	37.0	-0.1	36%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.0	12.0	29.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.7	38.2	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	18.4	37.7	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	20.8	38.6	-3.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	21.0	39.3	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.8	42.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.2	21.3	40.5	-2.1	38%	-
vs Similar (2)	15.0	12.5	27.5	+2.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (7)	17.3	16.9	34.1	+0.4	57%	-

Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville W

33-53

-20

H18/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

32-26

A25/11

NBL W

Sydney W

39-39

A29/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

40-46

-6

H02/12

NBL W

Townsville W

40-39

A07/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

31-25

H09/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

46-42

A15/12

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

43-51

-8

A17/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

39-25

+14

H21/12

NBL W

Sydney W

52-42

+10

A23/12

NBL W

78.3Avg total

39.5Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	39.0	77.7	-0.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.7	38.7	77.4	-0.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.8	39.3	78.1	-0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	38.8	78.3	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	37.0	79.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	38.7	40.0	78.7	-1.3	59%	-
vs Similar (3)	35.7	29.0	64.7	+6.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	40.8	40.6	81.4	+0.2	60%	-

This opponent (Bendigo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bendigo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth Lynx W

28-43

-15

H17/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

41-40

A19/11

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

41-47

-6

A25/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

40-45

-5

H02/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

21-45

-24

A07/12

NBL W

Townsville W

31-44

-13

H09/12

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

50-51

-1

H14/12

NBL W

Sydney W

39-43

-4

A16/12

NBL W

Dandenong W

32-33

-1

H21/12

NBL W

Townsville W

37-68

-31

A23/12

NBL W

81.9Avg total

36.0Scored

45.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	41.5	78.3	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	40.1	79.0	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.9	42.8	77.6	-7.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	45.9	81.9	-9.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	47.8	85.6	-10.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	37.5	45.3	82.8	-7.8	24%	-
vs Similar (2)	33.5	28.0	61.5	+5.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (7)	35.4	34.1	69.6	+1.3	71%	-

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.4	36.4	-0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.1	19.4	36.5	-2.3	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	17.4	36.3	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	19.8	38.9	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	23.2	43.0	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	16.7	19.4	36.1	-2.7	23%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.7	16.7	36.3	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	23.0	15.0	38.0	+8.0	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.1	20.0	36.1	-3.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.3	19.2	36.5	-1.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.1	20.7	35.8	-5.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	21.7	37.3	-6.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.4	21.8	35.2	-8.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	15.4	22.0	37.4	-6.7	19%	-
vs Similar (2)	18.5	16.0	34.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	17.6	15.0	32.6	+2.6	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	20.5	38.0	-3.1	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.9	21.0	37.9	-4.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	20.1	38.1	-2.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.9	37.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	19.4	35.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	18.1	20.7	38.8	-2.6	32%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.0	17.7	34.7	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	15.0	21.6	36.6	-6.6	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	18.2	35.1	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.1	17.5	34.6	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.8	18.8	35.5	-2.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.0	17.5	30.5	-4.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	19.8	33.6	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	16.1	18.0	34.0	-1.9	43%	-
vs Similar (2)	18.0	15.5	33.5	+2.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	29%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.5	38.9	74.4	-3.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.0	40.4	74.4	-6.4	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.0	37.5	74.5	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	38.7	75.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	42.6	78.2	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	34.8	40.1	74.9	-5.3	23%	-
vs Similar (3)	36.7	34.3	71.0	+2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	38.0	36.6	74.6	+1.4	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.0	38.2	71.2	-5.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	34.4	36.7	71.1	-2.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	31.8	39.4	71.2	-7.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.6	39.2	67.8	-10.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.2	41.6	68.8	-14.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	31.5	40.0	71.5	-8.5	24%	-
vs Similar (2)	36.5	31.5	68.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (7)	36.6	34.6	71.1	+2.0	57%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide Lightning W wins

Bendigo W wins

Date	Game	Score
27/10/17	Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W	66-79
21/10/17	Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W	79-75 OT
27/11/16	Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W	69-51
19/11/16	Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W	51-74
08/10/16	Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W	77-63 OT
14/02/16	Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W	78-92
29/11/15	Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W	73-89
01/11/15	Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W	76-68
11/01/15	Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W	75-64
06/12/14	Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W	81-55

Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/12/17	A	Sydney W	97-104 OT
21/12/17	H	Geelong United W	67-56
17/12/17	A	Canberra Capitals W	87-88
15/12/17	A	Perth Lynx W	82-99
09/12/17	H	Geelong United W	62-64
07/12/17	A	Townsville W	79-64
02/12/17	H	Perth Lynx W	74-89
29/11/17	A	Sydney W	77-74
25/11/17	A	Dandenong W	70-49
18/11/17	H	Townsville W	78-101

Bendigo Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/12/17	A	Townsville W	62-120
21/12/17	H	Dandenong W	64-47
16/12/17	A	Sydney W	57-90
14/12/17	H	Canberra Capitals W	80-91
09/12/17	H	Townsville W	62-99
07/12/17	A	Geelong United W	42-86
02/12/17	H	Dandenong W	67-75
25/11/17	A	Canberra Capitals W	83-80
19/11/17	A	Dandenong W	70-80
17/11/17	H	Perth Lynx W	59-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W

NBL W 2017-18

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	50%
Home	LLLLW	56%
Away	WWLLL	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	9	11
Win %	50%	56%	45%
Points / game	76.6	77.7	75.7
Allowed / game	77.9	78.4	77.5
Point differential	-1.3	-0.8	-1.7
Avg total	154.5	156.1	153.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	22%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	50% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	15%	22%	9%

Bendigo W

NBL W 2017-18

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	21%
Home	LLLLW	33%
Away	LWLLL	10%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	21%	33%	10%
Points / game	69.5	72.2	67.0
Allowed / game	86.0	79.6	91.8
Point differential	-16.5	-7.3	-24.8
Avg total	155.5	151.8	158.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	22%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth Lynx W	19	15	4	79%	84.9	77.2	+7.7
2	Townsville W	19	13	6	68%	80.5	69.2	+11.3
3	Sydney W	19	12	7	63%	80.1	75.2	+4.8
4	Geelong United W	20	11	9	55%	75.0	69.1	+5.8
5	Adelaide Lightning W	20	10	10	50%	76.6	77.9	-1.3
6	Dandenong W	20	7	13	35%	68.8	71.8	-3.0
7	Canberra Capitals W	20	6	14	30%	73.8	82.4	-8.6
8	Bendigo W	19	4	15	21%	69.5	86.0	-16.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide Lightning W	22	26	15	24	87
Bendigo W	20	20	18	16	74

← all games of the day

Adelaide Lightning W vs Bendigo W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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