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Adelaide Lightning W vs Southside W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 62-87
24-19 16-22 15-31 7-15
Position#7
Record3-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game74.7
Adelaide Lightning W
Australia
vs
Southside W 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record6-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game78.5
AustraliaNBL W· Adelaide
Women2023-24
Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W
08 Feb 2026
ADEL64
SOUT77
20 Dec 2024
ADEL82
SOUT72
30 Dec 2023
ADEL62
SOUT87
18 Nov 2023
ADEL67
SOUT56
28 Jan 2023
ADEL72
SOUT73
03 Dec 2022
ADEL91
SOUT72
19 Mar 2022
ADEL79
SOUT87
23 Jan 2022
ADEL v SOUT
upcoming
29 Nov 2020
ADEL79
SOUT110
22 Feb 2020
ADEL79
SOUT82
05 Jan 2020
ADEL104
SOUT93
01 Dec 2019
ADEL85
SOUT91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southside W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
85-92
85
92
-7
86avg 60
A11/11
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
67-56
67
56
+11
49avg 60
H18/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
51-74
51
74
-23
36avg 60
H23/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
61-67
61
67
-6
52avg 60
A29/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
65-70 OT
65
70
-5
no box
H02/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
64-66
64
66
-2
56avg 60
H06/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
no box
H10/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
77-81
77
81
-4
71avg 60
A15/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
68-59
68
59
+9
64avg 60
A17/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
73-86
73
86
-13
59avg 60
A21/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
17-25
28-24
13-26
14-15
25-11
8-9
20-21
14-27
11-11
17-22
9-14
19-15
11-19
21-16
10-17
15-19
8-9
15-22
22-10
21-21
11-13
12-15
20-17
26-13
23-23
19-25
20-27
12-19
20-15
19-23
26-24
20-22
18-15
15-14
15-8
14-24
19-19
18-23
22-20
145.5Avg total
70.6Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)70.774.7145.3-4.025%
Season at home (6)67.072.0139.0-5.017%
Season away (6)74.377.3151.7-3.033%
Last 10 (10)70.674.9145.5-4.320%
Last 5 (5)75.478.0153.4-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)73.778.9152.6-5.225%
vs Similar (9)78.783.7162.3-5.011%
vs Weaker (5)82.682.8165.4-0.260%
This opponent (Southside W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southside WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#3
L
70-77
70
77
-7
59avg 76
H04/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
104-79
104
79
+25
95avg 76
A08/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
75-74
75
74
+1
70avg 76
A11/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
56-67
56
67
-11
43avg 76
A18/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
94-92
94
92
+2
95avg 76
H22/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
81-64
81
64
+17
78avg 76
H02/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
76-51
76
51
+25
74avg 76
H09/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
77-105
77
105
-28
72avg 76
H14/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
91-81
91
81
+10
89avg 76
A17/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
85-95
85
95
-10
84avg 76
A23/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
8-24
21-16
23-21
27-20
22-20
28-15
27-24
24-29
22-19
9-15
20-11
15-14
11-25
9-8
21-20
17-32
17-22
30-17
30-21
24-10
14-21
21-17
22-16
17-7
22-14
24-17
13-13
15-31
21-29
19-29
22-16
14-19
25-18
23-23
29-21
25-27
21-21
23-29
16-18
159.4Avg total
80.9Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.978.5159.4+2.460%
Season at home (5)79.677.8157.4+1.860%
Season away (5)82.279.2161.4+3.060%
Last 10 (10)80.978.5159.4+2.460%
Last 5 (5)82.079.2161.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.080.2155.2-5.244%
vs Similar (9)84.083.6167.6+0.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.971.3157.2+14.683%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +4.2+4.2
Adelaide Lightning WSouthside W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A11/11
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H18/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H23/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A29/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H02/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H06/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H10/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A15/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A17/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A21/12
NBL W
69.7Avg total
34.5Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.639.578.1-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.238.276.4+0.041%-
Last 30 away (13)39.241.380.5-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)34.535.269.7-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.836.873.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.138.475.4-1.338%-
vs Similar (9)40.740.681.2+0.144%-
vs Weaker (5)39.841.481.2-1.640%-
This opponent (Southside W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southside WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#3
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H04/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A08/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A11/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A18/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
34-54
34
54
-20
H22/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H02/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H09/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
36-60
36
60
-24
H14/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A17/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A23/12
NBL W
79.7Avg total
37.9Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.141.284.3+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.238.779.9+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)45.043.888.8+1.253%-
Last 10 (10)37.941.879.7-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.479.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.242.383.6-1.144%-
vs Similar (9)42.244.386.6-2.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.238.183.2+7.175%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaide Lightning Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide Lightning W: 67.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.718.2
43.6%
47.3%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.66.9
28.0%
32.7%20.7
🏀 Free throws15.010.5
70.0%
74.3%10.5
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Southside Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Southside W: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.623.7
48.8%
47.3%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.76.2
33.2%
32.7%18.6
🏀 Free throws16.914.0
82.8%
74.3%14.0
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide Lightning W
LWLLLLLLWL
Southside W
LWLWWWLWWL
#7
League position
#1
-5.6
Net rating
+3.2
86.7
Offensive rating
101.9
92.4
Defensive rating
98.8
43.1%
Effective FG%
49.0%
44.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
21.5%
Turnover %
20.2%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.25
28.0%
3-point %
33.2%
63.7%
Assist %
66.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence86.7 · 101.9Defence92.4 · 98.8Shooting43.1% · 49.0%3-point %28.0% · 33.2%Ball care21.5% · 20.2%Off. rebounds27.6% · 31.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Adelaide Lightning W   ■ Southside W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Adelaide Lightning W wins
7
Southside W wins
DateGameScore
18/11/23Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W67-56
28/01/23Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W72-73
03/12/22Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W91-72
05/11/22Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W99-91
19/03/22Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W79-87
19/02/22Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W72-85
02/12/20Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W111-72
29/11/20Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W79-110
22/02/20Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W79-82
18/02/20Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W68-65
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/23ACanberra Capitals W73-86
17/12/23AGeelong United W68-59
15/12/23ABendigo W77-81
10/12/23HPerth Lynx W95-98 OT
06/12/23HSydney W64-66
02/12/23HBendigo W65-70 OT
29/11/23ATownsville W61-67
23/11/23HTownsville W51-74
18/11/23HSouthside W67-56
11/11/23APerth Lynx W85-92
Southside Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23APerth Lynx W85-95
17/12/23ABendigo W91-81
14/12/23HTownsville W77-105
09/12/23HBendigo W76-51
02/12/23HCanberra Capitals W81-64
22/11/23HPerth Lynx W94-92
18/11/23AAdelaide Lightning W56-67
11/11/23ATownsville W75-74
08/11/23ACanberra Capitals W104-79
04/11/23HGeelong United W70-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeWLLLL17%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %25%17%33%
Points / game70.767.074.3
Allowed / game74.772.077.3
Point differential-4.0-5.0-3.0
Avg total145.3139.0151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Southside W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game80.979.682.2
Allowed / game78.577.879.2
Point differential+2.4+1.8+3.0
Avg total159.4157.4161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W118373%80.068.6+11.4
2 Perth Lynx W118373%87.582.0+5.5
3 Southside W106460%80.978.5+2.4
4 Geelong United W127558%75.774.0+1.7
5 Sydney W127558%71.475.5-4.1
6 Bendigo W114736%73.277.7-4.5
7 Adelaide Lightning W123925%70.774.7-4.0
8 Canberra Capitals W112918%76.584.0-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide Lightning W241615762
Southside W1922311587
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