Sydney W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2013

Tip-off: 08:00

Final 62-63

16-18 13-16 15-9 18-20

Position#6

Record5-6

FormLWWWW

Points / game75.1

Allowed / game71.8

Sydney W

Adelaide Lightning W 🏆

Position#5

Record5-7

FormLWLLL

Points / game72.5

Allowed / game71.8

NBL WRound 10

Women2013-14

Meetings · Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Adelaide Lightning W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sydney W

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong United W

66-72

-6

A06/10

NBL W

Dandenong W

79-85

-6

H11/10

NBL W

Bendigo W

61-77

-16

H18/10

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

82-85

-3

H26/10

NBL W

Logan W

74-83

-9

A01/11

NBL W

Townsville W

66-76

-10

A02/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

75-38

+37

A09/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

76-67

H16/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

83-71

+12

H23/11

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

81-68

+13

A30/11

NBL W

21-18

13-20

16-19

16-15

26-24

20-24

20-18

13-19

14-12

10-20

13-22

24-23

23-21

18-16

17-22

24-26

20-18

18-22

18-19

18-24

13-23

11-15

16-18

26-20

26-10

11-13

21-4

17-11

21-16

17-13

23-21

15-17

20-27

11-16

28-11

24-17

16-12

21-13

23-20

21-23

146.5Avg total

74.3Scored

72.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	75.1	71.8	146.9	+3.3	45%
Season at home (5)	76.2	77.0	153.2	-0.8	40%
Season away (6)	74.2	67.5	141.7	+6.7	50%
Last 10 (10)	74.3	72.2	146.5	+2.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	64.0	140.2	+12.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	73.6	83.9	157.5	-10.3	17%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	81.4	76.5	157.9	+4.9	60%
vs Weaker (8)	74.5	60.4	134.9	+14.1	62%

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide Lightning W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra C. Acad. W

84-73

+11

H13/10

NBL W

Logan W

79-64

+15

H19/10

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

71-77

-6

A25/10

NBL W

Sydney W

85-82

A26/10

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

93-41

+52

H03/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

53-75

-22

A09/11

NBL W

Townsville W

69-68

H16/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

76-84

-8

H22/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

65-78

-13

A30/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

71-85

-14

A01/12

NBL W

20-14

17-24

22-14

25-21

27-18

12-17

20-8

20-21

25-23

12-14

18-17

16-23

21-23

16-18

22-17

26-24

26-4

20-18

26-6

21-13

18-19

14-29

13-13

8-14

22-14

16-18

13-13

18-23

13-26

18-20

16-16

29-22

17-17

27-24

4-24

17-13

26-25

11-20

16-22

18-18

147.3Avg total

74.6Scored

72.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	72.5	71.8	144.2	+0.8	42%
Season at home (6)	77.7	66.5	144.2	+11.2	67%
Season away (6)	67.3	77.0	144.3	-9.7	17%
Last 10 (10)	74.6	72.7	147.3	+1.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	66.8	78.0	144.8	-11.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	67.2	73.8	141.0	-6.5	25%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	74.9	75.8	150.7	-0.9	50%
vs Weaker (16)	79.3	66.2	145.5	+13.1	69%

This opponent (Sydney W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Sydney WAdelaide Lightning W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	20.5	41.0	+0.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	17.7	35.7	+0.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	18.1	38.1	+1.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.6	36.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.7	19.8	37.5	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.6	20.1	41.7	+1.5	70%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.4	16.4	34.8	+2.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.3	38.5	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	16.8	37.1	+3.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	18.3	39.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.2	16.8	35.0	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.0	17.6	38.6	+3.4	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	17.9	35.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.5	16.9	35.4	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.9	18.8	34.7	-2.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.0	17.2	32.2	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	14.0	28.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.8	21.8	39.5	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	17.4	16.1	33.5	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	15.8	14.5	30.2	+1.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.2	36.2	-0.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	16.2	35.3	+2.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	20.5	37.3	-3.7	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	20.2	36.5	-3.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.2	39.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.2	21.2	40.5	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	14.8	19.6	34.4	-4.8	10%	-
vs Weaker (16)	19.7	16.6	36.3	+3.1	50%	-

Sydney WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong United W

34-38

-4

A06/10

NBL W

Dandenong W

46-48

-2

H11/10

NBL W

Bendigo W

24-32

-8

H18/10

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

41-37

H26/10

NBL W

Logan W

38-40

-2

A01/11

NBL W

Townsville W

24-38

-14

A02/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

37-23

+14

A09/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

38-29

H16/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

31-43

-12

H23/11

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

37-25

+12

A30/11

NBL W

70.3Avg total

35.0Scored

35.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	36.9	73.2	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.0	37.4	76.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.9	36.5	70.4	-2.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.0	35.3	70.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	31.6	65.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	35.4	41.6	77.0	-6.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	39.0	36.2	75.2	+2.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (8)	34.1	30.9	65.0	+3.2	50%	-

