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AEK Athens vs Promitheas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 10:45
Final 102-85
24-21 28-17 25-19 25-28
Position#4
Record13-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#9
Record6-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game88.2
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 20· SUNEL Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · AEK Athens v Promitheas
20 Mar 2027
AAT v PRO
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
AAT102
PRO85
26 Sep 2025
AAT70
PRO84
19 May 2025
AAT91
PRO67
08 Feb 2025
AAT91
PRO71
29 Jan 2025
AAT97
PRO76
20 Mar 2024
AAT67
PRO79
09 Mar 2024
AAT87
PRO91
03 Dec 2022
AAT73
PRO70
23 May 2022
AAT82
PRO95
04 Dec 2021
AAT81
PRO77
09 Jun 2021
AAT95
PRO72
04 Jun 2021
AAT113
PRO101
16 Jan 2021
AAT75
PRO82
30 Nov 2019
AAT73
PRO68
02 Mar 2019
AAT83
PRO62
28 Apr 2018
AAT75
PRO76
19 Nov 2016
AAT76
PRO60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Promitheas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#9
W
94-86
94
86
+8
95avg 80
A03/01
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
W
90-65
90
65
+25
94avg 80
H11/01
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
79-71
79
71
+8
no box
A17/01
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#32
W
88-73
88
73
+15
84avg 80
H21/01
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#11
W
88-80
88
80
+8
82avg 80
H28/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
96-83
96
83
+13
97avg 80
H31/01
Basket League
Tofas
#27
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
91avg 80
A03/02
Champions League
Maroussi
#12
W
83-74
83
74
+9
82avg 80
H07/02
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#32
W
90-62
90
62
+28
90avg 80
A10/02
Champions League
PAOK
#3
W
88-71
88
71
+17
91avg 80
A14/02
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
31-29
21-23
19-14
26-16
18-27
23-11
23-11
20-16
19-18
21-22
19-15
20-19
14-18
19-22
35-14
22-26
20-20
22-24
24-10
20-31
29-11
22-22
25-19
27-20
15-24
12-14
23-19
23-15
14-26
17-18
29-15
26-19
27-9
18-19
19-15
14-21
23-14
25-20
26-16
164.4Avg total
88.9Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.177.8161.9+6.276%
Season at home (8)82.576.5159.0+6.075%
Season away (9)85.479.0164.4+6.478%
Last 10 (10)88.975.5164.4+13.4100%
Last 5 (5)90.076.0166.0+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.397.0170.3-23.70%
vs Similar (5)80.076.8156.8+3.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)86.573.4159.9+13.195%
This opponent (Promitheas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PromitheasGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPromitheas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#4
W
111-95
111
95
+16
108avg 73
H17/12
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
W
92-80
92
80
+12
77avg 73
A28/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
86-94
86
94
-8
75avg 73
H03/01
Basket League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
78-93
78
93
-15
64avg 73
A06/01
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
82-92
82
92
-10
60avg 73
H08/01
Champions League
Maroussi
#12
L
78-96
78
96
-18
68avg 73
A11/01
Basket League
Panionios
#13
L
87-91
87
91
-4
no box
H17/01
Basket League
Aris
#5
L
97-103
97
103
-6
84avg 73
H24/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
87-102
87
102
-15
76avg 73
A08/02
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
77-84
77
84
-7
72avg 73
H14/02
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-32
34-22
35-22
24-19
13-18
26-24
33-17
20-21
20-23
29-31
23-21
14-19
16-23
25-22
24-25
13-23
17-21
20-20
20-31
25-20
21-20
23-27
22-24
12-25
21-27
22-20
24-23
20-21
25-29
29-33
18-18
25-23
13-32
25-25
24-26
25-19
21-24
22-22
19-16
15-22
180.5Avg total
87.5Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)85.188.2173.3-3.135%
Season at home (9)85.785.3171.0+0.333%
Season away (8)84.591.4175.9-6.938%
Last 10 (10)87.593.0180.5-5.520%
Last 5 (5)85.295.2180.4-10.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)78.690.6169.2-11.916%
vs Similar (10)87.285.1172.3+2.160%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +9.4+9.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +9.4+9.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
AEK AthensPromitheas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#9
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A03/01
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H11/01
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A17/01
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#32
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H21/01
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#11
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H28/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H31/01
Basket League
Tofas
#27
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A03/02
Champions League
Maroussi
#12
