Adelaide Lightning W vs Southside W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2020

Tip-off: 02:35

Final 104-93

25-26 35-22 26-27 18-18

Position#4

Record9-6

FormWLWWW

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game74.7

Adelaide Lightning W 🏆

Southside W

Position#1

Record13-2

FormWWWLW

Points / game84.5

Allowed / game76.1

NBL W

Women2019-20

Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Southside W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo W

105-77

105

+28

H09/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

57-71

-14

H22/11

NBL W

Southside W

85-91

-6

H01/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

79-69

+10

H06/12

NBL W

Sydney W

69-81

-12

A08/12

NBL W

Bendigo W

91-75

+16

H15/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

57-66

-9

A22/12

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

78-68 OT

+10

H27/12

NBL W

Sydney W

80-72

A29/12

NBL W

Townsville W

87-61

+26

A03/01

NBL W

28-18

29-22

23-16

25-21

17-14

18-17

9-14

13-26

30-32

17-19

20-19

18-21

21-18

18-13

20-18

20-20

26-20

17-20

14-24

12-17

28-15

25-21

15-19

23-20

13-20

12-15

18-15

14-16

16-21

11-13

17-9

17-18

20-18

22-22

17-10

21-22

33-16

14-14

21-6

19-25

151.9Avg total

78.8Scored

73.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	79.3	74.7	154.1	+4.6	60%
Season at home (7)	83.4	75.7	159.1	+7.7	71%
Season away (8)	75.8	73.9	149.6	+1.9	50%
Last 10 (10)	78.8	73.1	151.9	+5.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	68.4	147.0	+10.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	70.2	77.3	147.5	-7.2	33%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	83.3	83.1	166.4	+0.1	43%
vs Weaker (17)	85.3	71.7	157.0	+13.6	88%

This opponent (Southside W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Southside W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong United W

81-74

A04/11

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

72-91

-19

H07/11

NBL W

Townsville W

91-59

+32

A23/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

82-68

+14

A29/11

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

91-85

A01/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

89-82

H07/12

NBL W

Townsville W

81-62

+19

H13/12

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

70-65

A15/12

NBL W

Sydney W

79-86

-7

H21/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

90-75

+15

A03/01

NBL W

29-24

19-16

20-16

13-18

19-27

14-29

22-18

17-17

30-19

16-10

25-13

20-17

19-15

22-15

16-19

25-19

32-30

19-17

19-20

21-18

19-22

31-15

21-26

18-19

26-21

27-23

21-12

7-6

22-19

14-18

11-13

23-15

16-24

25-24

18-19

20-19

29-25

23-21

16-15

22-14

157.3Avg total

82.6Scored

74.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	84.5	76.1	160.5	+8.4	87%
Season at home (8)	84.6	80.4	165.0	+4.2	75%
Season away (7)	84.3	71.1	155.4	+13.1	100%
Last 10 (10)	82.6	74.7	157.3	+7.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	74.0	155.8	+7.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	59.5	75.7	135.2	-16.2	0%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	78.8	76.6	155.3	+2.2	67%
vs Weaker (15)	86.8	74.5	161.3	+12.3	87%

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Adelaide Lightning WSouthside W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	19.3	42.0	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.8	20.0	44.8	+4.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	19.2	42.4	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.0	40.0	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.8	20.5	41.3	+0.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.6	22.0	43.6	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (17)	23.9	17.7	41.6	+6.2	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.5	41.7	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	20.0	40.7	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	21.1	42.6	+0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	22.6	46.7	+1.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.2	44.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	12.8	21.2	34.0	-8.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.7	22.4	45.1	+0.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (15)	23.5	19.1	42.7	+4.4	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.3	39.6	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	17.9	39.4	+3.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	17.6	35.9	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	17.0	33.8	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.2	20.3	38.5	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	47%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.1	39.7	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	20.0	41.1	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	18.1	38.2	+1.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	20.2	44.2	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	14.8	17.8	32.7	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.4	19.4	38.9	+0.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (15)	23.6	19.3	42.9	+4.3	80%	-

Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo W

57-40

+17

H09/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

35-31

H22/11

NBL W

Southside W

47-51

-4

H01/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

39-31

H06/12

NBL W

Sydney W

43-40

A08/12

NBL W

Bendigo W

53-36

+17

H15/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

25-35

-10

A22/12

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

27-34

-7

H27/12

NBL W

Sydney W

42-40

A29/12

NBL W

Townsville W

47-30

+17

A03/01

NBL W

78.3Avg total

41.5Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	38.6	81.6	+4.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.4	37.9	84.2	+8.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.2	39.2	79.4	+1.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	36.8	78.3	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	35.0	73.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	39.0	40.8	79.8	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	43.0	41.6	84.6	+1.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (17)	44.5	36.5	81.1	+8.0	76%	-

