Neptunas vs Juventus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Feb 2017

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 70-79

18-14 17-19 20-20 15-26

Position#4

Record12-10

FormWWWWW

Points / game76.7

Allowed / game72.6

Neptunas

Juventus 🏆

Position#5

Record12-10

FormWLWWL

Points / game81.0

Allowed / game80.3

LKL

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · Neptunas v Juventus

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Juventus winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rytas

75-78

-3

A30/12

LKL

Oldenburg

#12

69-73

-4

H04/01

Champions League

Skycop

67-74

-7

A07/01

LKL

PAOK

#22

73-82

-9

A10/01

Champions League

Lietkabelis

86-61

+25

H15/01

LKL

Ventspils

#23

84-68

+16

H18/01

Champions League

Rytas

85-78

H21/01

LKL

HydroTruck Radom

#44

71-65

A24/01

Champions League

Skycop

72-60

+12

H28/01

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

69-66

A04/02

LKL

18-17

17-22

21-11

19-28

9-6

18-24

15-26

27-17

10-15

15-18

22-22

20-19

18-18

17-26

12-18

26-20

23-15

23-10

19-16

21-20

20-16

18-15

20-22

26-15

20-11

24-10

21-26

20-31

22-13

14-15

24-19

11-18

16-16

19-9

19-14

18-21

15-9

10-23

27-16

17-18

145.6Avg total

75.1Scored

70.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	76.7	72.6	149.3	+4.0	55%
Season at home (12)	74.2	69.8	144.0	+4.5	67%
Season away (10)	79.6	76.1	155.7	+3.5	40%
Last 10 (10)	75.1	70.5	145.6	+4.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	67.4	143.6	+8.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	74.6	81.2	155.8	-6.6	40%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	74.2	69.4	143.6	+4.8	60%
vs Weaker (15)	76.9	67.1	143.9	+9.8	80%

This opponent (Juventus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Juventus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mega Bemax

#40

85-78

H03/01

Champions League

Pieno Zvaigzdes

95-91 OT

A07/01

LKL

Cibona

#37

72-81

-9

A11/01

Champions League

Siauliai

#10

81-67

+14

H15/01

LKL

Mornar Bar

#42

82-74

H17/01

Champions League

Skycop

81-75

H22/01

LKL

Avellino

#10

64-74

-10

A25/01

Champions League

Pieno Zvaigzdes

81-76

A29/01

LKL

Nevezis

102-74

102

+28

A04/02

LKL

AEK Athens

77-78

-1

H08/02

Champions League

23-22

22-15

18-22

22-19

22-23

14-21

14-19

27-14

20-21

22-14

18-19

12-27

15-24

26-17

26-12

14-14

14-24

26-12

23-13

19-25

25-26

20-11

20-23

16-15

20-21

20-19

14-15

10-19

14-23

20-16

23-18

24-19

23-22

23-16

28-17

28-19

16-9

14-21

23-26

24-22

158.8Avg total

82.0Scored

76.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	81.0	80.3	161.3	+0.7	55%
Season at home (11)	82.0	79.0	161.0	+3.0	64%
Season away (11)	80.0	81.6	161.6	-1.6	45%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	76.8	158.8	+5.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	75.4	156.4	+5.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	73.5	83.5	156.9	-10.0	27%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	83.1	79.7	162.8	+3.4	60%
vs Weaker (9)	82.0	71.3	153.3	+10.7	100%

This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NeptunasJuventus

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	16.8	35.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.7	16.4	35.1	+2.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	17.3	34.9	+0.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	13.6	30.7	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	13.0	31.6	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	16.6	35.4	+2.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	17.5	16.8	34.3	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	18.5	16.9	35.3	+1.6	47%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	20.4	40.8	+0.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.5	40.7	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.4	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	30%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.7	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	17.3	36.5	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	15.9	36.4	+4.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	18.9	36.7	-1.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	17.2	34.7	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	14.4	31.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.8	16.6	33.4	+0.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.3	16.1	35.4	+3.2	70%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.0	18.3	38.3	+1.7	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	19.0	40.3	+2.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	16.2	36.9	+4.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.6	36.0	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.4	22.5	40.9	-4.2	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.2	16.7	36.9	+3.5	70%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.4	16.8	38.2	+4.7	89%	-

NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rytas

35-39

-4

A30/12

LKL

Oldenburg

#12

27-30

-3

H04/01

Champions League

Skycop

25-33

-8

A07/01

LKL

PAOK

#22

35-44

-9

A10/01

Champions League

Lietkabelis

46-25

+21

H15/01

LKL

Ventspils

#23

38-31

H18/01

Champions League

Rytas

44-21

+23

H21/01

LKL

HydroTruck Radom

#44

36-28

A24/01

Champions League

Skycop

35-25

+10

H28/01

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

25-32

-7

A04/02

LKL

65.4Avg total

34.6Scored

30.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	34.1	71.5	+3.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.1	32.3	71.4	+6.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.5	36.1	71.6	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.6	30.8	65.4	+3.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	27.4	63.0	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.6	33.2	68.8	+2.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	36.8	32.9	69.7	+3.9	60%	-
vs Weaker (15)	38.5	35.2	73.7	+3.3	53%	-

This opponent (Juventus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mega Bemax

