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AEK Athens vs Larisa Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record16-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#11
Record8-12
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game83.8
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 25
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · AEK Athens v Larisa
09 Oct 2021
AAT81
LAR69
31 Oct 2020
AAT87
LAR68
11 Apr 2020
AAT v LAR
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Larisa win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#12
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H13/12
Basket League
Larisa
#11
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A22/12
Basket League
Ionikos
#10
W
103-70
103
70
+33
H28/12
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
W
100-97
100
97
+3
H05/01
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#9
W
79-70
79
70
+9
A11/01
Basket League
Ifaistos Limnou
#5
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H18/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A25/01
Basket League
Rethymno
#8
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H26/02
Basket League
Panionios
#13
W
101-96 OT
101
96
+5
A29/02
Basket League
Iraklis
#7
W
86-61
86
61
+25
H07/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
21-23
26-16
26-25
24-9
24-24
20-20
18-23
26-16
28-19
24-24
25-11
32-28
31-26
22-23
15-20
18-16
21-17
19-19
21-18
19-23
16-19
18-9
21-17
20-18
18-18
17-18
22-19
16-22
17-21
25-17
26-23
23-21
19-17
24-22
18-24
30-12
14-20
16-19
26-10
165.5Avg total
88.2Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.774.7157.3+8.080%
Season at home (10)88.674.7163.3+13.990%
Season away (10)76.774.6151.3+2.170%
Last 10 (10)88.277.3165.5+10.9100%
Last 5 (5)84.476.2160.6+8.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.891.5168.2-14.825%
vs Similar (2)83.582.0165.5+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)82.872.1154.9+10.683%
This opponent (Larisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LarisaGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panionios
#13
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A14/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#2
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H22/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#6
W
98-78
98
78
+20
A28/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A04/01
Basket League
PAOK
#14
W
95-85
95
85
+10
H11/01
Basket League
Aris
#12
L
72-90
72
90
-18
A18/01
Basket League
Iraklis
#7
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A25/01
Basket League
Ionikos
#10
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H01/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
78-121
78
121
-43
A29/02
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#9
W
95-90
95
90
+5
H07/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
19-16
13-27
23-10
9-24
24-24
20-20
23-18
26-23
27-15
19-22
26-18
14-15
20-17
23-19
19-11
25-15
23-27
21-28
26-15
8-23
21-20
17-27
26-20
11-26
18-17
15-26
23-14
18-12
21-20
22-20
21-20
17-35
14-26
21-30
26-30
26-21
17-22
25-17
27-30
165.1Avg total
81.0Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.283.8160.0-7.640%
Season at home (10)79.183.2162.3-4.150%
Season away (10)73.384.4157.7-11.130%
Last 10 (10)81.084.1165.1-3.150%
Last 5 (5)78.891.2170.0-12.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)74.686.9161.5-12.236%
vs Similar (5)81.677.2158.8+4.460%
vs Weaker (1)71.074.0145.0-3.00%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +5.4+5.4
AEK AthensLarisa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H13/12
Basket League
Larisa
#11
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A22/12
Basket League
Ionikos
#10
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H28/12
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H05/01
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A11/01
Basket League
Ifaistos Limnou
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H18/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A25/01
Basket League
Rethymno
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H26/02
Basket League
Panionios
#13
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A29/02
Basket League
Iraklis
#7
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H07/03
Basket League
82.0Avg total
43.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.337.678.9+3.773%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.738.180.8+4.767%-
Last 30 away (15)39.937.177.0+2.780%-
Last 10 (10)43.638.482.0+5.280%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.276.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.549.091.5-6.525%-
vs Similar (2)38.533.071.5+5.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.336.177.4+5.279%-
This opponent (Larisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LarisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panionios
#13
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A14/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#2
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H22/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#6
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A28/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A04/01
Basket League
PAOK
#14
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H11/01
Basket League
Aris
#12
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A18/01
Basket League
Iraklis
#7
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A25/01
Basket League
Ionikos
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H01/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
31-61
31
61
-30
A29/02
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H07/03
Basket League
79.3Avg total
37.4Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)36.241.878.0-5.530%-
Last 30 at home (10)39.242.081.2-2.830%-
Last 30 away (10)33.341.574.8-8.230%-
Last 10 (10)37.441.979.3-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.244.478.6-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.243.578.7-8.321%-
vs Similar (5)39.437.877.2+1.660%-
vs Weaker (1)35.037.072.0-2.00%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AEK Athens wins
0
Larisa wins
DateGameScore
22/12/19Larisa v AEK Athens76-86
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HIraklis86-61
29/02/20APanionios101-96 OT
26/02/20HRethymno84-83
25/01/20APeristeri77-73
18/01/20HIfaistos Limnou74-68
11/01/20AKolossos Rhodes79-70
05/01/20HPanathinaikos100-97
28/12/19HIonikos103-70
22/12/19ALarisa86-76
13/12/19HAris92-79
Larisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HKolossos Rhodes95-90
29/02/20APanathinaikos78-121
01/02/20HIonikos82-72
25/01/20AIraklis67-83
18/01/20AAris72-90
11/01/20HPAOK95-85
04/01/20APromitheas76-62
28/12/19ALavrio98-78
22/12/19HAEK Athens76-86
14/12/19APanionios71-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2019-20
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %80%90%70%
Points / game82.788.676.7
Allowed / game74.774.774.6
Point differential+8.0+13.9+2.1
Avg total157.3163.3151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)75% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %10%10%10%
Larisa
Basket League 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeWLWWW50%
AwayWWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%50%30%
Points / game76.279.173.3
Allowed / game83.883.284.4
Point differential-7.6-4.1-11.1
Avg total160.0162.3157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos2018290%103.876.8+26.9
2 AEK Athens2016480%82.774.7+8.0
3 Peristeri2013765%78.071.7+6.2
4 Promitheas1912763%76.375.6+0.7
5 Ifaistos Limnou2011955%71.871.8+0.1
6 Lavrio2011955%76.279.8-3.7
7 Iraklis2091145%77.877.5+0.3
8 Rethymno1981142%69.472.4-3.0
9 Kolossos Rhodes2081240%78.980.1-1.2
10 Ionikos2081240%78.585.5-7.0
11 Larisa2081240%76.283.8-7.6
12 Aris2061430%77.482.4-5.0
13 Panionios2061430%73.585.3-11.9
14 PAOK2051525%81.884.8-3.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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