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AEK Athens vs Juventus Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 75-54
25-9 12-18 18-11 20-16
Position#7
Record10-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game71.3
vs
Position#17
Record10-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game77.3
EuropeChampions League
European cup2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Juventus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#13
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H10/01
Champions League
Aris
#2
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A14/01
Greek Cup
Partizan
#16
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A18/01
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#13
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H21/01
Basket League
Zielona Gora
#39
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H25/01
Champions League
Lavrio
#8
W
87-84
87
84
+3
A28/01
Basket League
G.S. Kymis
#11
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H04/02
Basket League
Juventus
#17
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A08/02
Champions League
Trikala
#10
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H11/02
Basket League
Rethymno
#6
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A15/02
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
21-22
10-25
27-13
17-26
27-20
17-15
15-16
19-11
22-22
14-20
14-12
30-14
20-19
19-17
19-19
19-17
16-7
20-14
16-26
25-25
16-10
26-29
20-20
12-19
23-16
13-14
23-16
9-16
21-14
26-23
22-24
21-20
16-22
14-20
36-20
18-21
13-8
20-25
14-18
150.1Avg total
77.4Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.071.3150.3+7.767%
Season at home (7)83.068.7151.7+14.386%
Season away (8)75.573.5149.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)77.472.7150.1+4.780%
Last 5 (5)77.676.0153.6+1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.577.5145.0-10.00%
vs Similar (4)73.878.5152.2-4.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)79.670.4150.0+9.279%
This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
A07/01
LKL
Cibona
#37
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A11/01
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H15/01
LKL
Mornar Bar
#42
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H17/01
Champions League
Skycop
#6
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H22/01
LKL
Avellino
#10
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A25/01
Champions League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A29/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
102-74
102
74
+28
A04/02
LKL
AEK Athens
#7
L
77-78
77
78
-1
H08/02
Champions League
Neptunas
#4
W
79-70
79
70
+9
A11/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
14-21
14-19
27-14
20-21
22-14
18-19
12-27
15-24
26-17
26-12
14-14
14-24
26-12
23-13
19-25
25-26
20-11
20-23
16-15
20-21
20-19
14-15
10-19
14-23
20-16
23-18
24-19
23-22
23-16
28-17
28-19
16-9
14-21
23-26
24-22
14-18
19-17
20-20
26-15
157.4Avg total
81.4Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.677.3153.9-0.659%
Season at home (9)82.678.2160.8+4.367%
Season away (8)70.076.2146.2-6.250%
Last 10 (10)81.476.0157.4+5.470%
Last 5 (5)80.674.4155.0+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)71.783.4155.1-11.720%
vs Similar (11)82.778.8161.5+3.964%
vs Weaker (9)82.071.3153.3+10.7100%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
AEK AthensJuventus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#13
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H10/01
Champions League
Aris
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A14/01
Greek Cup
Partizan
#16
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A18/01
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#13
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H21/01
Basket League
Zielona Gora
#39
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H25/01
Champions League
Lavrio
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A28/01
Basket League
G.S. Kymis
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H04/02
Basket League
Juventus
#17
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A08/02
Champions League
Trikala
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H11/02
Basket League
Rethymno
#6
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A15/02
Basket League
73.0Avg total
38.9Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.036.176.1+3.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.434.678.0+8.971%-
Last 30 away (16)37.137.474.5-0.438%-