#40

45-37

H03/01

Champions League

Pieno Zvaigzdes

36-44

-8

A07/01

LKL

Cibona

#37

42-35

A11/01

Champions League

Siauliai

#10

41-41

H15/01

LKL

Mornar Bar

#42

40-36

H17/01

Champions League

Skycop

45-37

H22/01

LKL

Avellino

#10

40-40

A25/01

Champions League

Pieno Zvaigzdes

34-39

-5

A29/01

LKL

Nevezis

46-38

A04/02

LKL

AEK Athens

30-30

H08/02

Champions League

77.6Avg total

39.9Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	39.2	79.2	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.7	39.4	81.1	+2.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	39.1	77.0	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	37.7	77.6	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	36.8	75.8	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	38.9	42.7	81.6	-3.8	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	40.2	38.7	78.9	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	40.9	35.6	76.4	+5.3	89%	-

This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.2	36.5	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.6	19.5	37.1	-1.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	16.6	35.8	+2.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.4	41.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.4	22.4	42.8	-2.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	17.2	19.6	36.8	-2.4	20%	-
vs Weaker (15)	18.4	15.8	34.2	+2.6	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	19.8	39.9	+0.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	18.5	37.4	+0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.4	39.1	+2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.5	19.8	36.3	-3.4	9%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.4	21.2	42.6	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.3	16.2	37.6	+5.1	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	17.9	37.8	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	17.7	37.8	+2.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	18.2	37.7	+1.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.7	41.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.6	39.0	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.6	25.6	44.2	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.2	16.9	37.1	+3.3	80%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.0	16.1	36.1	+3.9	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	19.4	38.7	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	19.9	38.9	-0.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.1	20.9	39.0	-2.8	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.7	18.4	38.1	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.8	19.6	39.3	+0.2	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	36.1	74.3	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.8	37.2	74.9	+0.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	34.9	73.5	+3.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	39.7	80.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	40.0	80.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	39.0	48.0	87.0	-9.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	37.4	36.5	73.9	+0.9	60%	-
vs Weaker (15)	38.4	31.9	70.3	+6.5	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	38.9	77.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.4	39.2	78.6	+0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	38.4	76.4	-0.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	37.7	78.0	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	38.6	80.6	+3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	34.5	40.7	75.3	-6.2	9%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	41.1	39.6	80.7	+1.5	60%	-
vs Weaker (9)	41.1	35.8	76.9	+5.3	56%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Neptunas wins

Juventus wins

Date	Game	Score
04/12/16	Juventus v Neptunas	91-97
16/10/16	Neptunas v Juventus	75-60
26/03/16	Juventus v Neptunas	104-89
24/01/16	Neptunas v Juventus	101-74
23/12/15	Neptunas v Juventus	82-65
08/10/15	Juventus v Neptunas	79-76
10/06/15	Neptunas v Juventus	69-84
07/06/15	Juventus v Neptunas	61-66
04/06/15	Neptunas v Juventus	64-75
01/06/15	Juventus v Neptunas	76-66

Neptunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/02/17	A	Alytaus Dzukija	69-66
28/01/17	H	Skycop	72-60
24/01/17	A	HydroTruck Radom	71-65
21/01/17	H	Rytas	85-78
18/01/17	H	Ventspils	84-68
15/01/17	H	Lietkabelis	86-61
10/01/17	A	PAOK	73-82
07/01/17	A	Skycop	67-74
04/01/17	H	Oldenburg	69-73
30/12/16	A	Rytas	75-78

Juventuslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/02/17	H	AEK Athens	77-78
04/02/17	A	Nevezis	102-74
29/01/17	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	81-76
25/01/17	A	Avellino	64-74
22/01/17	H	Skycop	81-75
17/01/17	H	Mornar Bar	82-74
15/01/17	H	Siauliai	81-67
11/01/17	A	Cibona	72-81
07/01/17	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	95-91 OT
03/01/17	H	Mega Bemax	85-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas

LKL 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	55%
Home	WLWWW	67%
Away	WLLLW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	12	10
Win %	55%	67%	40%
Points / game	76.7	74.2	79.6
Allowed / game	72.6	69.8	76.1
Point differential	+4.0	+4.5	+3.5
Avg total	149.3	144.0	155.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	33%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	50% (2)	25% (4)
Overtime %	9%	8%	10%

Juventus

LKL 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	55%
Home	LWLWW	64%
Away	WLWWW	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	55%	64%	45%
Points / game	81.0	82.0	80.0
Allowed / game	80.3	79.0	81.6
Point differential	+0.7	+3.0	-1.6
Avg total	161.3	161.0	161.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	27%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	50% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	22	20	2	91%	83.5	67.9	+15.5
2	Lietkabelis	23	17	6	74%	80.7	75.3	+5.3
3	Rytas	22	15	7	68%	80.6	72.4	+8.2
4	Neptunas	22	12	10	55%	76.7	72.6	+4.0
5	Juventus	22	12	10	55%	81.0	80.3	+0.7
6	Skycop	23	12	11	52%	75.5	71.0	+4.5
7	Pieno Zvaigzdes	23	10	13	43%	77.0	78.3	-1.3
8	Alytaus Dzukija	22	6	16	27%	67.7	77.1	-9.4
9	Nevezis	23	5	18	22%	75.2	82.7	-7.5
10	Siauliai	22	3	19	14%	69.5	89.7	-20.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Neptunas	18	17	20	15	70
Juventus	14	19	20	26	79

← all games of the day

Neptunas vs Juventus Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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