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Adelaide Lightning W vs Southside W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 67-56
14-15 25-11 8-9 20-21
Position#7
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game79.7
Adelaide Lightning W 🏆
Australia
vs
Southside W
Australia
Position#1
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game76.7
AustraliaNBL W· Adelaide Arena
Women2023-24
Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W
08 Feb 2026
ADEL64
SOUT77
20 Dec 2024
ADEL82
SOUT72
30 Dec 2023
ADEL62
SOUT87
18 Nov 2023
ADEL67
SOUT56
28 Jan 2023
ADEL72
SOUT73
03 Dec 2022
ADEL91
SOUT72
19 Mar 2022
ADEL79
SOUT87
23 Jan 2022
ADEL v SOUT
upcoming
29 Nov 2020
ADEL79
SOUT110
22 Feb 2020
ADEL79
SOUT82
05 Jan 2020
ADEL104
SOUT93
01 Dec 2019
ADEL85
SOUT91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southside W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#1
L
63-92
63
92
-29
no box
A20/01
NBL W
Southside W
#3
L
72-73
72
73
-1
no box
H28/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
90-97 OT
90
97
-7
no box
A02/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
82-108
82
108
-26
no box
H16/02
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
78-72
78
72
+6
no box
A18/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
91-101
91
101
-10
no box
A24/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
93-97
93
97
-4
no box
H02/03
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
60-68
60
68
-8
53avg 70
H01/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
82-79
82
79
+3
71avg 70
A05/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
85-92
85
92
-7
86avg 70
A11/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
15-21
18-30
15-24
21-16
21-21
15-21
15-15
25-23
8-22
24-18
28-22
25-18
24-34
24-31
9-25
14-27
27-10
19-12
18-23
23-32
23-26
28-15
17-28
20-25
18-32
27-25
28-15
24-13
11-13
13-25
12-17
31-20
27-23
12-16
12-20
27-17
17-25
28-24
13-26
167.5Avg total
79.6Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.779.7155.3-4.033%
Season at home (1)60.068.0128.0-8.00%
Season away (2)83.585.5169.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)79.687.9167.5-8.320%
Last 5 (5)82.287.4169.6-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)75.184.4159.5-9.412%
vs Similar (8)78.879.9158.6-1.125%
vs Weaker (5)83.883.0166.8+0.860%
This opponent (Southside W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southside WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#2
W
81-67
81
67
+14
no box
H22/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
61-83
61
83
-22
no box
H04/03
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
W
84-76
84
76
+8
no box
H08/03
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
77-96
77
96
-19
no box
A11/03
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
W
73-72
73
72
+1
no box
H15/03
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
63-94
63
94
-31
no box
A18/03
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
69-82
69
82
-13
no box
H22/03
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
70-77
70
77
-7
59avg 75
H04/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
104-79
104
79
+25
95avg 75
A08/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
75-74
75
74
+1
70avg 75
A11/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
25-14
15-13
15-20
14-27
19-19
16-20
12-17
25-15
22-20
17-18
20-23
13-27
23-25
23-28
18-16
16-15
22-17
18-19
17-21
14-28
24-29
14-21
11-16
18-24
21-17
17-16
13-25
18-16
8-24
21-16
23-21
27-20
22-20
28-15
27-24
24-29
22-19
9-15
20-11
155.7Avg total
75.7Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.076.7159.7+6.367%
Season at home (1)70.077.0147.0-7.00%
Season away (2)89.576.5166.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.780.0155.7-4.350%
Last 5 (5)76.281.2157.4-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)75.078.7153.7-3.750%
vs Similar (5)83.280.4163.6+2.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.275.5163.8+12.785%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
Adelaide Lightning WSouthside W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#1
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A20/01
NBL W
Southside W
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H28/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A02/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H16/02
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A18/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A24/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H02/03
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H01/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A05/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A11/11
NBL W
85.1Avg total
41.6Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.481.6-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.639.478.0-0.838%-
Last 30 away (14)41.943.885.6-1.936%-
Last 10 (10)41.643.585.1-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)44.245.289.4-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.641.881.4-2.229%-
vs Similar (8)41.041.282.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker (5)40.640.681.2+0.040%-
This opponent (Southside W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southside WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#2
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H22/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H04/03
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H08/03
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A11/03
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H15/03
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A18/03
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H22/03
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H04/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A08/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A11/11
NBL W
82.8Avg total
40.3Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.940.584.4+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.837.580.3+5.371%-
Last 30 away (16)44.943.288.1+1.762%-
Last 10 (10)40.342.582.8-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.645.284.8-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.241.381.5-1.250%-
vs Similar (5)45.242.888.0+2.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.838.985.8+7.985%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaide Lightning Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide Lightning W: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.3 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.020.7
49.2%
47.3%41.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.76.7
27.0%
32.7%20.0
🏀 Free throws16.313.0
79.6%
74.3%13.0
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Southside Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Southside W: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.3 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.721.7
43.6%
47.3%43.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.38.0
41.4%
32.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.714.3
81.1%
74.3%14.3
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide Lightning W
LWLLLWLLLL
Southside W
WWLLLWLWLW
#7
League position
#1
-5.8
Net rating
+7.3
92.0
Offensive rating
105.5
97.8
Defensive rating
98.2
46.0%
Effective FG%
48.8%
45.0%
Opp. effective FG%
45.2%
23.7%
Turnover %
15.5%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
27.0%
3-point %
41.4%
61.0%
Assist %
64.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.0 · 105.5Defence97.8 · 98.2Shooting46.0% · 48.8%3-point %27.0% · 41.4%Ball care23.7% · 15.5%Off. rebounds29.7% · 29.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Adelaide Lightning W   ■ Southside W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Adelaide Lightning W wins
8
Southside W wins
DateGameScore
28/01/23Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W72-73
03/12/22Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W91-72
05/11/22Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W99-91
19/03/22Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W79-87
19/02/22Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W72-85
02/12/20Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W111-72
29/11/20Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W79-110
22/02/20Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W79-82
18/02/20Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W68-65
25/01/20Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W81-69
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23APerth Lynx W85-92
05/11/23ACanberra Capitals W82-79
01/11/23HGeelong United W60-68
02/03/23HPerth Lynx W93-97
24/02/23ASydney W91-101
18/02/23ACanberra Capitals W78-72
16/02/23HPerth Lynx W82-108
02/02/23ACanberra Capitals W90-97 OT
28/01/23HSouthside W72-73
20/01/23ATownsville W63-92
Southside Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23ATownsville W75-74
08/11/23ACanberra Capitals W104-79
04/11/23HGeelong United W70-77
22/03/23HTownsville W69-82
18/03/23ATownsville W63-94
15/03/23HGeelong United W73-72
11/03/23AGeelong United W77-96
08/03/23HGeelong United W84-76
04/03/23HTownsville W61-83
22/02/23HGeelong United W81-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game75.760.083.5
Allowed / game79.768.085.5
Point differential-4.0-8.0-2.0
Avg total155.3128.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Southside W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%0%100%
Points / game83.070.089.5
Allowed / game76.777.076.5
Point differential+6.3-7.0+13.0
Avg total159.7147.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Perth Lynx W330100%87.777.3+10.3
2 Geelong United W330100%80.070.0+10.0
3 Southside W32167%83.076.7+6.3
4 Townsville W21150%83.577.5+6.0
5 Sydney W42250%76.280.8-4.5
6 Adelaide Lightning W31233%75.779.7-4.0
7 Bendigo W3030%72.782.3-9.7
8 Canberra Capitals W3030%79.790.7-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide Lightning W142582067
Southside W151192156
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