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Adelaide Lightning W vs Southside W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 82-72
24-19 23-23 21-20 14-10
Position#6
Record3-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game70.1
Adelaide Lightning W 🏆
Australia
vs
Southside W
Australia
Position#7
Record3-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game85.2
AustraliaNBL WRound 8· Adelaide Arena
Women2024-25
Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W
08 Feb 2026
ADEL64
SOUT77
20 Dec 2024
ADEL82
SOUT72
30 Dec 2023
ADEL62
SOUT87
18 Nov 2023
ADEL67
SOUT56
28 Jan 2023
ADEL72
SOUT73
03 Dec 2022
ADEL91
SOUT72
19 Mar 2022
ADEL79
SOUT87
23 Jan 2022
ADEL v SOUT
upcoming
29 Nov 2020
ADEL79
SOUT110
22 Feb 2020
ADEL79
SOUT82
05 Jan 2020
ADEL104
SOUT93
01 Dec 2019
ADEL85
SOUT91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southside W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Southside W
#1
W
74-60
74
60
+14
72avg 63
A24/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
70-84
70
84
-14
56avg 63
A02/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
78-92
78
92
-14
57avg 63
H09/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
L
66-72 OT
66
72
-6
56avg 63
A16/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
78-54
78
54
+24
72avg 63
H20/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
47-53
47
53
-6
41avg 63
A23/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
68-69
68
69
-1
66avg 63
H29/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
97-71
97
71
+26
96avg 63
A06/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
L
59-69
59
69
-10
54avg 63
A08/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
68-67
68
67
+1
60avg 63
H15/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
11-16
21-12
25-19
23-28
22-20
18-17
7-19
28-25
18-28
18-18
14-21
18-13
17-19
22-15
7-17
20-11
18-12
16-17
24-14
18-9
22-11
2-16
5-17
19-22
21-20
21-8
7-19
28-17
18-17
23-11
28-26
19-14
7-18
13-16
20-21
17-15
22-13
19-19
10-20
139.6Avg total
70.5Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)70.170.1140.2+0.033%
Season at home (4)73.070.5143.5+2.550%
Season away (5)67.869.8137.6-2.020%
Last 10 (10)70.569.1139.6+1.440%
Last 5 (5)67.865.8133.6+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)67.272.0139.2-4.831%
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.176.3153.4+0.844%
vs Weaker (5)72.874.6147.4-1.840%
This opponent (Southside W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southside WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
115-81
115
81
+34
113avg 74
H17/03
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
79-94
79
94
-15
70avg 74
A02/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
L
87-90
87
90
-3
87avg 74
A07/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
83-75
83
75
+8
66avg 74
H09/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
98-77
98
77
+21
76avg 74
H17/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
71-79
71
79
-8
56avg 74
A24/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
69avg 74
H01/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
89-78
89
78
+11
80avg 74
A04/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
L
71-97
71
97
-26
57avg 74
H06/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
75avg 74
H11/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
24-12
33-26
30-16
27-31
18-26
12-29
22-8
24-30
27-24
18-16
18-20
21-26
24-13
22-19
16-17
24-22
23-17
26-19
25-19
18-16
24-11
20-24
9-28
19-21
21-30
26-19
16-19
20-22
21-19
20-15
28-22
17-28
17-18
11-23
26-28
28-15
11-20
24-27
15-16
170.9Avg total
86.1Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.985.2168.1-2.333%
Season at home (5)84.085.2169.2-1.240%
Season away (4)81.585.2166.8-3.825%
Last 10 (10)86.184.8170.9+1.340%
Last 5 (5)79.886.2166.0-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.387.3164.7-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (22)84.081.2165.2+2.968%
vs Weaker (5)77.077.8154.8-0.820%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
Adelaide Lightning WSouthside W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southside W
#1
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A24/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A02/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H09/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A16/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H20/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
40-20
40
20
+20
A23/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H29/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A06/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A08/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H15/12
NBL W
72.4Avg total
38.3Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.235.973.1+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.434.471.8+2.950%-
Last 30 away (16)37.137.274.2-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)38.334.172.4+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.231.269.4+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.636.372.9+0.338%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.733.971.6+3.867%-
vs Weaker (5)38.238.276.4+0.040%-
This opponent (Southside W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southside WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H17/03
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A02/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A07/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H09/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H17/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A24/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H01/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A04/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H06/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H11/12
NBL W
86.4Avg total
43.6Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.182.8+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.740.280.9+0.562%-
Last 30 away (14)42.942.185.1+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)43.642.886.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.079.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.345.087.3-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)42.341.483.7+0.955%-
vs Weaker (5)38.837.476.2+1.480%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaide Lightning Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide Lightning W: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.719.1
42.7%
46.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.9
31.9%
32.2%20.7
🏀 Free throws14.410.6
73.6%
75.1%10.6
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Southside Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Southside W: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.223.2
49.2%
46.9%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.9
34.8%
32.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.615.9
81.1%
75.1%15.9
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide Lightning W
WLWLLWLLLW
Southside W
LLWLLWWLLW
#6
League position
#7
+1.4
Net rating
+2.2
87.3
Offensive rating
106.6
85.9
Defensive rating
104.4
44.4%
Effective FG%
50.1%
40.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
20.6%
Turnover %
17.7%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.9%
3-point %
34.8%
66.2%
Assist %
57.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence87.3 · 106.6Defence85.9 · 104.4Shooting44.4% · 50.1%3-point %31.9% · 34.8%Ball care20.6% · 17.7%Off. rebounds24.0% · 30.3%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Adelaide Lightning W   ■ Southside W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Adelaide Lightning W wins
5
Southside W wins
DateGameScore
06/12/24Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W71-97
24/02/24Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W60-74
30/12/23Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W62-87
18/11/23Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W67-56
28/01/23Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W72-73
03/12/22Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W91-72
05/11/22Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W99-91
19/03/22Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W79-87
19/02/22Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W72-85
02/12/20Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W111-72
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24HCanberra Capitals W68-67
08/12/24AGeelong United W59-69
06/12/24ASouthside W97-71
29/11/24HTownsville W68-69
23/11/24ATownsville W47-53
20/11/24HSydney W78-54
16/11/24AGeelong United W66-72 OT
09/11/24HPerth Lynx W78-92
02/11/24ABendigo W70-84
24/02/24ASouthside W74-60
Southside Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24HGeelong United W86-88 OT
06/12/24HAdelaide Lightning W71-97
04/12/24ACanberra Capitals W89-78
01/12/24HPerth Lynx W82-89
24/11/24ABendigo W71-79
17/11/24HCanberra Capitals W98-77
09/11/24HSydney W83-75
07/11/24AGeelong United W87-90
02/11/24APerth Lynx W79-94
17/03/24HPerth Lynx W115-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game70.173.067.8
Allowed / game70.170.569.8
Point differential+0.0+2.5-2.0
Avg total140.2143.5137.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %11%0%20%
Southside W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%40%25%
Points / game82.984.081.5
Allowed / game85.285.285.2
Point differential-2.3-1.2-3.8
Avg total168.1169.2166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W109190%85.573.7+11.8
2 Perth Lynx W118373%85.178.2+6.9
3 Townsville W95456%78.275.9+2.3
4 Sydney W94544%78.980.2-1.3
5 Geelong United W94544%71.680.1-8.6
6 Adelaide Lightning W93633%70.170.1+0.0
7 Southside W93633%82.985.2-2.3
8 Canberra Capitals W102820%76.887.3-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide Lightning W2423211482
Southside W1923201072
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