Aris vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2017

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 77-76

26-17 20-27 15-17 16-15

Position#2

Record1-0

FormWWLLW

Points / game98.0

Allowed / game62.0

Aris 🏆

AEK Athens

Position#4

Record1-0

FormLLLWW

Points / game98.0

Allowed / game57.0

Greek CupGreek Cup - Semi-finals

Other2016-17

Meetings · Aris v AEK Athens

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

AEK Athens winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aris

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kolossos Rhodes

84-60

+24

H03/12

Basket League

Helios Domzale

#46

72-54

+18

H07/12

Champions League

G.S. Kymis

#11

85-72

+13

H10/12

Basket League

Bakken Bears

#45

92-78

+14

A13/12

Champions League

Apollon Patras

#13

79-64

+15

A17/12

Basket League

Ironi Nahariya

#32

85-58

+27

H20/12

Champions League

Lavrio

98-77

+21

H26/12

Basket League

Banvit

94-95 OT

-1

A03/01

Champions League

AEK Athens

61-81

-20

A07/01

Basket League

Nymburk

83-79

H11/01

Champions League

20-18

27-13

21-8

16-21

16-18

20-19

17-9

19-8

25-14

23-18

22-18

15-22

20-22

19-14

21-20

32-22

24-11

16-7

21-26

18-20

25-16

22-18

14-9

24-15

24-19

26-16

22-24

26-18

16-21

22-24

19-17

23-18

20-23

16-23

12-17

13-18

19-22

26-22

17-19

21-16

155.1Avg total

83.3Scored

71.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	98.0	62.0	160.0	+36.0	100%
Season at home (1)	98.0	62.0	160.0	+36.0	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	83.3	71.8	155.1	+11.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	78.0	162.2	+6.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	61.0	74.0	135.0	-13.0	0%
vs Similar (13)	76.0	74.1	150.1	+1.9	46%
vs Weaker (14)	83.2	67.6	150.9	+15.6	93%

This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEK Athens Greece

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Koroivos

#12

89-75

+14

H03/12

Basket League

Szolnoki Olaj

#47

89-76

+13

A07/12

Champions League

Panathinaikos

68-77

-9

A11/12

Basket League

Spirou Charleroi

#36

89-69

+20

H14/12

Champions League

Lefkadas

#14

84-60

+24

H17/12

Basket League

Besiktas

68-82

-14

A21/12

Champions League

Kolossos Rhodes

73-86

-13

A26/12

Basket League

Sassari

#24

78-80

-2

A04/01

Champions League

Aris

81-61

+20

H07/01

Basket League

Ludwigsburg

#13

82-72

+10

H10/01

Champions League

24-20

22-19

21-17

21-22

29-15

24-21

15-18

20-22

19-17

17-17

12-21

27-12

29-23

19-19

14-15

22-10

24-16

16-20

22-14

11-28

16-14

14-15

27-25

13-16

25-24

16-20

19-26

24-26

18-25

18-13

18-16

23-20

23-16

17-12

18-13

24-12

21-22

10-25

27-13

153.9Avg total

80.1Scored

73.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	98.0	57.0	155.0	+41.0	100%
Season at home (1)	98.0	57.0	155.0	+41.0	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	80.1	73.8	153.9	+6.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	76.2	152.6	+0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	69.3	80.3	149.7	-11.0	0%
vs Similar (7)	75.3	79.0	154.3	-3.7	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	83.2	65.5	148.7	+17.7	85%

This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ArisAEK Athens

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.5	38.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	18.3	38.9	+2.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	18.7	37.5	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.4	39.3	+2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	18.0	20.3	38.3	-2.3	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.8	20.8	38.7	-3.0	31%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.9	15.9	37.9	+6.0	79%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.2	39.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	16.1	39.1	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	20.3	39.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.8	39.7	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	23.7	40.7	-6.7	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.9	20.9	40.7	-1.0	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.2	16.4	38.7	+5.8	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	17.7	38.4	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	17.8	40.0	+4.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	17.5	36.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	17.4	39.1	+4.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	14.7	21.7	36.3	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.0	17.9	38.9	+3.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.9	16.6	38.4	+5.3	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	17.7	38.1	+2.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	18.3	40.1	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	17.2	36.2	+1.8	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	19.1	41.7	+3.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	19.0	38.7	+0.7	67%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.0	19.1	37.1	-1.1	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.4	17.1	38.4	+4.3	80%	-

ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kolossos Rhodes

47-31

+16

H03/12

Basket League

Helios Domzale

#46

36-37

-1

H07/12

Champions League

G.S. Kymis

#11

48-32

+16

H10/12

Basket League

Bakken Bears

#45

39-36

A13/12

Champions League

Apollon Patras

#13

40-18

+22

A17/12

Basket League

Ironi Nahariya

#32

47-34

+13

H20/12

Champions League

Lavrio

50-35

+15

H26/12

Basket League

Banvit

38-45

-7

A03/01

Champions League

AEK Athens

36-46

-10

A07/01

Basket League

Nymburk

45-44

H11/01

Champions League

78.4Avg total

42.6Scored

35.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	36.2	76.7	+4.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.8	36.1	78.9	+6.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	36.2	74.1	+1.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	35.8	78.4	+6.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	40.8	84.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	32.7	42.0	74.7	-9.3	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	38.8	38.8	77.6	+0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (14)	43.8	32.5	76.3	+11.3	86%	-