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H07/02
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#32
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A10/02
Champions League
PAOK
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A14/02
Basket League
83.0Avg total
43.1Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.181.1+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.840.180.8+0.756%-
Last 30 away (14)43.438.081.4+5.479%-
Last 10 (10)43.139.983.0+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.638.081.6+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.352.787.0-18.30%-
vs Similar (5)39.238.277.4+1.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.037.281.2+6.781%-
This opponent (Promitheas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PromitheasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#4
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H17/12
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A28/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H03/01
Basket League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A06/01
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H08/01
Champions League
Maroussi
#12
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A11/01
Basket League
Panionios
#13
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H17/01
Basket League
Aris
#5
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H24/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A08/02
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H14/02
Basket League
93.5Avg total
44.0Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.945.487.4-3.523%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.344.588.8-0.236%-
Last 30 away (16)39.946.286.1-6.412%-
Last 10 (10)44.049.593.5-5.50%-
Last 5 (5)44.451.896.2-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)39.948.488.3-8.55%-
vs Similar (10)45.840.786.5+5.150%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.3
56.7%
54.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.19.8
42.4%
34.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.619.0
77.2%
74.4%19.0
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Promitheastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Promitheas: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.721.1
50.6%
54.1%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.6
32.5%
34.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws27.020.3
75.2%
74.4%20.3
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WWWWWWWWWW
Promitheas
LLLLLLLLWW
#4
League position
#9
+16.3
Net rating
-5.5
109.9
Offensive rating
103.6
93.6
Defensive rating
109.1
59.4%
Effective FG%
49.9%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
15.5%
Turnover %
14.1%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
35.9%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.40
42.4%
3-point %
32.5%
69.4%
Assist %
55.6%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 103.6Defence93.6 · 109.1Shooting59.4% · 49.9%3-point %42.4% · 32.5%Ball care15.5% · 14.1%Off. rebounds32.3% · 35.9%Free throws0.42 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)100% · 20%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Promitheas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
AEK Athens wins
5
Promitheas wins
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26APAOK88-71
10/02/26AAS Karditsas90-62
07/02/26HMaroussi83-74
03/02/26ATofas93-90 OT
31/01/26HKolossos Rhodes96-83
28/01/26HAlba Berlin88-80
21/01/26HAS Karditsas88-73
17/01/26AAS Karditsas79-71
11/01/26HMykonos90-65
03/01/26APromitheas94-86
Promitheaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HPeristeri77-84
08/02/26AOlympiacos87-102
24/01/26HAris97-103
17/01/26HPanionios87-91
11/01/26AMaroussi78-96
08/01/26HChalon/Saone82-92
06/01/26AChalon/Saone78-93
03/01/26HAEK Athens86-94
28/12/25APeristeri92-80
17/12/25HRytas111-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %76%75%78%
Points / game84.182.585.4
Allowed / game77.876.579.0
Point differential+6.2+6.0+6.4
Avg total161.9159.0164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Promitheas
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%33%38%
Points / game85.185.784.5
Allowed / game88.285.391.4
Point differential-3.1+0.3-6.9
Avg total173.3171.0175.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos18180100%97.878.8+18.9
2 Panathinaikos1815383%91.077.9+13.1
3 AEK Athens1713476%84.177.8+6.2
4 PAOK1611569%82.380.2+2.1
5 Aris169756%84.282.6+1.7
6 Peristeri178947%78.081.4-3.4
7 Iraklis1771041%80.481.8-1.5
8 Mykonos1771041%77.382.8-5.5
9 Promitheas1761135%85.188.2-3.1
10 Panionios1751229%79.588.3-8.8
11 Kolossos Rhodes1851328%79.184.7-5.6
12 Maroussi1841422%85.892.0-6.2
13 AS Karditsas1841422%77.285.8-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens24282525102
Promitheas2117192885
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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