This opponent (Southside W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Southside WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong United W

48-40

A04/11

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

33-56

-23

H07/11

NBL W

Townsville W

46-29

+17

A23/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

41-30

+11

A29/11

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

51-47

A01/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

50-37

+13

H07/12

NBL W

Townsville W

53-44

H13/12

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

36-37

-1

A15/12

NBL W

Sydney W

41-48

-7

H21/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

52-46

A03/01

NBL W

86.5Avg total

45.1Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	39.6	81.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	40.0	81.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.6	39.2	80.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	41.4	86.5	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	42.4	88.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	27.7	39.0	66.7	-11.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	42.1	41.9	84.0	+0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (15)	47.1	38.5	85.6	+8.7	93%	-

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	17.6	36.9	+1.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	17.1	37.3	+3.0	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	15.0	32.4	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	11.8	29.4	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.0	16.5	32.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.6	20.6	40.1	-1.0	71%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.4	16.8	37.1	+3.6	76%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.7	36.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	17.7	36.3	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	17.7	35.9	+0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.1	36.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	17.0	34.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.3	18.3	34.7	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.4	16.9	36.3	+2.6	67%	-
vs Weaker (15)	18.5	17.9	36.5	+0.6	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	18.4	36.0	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	19.2	38.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.5	17.7	34.2	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.2	20.0	35.2	-4.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (17)	18.2	17.2	35.4	+1.1	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.8	36.3	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	17.4	35.1	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	18.3	37.5	+1.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	16.2	34.8	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	14.6	32.6	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.5	18.3	33.8	-2.8	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.2	17.8	35.0	-0.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.4	17.7	38.1	+2.7	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	36.0	72.9	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	36.4	75.4	+2.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.1	35.7	70.8	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	35.6	71.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	32.0	68.4	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	31.2	36.5	67.7	-5.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	37.9	40.6	78.4	-2.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (17)	38.6	33.9	72.5	+4.6	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	35.5	72.4	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.3	35.1	71.3	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.4	36.0	73.4	+1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	33.3	70.8	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	31.6	67.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	31.8	36.7	68.5	-4.8	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	36.7	34.7	71.3	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (15)	38.9	35.6	74.5	+3.3	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide Lightning W wins

Southside W wins

Date	Game	Score
01/12/19	Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W	85-91

Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/01/20	A	Townsville W	87-61
29/12/19	A	Sydney W	80-72
27/12/19	H	Canberra Capitals W	78-68 OT
22/12/19	A	Geelong United W	57-66
15/12/19	H	Bendigo W	91-75
08/12/19	A	Sydney W	69-81
06/12/19	H	Perth Lynx W	79-69
01/12/19	H	Southside W	85-91
22/11/19	H	Geelong United W	57-71
09/11/19	H	Bendigo W	105-77

Southside Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/01/20	A	Perth Lynx W	90-75
21/12/19	H	Sydney W	79-86
15/12/19	A	Canberra Capitals W	70-65
13/12/19	H	Townsville W	81-62
07/12/19	H	Geelong United W	89-82
01/12/19	A	Adelaide Lightning W	91-85
29/11/19	A	Perth Lynx W	82-68
23/11/19	A	Townsville W	91-59
07/11/19	H	Canberra Capitals W	72-91
04/11/19	A	Geelong United W	81-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W

NBL W 2019-20

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	60%
Home	LLWWW	71%
Away	LLLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	60%	71%	50%
Points / game	79.3	83.4	75.8
Allowed / game	74.7	75.7	73.9
Point differential	+4.6	+7.7	+1.9
Avg total	154.1	159.1	149.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	71%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	13%	14%	12%

Southside W

NBL W 2019-20

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	87%
Home	WLWWL	75%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	87%	75%	100%
Points / game	84.5	84.6	84.3
Allowed / game	76.1	80.4	71.1
Point differential	+8.4	+4.2	+13.1
Avg total	160.5	165.0	155.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	25%	57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	7%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Southside W	15	13	2	87%	84.5	76.1	+8.4
2	Geelong United W	14	10	4	71%	78.6	70.0	+8.6
3	Canberra Capitals W	15	10	5	67%	80.1	75.1	+5.0
4	Adelaide Lightning W	15	9	6	60%	79.3	74.7	+4.6
5	Sydney W	15	6	9	40%	76.2	81.0	-4.8
6	Perth Lynx W	15	5	10	33%	77.3	81.0	-3.7
7	Bendigo W	16	4	12	25%	75.6	83.8	-8.2
8	Townsville W	15	3	12	20%	71.5	80.3	-8.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide Lightning W	25	35	26	18	104
Southside W	26	22	27	18	93

← all games of the day

Adelaide Lightning W vs Southside W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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