Last 10 (10)38.934.173.0+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)34.834.269.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.541.077.5-4.50%-
vs Similar (4)35.839.875.5-4.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.035.176.1+6.062%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A07/01
LKL
Cibona
#37
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A11/01
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H15/01
LKL
Mornar Bar
#42
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H17/01
Champions League
Skycop
#6
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H22/01
LKL
Avellino
#10
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A25/01
Champions League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A29/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A04/02
LKL
AEK Athens
#7
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H08/02
Champions League
Neptunas
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A11/02
LKL
76.2Avg total
38.7Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.078.4+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.139.380.3+1.853%-
Last 30 away (15)37.638.876.4-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)38.737.576.2+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.636.473.0+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.742.980.6-5.220%-
vs Similar (11)39.538.477.9+1.245%-
vs Weaker (9)40.935.676.4+5.389%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AEK Athens wins
0
Juventus wins
DateGameScore
08/02/17Juventus v AEK Athens77-78
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/17ARethymno65-72
11/02/17HTrikala87-82
08/02/17AJuventus78-77
04/02/17HG.S. Kymis71-65
28/01/17ALavrio87-84
25/01/17HZielona Gora71-64
21/01/17HApollon Patras88-69
18/01/17APartizan69-65
14/01/17AAris76-77
10/01/17HLudwigsburg82-72
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/17ANeptunas79-70
08/02/17HAEK Athens77-78
04/02/17ANevezis102-74
29/01/17APieno Zvaigzdes81-76
25/01/17AAvellino64-74
22/01/17HSkycop81-75
17/01/17HMornar Bar82-74
15/01/17HSiauliai81-67
11/01/17ACibona72-81
07/01/17APieno Zvaigzdes95-91 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%86%50%
Points / game79.083.075.5
Allowed / game71.368.773.5
Point differential+7.7+14.3+2.0
Avg total150.3151.7149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%71%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)-40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Juventus
Champions League 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL59%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %59%67%50%
Points / game76.682.670.0
Allowed / game77.378.276.2
Point differential-0.6+4.3-6.2
Avg total153.9160.8146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Besiktas1412286%84.175.0+9.1
2 Monaco1412286%73.965.6+8.2
3 Tenerife1411379%81.167.7+13.4
4 Banvit1411379%80.772.1+8.6
5 Neptunas1410471%75.168.4+6.6
6 Avellino1410471%74.968.6+6.2
7 Lyon-Villeurbanne1410471%75.969.8+6.1
8 AEK Athens1510567%79.071.3+7.7
9 Nymburk1510567%79.773.3+6.5
10 Oldenburg1510567%76.971.3+5.6
11 Le Mans149564%73.567.0+6.5
12 Karsiyaka1610662%74.969.1+5.8
13 Ludwigsburg159660%82.274.9+7.3
14 Aris159660%76.669.6+7.0
15 Strasbourg159660%74.769.9+4.9
16 Venezia159660%73.373.6-0.3
17 Partizan159660%74.374.7-0.4
18 Juventus1710759%76.677.3-0.6
19 Saratov158753%85.182.1+3.1
20 Sassari158753%79.578.7+0.9
21 Ventspils158753%75.774.9+0.7
22 Cluj Napoca42250%75.271.0+4.2
23 Minsk42250%69.865.8+4.0
24 Benfica21150%72.072.5-0.5
25 Frankfurt168850%70.070.9-0.9
26 CSM Oradea189950%69.272.8-3.7
27 Academic21150%66.571.0-4.5
28 Igokea21150%65.576.0-10.5
29 Sodertalje21150%62.078.0-16.0
30 PAOK157847%73.771.1+2.6
31 Maccabi Rishon157847%71.171.9-0.9
32 Kataja167944%77.978.4-0.5
33 Ironi Nahariya167944%72.173.0-0.9
34 Usak Sportif167944%77.178.0-0.9
35 Oostende146843%71.170.8+0.3
36 Spirou Charleroi146843%74.379.5-5.2
37 Cibona145936%77.382.5-5.2
38 Varese1651131%70.479.2-8.8
39 Zielona Gora1441029%72.977.4-4.6
40 Mega Bemax1441029%72.679.4-6.9
41 Tartu Ulikool41325%69.572.8-3.2
42 Mornar Bar1641225%69.679.0-9.4
43 Khimik1431121%66.473.2-6.9
44 HydroTruck Radom1431121%68.578.0-9.5
45 Bakken Bears1631319%70.187.5-17.4
46 Helios Domzale1421214%59.667.6-8.1
47 Szolnoki Olaj1421214%72.985.8-12.9
48 Donar Groningen2020%66.570.5-4.0
49 BC Prievidza2020%65.572.0-6.5
50 FC Porto2020%70.080.0-10.0
51 Rilski Sportist2020%61.073.0-12.0
52 AEK Larnaca2020%53.072.5-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2512182075
Juventus918111654
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