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra C. Acad. W

37-38

-1

H13/10

NBL W

Logan W

39-35

H19/10

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

37-37

A25/10

NBL W

Sydney W

37-41

-4

A26/10

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

46-22

+24

H03/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

32-48

-16

A09/11

NBL W

Townsville W

38-32

H16/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

31-46

-15

H22/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

44-41

A30/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

37-45

-8

A01/12

NBL W

76.3Avg total

37.8Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	36.5	74.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.4	33.0	72.4	+6.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.0	40.5	77.5	-3.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	38.5	76.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	42.4	78.8	-6.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.5	38.0	75.5	-0.5	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	34.7	39.6	74.3	-4.9	20%	-
vs Weaker (16)	40.7	34.2	74.9	+6.5	62%	-

This opponent (Sydney W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	17.1	37.0	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	15.8	36.5	+4.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.3	18.2	37.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.4	36.9	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	14.8	37.0	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.0	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.8	17.8	39.6	+4.0	70%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.8	12.4	32.1	+7.4	88%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	16.1	35.1	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	14.9	36.1	+6.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.5	17.4	33.9	-0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	15.0	32.0	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.4	17.6	30.0	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	12.8	17.0	29.8	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.2	14.3	34.6	+5.9	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.3	39.9	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	20.5	40.2	-0.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	20.2	39.7	-0.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.5	39.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.6	38.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.6	22.8	42.3	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.6	17.1	37.8	+3.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	17.6	37.8	+2.5	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	18.1	35.7	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.0	18.8	35.8	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.7	17.7	38.4	+3.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (16)	18.4	17.7	36.1	+0.7	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	37.4	77.0	+2.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.4	36.3	76.7	+4.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.8	38.4	77.2	+0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	36.9	76.2	+2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	32.4	75.2	+10.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	38.2	42.3	80.5	-4.2	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	40.6	37.8	78.4	+2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	40.4	29.5	69.9	+10.9	88%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	33.9	71.9	+4.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.3	32.5	73.8	+8.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.1	35.5	69.6	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	34.2	71.0	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.4	35.6	66.0	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	29.8	35.8	65.5	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	40.2	36.2	76.4	+4.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (16)	38.6	32.0	70.6	+6.6	69%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sydney W wins

Adelaide Lightning W wins

Date	Game	Score
26/10/13	Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W	82-85
08/02/13	Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W	98-73
10/11/12	Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W	94-78
13/10/12	Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W	86-60
25/11/11	Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W	74-77
14/10/11	Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W	65-70
29/01/11	Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W	55-80
14/01/11	Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W	82-73

Sydney Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/11/13	A	Canberra C. Acad. W	81-68
23/11/13	H	Geelong United W	83-71
16/11/13	H	Dandenong W	76-67
09/11/13	A	Perth Lynx W	75-38
02/11/13	A	Townsville W	66-76
01/11/13	A	Logan W	74-83
26/10/13	H	Adelaide Lightning W	82-85
18/10/13	H	Bendigo W	61-77
11/10/13	H	Dandenong W	79-85
06/10/13	A	Geelong United W	66-72

Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/12/13	A	Geelong United W	71-85
30/11/13	A	Bendigo W	65-78
22/11/13	H	Bendigo W	76-84
16/11/13	H	Townsville W	69-68
09/11/13	A	Geelong United W	53-75
03/11/13	H	Perth Lynx W	93-41
26/10/13	A	Sydney W	85-82
25/10/13	A	Canberra C. Acad. W	71-77
19/10/13	H	Logan W	79-64
13/10/13	H	Canberra C. Acad. W	84-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney W

NBL W 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	45%
Home	LLLWW	40%
Away	LLLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	45%	40%	50%
Points / game	75.1	76.2	74.2
Allowed / game	71.8	77.0	67.5
Point differential	+3.3	-0.8	+6.7
Avg total	146.9	153.2	141.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	20%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Adelaide Lightning W

NBL W 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	42%
Home	WWWWL	67%
Away	LWLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	42%	67%	17%
Points / game	72.5	77.7	67.3
Allowed / game	71.8	66.5	77.0
Point differential	+0.8	+11.2	-9.7
Avg total	144.2	144.2	144.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bendigo W	12	11	1	92%	76.3	62.2	+14.2
2	Dandenong W	11	8	3	73%	81.5	72.8	+8.6
3	Geelong United W	12	8	4	67%	66.6	63.8	+2.8
4	Townsville W	10	6	4	60%	78.0	68.9	+9.1
5	Sydney W	11	5	6	45%	75.1	71.8	+3.3
6	Adelaide Lightning W	12	5	7	42%	72.5	71.8	+0.8
7	Canberra C. Acad. W	12	4	8	33%	74.3	79.3	-5.0
8	Logan W	10	3	7	30%	74.7	78.9	-4.2
9	Perth Lynx W	12	1	11	8%	54.9	82.7	-27.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sydney W	16	13	15	18	62
Adelaide Lightning W	18	16	9	20	63

← all games of the day

Sydney W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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