This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Koroivos

#12

46-39

H03/12

Basket League

Szolnoki Olaj

#47

50-37

+13

A07/12

Champions League

Panathinaikos

39-39

A11/12

Basket League

Spirou Charleroi

#36

56-35

+21

H14/12

Champions League

Lefkadas

#14

46-26

+20

H17/12

Basket League

Besiktas

27-42

-15

A21/12

Champions League

Kolossos Rhodes

38-40

-2

A26/12

Basket League

Sassari

#24

42-51

-9

A04/01

Champions League

Aris

46-36

+10

H07/01

Basket League

Ludwigsburg

#13

45-34

+11

H10/01

Champions League

81.4Avg total

43.5Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	35.9	77.5	+5.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.7	34.4	79.1	+10.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.4	37.5	75.9	+0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	37.9	81.4	+5.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	40.6	80.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.7	42.7	79.3	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	37.9	40.0	77.9	-2.1	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	43.6	33.5	77.1	+10.1	70%	-

This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	16.4	34.1	+1.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.0	15.0	32.0	+2.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	18.0	36.4	+0.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	16.7	35.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	17.2	34.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	15.3	15.3	30.7	+0.0	67%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.3	16.2	33.5	+1.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (14)	18.5	16.8	35.3	+1.7	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	17.6	35.7	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	17.6	36.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	17.6	35.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	18.1	35.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	17.0	32.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.7	18.7	35.3	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	15.3	19.1	34.4	-3.9	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.3	16.9	36.2	+2.4	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.4	35.8	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	16.0	34.2	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	19.0	37.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	17.8	38.5	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.0	38.4	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	13.0	16.7	29.7	-3.7	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.8	17.9	36.7	+0.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.3	17.1	36.4	+2.2	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	16.6	36.9	+3.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	15.0	35.8	+5.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	18.2	37.9	+1.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	17.8	37.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.6	40.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.1	19.9	42.0	+2.3	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.2	15.1	35.4	+5.2	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	33.8	69.9	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.2	31.0	66.2	+4.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	37.0	74.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	34.5	73.8	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	34.2	72.4	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	28.3	32.0	60.3	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	36.1	34.2	70.2	+1.9	69%	-
vs Weaker (14)	37.8	33.9	71.6	+3.9	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	34.2	72.6	+4.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.4	32.6	72.0	+6.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	35.8	73.1	+1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	35.9	72.5	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	35.6	72.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	32.7	37.7	70.3	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	37.4	39.0	76.4	-1.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	39.5	32.0	71.5	+7.5	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Aris wins

AEK Athens wins

Date	Game	Score
07/01/17	AEK Athens v Aris	81-61
07/10/15	Aris v AEK Athens	64-61
19/05/15	Aris v AEK Athens	79-68
16/05/15	AEK Athens v Aris	92-54
13/05/15	Aris v AEK Athens	71-69
29/03/15	AEK Athens v Aris	93-77
06/12/14	Aris v AEK Athens	86-75
13/04/11	Aris v AEK Athens	78-74
08/01/11	AEK Athens v Aris	65-74
20/03/10	Aris v AEK Athens	79-76

Arislast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/01/17	H	Nymburk	83-79
07/01/17	A	AEK Athens	61-81
03/01/17	A	Banvit	94-95 OT
26/12/16	H	Lavrio	98-77
20/12/16	H	Ironi Nahariya	85-58
17/12/16	A	Apollon Patras	79-64
13/12/16	A	Bakken Bears	92-78
10/12/16	H	G.S. Kymis	85-72
07/12/16	H	Helios Domzale	72-54
03/12/16	H	Kolossos Rhodes	84-60

AEK Athenslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/01/17	H	Ludwigsburg	82-72
07/01/17	H	Aris	81-61
04/01/17	A	Sassari	78-80
26/12/16	A	Kolossos Rhodes	73-86
21/12/16	A	Besiktas	68-82
17/12/16	H	Lefkadas	84-60
14/12/16	H	Spirou Charleroi	89-69
11/12/16	A	Panathinaikos	68-77
07/12/16	A	Szolnoki Olaj	89-76
03/12/16	H	Koroivos	89-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris

Greek Cup 2016-17

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	98.0	98.0	-
Allowed / game	62.0	62.0	-
Point differential	+36.0	+36.0	-
Avg total	160.0	160.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

AEK Athens

Greek Cup 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	98.0	98.0	-
Allowed / game	57.0	57.0	-
Point differential	+41.0	+41.0	-
Avg total	155.0	155.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olympiacos	1	1	0	100%	99.0	48.0	+51.0
2	AEK Athens	1	1	0	100%	98.0	57.0	+41.0
3	Aris	1	1	0	100%	98.0	62.0	+36.0
4	Panathinaikos	1	1	0	100%	88.0	69.0	+19.0
5	G.S. Kymis	2	1	1	50%	69.5	85.5	-16.0
6	Koroivos	2	1	1	50%	68.5	87.0	-18.5
7	Panionios	1	0	1	0%	73.0	77.0	-4.0
8	Promitheas	1	0	1	0%	76.0	80.0	-4.0
9	PAOK	1	0	1	0%	69.0	88.0	-19.0
10	Kolossos Rhodes	1	0	1	0%	48.0	99.0	-51.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Aris	26	20	15	16	77
AEK Athens	17	27	17	15	76

← all games of the day

Aris vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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