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Adelaide Lightning W vs Canberra Capitals W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 08:35
Final 78-68 (OT)
16-21 11-13 17-9 17-18 17-7
Position#4
Record6-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game76.7
Adelaide Lightning W 🏆
Australia
vs
Canberra Capitals W
Australia
Position#2
Record9-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game74.7
AustraliaNBL W
Women2019-20
Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra Capitals W
20 Jan 2026
ADEL61
CANB67
01 Nov 2025
ADEL73
CANB65
03 Jan 2025
ADEL77
CANB88
15 Dec 2024
ADEL68
CANB67
28 Jan 2024
ADEL84
CANB67
30 Nov 2022
ADEL90
CANB80
17 Mar 2022
ADEL81
CANB50
30 Jan 2022
ADEL67
CANB80
11 Nov 2020
ADEL85
CANB73
27 Dec 2019
ADEL78
CANB68
13 Feb 2019
ADEL74
CANB73
14 Dec 2018
ADEL93
CANB73
02 Dec 2018
ADEL91
CANB83
25 Oct 2017
ADEL80
CANB77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canberra Capitals W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#7
W
86-68
86
68
+18
A18/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#5
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
A26/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A01/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
105-77
105
77
+28
H09/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
57-71
57
71
-14
H22/11
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
85-91
85
91
-6
H01/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#5
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H06/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A08/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H15/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A22/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-12
29-22
16-14
18-20
19-20
25-22
16-24
19-13
18-18
12-17
16-21
8-11
28-18
29-22
23-16
25-21
17-14
18-17
9-14
13-26
30-32
17-19
20-19
18-21
21-18
18-13
20-18
20-20
26-20
17-20
14-24
12-17
28-15
25-21
15-19
23-20
13-20
12-15
18-15
14-16
152.4Avg total
77.3Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.876.7155.4+2.150%
Season at home (6)84.377.0161.3+7.367%
Season away (6)73.276.3149.5-3.233%
Last 10 (10)77.375.1152.4+2.250%
Last 5 (5)76.276.4152.6-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.178.1151.3-5.043%
vs Similar ◀ (7)83.985.4169.3-1.629%
vs Weaker (16)85.672.9158.4+12.788%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#3
L
72-107
72
107
-35
A25/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A27/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
91-66
91
66
+25
H02/11
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
91-72
91
72
+19
A07/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A09/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#5
W
84-66
84
66
+18
H24/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#7
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H30/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
91-66
91
66
+25
A06/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H15/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H21/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
15-27
17-18
22-31
12-30
23-15
16-16
24-20
22-26
24-10
25-15
20-15
27-19
29-14
18-22
17-17
21-11
15-26
14-17
29-22
18-19
23-16
11-19
32-12
19-18
29-35
26-8
13-17
25-17
25-22
25-11
16-16
19-22
18-14
13-11
15-23
18-16
21-15
16-17
21-18
155.9Avg total
81.1Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.774.7155.3+6.075%
Season at home (7)80.070.6150.6+9.486%
Season away (5)81.680.4162.0+1.260%
Last 10 (10)81.174.8155.9+6.370%
Last 5 (5)80.669.2149.8+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)79.481.6161.0-2.260%
vs Weaker (25)87.171.5158.6+15.680%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.8+1.8
Adelaide Lightning WCanberra Capitals W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#7
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A18/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A26/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A01/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H09/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H22/11
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H01/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#5
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H06/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A08/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H15/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A22/12
NBL W
80.0Avg total
42.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.739.783.4+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.338.485.6+8.964%-
Last 30 away (16)40.540.981.4-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)42.537.580.0+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.680.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.140.980.0-1.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)44.743.087.7+1.743%-
vs Weaker (16)45.237.883.0+7.475%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#3
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A25/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A27/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H02/11
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
56-33
56
33
+23
A07/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A09/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H24/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#7
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H30/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A06/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H15/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H21/12
NBL W
82.4Avg total
42.1Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.240.086.2+6.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.139.587.6+8.773%-
Last 30 away (15)44.240.584.7+3.760%-
Last 10 (10)42.140.382.4+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.881.8+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)41.443.885.2-2.440%-
vs Weaker (25)47.139.286.4+7.972%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Adelaide Lightning W wins
6
Canberra Capitals W wins
DateGameScore
13/10/19Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W90-83
16/02/19Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W93-73
13/02/19Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra Capitals W74-73
09/02/19Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W88-67
14/12/18Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra Capitals W93-73
02/12/18Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra Capitals W91-83
21/10/18Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W79-75
17/12/17Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W88-87
25/10/17Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra Capitals W80-77
08/10/17Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W84-77
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/19AGeelong United W57-66
15/12/19HBendigo W91-75
08/12/19ASydney W69-81
06/12/19HPerth Lynx W79-69
01/12/19HSouthside W85-91
22/11/19HGeelong United W57-71
09/11/19HBendigo W105-77
01/11/19ABendigo W54-67
26/10/19APerth Lynx W90-86 OT
18/10/19ATownsville W86-68
Canberra Capitals Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/19HBendigo W76-66
15/12/19HSouthside W65-70
06/12/19ABendigo W91-66
30/11/19HTownsville W87-78
24/11/19HPerth Lynx W84-66
09/11/19AGeelong United W79-76
07/11/19ASouthside W91-72
02/11/19HSydney W91-66
27/10/19ASydney W75-81
25/10/19AGeelong United W72-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game78.884.373.2
Allowed / game76.777.076.3
Point differential+2.1+7.3-3.2
Avg total155.4161.3149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %75%86%60%
Points / game80.780.081.6
Allowed / game74.770.680.4
Point differential+6.0+9.4+1.2
Avg total155.3150.6162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%43%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southside W1412286%84.176.1+7.9
2 Canberra Capitals W129375%80.774.7+6.0
3 Geelong United W139469%78.870.7+8.1
4 Adelaide Lightning W126650%78.876.7+2.1
5 Sydney W146843%76.581.1-4.6
6 Perth Lynx W135838%78.880.7-1.8
7 Townsville W123925%72.880.2-7.4
8 Bendigo W1421214%74.083.7-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Adelaide Lightning W161117171778
Canberra Capitals W2113918768
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